Guest View
User: Pass: | become a member

Income Traders – Methods & Goals

To get started in learning the strategies of our Income Traders Kojo and Richard, please read this introductory interview with Kojo. He helps familiarize us with terminology while explaining their methods and goals. 

Ilene: Hi Kojo and Richard, can you tell me a little about yourselves?

Kojo – Richard and I have similar backgrounds. We met at Washington University in St. Louis, at the Olin Business school where we were working on our MBAs. We both have extensive experience in business consulting in areas such as valuations, financial controls and credit risk analysis. I left consulting to concentrate on credit risk analysis for several years while Richard focused on consulting.  Between us, we have about 18 years of self-taught trading experience in equities and options. We have each made our share of investment mistakes and over time, through trial and error, we have reached a point where our returns are fairly consistent.

Ilene:  You stated that “Income Trader” uses option strategies, such as non-directional credit spreads, iron condors, and butterfly options, to generate consistent, monthly income, and that your goal is to earn a modest 2% to 8% monthly return on invested capital, using the RUT and SPY indexes specifically.

I have two questions. First, are you planning to provide one option trade per month, or more than that, in your section at Phil’s Stock World?

Kojo: Our goal is to provide at least one trade per month, but if we find more opportunities, we might post “supplemental trades.”

Ilene:  Second, what are non-directional credit spreads?  Iron condors?  And butterfly options?  When using one or all of these strategies, are you betting that the stock price will not change significantly?  

Kojo: A credit spread involves a purchase of one option and a sale of another option in the same class and with the same expiration dates, but different strike prices. Investors receive a net credit for entering the position and want the spreads to narrow or expire for profit. In contrast, an investor would have to pay to enter a debit spread.

For instance, if a stock is trading at $28 and you buy a call at strike price of $35 but sell a more expensive call at $30 strike price, the price of the sold call is higher than the price of the bought call, so your account gets credited.  This would be a Bear Call Spread.  

Ilene: Is a Bear Call Spread alone a Non-Directional Credit Spread, or only when coupled to a Bull Put Spread?

Kojo: It the combination of the two credit spreads and the establishment of a wide range between them in relation to the price of the index or stock that makes it Non-directional. So, a Bear Call credit spread alone is not a Non-directional Credit Spread.

Ilene: A Bear Call Spread then is a slightly bearish position, correct?  

Kojo: Yes and no, bearish to the extent it does not breach your short strike price. But if the short call is set up with a strike price about 2 standard deviations away, there can still be enough price movement on the upside without the trade getting into trouble.  As long as the price of the stock stays below the strike price of the sold call, in this example $30, the sold call will expire worthless, as will the bought call with the higher strike price.   

Ilene: What happens if the price of the stock rises above the sold call strike price?

Kojo: You will begin to incur what we term as a catastrophic loss, which we do not want to happen. As long as Congress does not passed any laws against adjusting or closing an iron condor or credit spread, there is no reason any one should let the short put/call position be breached. Since we start our positions 2 standard deviations away from this outcome, the only scenario where it can happen is when the market opens sharply down or up say 600 to 800 points. As long as that is not the situation, we monitor our trades and move out of harm’s way when our short strikes have a high probability of being breached. 

For example, if you established a 10 point spread on 10 contracts for an Iron Condor, your risk exposure is $10,000 less the credit taken in. So if you took in $1.20 credit per contract which translates to $1,200, then your exposure for the duration of the trade is $10,000 – $1,200 = $8,800. When the short strikes are breached, then you have entered into a catastrophic loss situation and have the potential of losing the whole $8,800.

We view our income trades as a business, so if you are making on average $1,200 a month on a good month, then in a bad month you should not loss more than $1,200, that is why we monitor our positions closely and adjust or buy insurance when our trade (delta) begins to breach our comfort zone.

Ilene: What are Non-Directional Credit Spreads?

Kojo: Non-Directional Credit Spreads involve two credit spreads, one slightly bearish and one slightly bullish--so the net effect is to cancel out direction:

  1. A Bull Put Spread – slightly bullish
  2. A Bear Call Spread – slightly bearish

A subcategory of a Non-directional credit spread is called an Iron Condor. An Iron Condor combines the use of an out of the money Bull Put Spread along with an out of the money Bear Call Spread.

Ilene: So this strategy is called a “NON-DIRECTIONAL” credit spread because it doesn’t matter which direction the stock moves, the profit on one side is offset against the lost on the other side.  Where does the profit come from?

