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Posts Tagged ‘TIBX’

Busy Day For Bristol-Myers Options As Shares Sprint Higher

www.interactivebrokers.com

Options brief will resume May 20th, 2013.

Today’s tickers: BMY, TIBX & WM

BMY - Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. – Shares in drug maker, Bristol-Myers Squibb Co., are ripping higher today, up 6.5% at $44.94, the highest level in more than a decade, ahead of the release of the American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO) 2013 Annual Meeting abstracts tonight. The ASCO Annual Meeting begins on May 31st in Chicago. Options on BMY are far more active than usual today, with overall volume topping 64,000 contracts by 12:25 p.m. ET, versus average daily volume of around 11,400 contracts. Traders appear to be snapping up call options on the name, establishing near-term bullish positions on the stock to position for further gains in the price of the underlying. Front month calls are seeing most of the action, with intraday call volume well in excess of open interest across several striking prices. More than 7,000 calls have traded at the May $45 strike against open interest of 316 contracts, with roughly 3,600 calls purchased during the first half of the session for an average premium of $0.54 each. Call buyers make money if shares in BMY rally another 1.3% over the current level of $44.94 to settle above the average breakeven price of $45.54 by expiration this week. In and out of the money call options expiring June 21st are also seeing heavy volume in today’s session.

TIBX - TIBCO Software, Inc. – Upside call buying on software maker, TIBCO, suggests some traders are positioning for the price of the underlying to continue to gain ground in the near term. The stock is up 0.40% this morning at $20.91 as of 11:40 a.m. ET. Shares in TIBX, down roughly 30% since this time last year, have managed to rise 15% off a two-year low of $18.18 reached back on April 19th. Bullish options are changing hands at the Jun $20 strike today, with around 5,000 calls in play versus open interest of 2,742 contracts. Time and sales data indicates the bulk of…
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Bullish Bets On Nike Payoff As Shares Hit Record Highs After Earnings

www.interactivebrokers.com

 

Today’s tickers: NKE, MDLZ & TIBX

NKE - Nike, Inc. – Weekly call options purchased on Nike yesterday ahead of the footwear and apparel maker’s better-than-expected third-quarter earnings report released after the closing bell on Thursday fetched big overnight profits for some traders, with shares in the name rallying to record highs, up better than 11.5% at $59.79 as of 12:40 p.m. in New York. The change in open interest in the Mar. 28 ’13 $55 strike calls yesterday indicates 3,062 opening positions were initiated. A review of time and sales data suggests most of the volume was purchased at an average premium of $0.84 apiece on Thursday. The sharp rally in NKE shares overnight now finds the premium required to purchase the $55 strike calls has jumped more than five-fold to $4.75 per contract as of the time of this writing. Options traders anticipating more room for the stock to run in the near term purchased more than 3,000 calls at the April $60 strike for an average premium of $0.87 each during the first half of the session. Call buyers may profit at expiration next month as long as shares in Nike top the average breakeven point at $60.87. Overall options volume on the stock is heavier than usual, with upwards of 52,250 contracts in play just before 1:00 p.m. ET, versus the stock’s average daily volume of around 12,000 contracts.

MDLZ - Mondelez International, Inc. – Shares in the world’s largest chocolatier, biscuit baker and candy maker are up sharply on Friday following a report in Britain’s Daily Telegraph said Nelson Peltz’s Trian Fund Management LP has been taking positions in both Mondelez International, Inc. and PepsiCo in recent weeks. The unconfirmed reports cited persons familiar with the matter, and managed to send shares in MDLZ up 4.9% to $29.96, the highest level since the spin-off from Kraft Foods, Inc., last year. Options traders who purchased upside calls on Mondelez yesterday are seeing big overnight gains in the value of their positions today. A review…
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Bearish Plays Surround Caterpillar Options

Today’s tickers: CAT, JWN, TIBX, XLI, FXI, M, C, FRE & PCLN

CAT– Shares of the machinery manufacturer were on the rise this morning, but have reversed direction this afternoon, surrendering nearly 2% to stand at $46.91. One investor was seen positioning for a drastic decline in the stock by expiration in September. Initiating a ratio put spread he purchased approximately 7,000 puts at the September 42 strike price for an average premium of 1.17 apiece spread against the sale of some 14,000 puts at the lower September 37 strike for 40 cents each. The net cost of the transaction amounts to 37 cents and yields maximum potential profits of 4.63 if the stock declines to $37.00 by expiration. Shares of CAT must fall at least 11% from the current price before the bearish investor begins to amass profits to the downside at the breakeven point of $41.63. – Caterpillar, Inc.

