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Guide for New Members

Welcome! My name is k1, and I’m a member of PSW just like you. I’ve taken it upon myself to update the New Members Guide to include a number of information resources you are likely to find yourself needing very soon. The original Guide follows just a few short paragraphs down this page.

Remember – on this site and in our virtual portfolios ALL trades that are discussed are VIRTUAL trades and all virtual portfolios kept are VIRTUAL portfolios.  While we do our best to track the performance of various trade ideas in order to better understand the results over time – it is for educational purposes only, in no way, shape or form should you consider these to be actual results and you should never execute any trade idea that is discussed here without consulting a professional financial adviser.

Many new members join PSW without a solid background in options, which is often discussed during member chat. This is not a problem (that was me when I joined) but it does mean you have some extra homework ahead of you to start to understand the discussion in the daily comments. If you are new to options, you will want to start out with the OptionSage’s book, and also dig into two helpful websites:

Sage’s book provides a fast, succinct background in option fundamentals and describes in great detail a number of different option trade structures, how they work, and when to use them. Especially if you are new to options, you will find it to be very useful. You can download the PDF to your machine and keep it handy at all times.  For additonal options education, we strongly recommend Sage’s web site "MarketTamer," where they have low-cost training courses and 3 free lessons for our members (use the link).

Investopedia is a great all-purpose encyclopedia for many of the arcane trading terms you will encounter here. iVolatility is a specialized site providing HV and IV for stocks and options. It requires you to sign up for a free membership, but is worth it. There are other sites that also provide good tools, but the three recommendations above are important for getting started.

Your second assignment is to recognize that Phil’s core trading strategy is unlike strategies you might have seen in other places, and will require some study even if you are a seasoned options trader. In daily conversations, the experienced traders on the site talk about investing significant time each day and weekend to reading, studying, and preparing. It is not unusual for traders to put in an extra 20 or more hours a week. What this means for new members is that you need to plan on and allocate some time and energy to studying up on what Phil does, how and why he does it, and who the other members of the PSW community are and what they have to share.

The standard assignments:

  • Read 1 full month of posts, both Phil’s twice-daily articles as well as all of the comments
  • Read Option Sage’s articles under his tab, many were co-authored by Phil and highlight various option stratgies with real-world examples.
  • Watch The Man Who Planted Trees, a short video about that Phil often refers to to characterize a proper investing mindset.  Warning:  The more impatient you are watching it, the more you need to watch it! 

Reading a full month of posts is important for a couple of reasons. Not only will it introduce you to who the rest of us are, but it will introduce you to the questions other new members are asking, and give you a chance to see the different kinds of market action that happen over a month.

It is extremely important that your month of comments include an options expiration day (opX). And if you don’t know what opX day is, you can ask Investopedia.

This may seem really tedious, because after all, you didn’t join this website to be given homework! But there are two key factors at work here. First of all, Phil teaches that trading is a job, and a profession. As such, it has its own jargon, its own nuance, and its own complexity. The only way to become familiar with the profession is to advance through the stages of mastery. So for your own success, study is key.

The second point is even more significant, because it defines why all of us are here. Phil’s goal is to teach the members to trade, and build up a community of sharp traders capable of taking on the markets. In Phil’s vision, we become a high performance team, working together to spot trends, identify opportunities, and avoid, hedge, or avert failures.

Phil: There’s a lot of hard work involved in trading normal markets and that’s what I want us to have – a world class team of traders who work like a family because we can learn to trust each other and play off each other’s strengths.

In addition to these homework assignments, there are some smaller details that help keep order in the comments action, serving as "ground rules" for the daily action.

  • During market hours, please restrict comments and questions to market-specific topics. These include trade-specific clarifications and suggestions, broker issues, virtual portfolio-impacting or market-driven events. Phil also tends to discourage multiple-part essay questions, especially when things are hopping.
  • After market hours there is much more room for broader questions, revisiting complex trade setups or strategies, and political discussions. And though this should probably go without saying, even in heated political discussions, there is no place for attacks on other members or their views.
  • Often you will want to share something you found on the web with other PSW members. The comment box at the bottom of the page has a special Add Hyperlink function for doing this. Please link us all to items you find rather than copy/paste dumping them into the daily comment flow.

Finally, even though you’re excited to have joined and chomping at the bit to get trading, we would recommend that you consider spending a little time getting oriented to the action during the day, and not jump right in and put actual money into a position or trade. Especially if you are learning, you could end up quite confused if you tried to follow every trade. A demo account with a broker is a great way to get acquainted with Phil’s strategy, the PSW community, the flow of the market, and your broker’s platform capabilities for placing trades, rolling options, and managing your virtual portfolio.

One last thing to consider is posting a small bio about yourself on our Introductions page. It’s not required, but a chance to tell us a little about yourself.

