Posts Tagged ‘all about trends’

Mid-Week Market Update

Mid-Week Market Update

Courtesy of David at All About Trends

The best way to sum up this week’s action is "It’s A Market Of Stocks ". We’ve seen some really nice moves in many of our featured names with some nice paydays as well.

THE MARKET IN REVIEW

As you can see we are also overbought stochastically speaking as well. This is another reason we decided today to pullback on the throttles if you will.

Zooming into the 60 minute Time frequency allows for a more magnified view. The pink line on the chart above is the same pink line on the chart below. It’s a inflection point to say the least.

 

A break of the pink line could take us to the lower blue line ultimately, but the first stop would be that pink line and then net nowhere for 2+ months again. Here too even in a shorter term time frequency we’ve got that overbought level flashing stochastically speaking.

Moving on to the OTC composite

 

In Summary:

In a recent report we said:

With the dailies showing overbought and an up up and away move we want to watch for an initial pullback in the indexes to short term new support levels. For the SPX and OTC that would be right back to their initial breakout levels as shown above. Those pullbacks ought to relieve the overbought nature of the daily charts, then we look for another move higher baring an unforeseen news driven event. It’s in that potential move higher that our current watch list ought to shine.

If we are going to top it will most likely be after we pullback then make another run attempt.

Those comments still stand.
We will add one thing though and that is the chart below.

 

This chart covers the OTC composite off the 2002 lows and was our most recent cyclical bull market. What we want you to notice is in almost every single year this index has run into the end of the year and then went into a correction shortly thereafter. Folks we are in that window. It can happen at any time. Personally big picture you might want to stop thinking about the next 20-30% up move and start to think more about how am I going to protect what I’ve recently recouped off the March…
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Time To Short The Indexes?

Time To Short The Indexes?

Courtesy of David Grandey

All About Trends

We wanted to take a few minutes tonight to fill you in on a little index action that we are seeing develop.

First let’s take a look at the short-term index charts.

With each of the charts, you can clearly see they all have that same look:

1. All are pushing resistance aside from post-Fed knee jerk reaction.

2. All have that abc down of A (Oct. Lows)

3. All have that ABC up (thru today) of a Potential B

4. All have a PINK Pullback Off Lows line which is the opposite of a bullish Pullback Off Highs pattern.

A POH is a Pullback Off Highs LONG Side set up and a POL is a Pullback Off Lows SHORT Side set up.

Don’t get Elliott Wave? ABC’s? No matter, all you need to know is support-resistance and those Pink Lines. At this moment in time any break of the pink line sets up a short sell in the indexes with a break into new highs being a stop. For us? We will continue to focus upon the issues that have broken uptrends and are backtesting those trendline breaks.

NOTE: Do yourself a favor and get used to what Pullback Off Low patterns are because when this bear market rally truly ends it will be the only game in town. You can find out more about this pattern here.

One additional note about the above charts. As you can see from today’s peak you have the makings of a nano pullback off highs pattern. This means they could gap up up tommorrow to test the highs of today or a retest of the post-Fed emotional highs. If it happens then don’t be suprised. It would also be a double top at that point too which is the first sign of a change in trend from up to down.

In Summary: Those pink lines are all you need to know. A solid break sets up a potential C wave down to the Oct lows if not farther. BUT we’ll take it one step at a time.

While on the subject of double tops, we don’t care what anyone says. A double top is a double top.…
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All About Trends’ Market Review

MARKET IN REVIEW

BUYING STOCKS AT SAFE, ALTERNATIVE ENTRY POINTS

Courtesy of David Grandey at All About Trends

The big questions on a lot of folks minds are: "Was That It? and Did We Just Top?"  In order to answer those questions let’s look at what the daily index charts off the March 2009 lows have to say about that.

The Nasdaq, Dow and S&P indexes have uptrends that are still intact. The green lines, the blue line and the 50 day moving average are your guides. As of this moment, we see NO TOP on the market.

