Archive for 2014

Comment by samz3700

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  1. samz3700

    Gel -
    Thanks – nice to turn a 5% loss around into a gain – my inclination was to double down on the aussie / euro pair – it never broke out of that down trend channel – but not dd allowed me to sleep at night with the position -
    I am still a little worried about the China growth story so it’s just a small position for me – but have a stop with a gain locked in sure feels good. That and Phil’s BNI pick have made my week.
    Gel – what time zone are you in ? Tried to check in earlier with you but seems like you did not log on until later -
    I am on EST – have a young kid – so I am up working at 5am

Comment by drumkeerin

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  1. drumkeerin

    They will be playing  funeral taps,as the dividend and capital gains are suddenly in potential peril

Comment by BillBigD

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  1. BillBigD

    APPL- Phil you see any screaming new plays on this one. I did your Aug/OCT 145 then Sept/OCT 145. Just sold free and clear $1200 per contract on the Oct 145. Thanks it was a great trade. Looking at Jan something.

Comment by phil

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  1. phil

    Calendar/Kustomz – Wow, way too much information!  

    Stock market/ZZ – Actually you can thank Nixon for inflation – before he took us off the gold standard, it wasn't much of an issue:  

    So FDRs gains came against flat to down prices.  How did he do it?  STIMULUS (and war).  Giving jobs to actual citizens – not "Job Creators" is the best way to create prosperity.  You're very right regarding Reagan and Bush – they deserve zero credit for coming into office with a CPI of 50 and finishing in 1990 with a CPI of 125 so they'd better have a combined 150% gain in the market and, oops, only 71% – total failure!  CPI under Clinton went from 125 to 175 (appproximations) so up 40% and his market went up 88% – my, that's much better than crap Republicans by about 100 miles.  Bush the 2nd had real good inflation – up another 50 points (28%) but his markets lost money and Obama has had essentially zero inflation but the markets are putting in a Roosevelt-like 67.9% in his first term.  So stimulus works and imagine how well it would work if we spent $3Tn on people and $600M on banks instead of doing the opposite – as we have so far.

    Excel/Chakra – Sorry, not my thing. 

    COST/Jfaw – They have come down nicely but I think it might be early to call a bottom.  Would be nice if they test the 200 dma at $92 but $95 not too bad and you can sell the 2015 $80 puts for $7 for net $73 and that's about their 2-year low so a very fair entry. 

    Speaking of fair entries.  AMD may be good for the same reason INTC is bad – the landscape is changing and INTC doesn't dominate the new spaces.  It's risky but at $2.14 it's a reasonable gamble. The way I'd play a stock like that is to sell the 2015 $2 puts for 0.72 and buy the 2015 $2.50/4 bull call spread for .30 so you have a net .42 credit and, at $4 you make $1.92 (the credit plus the spread price) and worst case is you own AMD at net $1.58, which is a 26% discount to the current price. Think or Swim says the

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Comment by advill

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  1. advill

    HI everyone,


    GOOG/Boston Dynamics;   problem with this kind of investment from my point of view is that DARPA, DoD , CIA etc, has been investing  many millions (or billions) in fund that helps t develop the value of the company, this are after all public monies and there is no compensation for "people" that funded it.


    Boston D managers, techies  etc will win a lot, Google also, but  "people" is just watching money passing by………..

Comment by sagemm1

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  1. sagemm1

    1020"Have you ever been denied or bankrupted due health issues?"


    I have not personally, but have seen it multiple times and it is the saddest and most ridiculous thing that in a country of our wealth that it was ever allowed to happen, amen on the big picture.

Comment by angelcur

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  1. angelcur


Comment by shadowfax

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  1. shadowfax

    I have been canceled and denied. Lucky with Medicare now but it has limits. I think the new plans are better. Even with coverage I am going broke fast.

Comment by 1020

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  1. 1020

    I think the ACA has issues, but made into a disaster by those looking to make political hay.  Nuff Said.

Comment by reinharden

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  1. reinharden

    Phil – Argh. Too boxy in my earlier thinking. I knew that there was another reason that I’d done the Apr/Jan trade. ’cause I can always use the Jan sell as a cover against the actual stock.

    Granted, that means that I’m leaving $13 uncovered, but I already got most of that in the original premium.

    At least that’s the lie that I’ll tell myself until Wednesday seeing as how my options sell price didn’t quite get reached today.

    Looks like AAPL closed at $198.80 after hitting $199.33. $199.33 is the legitimate all-time-high seeing as how 12/14′s $200 was really just a bad tick. I’m still quite comfortable with my mid-point of $210 to $215 at options expiration. With a standard deviation of around $10 to $15. And I’m definitely slanted more bullish than bearish. ;-)

    But the entire reason I take this week off (aside from spending some time with friends and family) is so that I’m not distracted by work if I need to change my mind in an instant. I’m happy with AAPL the company. Now we just have to get the stock to perform.

    Of course, come Wednesday, we might well have some negative news flow about iTunes Store being slow Christmas Day. But from a stock perspective, that’s usually actually a good thing. ;-)



Zero Hedge

Auto Shares Surge As Fiat, Renault Confirm Merger Talks

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

With President Trump in Japan for a state visit and most of Europe headed to the polls to vote in the quinquennial EU Parliamentary elections, there was enough news to keep market watchers occupied during what was supposed to be a quiet holiday weekend in the US. 

