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Guide for New Members

Welcome! My name is k1, and I’m a member of PSW just like you. I’ve taken it upon myself to update the New Members Guide to include a number of information resources you are likely to find yourself needing very soon. The original Guide follows just a few short paragraphs down this page.

Remember – on this site and in our virtual portfolios ALL trades that are discussed are VIRTUAL trades and all virtual portfolios kept are VIRTUAL portfolios.  While we do our best to track the performance of various trade ideas in order to better understand the results over time – it is for educational purposes only, in no way, shape or form should you consider these to be actual results and you should never execute any trade idea that is discussed here without consulting a professional financial adviser.

Many new members join PSW without a solid background in options, which is often discussed during member chat. This is not a problem (that was me when I joined) but it does mean you have some extra homework ahead of you to start to understand the discussion in the daily comments. If you are new to options, you will want to start out with the OptionSage’s book, and also dig into two helpful websites:

Sage’s book provides a fast, succinct background in option fundamentals and describes in great detail a number of different option trade structures, how they work, and when to use them. Especially if you are new to options, you will find it to be very useful. You can download the PDF to your machine and keep it handy at all times.  For additonal options education, we strongly recommend Sage’s web site "MarketTamer," where they have low-cost training courses and 3 free lessons for our members (use the link).

Investopedia is a great all-purpose encyclopedia for many of the arcane trading terms you will encounter here. iVolatility is a specialized site providing HV and IV for stocks and options. It requires you to sign up for a free membership, but is worth it. There are other sites that also provide good tools, but the three recommendations above are important for getting started.

Your second assignment is to recognize that Phil’s core trading strategy is unlike strategies you might have seen in other places, and will require some study even if you are a seasoned options trader. In daily conversations, the experienced traders on the site talk about investing significant time each day and weekend to reading, studying, and preparing. It is not unusual for traders to put in an extra 20 or more hours a week. What this means for new members is that you need to plan on and allocate some time and energy to studying up on what Phil does, how and why he does it, and who the other members of the PSW community are and what they have to share.

The standard assignments:

  • Read 1 full month of posts, both Phil’s twice-daily articles as well as all of the comments
  • Read Option Sage’s articles under his tab, many were co-authored by Phil and highlight various option stratgies with real-world examples.
  • Watch The Man Who Planted Trees, a short video about that Phil often refers to to characterize a proper investing mindset.  Warning:  The more impatient you are watching it, the more you need to watch it! 

Reading a full month of posts is important for a couple of reasons. Not only will it introduce you to who the rest of us are, but it will introduce you to the questions other new members are asking, and give you a chance to see the different kinds of market action that happen over a month.

It is extremely important that your month of comments include an options expiration day (opX). And if you don’t know what opX day is, you can ask Investopedia.

This may seem really tedious, because after all, you didn’t join this website to be given homework! But there are two key factors at work here. First of all, Phil teaches that trading is a job, and a profession. As such, it has its own jargon, its own nuance, and its own complexity. The only way to become familiar with the profession is to advance through the stages of mastery. So for your own success, study is key.

The second point is even more significant, because it defines why all of us are here. Phil’s goal is to teach the members to trade, and build up a community of sharp traders capable of taking on the markets. In Phil’s vision, we become a high performance team, working together to spot trends, identify opportunities, and avoid, hedge, or avert failures.

Phil: There’s a lot of hard work involved in trading normal markets and that’s what I want us to have – a world class team of traders who work like a family because we can learn to trust each other and play off each other’s strengths.

In addition to these homework assignments, there are some smaller details that help keep order in the comments action, serving as "ground rules" for the daily action.

  • During market hours, please restrict comments and questions to market-specific topics. These include trade-specific clarifications and suggestions, broker issues, virtual portfolio-impacting or market-driven events. Phil also tends to discourage multiple-part essay questions, especially when things are hopping.
  • After market hours there is much more room for broader questions, revisiting complex trade setups or strategies, and political discussions. And though this should probably go without saying, even in heated political discussions, there is no place for attacks on other members or their views.
  • Often you will want to share something you found on the web with other PSW members. The comment box at the bottom of the page has a special Add Hyperlink function for doing this. Please link us all to items you find rather than copy/paste dumping them into the daily comment flow.

Finally, even though you’re excited to have joined and chomping at the bit to get trading, we would recommend that you consider spending a little time getting oriented to the action during the day, and not jump right in and put actual money into a position or trade. Especially if you are learning, you could end up quite confused if you tried to follow every trade. A demo account with a broker is a great way to get acquainted with Phil’s strategy, the PSW community, the flow of the market, and your broker’s platform capabilities for placing trades, rolling options, and managing your virtual portfolio.

One last thing to consider is posting a small bio about yourself on our Introductions page. It’s not required, but a chance to tell us a little about yourself.

