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IV Implodes On 4-hour YHOO Options As BABA Commences Trading

www.interactivebrokers.com

Investors are dumping shares in Yahoo, sending the stock down 5.0% to $40.08 after shares in Alibaba made their debut on the floor of the NYSE just before midday. Shares in BABA for their part initially traded up to a high of $99.70, a near 47% increase over the IPO price of $68.00. Typically, one would expect put options that are 5% out of the money with roughly 4-hours left to trade to see waning implied volatility. But, at the start of the trading session and ahead of the first trade for BABA, the Sep 19 ’14 40.0 strike put options were trading with 271% volatility or $0.30 per contract amid uncertainty as to how the start of trading for Alibaba would take shape.

After shares in BABA debuted, volatility in the 40.0 strike puts imploded, dropping almost immediately to 154% and sending premium on the contracts down to as low as $0.04 each. However, with shares in BABA at $90.70 as of 12:30 p.m. ET and having backed off of their intraday highs to trade below the initial traded price of $92.70, selling pressure on Yahoo is increasing and premium on those YHOO 40.0 strike puts has ripped to the upside. At last check, the 40.0 strike put options with just hours to go before expiration are changing hands at $0.60 apiece at roughly 150% implied volatility.

Overall volume in Yahoo options has surpassed 1 million contracts, more than twice the stock’s average daily options volume of 453,000 contracts.


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Big Prints In VIX Calls

www.interactivebrokers.com

The CBOE Vix Index is in positive territory on Friday morning as shares in the S&P 500 Index move slightly lower. Currently the VIX is up roughly 2.75% on the session at 13.16 as of 11:35 am ET. Earlier in the session big prints in October expiry call options caught our attention as one large options market participants appears to have purchased roughly 106,000 of the Oct 22.0 strike calls for a premium of around $0.45 each. The VIX has not topped 22.0 since the end of 2012, but it would not take such a dramatic move in the spot index in order to lift premium on the contracts. The far out-of-the-money calls would likely increase in value in the event that S&P500 Index stocks slip in the near term. The VIX traded up to a 52-week high of 21.48 back in February. Next week’s release of the FOMC meeting minutes from August could give rise to increased volatility in U.S. equities. If you recall, the VIX spiked to approximately 17.5 on August 1st amid concerns over geopolitical risk that sent market participants scrambling for protection as stocks slumped.

Chart – One-year chart of CBOE Vix Index


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Call Butterfly Spread Looks For Upside In Autodesk

www.interactivebrokers.com

Big prints in Autodesk, Inc. (Ticker: ADSK) call options today appear to be part of a call butterfly spread, a strategy that may be profitable if shares in the maker of 3D-software rise to fresh 52-week highs by October expiration. Shares in Autodesk are up 0.85% today at $53.82 as of 12:10 pm ET. The one-by-two-by-one call spread traded during the first 25 minutes of the session and is by far the largest trade in ADSK options today. Overall volume on the stock has soared to 35,000 contracts as of the time of this writing versus average daily volume of around 2,800 contracts.

It looks like one strategist purchased 5,000 calls at both the Oct 55.0 and 65.0 strikes, and sold 10,000 calls at the Oct 60.0 strike. The trade cost a net $0.75 per contract and starts making money if shares in Autodesk rally 3.6% over the current price to exceed the breakeven point at $55.75. Maximum potential profits of $4.25 per contract are available on the call butterfly spread in the event that ADSK shares surge 11.5% to $60.00 at October expiration. Autodesk’s shares traded up to a 52-week high of $58.68 back in February.


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SinoCoking Calls Active As Shares Surge

www.interactivebrokers.com

Coal and coke producer SinoCoking Coal and Coke Chemical Industries, Inc. (Ticker: SCOK) typically sees average daily options volume of around 42 contracts, but today, with shares in the name spiking more than 200% intraday to $8.96, options volume has surged to more than 1,300 contracts as of 11:15 am ET. Much of the volume is centered at the Sep 7.5 strike, with around 630 of the calls at that strike changing hands and 290 puts against zero open positions. Traders appear to be buying the Sep 7.5 strike calls for an average premium of $0.83 as of the time of this writing. Shares in the name appear to have spiked after the company announced some details regarding a new underground coal gasification project, per a brief article released by Reuters. Volume in SCOK shares have exploded, with more than 15.5 million shares traded as of 11:25 am ET versus average daily volume of around 300,000 shares.