Kojo: Non Directional – The objective is to establish a wide trading range between the Bull Put Spread and the Bear Call Spread, enabling the underlying stock or index to move significantly in either direction and still be profitable. If, at expiration, the underlying stock or index finishes between the short put and the short call strike prices, all four options will expire worthless and you will you will retain all the premium collected from the two credit spreads.

Profit – Both the Bull Put Spread and the Bear Call Spread are credit spreads. You sell premium and the money shows up in your account.

Probability of profit – If you select a large enough range, you should be successful 80% of the time, profiting if the stock or index moves up, moves down or not at all. Why guess at a direction when the probability can be working for you? 

Ilene: Could you give me an example of how this works using an actual stock and options prices?  (What would have to happen for you to lose money on this strategy?) 

Kojo: How about our most recent trade?  We bought RUT 850 Call and 675 Put and sold the RUT 840 Call and 685 Put.  If the index ends up higher than the sold 685 Put and lower than the sold 840 Call at expiration, then we keep all the credit.  If the index is lower than the sold 685 Put or Higher than the sold 840 Call, then we will incur a loss if we did not manage the trade, keeping it from breaching the short strike prices. 

On the other hand if we manage the trade we might end up with a limited profit from the original credit taken in, as we give up some of our potential gains in adjusting the trade or we might end up with a limited loss depending on how many times we adjust the trade. For January, which was the strike date for this trade, we did not have to make any adjustments and we kept all the credit.

Ilene: What is the significance of the spreads being out of the money, I’m assuming that means all the puts and all the calls are out of the money?

Kojo: Yes, both spreads are out of the money at setup and you receive a credit for both of them. The goal during the duration of the trade is to manage the spreads such that at expiration they are still out of the money. If volatility spikes and the stock or index of choice is in a trending mode, then at some point the spreads will be closed for a limited lost and reestablished when conditions get calmer.

The butterfly spread is a neutral strategy that is a combination of a bull spread and a bear spread. It is a limited profit, limited risk options strategy. There are 3 striking prices involved in a butterfly spread and it can be constructed using calls or puts.

Butterfly Spread Construction: Using Calls or Puts

For example: Buying 1 In-The-Money Call, Selling 2 At-The-Money Calls and Buying 1 Out-Of-The-Money Call.

Ilene: What is the difference between a Butterfly Spread and an Iron Condor? 

Kojo: A butterfly spread can either be a call or a put, depending on the thesis of the trade. With a butterfly spread, we are counting on the instrument of choice consolidating around a particular price. With an iron condor, we are making room for it to move within a wider range and still make money. 

Ilene:  How long do your trades last?

Kojo: Our trades last anywhere from two to five weeks, depending on market conditions.

Ilene:  Do you only use the RUT and SPY indexes?  Why do you like those indexes?  

Kojo: We believe the RUT and SPY provide broader diversification and better premiums for our strategy. We also have extensive experience trading the RUT and the SPY.

Ilene:  You say you use other technical indicators, such as the Greeks.  What are the Greeks?

Kojo: Options traders often refer to the delta, gamma, vega, and theta of their option positions. Collectively, these terms are known as the "Greeks" and they provide a way to measure the sensitivity of an option’s price to quantifiable factors. These terms may seem confusing and intimidating to new option traders, but broken down, they are simple concepts and can help you better understand the risk and potential reward of an option position. 

The numbers given for each of the Greeks are strictly theoretical and the values are projected based on mathematical models. Most of the information you need to trade options--e.g. the bid, ask, and last prices, volume and open interest--is factual data received from the various option exchanges and distributed by data services and/or brokerage firms.

The Greeks cannot simply be looked up in your everyday option tables. They need to be calculated, and their accuracy is only as good as the model used to compute them. The best commercial options-analysis packages will do this, and some of the better brokerage sites specializing in options (OptionVue & Thinkorswim) also provide this information.

Ilene:  For beginners, those who are just learning about options, what should they do to prepare to learn and follow your techniques?

Kojo: Beginners should acquire a basic understanding of credit spreads and how they can be combined to form an Iron Condor. Also, it helps to understand how to adjust credit spreads if the short strike price is getting close to being breached. Follow our trades for a couple of months to get a feel for our strategy, and post questions and comments at Income Trader on PSW. 

Ilene: Thank you, Kojo.

