Archive for 2014

UPDATE: Wunderlich Initiates Coverage On Earthstone Energy, Shares Surge 14%

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Related ESTE
Wunderlich Initiates Coverage On Earthstone Energy
Imperial Capital Initiates Coverage On Earthstone Energy

Wunderlich initiated coverage on Earthstone Energy Inc (NYSE: ESTE) Monday with a Buy rating and $24 price target.

Analyst Jason A Wangler noted that the “main asset for ESTE is its operated Eagle Ford position in the core of the oily Eagle Ford. Currently the company has over 23,000 net acres in Gonzales and Fayette counties, assets it previously ran at GeoResources, Inc. before it was sold, and a solid non-operated position as well."

Wangler looked for the above "assets to be a strong growth driver that can drive solid returns and growth given the two-rig program currently ongoing.”

“Management of ESTE has a strong pedigree given the five previous companies it has built up and sold at strong rates of returns for investors. The latest company, GeoResources, Inc., was sold to Halcon Resources for about $1 billion and generated a 35 percent rate of return for investors, while the previous four also had substantial returns as well. With the same strategy, management, and Eagle Ford assets, we believe the team can do it again,” according to Wangler.

Wangler also felt the balance sheet was strong as “the company has over $100 million in cash and an undrawn $56.5 million credit facility it can use to fund operations along with the cash flows from its current 3,000 boe/day production base.”

The analyst note concluded, “The shares are trading at 4.8x 2016E CFPS versus peers at 1.4x, but, in our view, the balance sheet strength, management quality, and growth potential deserve a premium multiple. We use a multiple of 5.8x CFPS to calculate our $24 target.”

Earthstone Energy surged amid the positive coverage and recently traded at $21.85, up 14.52 percent.

Latest Ratings for ESTE

Date Firm Action From To
Dec 2014 Wunderlich Initiates Coverage on Buy
Dec 2014 Imperial Capital Maintains Outperform
Dec 2014 Northland Securities Initiates Coverage on Outperform

View More Analyst Ratings for ESTE
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: GeoResources Jason Wangler WunderlichAnalyst Color Price Target Initiation Analyst Ratings

Deutsche Bank Analyst: JPMorgan Trends Beat Wells Fargo

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: JPM), the nation's largest bank, has underperformed its peer Wells Fargo & Co (NYSE: WFC) year-to-date, but an analyst said the trend may shift.

Deutsche Bank's Matthew O'Connor sees upcoming catalysts for JPMorgan shares that include an improved dividend yield, better-than-expected return on capital and big benefits from cost cuts.

Analysts on average have cut their earnings estimates on JPMorgan 7 percent year-to-date, while its shares are up 5.8 percent.

Estimates for Wells Fargo, in contrast, have held steady through 2014 and its shares are up 20 percent.

But O'Connor, who maintains a Buy rating and $66 target on JPMorgan, said core revenue and expense trends are better there compared with Wells Fargo.

"It's surprising the stock hasn't performed better," O'Connor said of Morgan.

"Core" revenue, excluding gains from equity and debt, will come in flat at JPMorgan in 2014, versus a decline of 4 percent at Wells Fargo, according to O'Connor. Meanwhile, 2014 core expense will fall 2 percent at Morgan versus 1 percent decline at Wells Fargo.

Earnings growth over the next few years will average 11 percent at JPMorgan according to O'Connor, versus just 6 percent at Wells Fargo.

Well Fargo trades at about a 20 percent premium to its slightly bigger brother, based on forward consensus estimates. Although some of Fargo's premium stems from better earnings stability, O'Connor said its magnitude "seems high."

Among potential upcoming catalysts for JPMorgan shares, the bank's dividend yield is likely to rise to 3 percent, from a current…
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Brean Capital Raises Price Targets On RF Micro Devices & TriQuint Semiconductor

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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Brean Capital raised its price targets on RF Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ: RFMD) and TriQuint Semiconductor (NASDAQ: TQNT) Monday and maintained Buy ratings on both companies.

The price target on RF Micro Devices was raised from $16.00 to $20.50 and the TriQuint price target was raised from $25.00 to $33.50.