Chart – SCOK shares spike on heavy volume


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Apple Options Volume Explodes As Shares Slip

www.interactivebrokers.com

Volume in Apple Inc. (Ticker: AAPL) options is spiking today as shares in the name slide back into double-digits after yesterday trading up to a fresh record high of $103.74. Upwards of 1.5 million options contracts have changed hands on the stock by midday, which compares to average daily volume of around 940,000 contracts. Shares in AAPL are down roughly 4.5% on the day at $98.60, helped lower in part by comments from Pacific Crest analyst Andy Hargreaves, as investors await the company’s September 9 media event in Cupertino, California.

As of the time of this writing, roughly 1.9 call options are trading for each single put option changing hands on the stock. Perhaps some traders are taking profits following the stock’s roughly 30% rally since the start of 2014, or alternatively, picking up calls at relatively discounted premium levels amid the day’s selloff in the view that shares may potentially bounce back. The pop in implied volatility on the name, up 22% on the day at last check, could also be attracting traders to the options as well. Trading is most active in near term calls and puts. Specifically, the Sep 05 ’14 102.0 strike calls and the Sep 12 ’14 107.0 strike call options have each traded upwards of 66,000 times, trumping existing open interest levels. The Sep 05 ’14 99.0 strike put options are seeing volume in excess of 59,000 contracts as of midday.


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Puts Active On Buffalo Wild Wings

www.interactivebrokers.com

Buffalo Wild Wings Inc. (Ticker: BWLD) shares are in positive territory in early-afternoon trading on Thursday, reversing earlier losses to stand up 0.50% on the session at $148.50 as of 12:15 pm ET. Options volume on the restaurant chain is running approximately three times the daily average level due to heavy put activity in the October expiry contracts. It looks like one or more traders are buying the Oct 140/145 put spread at a net premium of roughly $1.45 per contract. As of the time of this writing, the spread has traded approximately 3,000 times against very little open interest at either striking price. The put spread may be a hedge to protect a long stock position against a roughly 6% pullback in the price of the underlying through October expiration, or an outright bearish play anticipating a dip in BWLD shares in the next couple of months. The spread makes money at expiration if shares in BWLD decline 3.3% from the current price of $148.50 to breach the breakeven point at $143.55, with maximum potential profits of $3.55 per contract available on the trade in the event that shares slump 5.7% to $140.00. Shares in Buffalo Wild Wings last traded below $140.00 back in May.


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Whole Foods Options Active As Shares Spike

www.interactivebrokers.com

Shares in Whole Foods Market Inc. (Ticker: WFM) are on the move today, up 3.5% at $39.83 in the final hour of trading. The move in the price of the underlying sparked heavy trading in options on the high-end grocer, with volume topping 54,000 contracts versus average daily volume of around 17,000 contracts for the name. Most of the activity is in WFM calls, driving the call/put ratio to 5.0 at 3:00 p.m. ET.

Volume is concentrated in weekly calls set to expire ahead of the Labor Day holiday weekend. The most traded contracts are the Aug 29 ’14 40.0 strike calls as some strategists appear to be positioning for the shares to push above the threshold by expiration. Premium on the 40.0 weekly calls has exploded as shares hover just below the $40.00 level, with premium rising from just $0.03 on Tuesday up to as high as $0.33 per contract this afternoon. The Sep 19 ’14 call options are also seeing heavy trading traffic, as are the Oct 17 ’14 call options at the 40.0, 42.0, 43.0 and 44.0 striking prices. As of the time of this writing, shares in Whole Foods have just burst through $40.00 and have jumped to $40.21, the highest level since August 5th.

Chart – Two-day chart of Whole Foods


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CME Group Put Options Active

www.interactivebrokers.com

Options volume on the provider of futures and options based on interest rates, equity indexes, foreign exchange, energy, agricultural commodities, metals and alternative investment products is well above average on Thursday morning, due in large part to a sizable put spread initiated in the 19Sep’14 expiry contracts. Shares in CME Group (Ticker: CME) are up slightly on the day, trading 0.25% higher at $74.34 as of the time of this writing.

