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Income Portfolio – Still Selling in May and Going Away

Last month, we decided we were going to sell in May and go away in our special update (regular update was here). 

We had turned bearish on the market by the 12th, perhaps a little early but it gave us plenty of time to make good exits and get our prices.  Since our Income Portfolio was running 100% ahead of schedule and more like 250% counting the unrealized gains from our buy/writes as the market zoomed higher on us, we decided it would be good to go back to cash – especially as it would be fun to build a brand new Income Portfolio for 2012 that our newer Members will be able to benefit from following as well as it is, by far, our most popular virtual portfolio.

We're not cashing it all out as some positions still need to run their courses, but we won't be upset to be cashed out on some so we covered conservatively in anticipation of the pullback that just began last week.  We had $97,716 in realized (albeit virtual) gains as of our March 10th update – not bad after 10 months with a $500K portfolio that was only looking to take out $4,000 a month!   

This is the kind of set-up that my Mom and many of her friends need to do to supplement their not very generous Social Security checks but it's also using the same principle that applies to any long-term wealth-building strategy, utilizing our best long-term growth strategies combined with a concentration on generating an income collecting dividends and selling short-term options to create our own "dividend" stream on ordinary stocks.  Please see previous posts in our Virtual Portfolio section for our main strategy discussions – this is just an update. 

This month was unusual as we had quite a few action items, mostly per the Special Update, the following positions were closed:

  • 10 GE Jan $17.50 puts sold for $2.10, closed at now $1.30 – up $800
  • 20 RIMM 2014 $22 puts at net $3.52, closed at $10.10 – down $13,160
  • 3,000 NLY .55 dividend paid on 3/28 – up $1,650
  • 10 TITN March $22.50 puts sold for $4.50, expired worthless – up $4,500
  • 1,500 NYB at net $8.70, out at $10 – up $1,950
  • 10 TM Jan $62.50 calls bought for $6.50 ($6,500), out at $23.20 – up $16,700
  • 1,000 CSCO .08


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Income Portfolio Moves – Selling in May and Going Away

Now that I've slept on it, I want to raise cash

As I mentioned in yesterday's update, we are very bullish, perhaps too bullish in our Income Portfolio and we are also 100% ahead of schedule and more like 250% counting the gains from our buy/writes, some of which are well in the money.  Since we aren't thrilled with the overall economic picture and, since we're supposed to be learning new techniques and, since I think it's time to start a fresh Income Portfolio anyway, let's go through our positions and learn how to sell in May and go away with style.

We're not purposely cashing it all out but we won't be upset to be cashed out on some – and I'm sure you'll see why.  I'm going to comment on every position with red highlights for action items, we'll start with our short puts:

  • 20 HCBK July $9 puts sold for $1.45 (-$2,900), now $2.10 – down $1,300
  • 1,000 HCBK at net $6.83, now $6.79 – .08 dividend expected 5/8 ($80)
    • HCBK is now $6.79 and we essentially own them for $9.  They pay a .32 dividend and we already have 1,000 shares uncovered so let's sell 20 July $7 calls for .30 ($600).  If we're over $7, then we lose our current 1,000 shares (but get paid $7) and we'll have 10 short calls to roll into July, where anything between $7 and $9 is an improvement to our current short puts.  
  •  10 GE Jan $17.50 puts sold for $2.10 (-$2,100), now $1.38 – up $720
    • I don't see GE popping $20 very easily but let's cash these puts in and sell 15 April $19 puts and calls for .99 to raise $1,485 that will expire in April.  As we're willing to own GE long-term, either being forced to roll the puts or forced to buy stock to cover (with $2,195 already in our pocket) is


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Income Portfolio March Update – EZ Money!

Who says we're not bullish?

It's interesting how many people think we're bearish just because we talk about the problems in the economy and just because we don't buy into the market hype.  Yes, short-term, we expect a correction and so far – so wrong on that one but, long-term, I don't think we have ANY bearish plays and our largest portfolio, our virtual income portfolio, is 100% bullish (with hedges) and has been since day one.

