Posts Tagged ‘EXPR’

Traders Don Express Put Options Ahead Of Earnings Next Week

Today’s tickers: EXPR, ANF & YHOO

EXPR – Express, Inc. – Put options changing hands on Express today indicate some traders are bracing for the price of the underlying to potentially drop after the company’s second-quarter earnings report next Wednesday. The stock is currently down 5.0% at $19.50 as of 12:30 p.m. ET. Options traders positioning for shares to extend losses picked up more than 900 in the money puts at the Sep $20 strike during the first half of the trading session for an average premium of $1.13 each. The bearish contracts may be profitable at expiration next month should shares in Express drop more than 3.0% from the current price of $19.50 to breach the average breakeven point on the downside at $18.87. The cost of the $20 puts has increased sharply to $1.80 each this afternoon, moving inversely with the price of the underlying. The Sep $17.5 strike puts also attracted buyers, with more than 210 lots purchased this morning for an average premium of $0.40 per contract. Buyers of the $17.5 puts make money at expiration if shares in the retailer plunge 12% from the current level to trade below $17.10. Shares in EXPR last traded below $17.10 in April.

ANF – Abercrombie & Fitch Co. – Shares in teen retailer, Abercrombie & Fitch Co., are getting slammed on Thursday, dropping 21% during the first half of the session to a nine-month low of $36.71 after the company posted lower than expected second-quarter earnings and sales ahead of the opening bell. Sellers of weekly put options on the stock in the early going this morning are enjoying gains in the value of their positions, with the price of the underlying currently off its lowest level of the session to trade at $38.25 as of 12:15 p.m. ET. It looks like traders positioning…
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Heavy Trading Traffic In Express Options As Shares Zip Higher

 

Today’s tickers: EXPR, MS & WAG

EXPR - Express, Inc. – Shares in clothing and accessories retailer, Express, Inc., are soaring on Tuesday, popping more than 21% to $17.03 during the first half of the session, after the company raised its forecast for fourth-quarter and full-year 2012 earnings and sales. Options on Express are more active than usual today, with volume approaching 13,000 contracts as of 10:55 a.m. ET versus the stock’s average daily options volume of around 3,800 contracts. Trading traffic is more heavily concentrated in near-term call options. Bullish players positioning for shares in Express to extend gains snapped up around 500 calls at the Jan. $17.5 strike for an average premium of $0.22 apiece in the early going. Traders long the calls stand ready to profit at expiration this week should shares in the retailer rally another 4% over today’s high of $17.03 to top the average breakeven price of $17.72. Like-minded strategists picked up roughly 575 calls out at the Feb. $17.5 strike for an average premium of $0.59 per contract, and may profit at expiration next month if EXPR shares settle above $18.09, the highest price since July 2012. Options traders long upside calls on Express ahead of the sharp move in the price of the underlying today are seeing strong gains in the value of some of those contracts. Call open interest on the retailer is greatest at the Jan. $15 strike, with 17,609 open contracts as of today. Time and sales data from December 31, 2012, through the end of trading yesterday on the Jan. $15 strike call options suggests most of the contracts were purchased for an average premium of $0.44 apiece. The sharp rally in Express shares today now finds premium on the $15 strike calls has more than quadrupled versus the average premium paid for the contracts during the prior 10 trading sessions. Express, Inc. is expected to report fourth-quarter earnings in March.

MS - Morgan Stanley – Shares in the financial services firm, up better than 60% during the past six months, rose 1.4% to…
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Large Put Purchase At AOL; Express Calls Look For Retailer To Rebound

Options brief will resume October 15, 2012.

Today’s tickers: AOL, EXPR & XLF

AOL - AOL, Inc. – Put activity on AOL this morning may be the work of one strategist locking in gains on the high-flying stock. Shares in AOL, up roughly 175% since October 2011, are currently down 1.8% on the day to stand at $35.92 as of 11:20 a.m. ET. The largest trade in AOL options this morning was the purchase of 4,500 of the Nov. $34 strike put for a premium of $0.80 per contract. The options trade does not appear to have been tied to stock, although the put buyer may be establishing downside protection to hedge an existing long position in the shares. Alternatively, the sizable transaction could be an outright bearish bet that shares will decline in the near term, perhaps in the aftermath of the company’s third-quarter earnings report on October 31st. The position makes money if shares in AOL drop 7.5% from the current level to breach the effective breakeven price of $33.20 by November expiration.