The largest trade on CME today appears to be a bear put spread in which roughly 1,500 of the 19Sep’14 74.0 strike puts were purchased at a premium of $1.44 each against the sale of the same number of the 69.0 strike puts at a premium of $0.26 apiece. The net cost of the trade amounts to $1.18 per contract and establishes a breakeven price of $72.82, which is 2.0% below the last-traded price of the underlying shares. Maximum possible gains of $3.82 are available on the spread in the event that CME Group’s shares drop 6.8% to $69.00 by September expiration in four weeks. The put spread could be a hedge to protect a long position in the underlying stock, or an outright bearish stance on the futures exchange that profits from near-term weakness in the share price. Shares in CME Group last traded below $69.00 in May. Overall options volume on the name is above 4,600 contracts, which is more than three times the average daily reading of around 1,200 contracts.


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Elizabeth Arden Put Option Activity Revisited

www.interactivebrokers.com

It’s an ugly day for investors in Elizabeth Arden, with shares in the name losing roughly one-quarter of its value overnight after the retailer of beauty products and fragrances reported a wider than expected loss and sales that were lower than analysts anticipated. Shares in the name are down more than 23% in the final hour of trading to stand at $14.95.

On Friday of last week we wrote a short note about put option activity on the stock, highlighting activity in the Sep 20.0 strike put options. At the time, shares in RDEN were hovering near $20.17 and the company was a few days away from reporting fourth-quarter earnings. On Friday, it looked like bearish positions were building on RDEN as around 1,500 of the 20.0 strike puts looked to have been purchased at a premium of $1.50 each. The sharp drop in Elizabeth Arden shares today pushed premium on the contracts to more than three times that level during the session. Trading action in the 20.0 puts on Tuesday suggests profit-taking may have kicked in as 1,500 of the puts appear to have been sold at a premium of $5.10 each within the first 30 minutes of the opening bell today.


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Puts In Play On Elizabeth Arden

www.interactivebrokers.com

Shares in beauty products company Elizabeth Arden, Inc. (Ticker: RDEN) are lower on this summer Friday and options contracts changing hands on the name suggest one or more traders are bracing for further declines in the price of the stock in the near future. RDEN shares are off 0.90% at $20.17 as of 11:00 a.m. ET amid a volatile morning for U.S. stocks, which opened in rally-mode before turning negative on reports of escalating Russia/Ukraine tension.

The most traded options on RDEN thus far in the session are the Sep 20.0 strike puts, with volume hovering near 1,500 contracts against open interest of 360 contracts. Time and sales data suggests most of the put options were purchased at a premium of $1.50 each within the first half hour of the opening bell. Put buyers may be looking ahead to Elizabeth Arden’s fourth-quarter earnings report set for release ahead of the open on Tuesday of next week. Put buyers may profit at September expiration in the event that RDEN shares drop more than 8.0% from the current level of $20.17 to breach the effective breakeven price of $18.50. RDEN shares last traded below $18.50 back in September of 2010.

Chart – Elizabeth Arden shares hover near three-year low


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Help One Of Our Own PSW Members

"Hello PSW Members –

This is a non-trading topic, but I wanted to post it during trading hours so as many eyes can see it as possible.  Feel free to contact me directly at jennifersurovy@yahoo.com with any questions.

Last fall there was some discussion on the PSW board regarding setting up a YouCaring donation page for a PSW member, Shadowfax. Since then, we have been looking into ways to help get him additional medical services and to pay down his medical debts.  After following those leads, we are ready to move ahead with the YouCaring site. (Link is posted below.)  Any help you can give will be greatly appreciated; not only to help aid in his medical bill debt, but to also show what a great community this group is.

http://www.youcaring.com/medical-fundraiser/help-get-shadowfax-out-from-the-darkness-of-medical-bills-/126743

Thank you for you time!

 
 

Chart School

Tracking the Market with Social Media

Courtesy of Doug Short.

Advisor Perspectives welcomes guest contributions. The views presented here do not necessarily represent those of Advisor Perspectives.

The Trade Followers Momentum indicator for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) is showing uncertainty from market participants. The pattern currently being painted by 7 day momentum is usually indicative of traders chasing price. The consolidation and small dip in price over the past few weeks caused momentum to drop rapidly, then when the market recovered momentum shot upward. This behavior shows market participants are reacting rather than planning and executing. This puts some instability into the market as any change in news will cause swift changes in sentiment.

In mid August the indicators showed extreme overbought conditions for SPX. That has now been resolved, but no clear direction has been established yet. This is a...



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Zero Hedge

LiBeRTY BeNT OUT oF SHaPe...

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by williambanzai7.

...

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All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: David is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Click here for the full report.




