Posts Tagged ‘dividend’

BP CEO Considering Cutting Q2 Dividend As Oil Spill And Liability Estimates Double, Goldman Not Exuberant

BP CEO Considering Cutting Q2 Dividend As Oil Spill And Liability Estimates Double, Goldman Not Exuberant

Courtesy of Tyler Durden, at Zero Hedge 

Those recently popular trades to hedge BP dividends using options to create synthetic BP stock may prove prescient. The WSJ is reporting that the firm is now "considering cutting or deferring its second quarter dividend." The dividend is due to be announced on July 27, and BP’s board may cut it altogether, defer it, or pay all or part in scrip, effectively an IOU to investors, Hayward was quoted as saying." The news comes as Reuters announces that the daily flow rate from the spill is actually double previous estimates: "News that the flow rate may be as high 40,000 barrels (1.68 million gallons/6.36 million liters) per day — twice as much as previously thought — came after the U.S. market closed on Thursday." This is very bad news as it effectively doubles any accrued fines that the firm will ultimately have to pay: the new liability estimate now may be as high as $80 billion! And true to form, an administration official is there to pour some more fuel in the fire: "White House adviser David Axelrod dismissed complaints from BP about the U.S. government’s pressure, saying in an interview Hayward should “spend less time on hyperbole, and a lot more time on trying to solve the problem,” according to the Journal." In other news, in a research note released yesterday, Goldman’s analyst della Vigna expressed a muted enthusiasm for the stock, nothing compared to JPM rabid support for BP stock at these levels.

From Goldman:

BP shares have fallen 12% this week, due to increased pressure on management from the US administration, however no material negative news came through in terms of the size or potential cost of the GoM spill. Additionally the riser cap is in place and appears to be capturing a significant amount of oil. BP shares have now fallen 42% since the accident, underperforming European integrated oils by 23%. This implies that the market is discounting c.US$33 bn of post-tax damages from the spill, equivalent to US$40-50 bn on a pre-tax basis, which is in the upper end of our estimated liability range. Given uncertainties remain, we still see superior risk/reward in Shell and Statoil, both


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Rumour: BP To Cut Its Dividend Next Week, and Yet Another Goldman Sachs Stock Scandal

Rumour: BP To Cut Its Dividend Next Week, and Yet Another Goldman Sachs Stock Scandal

Courtesy of JESSE’S CAFÉ AMÉRICAIN

Soaked in oil, browns await cleaning at a rescue center set up by the International Bird Rescue Research Center in Buras, Louisiana, June 7, 2010. Oil has been leaking into the Gulf of Mexico for over a month since a massive explosion on the BP oil rig Deepwater Horizon, injuring wildlife and fouling the fragile marshlands. UPI/A.J. Sisco.... Photo via Newscom

This is making the rounds as a rumour, but it has credibility, and I have been expecting it as they need to set aside some serious reserves for litigation and damages caused.

The company is in deep trouble, and the CEO is making all the classic errors we learned not to do in the crisis management courses in business school.

The rumour is so widespread that I am sure it will make the wires somewhere and I will look for it.

I do not expect BP to declare bankruptcy as this story suggests, although it would be an interestingly foul gambit to try and avoid its liabilities.

British Petroleum had been at the heart of darkness many years ago, as in the example of the Iranian coup d’etat of 1953 and imprisonment of Iran’s democratically elected leader Mohammad Mosaddegh, followed by over twenty years of tyranny and torture. Some think this is what had inspired Eisenhower’s parting words about the Anglo-American military-industrial complex.

Although through aggressive use of public relations had improved its image, BP has long been noted by investigative reporters and environmentalists as a bad boy among the corporate multinationals, preferring to spend money on PR, politicians, and regulators rather than planning and safety. BP: Slick Operator and BP’s Other Spill by Greg Palast for example, and those radicals at the Seattle Times: BP’s Trail of Accidents and Scandals Lead to Alaska. When Sarah Palin, former governor of Alaska winks and says "I’m your gal," she just might not be winking at you, chump change.

I thought it was interesting that they bought the search term "oil spill" from Google to better direct the flow of information from the public.

And then of course there is the issue of insider selling that occurred prior to the more complete release of the extent of the Gulf oil leak disaster involving BP executives and former executives, and of course Goldman Sachs. Gulf Oil Spill to Drag Goldman Sachs into Trading Scandal?

