Archive for 2014

Comment by samz3700

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  1. samz3700

    Gel -
    Thanks – nice to turn a 5% loss around into a gain – my inclination was to double down on the aussie / euro pair – it never broke out of that down trend channel – but not dd allowed me to sleep at night with the position -
    I am still a little worried about the China growth story so it’s just a small position for me – but have a stop with a gain locked in sure feels good. That and Phil’s BNI pick have made my week.
    Gel – what time zone are you in ? Tried to check in earlier with you but seems like you did not log on until later -
    I am on EST – have a young kid – so I am up working at 5am

Comment by drumkeerin

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  1. drumkeerin

    They will be playing  funeral taps,as the dividend and capital gains are suddenly in potential peril

Comment by BillBigD

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  1. BillBigD

    APPL- Phil you see any screaming new plays on this one. I did your Aug/OCT 145 then Sept/OCT 145. Just sold free and clear $1200 per contract on the Oct 145. Thanks it was a great trade. Looking at Jan something.

Comment by phil

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  1. phil

    Calendar/Kustomz – Wow, way too much information!  

    Stock market/ZZ – Actually you can thank Nixon for inflation – before he took us off the gold standard, it wasn't much of an issue:  

    So FDRs gains came against flat to down prices.  How did he do it?  STIMULUS (and war).  Giving jobs to actual citizens – not "Job Creators" is the best way to create prosperity.  You're very right regarding Reagan and Bush – they deserve zero credit for coming into office with a CPI of 50 and finishing in 1990 with a CPI of 125 so they'd better have a combined 150% gain in the market and, oops, only 71% – total failure!  CPI under Clinton went from 125 to 175 (appproximations) so up 40% and his market went up 88% – my, that's much better than crap Republicans by about 100 miles.  Bush the 2nd had real good inflation – up another 50 points (28%) but his markets lost money and Obama has had essentially zero inflation but the markets are putting in a Roosevelt-like 67.9% in his first term.  So stimulus works and imagine how well it would work if we spent $3Tn on people and $600M on banks instead of doing the opposite – as we have so far.

    Excel/Chakra – Sorry, not my thing. 

    COST/Jfaw – They have come down nicely but I think it might be early to call a bottom.  Would be nice if they test the 200 dma at $92 but $95 not too bad and you can sell the 2015 $80 puts for $7 for net $73 and that's about their 2-year low so a very fair entry. 

    Speaking of fair entries.  AMD may be good for the same reason INTC is bad – the landscape is changing and INTC doesn't dominate the new spaces.  It's risky but at $2.14 it's a reasonable gamble. The way I'd play a stock like that is to sell the 2015 $2 puts for 0.72 and buy the 2015 $2.50/4 bull call spread for .30 so you have a net .42 credit and, at $4 you make $1.92 (the credit plus the spread price) and worst case is you own AMD at net $1.58, which is a 26% discount to the current price. Think or Swim says the

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Comment by advill

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  1. advill

    HI everyone,


    GOOG/Boston Dynamics;   problem with this kind of investment from my point of view is that DARPA, DoD , CIA etc, has been investing  many millions (or billions) in fund that helps t develop the value of the company, this are after all public monies and there is no compensation for "people" that funded it.


    Boston D managers, techies  etc will win a lot, Google also, but  "people" is just watching money passing by………..

Comment by sagemm1

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  1. sagemm1

    1020"Have you ever been denied or bankrupted due health issues?"


    I have not personally, but have seen it multiple times and it is the saddest and most ridiculous thing that in a country of our wealth that it was ever allowed to happen, amen on the big picture.

Comment by angelcur

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  1. angelcur


Comment by shadowfax

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  1. shadowfax

    I have been canceled and denied. Lucky with Medicare now but it has limits. I think the new plans are better. Even with coverage I am going broke fast.

Comment by 1020

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  1. 1020

    I think the ACA has issues, but made into a disaster by those looking to make political hay.  Nuff Said.

Comment by reinharden

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  1. reinharden

    Phil – Argh. Too boxy in my earlier thinking. I knew that there was another reason that I’d done the Apr/Jan trade. ’cause I can always use the Jan sell as a cover against the actual stock.

    Granted, that means that I’m leaving $13 uncovered, but I already got most of that in the original premium.

    At least that’s the lie that I’ll tell myself until Wednesday seeing as how my options sell price didn’t quite get reached today.

    Looks like AAPL closed at $198.80 after hitting $199.33. $199.33 is the legitimate all-time-high seeing as how 12/14′s $200 was really just a bad tick. I’m still quite comfortable with my mid-point of $210 to $215 at options expiration. With a standard deviation of around $10 to $15. And I’m definitely slanted more bullish than bearish. ;-)

    But the entire reason I take this week off (aside from spending some time with friends and family) is so that I’m not distracted by work if I need to change my mind in an instant. I’m happy with AAPL the company. Now we just have to get the stock to perform.

