PhilStockWorld Top Trade Alert – May 16 2025 – Barrick Mining (B)

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🚢 Barrick Mining (GOLD) - Investor Report

Barrick Mining presents a compelling investment case with strong fundamentals and significant growth potential. Phil's assessment captures some key points, but let me provide a more comprehensive analysis.

Finviz Chart

Financial Performance

Barrick delivered impressive results in Q1 2025, with net earnings of $474 million, representing a 61% year-over-year increase from $295 million in Q1 2024. This strong performance was primarily driven by higher gold prices, with the average realized gold price reaching $2,898 per ounce, a 40% increase from the previous year.

Operating cash flow for Q1 2025 was $1.2 billion, 59% higher than Q1 2024, while free cash flow improved to $375 million. The company's 2024 full-year performance was equally impressive, with a 69% increase in net earnings to $2.14 billion - the highest in over a decade.

Production and Operations

Gold production for Q1 2025 reached 758,000 ounces, aligning with the upper limit of their guidance range, while copper production climbed to 44,000 tonnes. The company maintains its full-year production guidance for both gold and copper.

Barrick's portfolio includes six Tier One gold mines, providing a solid foundation for capitalizing on record high gold prices. The company has successfully replaced depleted gold reserves at existing mines while advancing key growth projects.

Growth Catalysts

Barrick is entering an exciting growth phase with two major projects:

        1. Reko Diq in Pakistan (with a new discovery within the mining license)
        2. Lumwana Super Pit Expansion

These projects are expected to increase Barrick's gold equivalent ounce production by 30% by the end of the decade. The payback periods on these projects are becoming increasingly shorter at current commodity prices, enhancing their economic viability.

Balance Sheet Strength

Barrick's long-term debt as of December 31, 2024, was $14.37 billion against shareholder equity of $33.26 billion, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.43 (Phil's debt was net of cash).

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