HOWEVER, IF we see a quick run sometime next week to a retest of the highs and then a pullback off of that retest, those developments will create a double top and we’ll be more apt to call a short term top at that time.

Why does the presence of a Double Top cause us to be more likely to change our position on the market? Because the Double Top is one of the most common early warning alert patterns warning of a change in trend.

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HOW TO BUY STOCKS AT SAFE, ALTERNATIVE ENTRY POINTS

So now that the indexes are pulling back, but remain in a clearly defined uptrend above their uptrend lines and 50-day moving averages, we want to focus on stocks that are in the same position and have simply pulled back off of their highs to those support levels. This is called trading in tandem with the market.

Now there are two ways to buy stocks. The first way is to find a stock that has formed a base and buy it when it breaks into new highs above the base. This is called buying a traditional breakout. Here’s a look at some recent breakouts:

 


As you can see with each of these, after breaking out, they quickly turned tail to retest what was resistance (now should be support), and each of them actually closed under support or back in the base. If you had bought them with a stop loss, chances are after a few feel-good days, you were stopped out.

Now let’s look at the second way:

As you can see here, this issue broke out. But most breakouts…
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Phil's Favorites

It's almost as if the rally made sense

 

Image via Pixabay

It’s almost as if the rally made sense

Courtesy of 

Apple is the largest corporation on earth and, in the last quarter, their profits doubled versus the same quarter during the prior year. As my partner Barry likes to say, “Stop and think about it!”

Indeed, that’s f***ing bananas....



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Zero Hedge

Sydney Lockdown Extended For At Least A Month Stoking Fears Of "Double-Dip" Recession

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

Sydney has been locked down for nearly a month now, and it looks like its residents and business owners will need to hold on for just a little bit longer, because the lockdown is being extended once again.

While restrictions have been eased in Melbourne and Adelaide - practically all of Australia's state capitals have been locked down to combat the delta variant, which has infected...only a few hundreds people across the entire country - authorities in New South Wales officially extended the lockdown in Greater Sydney for at le...



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Biotech/COVID-19

What is a breakthrough infection? 6 questions answered about catching COVID-19 after vaccination

 

What is a breakthrough infection? 6 questions answered about catching COVID-19 after vaccination

Vaccines don’t ward off every single infection but they do massively lower the risk. Education Images/Universal Images Group via Getty Images

Courtesy of Sanjay Mishra, Vanderbilt University

If you’ve been fully vaccinated against COVID-19, maybe you figured you no longer need to worry about contracting the coronavirus. But along with the rising number of new COVID-19 cases globally and growi...



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Digital Currencies

Is Amazon About To Start Accepting Crypto?

Courtesy of ZeroHedge

For the first time ever, Amazon has shown itself to be interested in crypto with a new major hire within its payments-focused team.

Posted on Thursday, the new role seeks an experienced product leader with expertise in blockchain, central bank digital currencies and cryptocurrencies to “develop the case for the capabilities which should be developed” and drive overall product vision.

The Payments Acceptance & Experience team is seeking an experienced product leader to develop Amazon’s Digital Currency and Blockchain strategy and product roadmap

The Amazon Payment Acceptance & Experie...



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Chart School

Investing with Channels - Review

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

The US has a lot of debt, to sell more units of the debt to non US buyers the FED and Treasury must get the unit price of the debt down.



This video assumes a 'risk on' bullish bias into the Nov 2022 US mid terms. The bias assumes a US dollar trending down from it current high price of $93 on the DXY.






 


 




Chart 1 - US Dollar Channels




 

Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing.


 



...



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Politics

New York defines illegal firearms use as a 'public nuisance' in bid to pierce gun industry's powerful liability shield

 

New York defines illegal firearms use as a ‘public nuisance’ in bid to pierce gun industry’s powerful liability shield

Illegal gun use is now a public nuisance in New York. AP Photo/Bebeto Matthews

Courtesy of Timothy D. Lytton, Georgia State University

Could calling the illegal use of firearms a “public nuisance” bring an end to the gun industry’s immunity from civil lawsuits? ...