*****

Read more in the Income Trader section to see how these trades work in real-time. Please ask Kojo and Richard questions in the comment section at the end of the posts.

Here are some definitions from Investopedia:

Bear Call Spreads - A type of options strategy used when a decline in the price of the underlying asset is expected. It is achieved by selling call options at a specific strike price while also buying the same number of calls, but at a higher strike price. The maximum profit to be gained using this strategy is equal to the difference between the price paid for the long option and the amount collected on the short option.

For example, let’s assume that a stock is trading at $30. An option investor has purchased one call option with a strike price of $35 for a premium of $0.50 and sold one call option with a strike price of $30 for a premium of $2.50. If the price of the underlying asset closes below $30 upon expiration, then the investor collects $200 (($2.50 – $0.50) * 100 shares/contract).

Bull Put Spreads - This type of strategy (buying one option and selling another with a higher strike price) is known as a credit spread because the amount received by selling the put option with a higher strike is more than enough to cover the cost of purchasing the put with the lower strike. The maximum possible profit using this strategy is equal to the difference between the amount received from the short put and the amount used to pay for the long put. The maximum loss a trader can incur when using this strategy is equal to the difference between the strike prices and the net credit received. Bull put spreads can be created with in-the-money or out-of-the-money put options, all with the same expiration date.

Iron Condor - An advanced options strategy that involves buying and holding four different options with different strike prices. The iron condor is constructed by holding a long and short position in two different strangle strategies. A strangle is created by buying or selling a call option and a put option with different strike prices, but the same expiration date. The potential for profit or loss is limited in this strategy because an offsetting strangle is positioned around the two options that make up the strangle at the middle strike prices.

This strategy is mainly used when a trader has a neutral outlook on the movement of the underlying security from which the options are derived. An iron condor is very similar in structure to an iron butterfly, but the two options located in the center of the pattern do not have the same strike prices. Having a strangle at the two middle strike prices widens the area for profit, but also lowers the profit potential.

 

All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: David is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Click here for the full report.




To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

more from David
 
 

Zero Hedge

Europeans Betting Millions That Facebook Will Plunge Another 30% By December

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

While US banks have been busy refocusing their "creative financial products"-time over the past two months, instead defending against allegations of muppetism, or explaining how hedging is really betting it all on red, and then doubling down (just because the casino supposedly has the bank's back), Europe has been busy coming up with new and creative ways of betting on the demise of FaceBook. While official shorting of the most overhyped and overvalued company in history only became a reality for most investors today, Europe's banks h...



more from Tyler

Chart School

The ''Real'' Goods on the Latest Durable Goods Orders

Courtesy of Doug Short.

Earlier this morning I posted an update on the May Advance Report on April Durable Goods Orders. This Census Bureau series dates from 1992 and is not adjusted for either population growth or inflation.

Let's now review the same data with two adjustments. In the charts below the red line shows the goods orders divided by the Census Bureau's monthly population data, giving us durable goods orders per capita. The blue line goes a step further and adjusts for inflation based on the Producer Price Index, chained in today's dollar value. This gives us the "real" durable goods orders per capita. The snapshots below offer a quite sobering corrective to the standard reports on the nominal monthly data (which itself was significantly below expectations).

...

more from Chart School

Phil's Favorites

The gEUR.QQ: "The Only Winners Are Foreign Banks"

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

In a brief though detailed clip, Stratfor's VP Peter Zeihan discusses the risk of contagion from Greece and the 'creative' - if not self-centered - suggestions for a solution to these problems. Earlier in the week we described Deutsche's suggestion of a dual currency - the GEURO - and that is where Zeihan focuses, noting that "The Greek economy is as deliciously non-competitive as the German economy is hyper-competitive" - this mismatch is the core of ...



more from Ilene

Insider Scoop

New York Stock Exchange Spokesperson Says There Have Been No Discussions with Facebook About Switching

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Rich Adamonis, NYSE (NYSE: NYX) spokesperson told Benzinga "In response to incorrect reports re: NYX and Facebook (NDAQ: FB): There have been no discussions with Facebook regarding switching their listing in light of the events of the last week, nor do we think a discussion along those lines would be appropriate at this time.”

document.write("") (c) 2012 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.


For more Benzinga, visit Benzinga Professional Service, ...

http://www.insidercow.com/ more from Insider

Market Montage

Chinese, European Data Continues to Weaken as Market Potentially Forming New Bear Flag

Submitted by Mark Hanna

Courtesy of MarketMontage. View original post here.