Analyst Mike Burton raised his “estimates on both RFMD & TQNT to account for the strength in the Apple supply chain and increasing our target multiple which we believe is warranted now that the MOFCOM decision has past, and we have become increasingly confident in both companies’ ability to meet or beat their near-term estimates.”

“RFMD did not provide any update to its guidance, but our own conversations with other supply chain management and investor reps lead us to believe that, for those that are exposed to Apple, this quarter is playing out as well or better than was expected. We now believe that Apple will ship 70M iPhones in Q4 which we think is limited by supply constraints, and will expect a decline to 55M in Q1 (which is up 26 percent Y/Y),” according to Burton

The analyst note added, “The final regulatory obstacle in front of the Qorvo merger was cleared on 11/24 when China’s MOFCOM granted approval. The merger will close on 12/31 and the new entity, Qorvo, will start trading under ticker QRVO on January 2, 2015. This means the companies can start to realize revenue synergies and cost savings that they have been working on since March, including moving TQNT’s assembly and test to RFMD.”

RF Micro Devices closed at $16.51, up 3.45 percent.

TriQuint Semiconductor closed at $27.65, up 3.60 percent.

Latest Ratings for RFMD

Date Firm Action From To
Dec 2014 DA Davidson Downgrades Buy Neutral
Dec 2014 Barclays Maintains Equal-weight
Nov 2014 Pacific Crest Maintains Outperform

View More Analyst Ratings for RFMD
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: Brean Capital Mike BurtonAnalyst Color Price Target Analyst Ratings

TASER Up 8% Amid New Orders And Rating

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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Shares of TASER International, Inc. (NASDAQ: TASR) spiked over 8 percent in early trading Monday amid Oppenheimer initiating an Outperform rating on the stock and new orders for smart weapons.

The Ontario Provincial Police were among the new orders with a request for 1,879 X2 smart weapons.

The new rating and orders came amid news that a UK man died after being shot by police with a Taser. UK Solicitor Sophie Kahn called for the Home Secretary “to impose a temporary ban on Taser use” following a government ordered review of Taser use in October.

TASER recently traded at $25.78, up 7.5 percent.

Latest Ratings for TASR

Date Firm Action From To
Dec 2014 Oppenheimer Initiates Coverage on Outperform
Dec 2014 Ladenburg Thalmann Downgrades Buy Neutral
Dec 2014 JP Morgan Downgrades Overweight Neutral

View More Analyst Ratings for TASR
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: OppenheimerNews Initiation Intraday Update Analyst Ratings

American Apparel Shares Gain, Confirms Interest From Private Equity

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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American Apparel Inc (NYSE: APP) shares rose sharply Monday after it confirmed getting a $1.30 to $1.40 a share buyout proposition just a day after announcing a shareholder rights plan with a 10 percent trigger.

The retailer and manufacturer was up more than 5 percent recently, changing hands at $1.13.

Although the bidder's identity wasn't disclosed, the New York Post said last week that private-equity firm Irving Place Capital, in concert with former executive Dov Charney, had approached the company.

The company said Monday that it "remains focused on positioning American Apparel for a successful turnaround," but added that it will evaluate the proposal and "takes these matters seriously."

At the same time the company named Colleen B. Brown chairman, replacing Allan Mayer and David Danziger who had served as co-chairmen and who will each remain board members.

Brown joined the board in August.

American Apparel formally fired Charney last week after suspending him as CEO earlier this year for alleged misconduct.

Danzinger noted Monday that the company recently adopted an "updated code of conduct that will serve as an important guide for our company going forward."

American Apparel shares are down more than 8 percent year-to-date amid turmoil and accusations of misconduct against Charney, who was suspended in June. The company named Paula Schneider as chief executive last week.

Posted-In: Dov Charney New York PostNews Management M&A Intraday Update

Bank Of America Raises CVS Health Price Target

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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On Monday, analysts at Bank of America raised the price target on shares of CVS Health Corp (NYSE: CVS) from $94 to $104 and reiterated the Buy rating.

Robert Willoughby finds the company’s emphasis on its hybrid PBM/pharmacy model is driving better-than-average industry revenues, EPS and cash flow growth.

Willoughby is raising the 2015 adjusted estimate to account for better revenue and share base outlook, given CVS’ plans to repurchase roughly $6 billion of stock in 2015.

