Posts Tagged ‘ADSK’

Call Butterfly Spread Looks For Upside In Autodesk

Big prints in Autodesk, Inc. (Ticker: ADSK) call options today appear to be part of a call butterfly spread, a strategy that may be profitable if shares in the maker of 3D-software rise to fresh 52-week highs by October expiration. Shares in Autodesk are up 0.85% today at $53.82 as of 12:10 pm ET. The one-by-two-by-one call spread traded during the first 25 minutes of the session and is by far the largest trade in ADSK options today. Overall volume on the stock has soared to 35,000 contracts as of the time of this writing versus average daily volume of around 2,800 contracts.

It looks like one strategist purchased 5,000 calls at both the Oct 55.0 and 65.0 strikes, and sold 10,000 calls at the Oct 60.0 strike. The trade cost a net $0.75 per contract and starts making money if shares in Autodesk rally 3.6% over the current price to exceed the breakeven point at $55.75. Maximum potential profits of $4.25 per contract are available on the call butterfly spread in the event that ADSK shares surge 11.5% to $60.00 at October expiration. Autodesk’s shares traded up to a 52-week high of $58.68 back in February.


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Heavy Trading In Autodesk Options

ADSK – Autodesk, Inc. – A large block of upside call options that traded on Autodesk this morning looks for shares in the maker of 3D printing software to rally substantially into the end of the calendar year. Shares in ADSK increased 3.5% this morning to $41.32. The company is scheduled to report third-quarter earnings after the close on November 21st.

The single-largest trade in Autodesk options so far today appears to be the outright purchase of a block of 10,000 of the Dec $44 strike calls for a premium of $0.88 each. In total, upwards of 14,500 of the $44 calls have changed hands against open interest of 95 contracts. The buyer of the calls at $0.88 each stands ready to profit at expiration next month in the event that Autodesk shares rally more than 9.0% over the current price of $41.13 to trade above the effective breakeven price of $44.88. Shares in ADSK are up nearly 30% since this time last year. 


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Bearish Trades Initiated In Autodesk Options

Today’s tickers: ADSK, SODA & CBI

ADSK - Autodesk, Inc. – Shares in the maker of 2D and 3D design and engineering software are down more than 4.0% today at $35.01 as of 11:40 a.m. ET and options activity on the stock this morning suggests some traders are bracing for the price of the underlying to extend losses during the next couple of weeks. Trading traffic in Autodesk options is heaviest at the Aug $34 strike where upwards of 2,900 puts have changed hands against open interest of 757 contracts. Time and sales data suggests most of the volume was purchased during morning trading for an average premium of $0.33 apiece. Put buyers may profit at expiration next month in the event that ADSK shares slide 3.8% from the current price of $35.01 to breach the average breakeven point on the downside at $33.67. The August expiry put options were also trading heavily during Tuesday’s session. It looks like a roughly 1,900-lot Aug $33/$35 put spread was purchased yesterday at an average net cost of $0.25 per contract. The bearish spread may generate maximum potential profits of $1.75 per contract if shares in Autodesk drop 5.7% to $33.00 by August expiration. The cost of initiating the same Aug $33/$35 put spread has roughly doubled overnight to $0.60 per spread as of the time of this writing.

SODA - Sodastream International Ltd. – Bullish options are active on Sodastream today following the company’s better than expected second-quarter earnings report released ahead of the open this morning. Shares in the name jumped more than 16% to $67.81 after the company raised its full year revenue forecast and posted higher than estimated second-quarter results. Traders positioning for shares in SODA to continue higher during the next couple of sessions snapped up weekly calls on the…
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Put Buyers Set Crosshairs On Target Corp.

 

Today’s tickers: TGT, DOW & ADSK

TGT - Target Corp. – Shares in Target kicked off the final trading session of the week in positive territory, but have since shed earlier gains to stand 0.50% lower on the day at $61.53 as of 11:10 a.m. ET. The big box retailer popped up on our market scanners in the early going due to heavy trading traffic in front month put options. Interest in the Feb. $60 strike puts has been increasing throughout the morning, with volume currently topping 12,100 lots versus previously existing open interest of 2,827 contracts. Most of the put options appear to have been purchased for an average premium of $0.36 apiece. The contracts make money, or provide downside protection, should shares in Target decline another 3.1% to breach the average breakeven point at $59.64 by February expiration. Target Corp. is scheduled to report fourth-quarter earnings before the opening bell on February 27th, nearly two weeks after February options expiration.