That’s all from me for now, you’ll be getting your fill in the k1 project. Now back to your regularly-scheduled introduction to PSW. – k1


Thanks for joining. To make the most of your subscription, you should know the following things:

  1. There is a virtual portfolios Tab.  Phil does not keep a running virtual portfolio. Optrader does under his tab for short-term trades.  Phil generally keeps a buy list where one trade per month is made on each of the key stocks we are following.  During intra-day chat and through alerts (free to Premium Members) over 100 additional trade ideas are put up for members each month by both Phil and Optrader as well as some of our key members.
  2. Every morning Phil writes an article including market analysis and trades for the day (if any), and he posts it here before the market opens. The morning post includes picks and commentary that aren’t provided on our free blog, and posts at the members-only site appear several hours before they’re available on our free blog or at Seeking Alpha. Read the post through carefully (especially the latter half where the picks are) to know what the trades are. Phil usually posts picks in this format: Ticker – Expiration – Strike Price – Entry Price. For example: XYZ May 30s for $1.10 or better. Note: unless a pick indicates to buy puts, then by default it is recommending calls.
  3. Trades and adjustments are always made first in the comment thread to the most current post.  The Intraday tab is only updated at our convenience, often after the market close or later, and is for recording purposes.  At the end of each post, you’ll see a link to the comment thread for that post (just click where it says "Comments"). In the comment thread to each day’s morning post, Phil often posts trade ideas and analysis of that day’s market action. Our active members also post their own analysis and trade ideas, and questions or comments from new members are always welcome. You can follow along throughout the day by scrolling to the end of the comment thread and refreshing your browser (F5 in Internet Explorer) to see new comments. [Note: members using Internet Explorer might try the Yrefresher plugin, available here, though we don't promise it won't destroy your computer and eat your children, etc. Firefox users can try ReloadEvery, available here. Mac users are smart enough to figure it out themselves :) ]
  4. If you’re not big on things like community and camaraderie, and just want the tradable intraday goodness, you can sign up for Alerts from Phil, Optrader or the Oxen Group to see the trade ideas and virtual portfolio moves they decide to send out during market hours that day.  For the most recent and complete real-time trade ideas and watch levels, always consult the comment sections - do not just rely on Phil’s Alerts as they are only a small selection of his daily trade ideas.
  5. Be sure to read through our Strategy section at your leisure to get a sense for how best to trade Phil’s picks.
  6. Also, don’t miss our Education section, which features a spectacular ebook, Secrets to Explosive Stock Market Profits, that is sure to help you hone your investing/trading skills.
  7. Our Virtual Portfolio section has our famous "Buy List," where we track longer-term trades and major articles on trade ideas can be found there as well as in the "Education" Section.
  8. Peter D has put together a link guide for following his "short strangle strategy" – more advanced but well worth considering!
  9. JRW is our resident day trader and specialized in trading the Russell (IWM, TNA, TZA) utilizing his patented Pivot Point Strategy.  
  10. Finally, you may login from our free site in the form titled ‘Members Login,’ or by going directly to http://www.philstockworld.com/members/. To make changes to your account information, update your email address or password, or to view or edit your subscription status, just go to http://www.philstockworld.com/amember/member.php.

Again, welcome, and if you have any questions don’t hesitate to ask.

 

All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: David is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Click here for the full report.




To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

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Zero Hedge

Europeans Betting Millions That Facebook Will Plunge Another 30% By December

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

While US banks have been busy refocusing their "creative financial products"-time over the past two months, instead defending against allegations of muppetism, or explaining how hedging is really betting it all on red, and then doubling down (just because the casino supposedly has the bank's back), Europe has been busy coming up with new and creative ways of betting on the demise of FaceBook. While official shorting of the most overhyped and overvalued company in history only became a reality for most investors today, Europe's banks h...



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Chart School

The ''Real'' Goods on the Latest Durable Goods Orders

Courtesy of Doug Short.

Earlier this morning I posted an update on the May Advance Report on April Durable Goods Orders. This Census Bureau series dates from 1992 and is not adjusted for either population growth or inflation.

Let's now review the same data with two adjustments. In the charts below the red line shows the goods orders divided by the Census Bureau's monthly population data, giving us durable goods orders per capita. The blue line goes a step further and adjusts for inflation based on the Producer Price Index, chained in today's dollar value. This gives us the "real" durable goods orders per capita. The snapshots below offer a quite sobering corrective to the standard reports on the nominal monthly data (which itself was significantly below expectations).

...

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Insider Scoop

New York Stock Exchange Spokesperson Says There Have Been No Discussions with Facebook About Switching

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Rich Adamonis, NYSE (NYSE: NYX) spokesperson told Benzinga "In response to incorrect reports re: NYX and Facebook (NDAQ: FB): There have been no discussions with Facebook regarding switching their listing in light of the events of the last week, nor do we think a discussion along those lines would be appropriate at this time.”

document.write("") (c) 2012 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.


For more Benzinga, visit Benzinga Professional Service, ...