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Promotions

Free Webinar Wednesday: July 7, 1:00 pm EST

 

Don't miss Phil's Webinar on July 7 at 1:00 pm EST. It's FREE and open to all who wish to join.

Click here: 

https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/6552545459443187211

Join us to learn Phil's trading tactics and strategies in real-time!

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Kimble Charting Solutions

Crude Oil Cleared For Blast Off On This Dual Breakout?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble

Is Crude Oil about to blast off and hit much higher prices? It might be worth being aware of what could be taking place this month in this important commodity!

Crude Oil has created lower highs over the past 13-years, since peaking back in 2008, along line (1).

It created a “Double Top at (2), then it proceeded to decline more than 60% in four months.

The countertrend rally in Crude Oil has it attempting to break above its 13-year falling resistance as well as its double top at (3).

A successful breakout at (3) would suggest Crude Oil is about to mo...



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ValueWalk

Managing Investments As A Charity Or Nonprofit

By Anna Peel. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Maintaining financial viability is a constant challenge for charities and nonprofit organizations.

Q4 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more

The past year has underscored that challenge. The pandemic has not just affected investment returns – it’s also had serious implications for charitable activities and the ability to fundraise. For some organizations, it’s even raised doubts about whether they can continue to operate.

Finding ways to generate long-term, sustainable returns for ...



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Mapping The Market

Suez Canal: Critical Waterway Comes to a Halt

 

Suez Canal: Critical Waterway Comes to a Halt

Courtesy of Marcus Lu, Visual Capitalist

The Suez Canal: A Critical Waterway Comes to a Halt

On March 23, 2021, a massive ship named Ever Given became lodged in the Suez Canal, completely blocking traffic in both directions. According to the Suez Canal Authority, the 1,312 foot long (400 m) container ship ran aground during a sandstorm that caused low visibility, impacting the ship’s navigation. The vessel is owned by Taiwanese shipping firm, Evergreen Marine.

With over 2...



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The Technical Traders

Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling System Suggests Market Peak May Be Near

Courtesy of Technical Traders

Our Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system is suggesting a moderate price peak may be already setting up in the NASDAQ while the Dow Jones, S&P500, and Transportation Index continue to rally beyond the projected Fibonacci Price Expansion Levels.  This indicates that capital may be shifting away from the already lofty Technology sector and into Basic Materials, Financials, Energy, Consumer Staples, Utilities, as well as other sectors.

This type of a structural market shift indicates a move away from speculation and towards Blue Chip returns. It suggests traders and investors are expecting the US consumer to come back strong (or at least hold up the market at...



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Lee's Free Thinking

Texas, Florida, Arizona, Georgia - The Branch COVIDIANS Are Still Burning Down the House

 

Texas, Florida, Arizona, Georgia – The Branch COVIDIANS Are Still Burning Down the House

Courtesy of Lee Adler, WallStreetExaminer 

The numbers of new cases in some of the hardest hit COVID19 states have started to plateau, or even decline, over the past few days. A few pundits have noted it and concluded that it was a hopeful sign. 

Is it real or is something else going on? Like a restriction in the numbers of tests, or simply the inability to test enough, or are some people simply giving up on getting tested? Because as we all know from our dear leader, the less testing, the less...



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Insider Scoop

Economic Data Scheduled For Friday

Courtesy of Benzinga

  • Data on nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate for March will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET.
  • US Services Purchasing Managers' Index for March is scheduled for release at 9:45 a.m. ET.
  • The ISM's non-manufacturing index for March will be released at 10:00 a.m. ET.
  • The Baker Hughes North American rig count report for the latest week is scheduled for release at 1:00 p.m. ET.
...

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Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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