That’s all from me for now, you’ll be getting your fill in the k1 project. Now back to your regularly-scheduled introduction to PSW. – k1


Thanks for joining. To make the most of your subscription, you should know the following things:

  1. There is a virtual portfolios Tab.  Phil does not keep a running virtual portfolio. Optrader does under his tab for short-term trades.  Phil generally keeps a buy list where one trade per month is made on each of the key stocks we are following.  During intra-day chat and through alerts (free to Premium Members) over 100 additional trade ideas are put up for members each month by both Phil and Optrader as well as some of our key members.
  2. Every morning Phil writes an article including market analysis and trades for the day (if any), and he posts it here before the market opens. The morning post includes picks and commentary that aren’t provided on our free blog, and posts at the members-only site appear several hours before they’re available on our free blog or at Seeking Alpha. Read the post through carefully (especially the latter half where the picks are) to know what the trades are. Phil usually posts picks in this format: Ticker – Expiration – Strike Price – Entry Price. For example: XYZ May 30s for $1.10 or better. Note: unless a pick indicates to buy puts, then by default it is recommending calls.
  3. Trades and adjustments are always made first in the comment thread to the most current post.  The Intraday tab is only updated at our convenience, often after the market close or later, and is for recording purposes.  At the end of each post, you’ll see a link to the comment thread for that post (just click where it says "Comments"). In the comment thread to each day’s morning post, Phil often posts trade ideas and analysis of that day’s market action. Our active members also post their own analysis and trade ideas, and questions or comments from new members are always welcome. You can follow along throughout the day by scrolling to the end of the comment thread and refreshing your browser (F5 in Internet Explorer) to see new comments. [Note: members using Internet Explorer might try the Yrefresher plugin, available here, though we don't promise it won't destroy your computer and eat your children, etc. Firefox users can try ReloadEvery, available here. Mac users are smart enough to figure it out themselves :) ]
  4. If you’re not big on things like community and camaraderie, and just want the tradable intraday goodness, you can sign up for Alerts from Phil, Optrader or the Oxen Group to see the trade ideas and virtual portfolio moves they decide to send out during market hours that day.  For the most recent and complete real-time trade ideas and watch levels, always consult the comment sections - do not just rely on Phil’s Alerts as they are only a small selection of his daily trade ideas.
  5. Be sure to read through our Strategy section at your leisure to get a sense for how best to trade Phil’s picks.
  6. Also, don’t miss our Education section, which features a spectacular ebook, Secrets to Explosive Stock Market Profits, that is sure to help you hone your investing/trading skills.
  7. Our Virtual Portfolio section has our famous "Buy List," where we track longer-term trades and major articles on trade ideas can be found there as well as in the "Education" Section.
  8. Peter D has put together a link guide for following his "short strangle strategy" – more advanced but well worth considering!
  9. JRW is our resident day trader and specialized in trading the Russell (IWM, TNA, TZA) utilizing his patented Pivot Point Strategy.  
  10. Finally, you may login from our free site in the form titled ‘Members Login,’ or by going directly to http://www.philstockworld.com/members/. To make changes to your account information, update your email address or password, or to view or edit your subscription status, just go to http://www.philstockworld.com/amember/member.php.

Again, welcome, and if you have any questions don’t hesitate to ask.

 

Zero Hedge

This Time Next US Presidential Campaign: $24.1 Trillion In Debt, 138.9% Debt/GDP

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

While Obama may or may not be on the way to winning his reelection, courtesy of a GOP field that is, to say the least, limited, and where the only worthy candidate is more ostracized by the right than even anyone on the left, the bottom line is that whoever wins the presidency, it will matter precisely didley squat. As the US debt clock shows, fast forwarding 4 years, or to February 2016, when the next presidential race will be in its final stretch, America will have $24.1 trillion in debt, about $9 trillion mor...



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Chart School

Best Stock Market Indicator Ever: Weekend Update

Courtesy of Doug Short.

The $OEXA200R (the percentage of S&P 100 stocks above their 200 DMA) is a technical indicator available on StockCharts.com that can be used to forecast conservative entry and exit points for the stock market.

The OEXA is used to find the "sweet spot" time period in the market when you have the best chance of making money. See Is This the Best Stock Market Indicator Ever? for a discussion of this technical tool.

The chart below is current through the February 3rd close.


After a major S&P correction, the conditions for safe re-entry into the market are when:

   a) $OEXA200R rises above 65%. And two of the following three...

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Phil's Favorites

Violent Protests in Greece; 6 Cabinet Members Resign

Violent Protests in Greece; 6 Cabinet Members Resign; LAOS leader "I Would Rather Starve Than be Under German Jackboot"; Controversy Over Missing Paragraphs

Courtesy of Mish

Imagine you are asked to sign a document but three pages were missing. Further imagine the documents you were asked to sign were written in English but you only speak Greek. Would you sign?

That is exactly the predicament Greek officials were placed in by the Troika. Here is the story sent to me by Demetri Kofinas at Capital Account.

Hello Mish

George Karatzaferis leader of LOAS political party gave a speech today addressing why he refused to sign this latest agreement. In his speech, he said that he a...