But on top of these political headlines, on Saturday afternoon, the news broke that Italian-American carmaker Fiat Chrysler had approached France's Renault with a merger proposal that would leave the shareholders of each carmaker with half of the combined company, in a tie-up that would create the world's third-largest au...

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Phil's Favorites

Trump and the problem with pardons


Trump and the problem with pardons

Courtesy of Andrew Bell, Indiana University

As a veteran, I was astonished by the recent news that President Trump may be considering pardons for U.S. military members accused or convicted of war crimes. But as a scholar who studies the U.S. military and combat ethics, I understand even more clearly the harmful long-term impact such pardons can have on the military.

My researc...

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Insider Scoop

Jefferies Sees 60-Percent Upside In Aphria Shares, Says Buy The Dip

Courtesy of Benzinga.

After a red-hot start to 2019, Canadian cannabis producer Aphria Inc (NYSE: APHA) has run out of steam, tumbling more than 31 percent in the past three months.

Despite the recent weakness, one Wall Street analyst said Friday that the stock has 30-percent upside potential. 

The Analyst

Jefferies analyst ... more from Insider

Kimble Charting Solutions

DAX (Germany) About To Send A Bearish Message To The S&P 500?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

Is the DAX index from Germany about to send a bearish message to stocks in Europe and the States? Sure could!

This chart looks at the DAX over the past 9-years. It’s spent the majority of the past 8-years inside of rising channel (1), creating a series of higher lows and higher highs.

It looks to have created a “Double Top” as it was kissing the underside of the rising channel last year at (2).

After creating the potential double top, the DAX index has continued to create a series of lower highs, while experiencing a bearish divergence with the S...

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Chart School

Brexit Joke - Cant be serious all the time

Courtesy of Read the Ticker.

Alistair Williams comedian nails it, thank god for good humour! Prime Minister May the negotiator. Not!

Alistair Williams Comedian youtube

This is a classic! ha!

Fundamentals are important, and so is market timing, here at we believe a combination of Gann Angles, ...

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Digital Currencies

Cryptocurrencies are finally going mainstream - the battle is on to bring them under global control


Cryptocurrencies are finally going mainstream – the battle is on to bring them under global control

The high seas are getting lower. dianemeise

Courtesy of Iwa Salami, University of East London

The 21st-century revolutionaries who have dominated cryptocurrencies are having to move over. Mainstream financial institutions are adopting these assets and the blockchain technology that enables them, in what ...

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DNA as you've never seen it before, thanks to a new nanotechnology imaging method

Reminder: We are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.


DNA as you've never seen it before, thanks to a new nanotechnology imaging method

A map of DNA with the double helix colored blue, the landmarks in green, and the start points for copying the molecule in red. David Gilbert/Kyle Klein, CC BY-ND

Courtesy of David M. Gilbert, Florida State University


more from Biotech


More Examples Of "Typical Tesla "wise-guy scamminess"

By Jacob Wolinsky. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Stanphyl Capital’s letter to investors for the month of March 2019.

rawpixel / Pixabay

Friends and Fellow Investors:

For March 2019 the fund was up approximately 5.5% net of all fees and expenses. By way of comparison, the S&P 500 was up approximately 1.9% while the Russell 2000 was down approximately 2.1%. Year-to-date 2019 the fund is up approximately 12.8% while the S&P 500 is up approximately 13.6% and the ...

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Members' Corner

Despacito - How to Make Money the Old-Fashioned Way - SLOWLY!

Are you ready to retire?  

For most people, the purpose of investing is to build up enough wealth to allow you to retire.  In general, that's usually enough money to reliably generate a year's worth of your average income, each year into your retirement so that that, plus you Social Security, should be enough to pay your bills without having to draw down on your principle.

Unfortunately, as the last decade has shown us, we can't count on bonds to pay us more than 3% and the average return from the stock market over the past 20 years has been erratic - to say the least - with 4 negative years (2000, 2001, 2002 and 2008) and 14 positives, though mostly in the 10% range on the positives.  A string of losses like we had from 2000-02 could easily wipe out a decades worth of gains.

Still, the stock market has been better over the last 10 (7%) an...

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Mapping The Market

It's Not Capitalism, it's Crony Capitalism

A good start from :

It's Not Capitalism, it's Crony Capitalism


The threat to America is this: we have abandoned our core philosophy. Our first principle of this nation as a meritocracy, a free-market economy, where competition drives economic decision-making. In its place, we have allowed a malignancy to fester, a virulent pus-filled bastardized form of economics so corrosive in nature, so dangerously pestilent, that it presents an extinction-level threat to America – both the actual nation and the “idea” of America.

This all-encompassing mutant corruption saps men’s souls, crushes opportunities, and destroys economic mobility. Its a Smash & Grab system of ill-gotten re...

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Swing trading portfolio - week of September 11th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.


This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...

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Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"



Here's a free ebook for you to check out! 

Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

Some other great content in this free eBook includes:


·       How 2017 Will Affect Oil, the US Dollar and the European Union


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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

Learn more About Phil >>

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About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

Market Shadows >>