DOW - Dow Chemical Co. – Upside call options in play on Dow Chemical this morning look for shares in the largest U.S. chemical maker by revenue to rally to their highest level in more than a year during the next couple of months. Shares in the name today trade up better than 0.50% to stand at $34.62 as of 11:45 a.m. ET. The stock has rallied more than 25% off a mid-November, 2012, 52-week low of $27.45.Traders positioning for shares in Dow Chemical to extend gains picked up more than 7,400 calls at the Mar. $36 strike for an average premium of $0.54 each. The bullish options make money if shares in DOW rally another 5.5% to top the average breakeven price of$36.54 by March expiration. Shares in Dow Chemical last traded above $36.54 in July of 2011. Overall options volume in excess of 20,000 contracts in play on the chemical company as of midday in New York is significantly greater than the stock’s average daily volume of around 13,000 contracts. Trading traffic in options on the Midland, Michigan-based Company is on the…
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Retail Bears Abound

Today’s tickers: XRT, IMAX, ADSK & OI

XRT - SPDR S&P Retail ETF – Options traders are positioning for shares in the Retail ETF to fall substantially in the coming months. Massive bearish bets popped up on the XRT in the first half of the trading session with shares slipping further from last week’s new highs. The familiar outline of a put butterfly spread unfurled in the March contract, but was preceded by a large debit put spread initiated in the April contract within the first 15 minutes of trading. Pessimistic players are perhaps speculating that consumers, who now face heftier prices at the pump, are likely to tighten their grip on discretionary dollars going forward. Shares in the XRT, an exchange-traded fund designed to track the performance of the S&P Retail Select Industry Index, are currently down 2.4% at $48.02 as of 12:00pm in New York. In the past week shares in the ETF have pulled back 5.1% from an all-time high of $50.61 last Wednesday. One big put player is well-positioned to benefit from additional weakness in XRT shares in the near term. The investor purchased 20,000 puts at each of the March $46 and March $42 strikes, and sold 40,000 puts at the central March $44 strike, all for a net premium of $0.22 per contract. The net cost of the pessimistic play pales in comparison to the $1.78 per contract in maximum potential profits the investor enjoys if shares in the ETF drop to $44.00 ahead of March expiration. Meanwhile, the buyer of a 17,000-lot April $44/$47 put spread for a net premium of $0.57 per contract could walk away with up to $2.43 per contract in profits if shares in the fund slip beneath $44.00 by April expiration. Options implied volatility on the Retail SPDR has been on the rise throughout the trading session, and currently stands 12.6% higher on the session at 27.35% in early afternoon trade.…
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Qualcomm Strangle Suggests Range-Bound Shares Until October Expiration

Today’s tickers: QCOM, ETFC, CAL, SLB, AUY, EEM, ADSK, NFLX & JNPR

QCOM – Qualcomm, Inc. – Options activity on the digital wireless communications products and services firm indicates shares of the underlying stock could remain range-bound through October expiration. Qualcomm’s shares are down more than 2% to $37.72 with approximately one hour remaining in the trading session. Analysts at Credit Suisse maintain a ‘neutral’ rating on the stock, but slashed its target share price for QCOM to $40.00 from $45.00 and lowered its earnings guidance for 2010 and 2011. According to one options investor, Qualcomm’s shares are likely to trade within a certain range for the next eight months. The trader acted on the range-bound prediction by selling a strangle. The investor sold 10,000 puts at the October $35 strike for a premium of $2.30 each and shed 10,000 calls at the higher October $44 strike for a premium of $1.30 apiece. Gross premium pocketed by the strangler amounts to $3.60 per contract. The trader keeps the full amount of premium only if Qualcomm’s shares trade above $35.00 and below $44.00 through expiration. The premium received acts as a limited buffer against losses should shares swing above or below the strike prices described above. However, losses accumulate for the investor if shares rally above the upper breakeven price of $47.60, or if the stock falls below the lower breakeven point at $31.40 ahead of expiration day in October. Qualcomm’s share price exceeded the upper breakeven point as recently as January 21, 2010, when the stock traded as high as $49.00. Finally, shares have not traded lower than $31.40 – the lower breakeven price on the strangle – since December 5, 2008, when the stock dipped down to $29.33.

