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Saturday, December 6, 2025

Top Trades for Fri, 04 Nov 2016 09:55 – WTW

WTW is a fun bet as they come back over $10:

Strong guidance and new Oprah campaign sends Weight Watchers higher

  • Shares of Weight Watchers (NYSE:WTW) are on the move after the company topped Q3 EPS estimates on 3% sales growth.
  • The company reports a 10% Y/Y increase in subscribers to 2.8M at the end of the quarter
  • Management expects a new campaign featuring Oprah Winfrey that launches this winter to be a sales driver. The company also set full-year EPS guidance at $0.95-$1.05 vs. $0.94 consensus.
  • Previously: Weight Watchers beats by $0.08, misses on revenue (Nov. 3)
  • WTW +8.90% premarket to $10.89.

Let's add them to the OOP as follows:

  • Sell 5 2018 $10 puts for $3 ($1,500)
  • Buy 15 April $10 calls at $1.80 ($2,700) 
  • Sell 15 April $12 calls for $1 ($1,500) 

That's a net $300 credit on the $3,000 spread that's $1,000 in the money to start you off.  Upside potential is $3,300 back at $12 in April and, if WTW stays over $10 to the end of the year, we're talking 1,100% gains on cash.  ToS says the ordinary margin requirement is just $1,800, so pretty efficient.  

Oprah, of course, is a big celebrity and I'm sure she's doing the promo either for free (she's a major holder) or low-cost and that's free money that doesn't show up on the books. On top of that, they are showing good progress in their turnaround strategy so worth a chance with the worst-case being owning 500 shares at $10 ($5,000).   Very low risk for a nice reward - that's what the OOP is all about!  

LABU flying already but early innings in the recovery:

Coffee going in leaps and bounds:

/RB/Craigs - I'm regretting my cruise next week at this point.  Resigned to stick it out for the long haul now.

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