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Sunday, December 7, 2025

Top Trades for Fri, 03 Aug 2018 09:52 – HBI

TSLA and AAPL giving some back.

AKS/Albo - That's an ugly chart:

I'm not a fan of their 1% margins.  $6Bn in sales to make $67M seems like too much work to me though they are only asking $1.4Bn for the whole company (20x) so not unfair at $4.45 and it would only take a very tiny increase in steel prices, like 5%, to give them a $300M (5x) pop in profits.

Year End 31st Dec 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 TTM 2018E 2019E CAGR / Avg
Revenue $m 5,934 5,570 6,506 6,693 5,883 6,081 6,395 6,935 7,101 +0.5%
Operating Profit $m -128.1 135.8 139.4 -211.2 230.2 220 161.1      
Net Profit $m -1,027 -46.8 -96.9 -509 -7.80 6.20 -32.2 226.2 263.4  
EPS Reported $ -9.09 -0.34 -0.65 -2.87 -0.034 0.12 -0.018      
EPS Normalised $ -9.09 -0.34 -0.65 -1.68 -0.034 0.27 0.14 0.70 0.88  
EPS Growth %             -72.3 +156.2 +25.7  
PE Ratio x           16.2 32.1 6.32 5.03  
PEG x           0.10 0.21 0.25 n/a
Profitability

And what StJ said!  

HBI/Batman - Idiots.  I'm so tired of perfectly good stocks going out of favor and what passes for analysts these days piling onto the negative bandwagon (works the other way too).  So few people do real work these days because the pay is no good (anyone decent works for a fund or does private work) and no one actually tracks results - so what's the difference?

A sad side-effect of the web is that it has destroyed accountability.  Of course, these reports don't take into account our ability to make PLENTY of money from a flat stock:

Hanesbrands' stock valuation remains "undemanding" even after the initial 19-percent sell-off, the analyst said.

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