ETFC – E*Trade Financial Corp. – Shares of the financial services firm are down 0.65% to $1.54 in late afternoon trading, but options activity on the stock was initiated by bullish investors positioning for a rebound in share price. One optimistic individual established a ratio call spread in the October contract. The trader bought 5,000 call options at the October $2.0 strike for a premium of $0.18 each and sold 10,000 calls at the higher October $3.0 strike for about $0.04 apiece. The investor paid a net premium of $0.10 per contract for the transaction, but stands ready to accrue maximum potential profits of $0.90 per contract if E*Trade’s share price…
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Hi-Ho Long-Term Silver Bulls!

Today’s tickers: SLV, EWT, CL, BG, ILMN, COH, TMO, SPG, BG, ADSK & SLM

SLV – iShares Silver Trust ETF – A bull call spread in the January 2011 contract on the silver ETF today suggests shares of the SLV may rally significantly over the next year and two months time. Shares of the SLV are currently up 0.5% to $18.23. The silver-bull purchased a ratio call spread by buying 3,000 calls at the January 23 strike for an average premium of 1.93 apiece, and selling 6,000 calls at the higher January 30 strike for about 90 cents each. The net cost of the transaction is reduced to just 13 cents per contract. Shares of the fund must rally at least 27% before the investor breaks even at a price of $23.13. The trader stands ready to accumulate maximum potential profits of 6.87 per contract if the stock surges up to $30.00 by January 2011.

EWT – iShares MSCI Taiwan Index ETF – A massive bearish play on the Taiwan Index exchange-traded fund caught our attention this afternoon with shares of the EWT down 0.5% to $12.64 in late-day trading. It appears one investor established a bearish risk reversal in the December contract to position for potential share price declines through expiration. The trader sold 31,000 calls at the December 13 strike for 20 cents premium apiece, spread against the purchase of 31,000 puts at the lower December 12 strike for 20 cents each. The sale of the calls exactly offset the cost of buying the puts. Essentially the reversal is a “free” bet that shares of the EWT will trend lower ahead of the 2010. The investor responsible for the transaction is likely long shares of the underlying fund and seeking protection to the downside. If shares fall beneath $12.00, the value of the underlying position is protected. However, if shares of the fund rally by expiration, the trader risks having shares of the stock called from him at $13.00 apiece.

CL – Colgate-Palmolive Co. – Speculation that Reckitt Benckiser Group may acquire Colgate-Palmolive spurred an all-out call option feeding frenzy on CL today and lifted shares of the U.S. company to a new 52-week high of $86.33. Investors flooded the November and December contracts, scooping up call options to position for further upward movement in the price of the underlying. The sudden surge in demand for Colgate-Palmolive options…
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Chart School

Gann Angles on Dow and Gold

Courtesy of Read the Ticker.

Gann Angles measure price moves relative to time.

The Dow is moving up the red Gann 1x1 line, so far the recent trend challenge has been over come. As price is near upper green dotted channel Gann angle from Oct 2007 price is now over bought. We can also see the very obvious Elliot 5 wave count from March 2009 lows, and a new Dow high would complete the 5 waves up.

The red line indicator below the Dow price chart is readtheticker.com RTT Flow Index.


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Gold (GLD) could not get over $130, so a reaction back to minor support at $115 was to be expected.  Support should be found here, an...

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Zero Hedge

This Is What Happens Behind Closed Doors When U.S. Presidents Meet With Fed Chairs

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Last week, Donald Trump ventured into what until recently was uncharted, for US presidents, territory.