This is not to say that all corporations are corrupt all the time, not at all. But neither are they naturally good, all the time. It underscores the need for regulation, and investigations into the type of corruption which was apparently widespread in the…
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Qualcomm Tries to Woo Investors with Massive Buyback and Dividend Hike

Qualcomm Tries to Woo Investors with Massive Buyback and Dividend Hike

Courtesy of Ockham Research

San Diego-based technology giant Qualcomm (QCOM) has been in a steady downtrend since the beginning of 2010 falling nearly 30% from the high point in January.  Much of the decline was in response to a weaker than expected revenue outlook and expected margin pressure for the year ahead, even though the company reiterated their earnings guidance shares fell more than 14% on that day.  Today, the stock continued its now 7 day consecutive slide, with the technology sector leading the market higher, QCOM fell by another 3%.  This is not the sort of performance one would expect from a company that is deeply tied to one of the market’s hot sectors, with a market leading position in producing computer chips for mobile devices.

Desperate for some good news, management has taken action to combat the declines; they announced a 12% increase to quarterly dividends as well as authorization of a $3 billion share repurchase.  The new quarterly dividend of $.19 will be effective on payments after March 28th, and the $.76 annual payout implies a 2.1% yield.  Also in the press release, the company’s trumpeted that it has returned $12.6 billion to shareholders dating back to 2003, which is certainly commendable.  However, the share repurchase comes with no expiration, so they get the benefit of the good press with no implied time-table to spend the cash should better uses for capital arise.

These shareholder-friendly moves have sent shares higher in after hours trading, but will this be the silver bullet that will turn QCOM stock around?  Analysts and investors have been scared off by falling average unit selling prices on some of their products, but we think those concerns at this point have been nearly priced in.  While there still may be some further downside, we think the value has become attractive following the pressure the shares have been under.

As of the beginning of this week, we rated QCOM as Fairly Valued, but was very close to the threshold to upgrade it.  Any further decline in price or improvement in fundamentals may be enough to push it to Undervalued, and the dividend increase will clearly be a positive fundamental factor.  In addition, QCOM’s historical price-to-sales has ranged from 6.8x to 11.6x, but the current metric is only 5.8x.  This company has lowered…
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Phil's Favorites

"Feel The Market": Trump Warns Fed With Fed Not To Make Mistake And Hike Rates

Courtesy of Zero Hedge

As members of the FOMC gather at the Eccles building for the first day of the central bank's December policy meeting, during which they're widely expected to vote to raise the Fed funds rate for the fourth time this year, President Trump is once again urging the central bank to reconsider - this time urging Chairman Powell & Co. to read an editorial in Tuesday's Wall Street Journal calling for a pause in rate hikes (which in turn followed a similar piece from Fed "hawks" Stanley Druckenmiller and Kevin Warsh).

I hope the people over at the Fed will read today’s Wall Street Journal Editorial before they make yet another mistake. Als...



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Zero Hedge

"Feel The Market": Trump Warns Fed With Fed Not To Make Mistake And Hike Rates

Courtesy of Zero Hedge

As members of the FOMC gather at the Eccles building for the first day of the central bank's December policy meeting, during which they're widely expected to vote to raise the Fed funds rate for the fourth time this year, President Trump is once again urging the central bank to reconsider - this time urging Chairman Powell & Co. to read an editorial in Tuesday's Wall Street Journal calling for a pause in rate hikes (which in turn followed a similar piece from Fed "hawks" Stanley Druckenmiller and Kevin Warsh).

I hope the people over at the Fed will read today’s Wall Street Journal Editorial before they make yet another mistake. Als...



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Biotech

China's win-at-all-costs approach suggests it will follow its own dangerous path in biomedicine

Reminder: We are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

China's win-at-all-costs approach suggests it will follow its own dangerous path in biomedicine

Megacity Shenzhen, as seen from Hong Kong, is a center for Chinese finance and tech. AP Photo/Kin Cheung

Courtesy of Hallam Stevens, Nanyang Technological University

The world was shocked by ...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Is the NYSE Composite Signaling Difficult Times Ahead?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

The NYSE Composite (NYA) is testing the bottom of its 12-month trading range this month. In fact, it’s breaking down and out of it… it’s sink or swim time.