“CVS’ retail share with PBM accounts is now an eye-popping 40%, up from ~30% last year, with more room to run at the expense of its retail competitors. Its share of PBM specialty scripts, which are surging, is even higher (59%). Consequently, another strong PBM selling season with $3.2 billion in net new business will drive higher volume across the enterprise.”

Shares of CVS recently traded at $96.82, up 1.17 percent.

Latest Ratings for CVS

Date Firm Action From To
Dec 2014 SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Upgrades Buy
Dec 2014 Barclays Maintains Overweight
Dec 2014 JP Morgan Maintains Overweight

View More Analyst Ratings for CVS
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: Bank of America Robert WilloughbyAnalyst Color Price Target Reiteration Analyst Ratings

Morgan Stanley Upgrades Brown Shoe Company To Equal Weight

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Related BWS
Benzinga's Top Upgrades
Morgan Stanley Upgrades Brown Shoe To Equal-weight

Analysts at Morgan Stanley upgraded Brown Shoe Company (NYSE: BWS) on Monday from Underweight to Equal Weight and lowered their price target for the stock from $28.00 to $26.50. Brown Shoe Company produces and sells men’s and women’s shoes.

Potential For Downside

Brown stock is up more than 4 percent in early trading Monday on news of the upgrade. The stock is currently trading at about $30.00.

Morgan Stanley’s $26.50 price target represents about a 12 percent downside for the stock from current levels. Brown stock has had a decent year in 2014, up more than 6 percent year to date.

Other Analyst Action

Morgan Stanley is not the only firm to weigh in on Brown Shoe Company lately.

Jefferies Group initiated coverage of Brown this month, issuing a Hold rating and setting a price target for the stock of $32.00. In November, Zacks upgraded Brown from Neutral to Outperform and set a $34.10 target for the stock.

Finally, Buckingham Research downgraded Brown in November from Buy to Neutral.

Insider Selling

Back in September of this year, Brown Shoe Company CEO Diane Sullivan sold over $1.1 million of Brown stock at a price of $30.02 per share.

Chief Accounting Officer Daniel Karpel and Division President John Mazurk each joined Sullivan in selling about $150,000 worth of Brown stock at around the same time.

A Valuation Perspective

Brown Shoe Company’s price to earnings ratio (P/E) is about 17.5, which is very close to average for the overall S&P 500.

Its forward P/E ratio is a more appealing 15, while Brown’s current debt-to-equity ratio of 0.4 is reasonable for the footwear and apparel sector.

Latest Ratings for BWS

Date Firm Action From To
Dec 2014 Morgan Stanley Upgrades Underweight Equal-weight
Nov 2014 Sterne Agee Upgrades Neutral Buy
Oct 2014 Morgan Stanley Initiates Coverage on Underweight

View More Analyst Ratings for BWS
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: Upgrades Price Target Analyst Ratings

Deutsche Bank Initiates Coverage On Axalta Coating Systems

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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Deutsche Bank initiated coverage on Axalta Coating Systems Ltd (NYSE: AXTA) Monday with a Buy rating and $32 price target.

Analysts led by Ramanan Sivalingam noted that the “valuation remains compelling at 10.8x ‘15E EBITDA vs peers at 13x due to a combination of high leverage (4.2x net debt/EBITDA) and lack of a long-term earnings track record.”

Sivalingam viewed “Axalta's Refinish business as one of the best and most stable businesses in coatings, which coupled with new business wins in Auto OEM should drive a stable 7 percent EBITDA CAGR thru '17. We believe that as Axalta deleverages and builds a consistent earnings track record, its valuation gap vs peers will narrow.”

“Axalta is a #2 global player in Auto OEM coatings and is poised to achieve above market growth thru a number of new business wins amongst Auto OEM customers. Axalta has won business at 26 Auto plants globally that will drive $275MM of revenue growth ’13-’17E. This alone equates to a 4.5 percent CAGR for Axalta’s Light Vehicle sales,” according to the analyst note.

Sivalingam concluded, “Given its strong market positions coupled with positive global economic growth, we forecast 5 percent sales CAGR from $4.4B in ‘14E to $5.1B in ‘17E and a 7 percent EBITDA CAGR from $840MM in ‘14E, to $1.03B by ’17.”

Axalta Coating Systems Ltd recently traded at $27.10, up 0.59 percent.