To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

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Phil's Favorites

ECB Executive Board Urges Germany to Borrow and Spend

Courtesy of Mish.

In a foolish as well as never-ending attempt to prevent price deflation and revive growth, the ECB Urges Berlin to Cut Taxes and Spend.
Berlin has hit back at calls from a top European Central Bank official urging Germany to spend more to help the eurozone escape from its economic malaise.

In one of the most politically charged statements to come from the central bank, Benoît Cœuré, a member of the ECB’s executive board, urged Berlin to increase borrowing in order to support investment and cut taxes.

The article follows calls by ECB president Mario Draghi last month for governments to match the central bank’s steps in loosening monetary policy with growth-boosting measures. However, Mr Cœ...



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Stock World Weekly

Stock World Weekly

Newsletter writers are available to chat with Members regarding topics presented in SWW, comments are found below each post.

Here's the latest issue of Stock World Weekly. Enjoy! Please sign in using your PSW user name and password. (Or take a free trial.)

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Option Review

IV Implodes On 4-hour YHOO Options As BABA Commences Trading

Investors are dumping shares in Yahoo, sending the stock down 5.0% to $40.08 after shares in Alibaba made their debut on the floor of the NYSE just before midday. Shares in BABA for their part initially traded up to a high of $99.70, a near 47% increase over the IPO price of $68.00. Typically, one would expect put options that are 5% out of the money with roughly 4-hours left to trade to see waning implied volatility. But, at the start of the trading session and ahead of the first trade for BABA, the Sep 19 ’14 40.0 strike put options were trading with 271% volatility or $0.30 per contract amid uncertainty as to how the start of trading for Alibaba would take shape.

...

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Market Shadows

Selling PVD

Selling PVD

Administradora de Fondos de Pensiones Provida S.A. (PVD) shares will not be trading on the NY Stock Exchange after today. Tomorrow, shares will be harder to sell. Strangely, I wasn't able to find information on the internet, but Paul just sent me a copy of the email he received from Interactive Brokers.

We're selling PVD out of the Virtual Portfolio today at $87.18. 

More details:

From: Interactive Brokers   dated July 18, 2014

Holders of AFP Provida S.A. American Depository Receipts (ADR) are advised that the Company has elected to terminate the Deposit Agreement effective 2014-09-18.

As of the te...



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Promotions

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Sabrient

Sector Detector: Bulls go down swinging, refusing to give up much ground

Courtesy of Sabrient Systems and Gradient Analytics

Although the stock market displayed weakness last week as I suggested it would, bulls aren’t going down easily. In fact, they’re going down swinging, absorbing most of the blows delivered by hesitant bears. Despite holding up admirably when weakness was both expected and warranted, and although I still see higher highs ahead, I am still not convinced that we have seen the ultimate lows for this pullback. A number of signs point to more weakness ahead.

In this weekly update, I give my view of the current market environment, offer a technical analysis of the S&P 500 chart, review our weekly fundamentals-based SectorCast rankings of the ten U.S. business sectors, and then offer up some actionable trading ideas, including a sector rotation strategy using ETFs and an enhanced version using top-r...



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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of September 15th, 2014

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



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Digital Currencies

Making Sense of Bitcoin

Making Sense of Bitcoin

By James Black at International Man

Despite the various opinions on Bitcoin, there is no question as to its ultimate value: its ability to bypass government restrictions, including economic embargoes and capital controls, to transmit quasi-anonymous money to anyone anywhere.

Opinions differ as to what constitutes "money."

The English word "money" derives from the Latin word "moneta," which means to "mint." Historically, "money" was minted in the form of precious metals, most notably gold and silver. Minted metal was considered "money" because it possessed luster, was scarce, and had perceive...



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Pharmboy

Biotechs & Bubbles

Reminder: Pharmboy is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Well PSW Subscribers....I am still here, barely.  From my last post a few months ago to now, nothing has changed much, but there are a few bargins out there that as investors, should be put on the watch list (again) and if so desired....buy a small amount.

First, the media is on a tear against biotechs/pharma, ripping companies for their drug prices.  Gilead's HepC drug, Sovaldi, is priced at $84K for the 12-week treatment.  Pundits were screaming bloody murder that it was a total rip off, but when one investigates the other drugs out there, and the consequences of not taking Sovaldi vs. another drug combinations, then things become clearer.  For instance, Olysio (JNJ) is about $66,000 for a 12-week treatment, but is approved for fewer types of patients AND...



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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

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