JWN – Shares of the high-end fashion retailer have slipped nearly 3.5% to $29.26 today just a few days ahead of the firm’s earnings announcement scheduled for this coming Thursday. Option trades on the stock today suggest pessimism by investors who were seen trading in call options for more fashionable puts. Bearish reversals at the August 30 strike price involved some 6,400 calls shed for an average premium of 95 cents in exchange for the purchase of 6,400 puts at the same strike for about 1.47 per contract. The net cost of the transaction amounts to approximately 52 cents and yields downside protection beneath the breakeven point at $29.48. Profits have already begun to amass for investors long the put options because the current market price of JWN shares is 22 cents beneath the breakeven point described above. Additional bearish sentiment was observed at the August 29 strike price where investors purchased 1,100 puts for an average premium of 1.00 apiece. – Nordstrom, Inc.

TIBX – Option implied volatility on the provider of infrastructure software exploded upwards by an amazing 131% to the current reading of 87.04% amid news that Germany’s SAP AG may be looking to buy the U.S. firm. Investor uncertainty and shares of TIBX surged, with the stock rallying 11.5% to $9.45 during today’s trading session. Option traders looking to join the bullish wave purchased approximately 4,500 calls at the September 10 strike price for an average premium of 74 cents apiece. Profits will begin
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Zero Hedge

China Considers Launching QE; Shanghai Stocks Soar

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

Nearly two months ago we explained "How Beijing Is Responding To A Soaring Dollar, And Why QE In China Is Now Inevitable" in which we cited Cornerstone who reminded us "that from 2007 to late 2008, U.S. fed funds dropped 500 bp, and then the Fed still needed to do QE? The backdrop for China looks a bit similar. We had a credit bubble, they have a credit bubble. We had a housing bubble, they have a housing/investment bubble. Will China eventually have to go down the same path as the U.S., and the Eurozone? ... The PBoC will first cut rates to 0%, before contemplating QE."

To th...



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Chart School

Vehicle Miles Traveled: Our Evolving Behavior

Courtesy of Doug Short.

The Department of Transportation's Federal Highway Commission has released the latest report on Traffic Volume Trends, data through February.

"Travel on all roads and streets changed by 2.8% (6.1 billion vehicle miles) for February 2015 as compared with February 2014." The less volatile 12-month moving average is up 0.20% month-over-month and 2.36% year-over-year. If we factor in population growth, the 12-month MA of the civilian population-adjusted data (age 16-and-over) is a smaller change, up 0.13% month-over-month and up only 1.23% year-over-year.

Here is a chart that illustrates this data series from its inception in 1971. It illustrates the "Moving 12-Month Total on ALL Roads," as the DOT terms it. The ...



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Phil's Favorites

Reader Question: Is the Minimum Wage Really a Maximum Wage?

Courtesy of Mish.

A reader asked me if I ever hired someone for the minimum wage. He also believes the minimum wage is really a maximum wage.

From Drew ...
Mish, I’m curious if you have ever had to actually pay someone minimum wage to work for you week in, week out, year after year?

I’ve signed plenty of paychecks myself, and honestly, I could never employ someone and pay the minimum wage knowing it was not enough for that person to live on, regardless of whether or not the “market” says I could hire them for that price. I have willingly paid more, and they always very much appreciated it, and I also felt like I got more effort since they knew I was paying them more. But I know that’s not how large corporations work.

I believe you would argue whether or not the minimum is enough on which to live is irrelevant a...



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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of April 27th, 2015

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



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All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: David is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Click here for the full report.




To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

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Kimble Charting Solutions

King Dollar slipping below support, say Joe Friday

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE

King Dollar has been on a role since last summer, up over 20% in less than a year. When looking back on the US$, the rally has been rare and nearly historic. Majority of the rally took place inside the steep rising channel above. Over the past month the US$ might have put in a double top. Over the past few days, the US$ has slipped a little below rising support at red arrow above.

CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE

As you can see from the table abo...



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Digital Currencies

Why Bitcoin's male domination will be its downfall

Here's an interesting argument by Felix Salmon, although I think he is taking two correct observations and mistakenly attributing a cause-and-effect relationship to them: Bitcoin is going nowhere because women are not involved.