Will this be a quick undercut and reversal? Or the start of a deeper correction/bear market? Bulls need to reverse this right now, or it could be a long winter.

Looking at the chart below, we can see that the NYSE composite formed bearish hanging man patterns at (1) multiple times over the past two decades. The ones highlighted were followed by an average 25% decline.

Another hanging man candlestick was formed back in February at (2). This lead to the initial stock market correction early this year. The broad stock index developed a trading range thereafter (blue sh...



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Chart School

Weekly Market Recap Dec 16, 2018

Courtesy of Blain.

A significant selloff Friday had bears continuing to enjoy December and calls for the bulls for the Federal Reserve to save them.  It’s been a very long time since bears have had the upper hand for such an extended period.  Volatility continues to be very high and the charts continue to say “remain in safety”.  The Russell 2000 – the laggard of 2018 – broke a yearly low set in February and the S&P 500 broke October lows to create a “lower low”.

Karyn Cavanaugh, senior market strategist with Voya Investment Management, said that disappointing economic data out of China was the biggest driver of Friday’s losses. “The Chinese data was a dirt sandwich, not because it showed deceleration in the Chinese economy, but because it’s showing...



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Insider Scoop

40 Stocks Moving In Monday's Mid-Day Session

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Gainers
  • Diffusion Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NASDAQ: DFFN) shares rose 65.1 percent to $4.7225 after the US Patent Office awarded the company exclusive rights for the use of its TSC drug in conjunction with tPA for stroke treatment.
  • Synergy Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NASDAQ: SGYP) climbed 34.2 percent to $0.1073 after Health Canada accepted Cipher Pharmaceuticals' new drug submission for PLECANATIDE.
  • Fidelity Southern Corporation (NASDAQ: LION) jumped 22.3 percent to ...


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Digital Currencies

Crypto Bull Tom Lee: Bitcoin's 'Fair Value' Closer To $15,000, But He's Sick Of People Asking About It

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Listening to the crypto bulls of yesteryear continue to defend their case for new new all-time highs, despite a growing mountain of evidence to suggest that last year's rally was spurred by the blind greed of gullible marginal buyers (not to mention outright manipulation), one can't help but feel a twinge of pity for Mike Novogratz and Wall Street's original crypto uber-bull, Fundstrat's Tom Lee.

Lee achieved rock star status thanks to ...



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Members' Corner

Blue Wave with Cheri Jacobus (Q&A II, Updated)

By Ilene at Phil's Stock World

Cheri Jacobus is a widely known political consultant, pundit, writer and outspoken former Republican and frequent guest on CNN, MSNBC, FOX News, CBS.com, CNBC and C-Span. Cheri shares her thoughts on the political landscape with us in a follow up to our August interview.

Updated 12-10-18

Ilene: What do you think about Michael Cohen's claim that the Trump Organization's discussions with high-level Russian officials about a deal for Trump Tower Moscow continued into June 2016?

...

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Mapping The Market

Trump: "I Won't Be Here" When It Blows Up

By Jean-Luc

Maybe we should simply try him for treason right now:

Trump on Coming Debt Crisis: ‘I Won’t Be Here’ When It Blows Up

The president thinks the balancing of the nation’s books is going to, ultimately, be a future president’s problem.

By Asawin Suebsaeng and Lachlan Markay, Daily Beast

The friction came to a head in early 2017 when senior officials offered Trump charts and graphics laying out the numbers and showing a “hockey stick” spike in the nationa...



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ValueWalk

Vilas Fund Up 55% In Q3; 3Q18 Letter: A Bull Market In Bearish Forecasts

By Jacob Wolinsky. Originally published at ValueWalk.

The Vilas Fund, LP letter for the third quarter ended September 30, 2018; titled, “A Bull Market in Bearish Forecasts.”

Ever since the financial crisis, there has been a huge fascination with predictions of the next “big crash” right around the next corner. Whether it is Greece, Italy, Chinese debt, the “overvalued” stock market, the Shiller Ratio, Puerto Rico, underfunded pensions in Illinois and New Jersey, the Fed (both for QE a few years ago and now for removing QE), rising interest rates, Federal budget deficits, peaking profit margins, etc...



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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of September 11th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



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Promotions

Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"

 

 

Here's a free ebook for you to check out! 

Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

Some other great content in this free eBook includes:

 

·       How 2017 Will Affect Oil, the US Dollar and the European Union

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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