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Sabrient

Sabrient Risers - 2/11/2012

Top 5 RisersStockRatingAnalysisICABUYThe projected value for Empresas ICA is still rising quickly even though past earnings have already improved significantly.XBUYThe projected value for US Steel is still rising quickly even though past earnings have already improved significantly.FEICBUYProjected value continues to rise for FEI while long term increases in earnings growth are also becoming more widely expected.ASBCBUYMany analysts are expecting higher than previously expected long term growth from Associated Bancorp, and its near-term earnings outlook is also improving....

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Insider Scoop

Benzinga's M&A Chatter for Friday February 10, 2012

Courtesy of Benzinga.

The following are the M&A deals, rumors and chatter circulating on Wall Street for Friday February 10, 2012:

Actuant Acquires Jeyco Pty

The Deal:
Actuant (NYSE: ATU) announced Friday that it has acquired Jeyco Pty Ltd (“Jeyco”). Headquartered near Perth, Australia, Jeyco designs and provides specialized mooring, rigging and towing systems and services to the offshore oil & gas industry in Australia and other international markets. Additionally, its highly engineered products are used in a variety of applications for other markets including cyclone mooring and marine, defense and mining tow systems. Jeyco generates annual revenues of approximately $20 million.

Actuant shares closed at $27.33 Friday, a loss of 0.18% on average volume.

...

http://www.insidercow.com/ more from Insider

Market Montage

And Still Not a Single 1% Down Day in 2012

Submitted by Mark Hanna

Courtesy of MarketMontage. View original post here.

A little flurry of buying in the closing 5 minutes tacked on 2 S&P points and took the major indexes off the lows.  Only the Russell 2000 finished with a greater than 1% loss (1.4%) as it has been relatively weak versus the senior indexes for the past few sessions.   While today was the "worst day of the year" – it was quite a low bar as the previous biggest loss on the S&P 500 was -0.57%.

The S&P 500 held well above the 10 day moving average (didn't even really touch it) and did not even attempt to fill the gap from last Friday's employment report.  The teflon market rolls on for now.  Specul...



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ETF Selector

ETFs Skid On Greece (VGK, EWG, FXE, DIA, SPY)

Courtesy of John Nyaradi.

Greece was “saved” for less than 24 hours but now major ETFs around the world skid into the weekend on Greek fears

After wangling for a week or more, Greek took their new deal to the European Ministers meeting, only to have it promptly rejected and so as we go into the weekend, major global markets and ETFs have again hit the skids on Greece.

After two years of wangling, the European zone is demanding yet more and deeper cuts for Greece to qualify for the next round of bailout loans that will keep the country from going bankrupt on March 20th.

Major European and United States ETF responded negatively to the new developments:

SPDR Dow Jones Industrial ETF (NYSEARCA:...



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All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: David is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Click here for the full report.




To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

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Option Review

True Religion Falls Apart At The Seams After Earnings

 

Today’s tickers: TRLG, KR & IGT

...



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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of February 6th, 2012

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here

Optrader 

...

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Stock World Weekly

Stock World Weekly: The Relentless Pursuit of Meaningless Metrics

NEW: Elliott and Ilene are available to chat with Members regarding topics presented in SWW, comments are found below each post.

Here's the latest Stock World Weekly, called "The Relentless Pursuit of Meaningless Metrics."  

...

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IRA Strategy/Income Trader

Weekend Virtual Portfolio Update 1/30/2012

Here is a quick update of past trades and our current position. AA Money No trade this week as we wait for AA to settle. Phil remarked last week that AA seemed overvalued. In the meantime, it looks like we might have to roll our Feb 9 calls. Good thing we sold only 5 of them against our position. Last week P&L - 310.00 We lost ground last week, but we still have 11 months to sell premium! FAS Money Very good week for FAS Money as we benefited from the large amount of premium sold the previous week. We covered most of the shorts in advance of the Fed speech, but sold another set of options on Wednesday after the speech - 2 FAS calls that expired worthless on Friday, 2 FAS put that we are still holding and 2 FAZ put that we bought back for a profit on Friday. A late stick comparable to last week's almost gave us problems at the end of the day though! Last week P&L - $4277.00 IWM Money A decent week in this virtual portfo...

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Pharmboy

Biotech Investing for 2012

Reminder: Pharmboy is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Finding new and exciting Biotech companies that target novel mechanisms is like trying to find a needle in a haystack.  Sure there are many companies working on cutting edge science, but investing in those companies to reap the rewards of their work is a very dangerous game.  More often than not, companies fail because the mechanism does not pan out, the compound(s) do not have pharmacokinetics (get into the body or last very long in the body), or an adverse event happens that knocks years off a development timeline.  In addition, the stock can be manipulated by market makers so investors don't know which way is up.  I approach investing in biotechs as a long term prospect.  I continue to like our current portfolio of biotech companies (join in chat for many of those plays), and we continually add/subtract shares and sell/buy options on ...



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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

Learn more About Phil >>

About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the Favorites backup site (blogroll, archives, more). Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

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