First, during a CNBC interview, the president went so far as to say that the strong dollar "puts us at a disadvantage" then went on to do what so many consider anathema, and said he is "not thrilled" about the Fed rising rates "because we go up and every time you go up they want to raise rates again."

One day later, Trump doubled down, ...



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There Are 3 Main Theories That Explain Trump's Approach to Putin and Russia-Which One Makes the Most Sense?

Theory Time

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Insider Scoop

BofA Points To Yum China's Earnings Downside Risk In Downgrade

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Related 31 Stocks Moving In Friday's Mid-Day Session Benzinga's Top Upgrades, Downgrades For July 20, 2018 ...

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Digital Currencies

Citadel CEO Says Bitcoin Still A "Head Scratcher" But Billionaire Lasry Sees $40,000 Soon

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Ken Griffin, the CEO and founder of the Citadel hedge fund, has reiterated his negative stance on Bitcoin (BTC) in an interview with CNBC this morning.

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Biotech

How summer and diet damage your DNA, and what you can do

Reminder: Pharmboy and Ilene are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

How summer and diet damage your DNA, and what you can do

Bright sun and fatty foods are a bad recipe for your DNA. By Tish1/shutterstock.com

Courtesy of Adam Barsouk, University of Pittsburgh

Today, your body will accumulate quadrillions of new injuries in your DNA. The constant onslaught of many forms of damage, some of which permanently...



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Mapping The Market

Mistakes were Made. (And, Yes, by Me.)

Via Jean-Luc:

Famed investor reflecting on his mistakes:

Mistakes were Made. (And, Yes, by Me.)

One that stands out for me:

Instead of focusing on how value factors in general did in identifying attractive stocks, I rushed to proclaim price-to-sales the winner. That was, until it wasn’t. I guess there’s a reason for the proclamation “The king is dead, long live the king” when a monarchy changes hands. As we continued to update the book, price-to-sales was no longer the “best” single value factor, replaced by others, depending upon the time frames examined. I had also become a lot more sophisticated in my analysis—thanks to criticism of my earlier work—and realized that everything, including factors, moves in and out of favor, depending upon the market environment. I also realized...



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ValueWalk

Buffett At His Best

By csinvesting. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Bear with me as I share a bit of my history that helped me create SkyVu and the Battle Bears games. The University of Nebraska gave me my first job after college. I mostly pushed TV carts around, edited videos for professors or the occasional speaker event. One day, Warren Buffet came to campus to speak to the College of Business. I didn’t think much of this speech at the time but I saved it for some reason. 15 years later, as a founder of my own company, I watch and listen to this particular speech every year to remind myself of the fundamentals and values Mr. Buffett looks for. He’s addressing business students at his alma mater, so I think his style here is a bit more ‘close to home’ than in his other speeches. Hopefully many of you find great value in this video like I have. Sorry for the VHS...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

The Stock Bull Market Stops Here!

 

The Stock Bull Market Stops Here!

Courtesy of Kimble Charting

 

The definition of a bull market or bull trends widely vary. One of the more common criteria for bull markets is determined by the asset being above or below its 200 day moving average.

In my humble opinion, each index above remains in a bull trend, as triple support (200-day moving averages, 2-year rising support lines, and February lows) are still in play ...



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Members' Corner

Cambridge Analytica and the 2016 Election: What you need to know (updated)

 

"If you want to fundamentally reshape society, you first have to break it." ~ Christopher Wylie

[Interview: Cambridge Analytica whistleblower: 'We spent $1m harvesting millions of Facebook profiles' – video]

"You’ve probably heard by now that Cambridge Analytica, which is backed by the borderline-psychotic Mercer family and was formerly chaired by Steve Bannon, had a decisive role in manipulating voters on a one-by-one basis – using their own personal data to push them toward voting ...



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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of September 11th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



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Promotions

NewsWare: Watch Today's Webinar!

 

We have a great guest at today's webinar!

Bill Olsen from NewsWare will be giving us a fun and lively demonstration of the advantages that real-time news provides. NewsWare is a market intelligence tool for news. In today's data driven markets, it is truly beneficial to have a tool that delivers access to the professional sources where you can obtain the facts in real time.

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All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

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Click here for the full report.




To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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