-0.2 C
New York
Saturday, December 6, 2025

Top Trades for Wed, 29 Jun 2016 10:21 – BX

BX/QC - I do like them when they are cheap.  You never know what skeletons investment funds may have in their closets - it's really a question of trusting the management team with your money - just like any fund.  Hard to say how Brexit will affect them - perhaps they are on the wrong side of things but lack of IPOs has been what's hurting BX since last summer and I think those might start coming back - if we survive the Summer!  

BX only made $1.82/share last year so $40 was ridiculous but $24 not too bad considering they should track back to $3 over the next couple of years (barring catastrophe).  I think $20 should certainly hold so selling the 2018 $20s is essentially getting a free $3.10 so I'd sell those and buy the 2018 $23 ($3.65)/$30 ($1.35) bull call spread at $2.30 so it's a net 0.80 credit and your worst case is owning them for net $19.20, which is 20% off and your best case is $7.80 in profit, which is 32% of the current price, so even in an IRA it's a good 18-month return.  Let's add a set of 10 to the LTP to keep an eye on them.  

By the way, on oil - I would LOVE to see a sell-off that we can buy into, that's my preference.  I would not want to chase them if they pop on inventory news.  

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