As of Friday, our $25,000 Portfolio was down $7,500 for the year.  That's not good but that portfolio is supposed to be the aggressive carve-out of a more conservative $250,000-$500,000 portfolio like our income portfolio, which is long-term bullish and doing extremely well.   How well?  Up $73,792 in our first 9 months is an average of $8,199 per month generated off a conservatively invested $500,000 and double our goal of pulling a $4,000 monthly income without digging into our principal.  

This is the kind of set-up that my Mom and many of her friends need to do to supplement their not very generous Social Security checks but it's also using the same principle that applies to any long-term wealth-building strategy, utilizing our best long-term growth strategies combined with a concentration on generating an income collecting dividends and selling short-term options to create our own "dividend" stream on ordinary stocks.  Please see previous posts in our Virtual Portfolio section for our main strategy discussions – this is just an update. 

 

Prior to making our moves, we had $87,042 of realized gains (positions we had cashed in) against $13,250 of unrealized losses for a $73,792 net gain in our 9th month so averaging a bit better than $8,000 a month and, as I said above, well ahead of schedule. The following positions were closed since then:

  • 20 DIA Feb $120 puts sold for $1.60, expired worthless – up $3,200
  • 20 SDS Feb $18 calls sold for .98, expired worthless – up $1,960
  • 2,000 shares of AGNC paid a $1.25 dividend on 3/5 – up $2,500
  • 3,000 shares of FTR paid a .10 dividend on 3/7 – up $300
  • 1,000 shares of HCBK paid a .08 dividend on 3/8 – up $80
  • 5,000 shares of SVU paid a .088 dividend on 2/28 – up $440
  • 500 shares of MT paid a .188 dividend on 2/16 –


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Income Portfolio Feb Update – The Joy of Nothing

Nothing!

Not one move since expiration day and that's the way uh-huh, uh-huh we like it in our virtual retirement portfolio because, when we actually retire – who the hell wants to have to work – even when that job is simply pushing a couple of buttons on a computer screen once in a while?  Our long-term outlook has been bullish since we began this portfolio last April and we did nothing when the S&P fell 300 points and we did nothing now that it's back up 300 points – to about where it was when we started

Our goal here is to simply generate a monthly income of $4,000 using $500,000 invested without depleting the principal – the kind of thing that my Mom and many of her friends need to do to supplement their not very generous Social Security checks.  Please see previous posts in our Virtual Portfolio section for our main strategy discussions – this is just an update. 

Our last update was on January 12th and we finally had some work to do after taking 4 consecutive months off as we just laid back and collected our Q4 dividends but January had a lot of our short sold January positions coming due or paying off.  We knew this was going to be our time for action as there really is no such thing as a free lunch – even the investing class has to roll out of bed and sit at a desk a couple of times a year!  

Prior to making our moves, we had $80,617 of realized gains (positions we had cashed in) against $39,965 for a $40,652 net gain in our 8th month so averaging a bit better than $5,000 a month and well a head of schedule but this is the month we EXPECTED to do well in so we'll see how we made out.  The following positions were closed:

  • 1,000 shares of RRD paid a .26 dividend on 1/25 – up $260 
  • 1,500 shares of NYB paid a .25 dividend on 2/3 – up $375
  • 4,000 shares of AA paid a .03 dividend on 2/1 – up $120 
  • 2,000 shares of F paid a .05 dividend on 1/27 – up $100
  • 10 KFT Jan $30 puts sold for $1.60, expired worthless – up $1,600 
  • 10 EXC Jan $37.50 puts sold for $2.20, expired worthless


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Income Portfolio 2012 – Rolling Back to the Future

Behold the value of doing nothing!

Although we were worried last month, my comment to Members was "Don't Panic" as we had faith in our positions (not blind faith – we did go over each one!) and, as always, time was on our side as this portfolio is all about SELLING premium and collecting dividends.  