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Phil's Favorites

The E.U., Neofeudalism And The Neocolonial-Financialization Model

Courtesy of Charles Hugh Smith from Of Two Minds

The E.U., Neofeudalism And The Neocolonial-Financialization Model

To fully understand the Eurozone's financial-debt crisis, we must dig through the artifice, obfuscation and propaganda to the real dynamics of Europe's "new feudalism," the Neocolonial-Financialization Model.

Forget "austerity"and political theater--the only way to truly comprehend the Eurozone is to understand the Neocolonial-Financialization Model, as that's the key dynamic of the Eurozone.

In the old model of Colonialism, the colonizing power conquered or co-opted the Power Elites of the region, and proceeded to exploit the new colony's resources and labor to enrich the "center," i.e. the home empire.

In Neocolonialism, the forces of financialization (debt and leverage co...



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Market Montage

Chinese, European Data Continues to Weaken as Market Potentially Forming New Bear Flag

Submitted by Mark Hanna

Courtesy of MarketMontage. View original post here.

First we'll go to the technicals.  Back in mid April I had opined a 'bear flag' formation was being created. [Apr 17, 2012: Potential Bear Flag Forming]  But the market being the difficult beast it is, head faked everyone and rather than a break down from said flag it first went UP and nearly touched yearly highs.  This caused everyone to think the bear flag had failed…. only to lead to a horrid May in the market.  Generally a bear flag will resolve relatively quickly but the longer...



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Sabrient

Sector Detector: New “Grecian Formula” is making us all gray

Courtesy of Scott Martindale, Sabrient Systems and Gradient Analytics

Despite the fact that U.S. equities are well-positioned and well-supported to go up, once again it is the headlines out of Europe—especially Greece—that are scaring off investors. Some are saying that it is now likely (and even desirable) that Greece will default on all its sovereign debt, withdraw from the euro, and severely devalue its domestic currency (Drachma?). This will allow them to operate a balanced budget while pumping cash into growth initiatives, rather than suffer the ravages of Germany-mandated austerity.

Some say, so what? Greece makes up only about 2% of the Eurozone’s overall economy. Nevertheless, you might say that this new “Grecian Formula” is creating the opposite effect to the men’s hair product, i.e.., rather than losing the gray we are al...



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ETF Selector

Markets Die Then Flatten…Again (SPY, DIA, QQQ, IWM, FB)

Courtesy of John Nyaradi.

Markets died and then rallied to flat again as European leaders “prepared contingencies” for a possible Grexit

Markets died hard and fast earlier today as major indexes registered as much as 1.5% of losses after news that Euro zone officials were unofficially “preparing contingencies” for a Greek exit from the Euro.  Unofficial statements were not enough to keep markets down however, as major indexes rallied back to flat levels by the end of the day.

So the world continues to wait on Europe, as the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSEACA:SPY) gained .05%, the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (NYSEARCA:...



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Option Review

AT&T Weekly Puts In Play

 

Today’s tickers: T, FXE & OI

T - AT&T, Inc. – U.S. equities are on the decline as Europe’s woes once again take center stage. Shares in AT&T, down 0.90% at $33.24 this afternoon, are faring better than most of the other Dow components so far, though options activity on the wireless carrier suggests some strategists are bracing for further declines ahead of the long w...



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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of May 21st, 2012

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here

Optrader 

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Stock World Weekly

Stock World Weekly: Test Issue

NEW: Ilene is available to chat with Members regarding topics presented in SWW, comments are found below each post.

Here is this week's test version of the latest newsletter. We apologize for some formatting issues that need to be worked out. Please tell us what you think. 

Click on Stock World Weekly here, and sign in/sign up.

...

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Pharmboy

Big Pharma - Where Are We Now?

Reminder: Pharmboy is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

In this article, please revisit an article written two years ago titled, "The Calm Before the Storm."  This article focused on the patent cliff that was looming in the pharmaceutical industry, that was later picked up by the New York Times and several other bloggers!  Subsequent articles were written about big pharma company's revenue streams, and the pros and cons of of their later stage pipelines.  Other articles have also attempted to identify smaller biotechs with the potential to reap big reward...



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IRA Strategy/Income Trader

Weekend Virtual Portfolio Update 2/26/2012

My last weekend update is dated from January 30 so after a long hiatus, here is an update of our virtual portfolio. Since the last update, we have closed the AA Money portfolio due to a lack of enthusiasm (and activity) and I have stopped tracking the FAS strangle as the low VIX makes it hard to get rewarded for the risk! But we have added a small $5KP virtual portfolio which does not use any margin. FAS Money We have had to recover from a big move up by FAS and a low VIX which keeps option prices low. But the portfolio has gaine about 10% since the last update. Last update P&L - $5499.00 IWM Money Not a lot of activity in this portfolio where the main focus is on the large IWM BCS. But the portfolio has grown over 20% since the last update. Last update P&L - $1998.00 $5KP Portfolio This is the virtual portfolio that replaced the AA Money portfolio. It does not use margin and we will keep holdings under $5K. AAPL $50K P...

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the Favorites backup site (blogroll, archives, more). Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

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