First we'll go to the technicals.  Back in mid April I had opined a 'bear flag' formation was being created. [Apr 17, 2012: Potential Bear Flag Forming]  But the market being the difficult beast it is, head faked everyone and rather than a break down from said flag it first went UP and nearly touched yearly highs.  This caused everyone to think the bear flag had failed…. only to lead to a horrid May in the market.  Generally a bear flag will resolve relatively quickly but the longer...



more from Mark

Sabrient

Sector Detector: New “Grecian Formula” is making us all gray

Courtesy of Scott Martindale, Sabrient Systems and Gradient Analytics

Despite the fact that U.S. equities are well-positioned and well-supported to go up, once again it is the headlines out of Europe—especially Greece—that are scaring off investors. Some are saying that it is now likely (and even desirable) that Greece will default on all its sovereign debt, withdraw from the euro, and severely devalue its domestic currency (Drachma?). This will allow them to operate a balanced budget while pumping cash into growth initiatives, rather than suffer the ravages of Germany-mandated austerity.

Some say, so what? Greece makes up only about 2% of the Eurozone’s overall economy. Nevertheless, you might say that this new “Grecian Formula” is creating the opposite effect to the men’s hair product, i.e.., rather than losing the gray we are al...



more from Sabrient
 
 

ETF Selector

Markets Die Then Flatten…Again (SPY, DIA, QQQ, IWM, FB)

Courtesy of John Nyaradi.

Markets died and then rallied to flat again as European leaders “prepared contingencies” for a possible Grexit

Markets died hard and fast earlier today as major indexes registered as much as 1.5% of losses after news that Euro zone officials were unofficially “preparing contingencies” for a Greek exit from the Euro.  Unofficial statements were not enough to keep markets down however, as major indexes rallied back to flat levels by the end of the day.

So the world continues to wait on Europe, as the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSEACA:SPY) gained .05%, the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (NYSEARCA:...



more from John

Option Review

AT&T Weekly Puts In Play

 

Today’s tickers: T, FXE & OI

T - AT&T, Inc. – U.S. equities are on the decline as Europe’s woes once again take center stage. Shares in AT&T, down 0.90% at $33.24 this afternoon, are faring better than most of the other Dow components so far, though options activity on the wireless carrier suggests some strategists are bracing for further declines ahead of the long w...



more from Caitlin

OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of May 21st, 2012

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here

Optrader 

...

more from OpTrader

Stock World Weekly

Stock World Weekly: Test Issue

NEW: Ilene is available to chat with Members regarding topics presented in SWW, comments are found below each post.

Here is this week's test version of the latest newsletter. We apologize for some formatting issues that need to be worked out. Please tell us what you think. 

Click on Stock World Weekly here, and sign in/sign up.

...

more from SWW

Pharmboy

Big Pharma - Where Are We Now?

Reminder: Pharmboy is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

In this article, please revisit an article written two years ago titled, "The Calm Before the Storm."  This article focused on the patent cliff that was looming in the pharmaceutical industry, that was later picked up by the New York Times and several other bloggers!  Subsequent articles were written about big pharma company's revenue streams, and the pros and cons of of their later stage pipelines.  Other articles have also attempted to identify smaller biotechs with the potential to reap big reward...



more from Pharmboy

IRA Strategy/Income Trader

Weekend Virtual Portfolio Update 2/26/2012

My last weekend update is dated from January 30 so after a long hiatus, here is an update of our virtual portfolio. Since the last update, we have closed the AA Money portfolio due to a lack of enthusiasm (and activity) and I have stopped tracking the FAS strangle as the low VIX makes it hard to get rewarded for the risk! But we have added a small $5KP virtual portfolio which does not use any margin. FAS Money We have had to recover from a big move up by FAS and a low VIX which keeps option prices low. But the portfolio has gaine about 10% since the last update. Last update P&L - $5499.00 IWM Money Not a lot of activity in this portfolio where the main focus is on the large IWM BCS. But the portfolio has grown over 20% since the last update. Last update P&L - $1998.00 $5KP Portfolio This is the virtual portfolio that replaced the AA Money portfolio. It does not use margin and we will keep holdings under $5K. AAPL $50K P...

more from Strategies
 
 



FeedTheBull - Top Stock market and Finance Sites




As Seen On:




About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

Learn more About Phil >>

About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the Favorites backup site (blogroll, archives, more). Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

Favorites Site >>