Now, after literally doing nothing for 4 moths, it is finally time to make some adjustments as our January positions come due and require action.  So time to end the 4-month vacation and start earning our money…

We initiated our virtual income Portfolio way back on April 9th, after dealing with my Father's death and speaking to many of my Mom's friends in Florida got me to thinking there must be a way to structure a portfolio that will hold up through thick and thin and throw off a nice monthly income – using a combination of dividends and option sales.  Our goal was to put $500,000 to work and generate at least $4,000 a month in income without reducing the principal.  

As you can see from the chart on the right, this is not exactly a radical strategy but, strangely, it's also not one that retirees seem to be aware of.  Clearly, since 1990, the difference between dividend paying stocks and non-dividend paying stocks has made quite a difference.  These days, with most stocks moving in very high correlation – that is truer than ever because – if they are all going to go the same way, then any dividends you collect are a bonus, right?  

Of course, we try to outperform the S&P a bit as well and again, it's a no-brainer to use put option sales to improve your entries because, clearly, if you only enter a stock with a 15-20% discount, then again you are likely to outperform the rest of the index.   The final trick up our sleeve is, of course, Fundamentals – we try to pick good stocks that will do better than the rest of the S&P.

And we HEDGE!  We hedge because, EVEN THOUGH we picked a good stock and we will collect our dividends and even though we gave ourselves a discounted entry – WE STILL MIGHT BE WRONG!  We might be wrong or the market may collapse (as it did on us just 3 years ago) in such a way that
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All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: David is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

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To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

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Zero Hedge

Europeans Betting Millions That Facebook Will Plunge Another 30% By December

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

While US banks have been busy refocusing their "creative financial products"-time over the past two months, instead defending against allegations of muppetism, or explaining how hedging is really betting it all on red, and then doubling down (just because the casino supposedly has the bank's back), Europe has been busy coming up with new and creative ways of betting on the demise of FaceBook. While official shorting of the most overhyped and overvalued company in history only became a reality for most investors today, Europe's banks h...



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Chart School

The ''Real'' Goods on the Latest Durable Goods Orders

Courtesy of Doug Short.

Earlier this morning I posted an update on the May Advance Report on April Durable Goods Orders. This Census Bureau series dates from 1992 and is not adjusted for either population growth or inflation.

Let's now review the same data with two adjustments. In the charts below the red line shows the goods orders divided by the Census Bureau's monthly population data, giving us durable goods orders per capita. The blue line goes a step further and adjusts for inflation based on the Producer Price Index, chained in today's dollar value. This gives us the "real" durable goods orders per capita. The snapshots below offer a quite sobering corrective to the standard reports on the nominal monthly data (which itself was significantly below expectations).

...

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Insider Scoop

New York Stock Exchange Spokesperson Says There Have Been No Discussions with Facebook About Switching

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Rich Adamonis, NYSE (NYSE: NYX) spokesperson told Benzinga "In response to incorrect reports re: NYX and Facebook (NDAQ: FB): There have been no discussions with Facebook regarding switching their listing in light of the events of the last week, nor do we think a discussion along those lines would be appropriate at this time.”

document.write("") (c) 2012 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.


For more Benzinga, visit Benzinga Professional Service, ...

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Phil's Favorites

The E.U., Neofeudalism And The Neocolonial-Financialization Model

Courtesy of Charles Hugh Smith from Of Two Minds

The E.U., Neofeudalism And The Neocolonial-Financialization Model

To fully understand the Eurozone's financial-debt crisis, we must dig through the artifice, obfuscation and propaganda to the real dynamics of Europe's "new feudalism," the Neocolonial-Financialization Model.

Forget "austerity"and political theater--the only way to truly comprehend the Eurozone is to understand the Neocolonial-Financialization Model, as that's the key dynamic of the Eurozone.

In the old model of Colonialism, the colonizing power conquered or co-opted the Power Elites of the region, and proceeded to exploit the new colony's resources and labor to enrich the "center," i.e. the home empire.

In Neocolonialism, the forces of financialization (debt and leverage co...



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Market Montage

Chinese, European Data Continues to Weaken as Market Potentially Forming New Bear Flag

Submitted by Mark Hanna

Courtesy of MarketMontage. View original post here.