More likely, in my opinion, women are not involved in bitcoin because bitcoin is going nowhere (and they know it). Or maybe, simply, bitcoin is going nowhere and women are not involved. 

Why Bitcoin's male domination will be its downfall 

By Felix Salmon

Nathaniel Popper’s new book, Digital Gold, is as close as you can get to being the definitive account of the history of Bitcoin. As its subtitle proclaims, the book tells the story of the “misfits” (the first generation of hacker-l...



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Sabrient

Sector Detector: Earnings and GDP temporarily take investor spotlight off the Fed

Reminder: Sabrient is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Courtesy of Sabrient Systems and Gradient Analytics

As we get into the heart of earnings season and anticipate the GDP report for Q1, the investor spotlight has been taken off the Federal Reserve and timing of its first interest rate hike, at least temporarily. Even though Q1 economic growth will undoubtedly look weak, the future remains bright for the U.S economy – even though many multinationals will struggle with top-line growth due to the strong dollar – and any near-term selloff resulting from weak economic or earnings news should be bought yet again in expectation of better results for the balance of the year. High sector correlations remain a concern, reflectin...



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Promotions

Watch the Phil Davis Special on Money Talk on BNN TV!

Kim Parlee interviews Phil on Money Talk. Be sure to watch the replays if you missed the show live on Wednesday night (it was recorded on Monday). As usual, Phil provides an excellent program packed with macro analysis, important lessons and trading ideas. ~ Ilene

 

The replay is now available on BNN's website. For the three part series, click on the links below. 

Part 1 is here (discussing the macro outlook for the markets) Part 2 is here. (discussing our main trading strategies) Part 3 is here. (reviewing our pick of th...

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Market Shadows

Kimble Charts: South Korea's EWY

Kimble Charts: South Korea's EWY

By Ilene 

Chris Kimble likes the iShares MSCI South Korea Capped (EWY), but only if it breaks out of a pennant pattern. This South Korean equities ETF has underperformed the S&P 500 by 60% since 2011.

You're probably familiar with its largest holding, Samsung Electronics Co Ltd, and at least several other represented companies such as Hyundai Motor Co and Kia Motors Corp.

...



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Mapping The Market

S&P 500 Leverage and Hedges Options - Part 2

Courtesy of Jean-Luc Saillard.

In my last post (Part 1 of this article), I looked at alternative ETFs that could be used as hedges against the corrections that we have seen during that long 2 year bull run. Looking at the results, it seems that for short (less than a month) corrections, a VIX ETF like VXX could actually be a viable candidate to hedge or speculate on the way down. Another alternative ETF was TMF, a long Treasuries ETF which banks on the fact that when markets go down, money tends to pack into treasuries viewed as safe instruments. In some cases, TMF even outperformed the usual hedging instruments like leveraged ETFs. There could of course be other factors at play since some of 2014 corrections were related to geopolitical events which are certain...

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Pharmboy

2015 - Biotech Fever

Reminder: Pharmboy is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

PSW Members - well, what a year for biotechs!   The Biotech Index (IBB) is up a whopping 40%, beating the S&P hands down!  The healthcare sector has had a number of high flying IPOs, and beat the Tech Sector in total nubmer of IPOs in the past 12 months.  What could go wrong?

Phil has given his Secret Santa Inflation Hedges for 2015, and since I have been trying to keep my head above water between work, PSW, and baseball with my boys...it is time that something is put together for PSW on biotechs in 2015.

Cancer and fibrosis remain two of the hottest areas for VC backed biotechs to invest their monies.  A number of companies have gone IPO which have drugs/technologies that fight cancer, includin...



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Help One Of Our Own PSW Members

"Hello PSW Members –

This is a non-trading topic, but I wanted to post it during trading hours so as many eyes can see it as possible.  Feel free to contact me directly at jennifersurovy@yahoo.com with any questions.

Last fall there was some discussion on the PSW board regarding setting up a YouCaring donation page for a PSW member, Shadowfax. Since then, we have been looking into ways to help get him additional medical services and to pay down his medical debts.  After following those leads, we are ready to move ahead with the YouCaring site. (Link is posted below.)  Any help you can give will be greatly appreciated; not only to help aid in his medical bill debt, but to also show what a great community this group is.

http://www.youcaring.com/medical-fundraiser/help-get-shadowfax-out-from-the-darkness-of-medical-bills-/126743

Thank you for you time!




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Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

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