Latest Ratings for AXTA

Date Firm Action From To
Dec 2014 Nomura Initiates Coverage on Buy
Dec 2014 Deutsche Bank Initiates Coverage on Buy
Dec 2014 Goldman Sachs Initiates Coverage on Neutral

View More Analyst Ratings for AXTA
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: Deutsche Bank Ramanan SivalingamLong Ideas Price Target Initiation Analyst Ratings Trading Ideas

PSEG Solar Source To Acquire 12.9 MW Maryland Solar Project From Juwi

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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Stock Market News for November 13, 2014 – Market News

PSEG Solar Source announced today that it will acquire a 12.9 megawatt (MWdc) solar energy facility near Waldorf, MD from juwi solar (JSI). The project was originally developed by JSI and has a 20-year power purchase agreement with Southern Maryland Electric Cooperative (SMECO).

Public Service Enterprise Group (PEG) is a publicly traded diversified energy company with annual revenues of $10 billion. Its operating subsidiaries are: PSEG Power, Public Service Electric and Gas Company (PSE&G) and PSEG Long Island. For more information visit
The facility, to be called the PSEG Waldorf Solar Energy Center, is located 22 miles Southeast of Washington, DC. The acquisition will increase the capacity of PSEG Solar Source’s portfolio to 123 MWdc.

“With this, our eleventh utility scale solar facility, we are pleased to be providing safe, clean reliable energy to the residents of southern Maryland,” said Diana Drysdale, president of PSEG Solar Source. “We now have 10 plants in operation and one plant in construction across nine states and are continuing to focus our efforts on expanding our solar portfolio across the country.”

JSI is the engineering, procurement and construction contractor for the project and will operate the project for PSEG Solar Source upon completion. Construction is expected to begin in early 2015, with the facility going into service before June 2015. The facility will use approximately 40,000, 315-watt, solar panels.

“We are pleased to work together with PSEG to realize another solar power plant on the East Coast,” said Mike Martin, JSI’s President and CEO. “Our plan is to break ground before the end of the year, and we look forward to bringing on-line a generation facility that will provide cost-effective solar power to SMECO.”

This is PSEG Solar Source’s eleventh project in nine states. Its other projects are located in Arizona, California, Delaware, Florida, Ohio, Texas, Vermont and New Jersey.

Posted-In: News M&A Press Releases

Nomura Cuts BlackBerry Price Target, Sees 'Rocky Road To Recovery'

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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Nomura reiterated its Neutral rating on BlackBerry Ltd (NASDAQ: BBRY) Monday and cut its price target from $10.60 to $10.30.

Analyst Stuart Jeffrey felt the company has a “rocky road to recovery” and he continued to look for “reasons to be more positive.”

“The key dynamics around the stock, in our view, are: Earnings have turned and new product platforms have launched, potentially seeing BlackBerry transition from a failing handset vendor to a vibrant supplier of enterprise mobility management solutions,” according to Jeffrey.

“This transition could drive a recovery in revenues within the next 12 months. Near-term estimates continue to miss expectations, making it hard to confidently project a bottoming out in revenue trends. The new product platforms that are needed to drive future software revenues are still immature and forecasting their impact remains challenging.”

Jeffrey noted that we “need to see a marked acceleration in the market-wide adoption of enterprise mobility management solutions to justify significant upside in fair value. Intuitively, such a trend seems likely but numbers are still low and the timing or scale of the material uptick that is likely needed to drive the stock remains hard to forecast.”

The analyst note adjusted FY15E EPS from ($0.22) to ($0.18) and FY16E EPS from ($0.20) to ($0.51).

BlackBerry recently traded at $10.43 up 4.35 percent.

Latest Ratings for BBRY

Date Firm Action From To
Dec 2014 JP Morgan Maintains Neutral
Dec 2014 Nomura Maintains Neutral
Dec 2014 BGC Partners Upgrades Hold Buy

View More Analyst Ratings for BBRY
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: Nomura Stuart JeffreyAnalyst Color Price Target Reiteration Analyst Ratings



#1 Performing Global Macro Hedge Fund Sees More Shorts Opportunities Ahead As China Bursts

By Jacob Wolinsky. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Crescat Global Macro Fund update to investors on 1/19/2019

Crescat Global Macro Fund and Crescat Long/Short fund delivered strong returns for both December and full year 2018 in a difficult market. Based on ...