First we'll go to the technicals.  Back in mid April I had opined a 'bear flag' formation was being created. [Apr 17, 2012: Potential Bear Flag Forming]  But the market being the difficult beast it is, head faked everyone and rather than a break down from said flag it first went UP and nearly touched yearly highs.  This caused everyone to think the bear flag had failed…. only to lead to a horrid May in the market.  Generally a bear flag will resolve relatively quickly but the longer...



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Sabrient

Sector Detector: New “Grecian Formula” is making us all gray

Courtesy of Scott Martindale, Sabrient Systems and Gradient Analytics

Despite the fact that U.S. equities are well-positioned and well-supported to go up, once again it is the headlines out of Europe—especially Greece—that are scaring off investors. Some are saying that it is now likely (and even desirable) that Greece will default on all its sovereign debt, withdraw from the euro, and severely devalue its domestic currency (Drachma?). This will allow them to operate a balanced budget while pumping cash into growth initiatives, rather than suffer the ravages of Germany-mandated austerity.

Some say, so what? Greece makes up only about 2% of the Eurozone’s overall economy. Nevertheless, you might say that this new “Grecian Formula” is creating the opposite effect to the men’s hair product, i.e.., rather than losing the gray we are al...



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ETF Selector

Markets Die Then Flatten…Again (SPY, DIA, QQQ, IWM, FB)

Courtesy of John Nyaradi.

Markets died and then rallied to flat again as European leaders “prepared contingencies” for a possible Grexit

Markets died hard and fast earlier today as major indexes registered as much as 1.5% of losses after news that Euro zone officials were unofficially “preparing contingencies” for a Greek exit from the Euro.  Unofficial statements were not enough to keep markets down however, as major indexes rallied back to flat levels by the end of the day.

So the world continues to wait on Europe, as the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSEACA:SPY) gained .05%, the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (NYSEARCA:...



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Option Review

AT&T Weekly Puts In Play

 

Today’s tickers: T, FXE & OI

T - AT&T, Inc. – U.S. equities are on the decline as Europe’s woes once again take center stage. Shares in AT&T, down 0.90% at $33.24 this afternoon, are faring better than most of the other Dow components so far, though options activity on the wireless carrier suggests some strategists are bracing for further declines ahead of the long w...



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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of May 21st, 2012

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here

Optrader 

...

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Stock World Weekly

Stock World Weekly: Test Issue

NEW: Ilene is available to chat with Members regarding topics presented in SWW, comments are found below each post.

Here is this week's test version of the latest newsletter. We apologize for some formatting issues that need to be worked out. Please tell us what you think. 

Click on Stock World Weekly here, and sign in/sign up.

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Pharmboy

Big Pharma - Where Are We Now?

Reminder: Pharmboy is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

In this article, please revisit an article written two years ago titled, "The Calm Before the Storm."  This article focused on the patent cliff that was looming in the pharmaceutical industry, that was later picked up by the New York Times and several other bloggers!  Subsequent articles were written about big pharma company's revenue streams, and the pros and cons of of their later stage pipelines.  Other articles have also attempted to identify smaller biotechs with the potential to reap big reward...



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IRA Strategy/Income Trader

Weekend Virtual Portfolio Update 2/26/2012

My last weekend update is dated from January 30 so after a long hiatus, here is an update of our virtual portfolio. Since the last update, we have closed the AA Money portfolio due to a lack of enthusiasm (and activity) and I have stopped tracking the FAS strangle as the low VIX makes it hard to get rewarded for the risk! But we have added a small $5KP virtual portfolio which does not use any margin. FAS Money We have had to recover from a big move up by FAS and a low VIX which keeps option prices low. But the portfolio has gaine about 10% since the last update. Last update P&L - $5499.00 IWM Money Not a lot of activity in this portfolio where the main focus is on the large IWM BCS. But the portfolio has grown over 20% since the last update. Last update P&L - $1998.00 $5KP Portfolio This is the virtual portfolio that replaced the AA Money portfolio. It does not use margin and we will keep holdings under $5K. AAPL $50K P...

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Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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