    Of course, come Wednesday, we might well have some negative news flow about iTunes Store being slow Christmas Day. But from a stock perspective, that’s usually actually a good thing. ;-)




#1 Performing Global Macro Hedge Fund Sees More Shorts Opportunities Ahead As China Bursts

By Jacob Wolinsky. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Crescat Global Macro Fund update to investors on 1/19/2019

Crescat Global Macro Fund and Crescat Long/Short fund delivered strong returns for both December and full year 2018 in a difficult market. Based on ...

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Zero Hedge

Johns Hopkins, Bristol-Myers Face $1 Billion Suit For Infecting Guatemalan Hookers With Syphilis 

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

A federal judge in Maryland said Johns Hopkins University, pharmaceutical company Bristol-Myers Squibb and the Rockefeller Foundation must face a $1 billion lawsuit over their roles in a top-secret program in the 1940s ran by the US government that injected hundreds of Guatemalans with syphilis, reported Reuters.

Several doctors from Hopkins an...

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Phil's Favorites

Divisive economics


Guest author David Brin — scientist, technology consultant, best-selling author and futurist — explores the records of Democrats and Republicans on the US economy in the following post. For David's latest posts, visit the CONTRARY BRIN blog. For his books and short stories, visit his web...

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Kimble Charting Solutions

Stock declines did not break 9-year support, says Joe Friday

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

We often hear “Stocks take an escalator up and an elevator down!” No doubt stocks did experience a swift decline from the September highs to the Christmas eve lows. Looks like the “elevator” part of the phrase came true as 2018 was coming to an end.

The first part of the “stocks take an escalator up” seems to still be in play as well despite the swift decline of late.

Joe Friday Just The Facts Ma’am- All of these indices hit long-term rising support on Christmas Eve at each (1), where support held and rallies have followed.

If you find long-term perspectives helpf...

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Digital Currencies

Transparency and privacy: Empowering people through blockchain


Transparency and privacy: Empowering people through blockchain

Blockchain technologies can empower people by allowing them more control over their user data. Shutterstock

Courtesy of Ajay Kumar Shrestha, University of Saskatchewan

Blockchain has already proven its huge influence on the financial world with its first application in the form of cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin. It might not be long before its impact is felt everywhere.

Blockchain is a secure chain of digital records that exist on multiple computers simultaneously so no record can be erased or falsified. The...

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Insider Scoop Explores Strategic Alternatives, Analyst Sees Possible Sale Price Around $30 Per Share

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Related 44 Biggest Movers From Yesterday 38 Stocks Moving In Wednesday's Mid-Day Session ... more from Insider

Chart School

Weekly Market Recap Jan 13, 2019

Courtesy of Blain.

In last week’s recap we asked:  “Has the Fed solved all the market’s problems in 1 speech?”

Thus far the market says yes!  As Guns n Roses preached – all we need is a little “patience”.  Four up days followed by a nominal down day Friday had the market following it’s normal pattern the past nearly 30 years – jumping whenever the Federal Reserve hints (or essentially says outright) it is here for the markets.   And in case you missed it the prior Friday, Chairman Powell came back out Thursday to reiterate the news – so…so… so… patient!

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell reinforced that message Thursday during a discussion at the Economic Club of Washington where he said that the central bank will be “fle...

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Members' Corner

Why Trump Can't Learn


Bill Eddy (lawyer, therapist, author) predicted Trump's chaotic presidency based on his high-conflict personality, which was evident years ago. This post, written in 2017, references a prescient article Bill wrote before Trump even became president, 5 Reasons Trump Can’t Learn. ~ Ilene 

Why Trump Can’t Learn

Donald Trump by Gage Skidmore (...

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Opening Pandora's Box: Gene editing and its consequences

Reminder: We are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.


Opening Pandora's Box: Gene editing and its consequences

Bacteriophage viruses infecting bacterial cells , Bacterial viruses. from

Courtesy of John Bergeron, McGill University

Today, the scientific community is aghast at the prospect of gene editing to create “designer” humans. Gene editing may be of greater consequence than climate change, or even the consequences of unleashing the energy of the atom.


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Mapping The Market

Trump: "I Won't Be Here" When It Blows Up

By Jean-Luc

Maybe we should simply try him for treason right now:

Trump on Coming Debt Crisis: ‘I Won’t Be Here’ When It Blows Up

The president thinks the balancing of the nation’s books is going to, ultimately, be a future president’s problem.

By Asawin Suebsaeng and Lachlan Markay, Daily Beast

The friction came to a head in early 2017 when senior officials offered Trump charts and graphics laying out the numbers and showing a “hockey stick” spike in the nationa...

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Swing trading portfolio - week of September 11th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.


This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...

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Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"



Here's a free ebook for you to check out! 

Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

Some other great content in this free eBook includes:


·       How 2017 Will Affect Oil, the US Dollar and the European Union


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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

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