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Zero Hedge

Johns Hopkins, Bristol-Myers Face $1 Billion Suit For Infecting Guatemalan Hookers With Syphilis 

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

A federal judge in Maryland said Johns Hopkins University, pharmaceutical company Bristol-Myers Squibb and the Rockefeller Foundation must face a $1 billion lawsuit over their roles in a top-secret program in the 1940s ran by the US government that injected hundreds of Guatemalans with syphilis, reported Reuters.

Several doctors from Hopkins an...

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Phil's Favorites

Divisive economics


Guest author David Brin — scientist, technology consultant, best-selling author and futurist — explores the records of Democrats and Republicans on the US economy in the following post. For David's latest posts, visit the CONTRARY BRIN blog. For his books and short stories, visit his web...

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Kimble Charting Solutions

Stock declines did not break 9-year support, says Joe Friday

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

We often hear “Stocks take an escalator up and an elevator down!” No doubt stocks did experience a swift decline from the September highs to the Christmas eve lows. Looks like the “elevator” part of the phrase came true as 2018 was coming to an end.

The first part of the “stocks take an escalator up” seems to still be in play as well despite the swift decline of late.

Joe Friday Just The Facts Ma’am- All of these indices hit long-term rising support on Christmas Eve at each (1), where support held and rallies have followed.

If you find long-term perspectives helpf...

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Digital Currencies

Transparency and privacy: Empowering people through blockchain


Transparency and privacy: Empowering people through blockchain

Blockchain technologies can empower people by allowing them more control over their user data. Shutterstock

Courtesy of Ajay Kumar Shrestha, University of Saskatchewan

Blockchain has already proven its huge influence on the financial world with its first application in the form of cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin. It might not be long before its impact is felt everywhere.

Blockchain is a secure chain of digital records that exist on multiple computers simultaneously so no record can be erased or falsified. The...

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Insider Scoop Explores Strategic Alternatives, Analyst Sees Possible Sale Price Around $30 Per Share

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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Chart School

Weekly Market Recap Jan 13, 2019

Courtesy of Blain.

In last week’s recap we asked:  “Has the Fed solved all the market’s problems in 1 speech?”

Thus far the market says yes!  As Guns n Roses preached – all we need is a little “patience”.  Four up days followed by a nominal down day Friday had the market following it’s normal pattern the past nearly 30 years – jumping whenever the Federal Reserve hints (or essentially says outright) it is here for the markets.   And in case you missed it the prior Friday, Chairman Powell came back out Thursday to reiterate the news – so…so… so… patient!

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell reinforced that message Thursday during a discussion at the Economic Club of Washington where he said that the central bank will be “fle...

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Members' Corner

Why Trump Can't Learn


Bill Eddy (lawyer, therapist, author) predicted Trump's chaotic presidency based on his high-conflict personality, which was evident years ago. This post, written in 2017, references a prescient article Bill wrote before Trump even became president, 5 Reasons Trump Can’t Learn. ~ Ilene 

Why Trump Can’t Learn

Donald Trump by Gage Skidmore (...

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Opening Pandora's Box: Gene editing and its consequences

Reminder: We are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.


Opening Pandora's Box: Gene editing and its consequences

Bacteriophage viruses infecting bacterial cells , Bacterial viruses. from

Courtesy of John Bergeron, McGill University

Today, the scientific community is aghast at the prospect of gene editing to create “designer” humans. Gene editing may be of greater consequence than climate change, or even the consequences of unleashing the energy of the atom.


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Mapping The Market

Trump: "I Won't Be Here" When It Blows Up

By Jean-Luc

Maybe we should simply try him for treason right now:

Trump on Coming Debt Crisis: ‘I Won’t Be Here’ When It Blows Up

The president thinks the balancing of the nation’s books is going to, ultimately, be a future president’s problem.

By Asawin Suebsaeng and Lachlan Markay, Daily Beast

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Swing trading portfolio - week of September 11th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.


This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...

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Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"



Here's a free ebook for you to check out! 

Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

Some other great content in this free eBook includes:


·       How 2017 Will Affect Oil, the US Dollar and the European Union


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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

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