EXPR - Express, Inc. – Options in play on Express this morning suggests shares in the apparel retailer, hard hit in recent months and sitting at all-time lows, may stage a significant turn-around in the next six months. Express shares, down nearly 60% from a March 2012 peak of $26.27, fell 2.35% in the first half of the trading session to $11.23 by 11:35 a.m. in New York. Upside call buying at the April 2013 $15 strike, where some 2,300 contracts were picked up for an average premium of $0.73 apiece, suggests at least one trader is positioning for EXPR shares to potentially increase sharply by expiration next year. The calls may be profitable at April expiration in the event that Express, Inc. shares jump 40% to exceed the average breakeven price of $15.73. The specialty retailer reports third-quarter earnings ahead of the opening bell on November 28th.…
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Call Buying Detected Even As Express Shares Plummet

 

Today’s tickers: EXPR, ARO & ARUN

EXPR - Express, Inc. – Specialty retailer Express, Inc.’s shares are getting hammered today, down more than 20% at $11.90 as of 11:10 a.m. in New York, after the company lowered its third-quarter earnings forecast and said same-store sales will decline in the mid-single digit range. Express, Inc. shares, publicly traded since the company’s May 2010 IPO, have not yet managed to catch a bid in today’s session as the stock continues to hit fresh record lows. Options traders betting shares in the name will rebound by the start of the new calendar year snapped up January 2013 expiry call options this morning. Contrarian bets are heaviest at the Jan. 2013 $15 strike where approximately 975 calls were purchased at a premium of $0.45 apiece. Call buyers may profit at expiration next year in the event that EXPR shares jump 30% over the current price of $11.90 to top the effective breakeven point at $15.45. Getting long the Jan. 2013 $15 call has been painful for one or more options traders who appear to have purchased at least 550 of the contracts back on September 4th for a premium of $2.20 per contract. The value of the call options has collapsed in the four weeks since then, down nearly 90% so far to the current asking price of $0.30 apiece.

ARO - Aeropostale, Inc.– Shares in teen retailer, Aeropostale, Inc., are moving lower this morning, perhaps in sympathy with Express, Inc., after the specialty retailer cut its third quarter profit forecast. ARO shares are currently down 2.3% at $13.05 as of 11:00 a.m. ET, and it looks like some options traders are positioning for the price of the underlying to extend losses in the near term. Trading traffic in Aeropostale options is heaviest in the Oct. $13 strike put where more than 8,000 contracts have changed hands versus open interest of 1,239 positions. It looks like most of the…
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Options Activity Pops As Express Shares Tumble

 

Today’s tickers: EXPR, DV & SA

EXPR - Express, Inc. – Shares in apparel retailer, Express, Inc., dropped nearly 30.0% today to a new 52-week low of $16.38 after the company projected full-year earnings below those expected by analysts. Options on EXPR are far more active than usual today, with overall volume on the stock currently at 4,460 lots, up nearly 2,000% over the stock’s 90-day average volume of 227 contracts. The June $17.5 strike call saw most of the action as traders exchanged some 2,365 of the contracts versus zero open positions in the first half of the session. A slight majority of the calls were purchased for an average premium of $0.78 apiece, suggesting some traders are positioning for shares in the name to rebound somewhat in the near term. Call buyers stand ready to profit at expiration next month in the event that EXPR shares rally 5.7% over the current price of $17.30 to top the average breakeven point at $18.28. On the flip side, June $17.5 strike put buyers anticipate shares in the name could go lower from here. Around 340 of the $17.5 puts were purchased this morning for an average premium of $0.88 each. Finally, some traders that initiated bearish strategies on Express prior to the earnings report saw the value of their positions appreciate big-time today. Buyers of around 720 of the June $22.5 strike put last Thursday paid an average premium of $1.18 per contract. Today those put options are trading at more than four times the average purchase price given the last-traded price of $5.20 each as of 12:45 p.m. ET.

DV - DeVry, Inc. – The for-profit education provider’s shares could hit their lowest price in more than five years in the next few weeks by the looks of bearish options trades initiated on the stock this morning. Shares in DeVry, Inc., which have dropped nearly 60.0% since last summer, are down 2.2% on the…
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Pandora Call Options In Play Ahead Of Earnings


Today’s tickers: P, AIG, EXPR & BHI

P - Pandora Media, Inc. – Shares in the provider of Internet music services are up 6.5% at $14.80 this afternoon on the heels of an upgrade to ‘buy’ from ‘hold’ at Stifel Nicolaus and leading up to Pandora’s fourth-quarter earnings release ahead of the opening bell on Tuesday morning. Options on Pandora Media, Inc. are more active than usual today as investors take positions prior to the fourth-quarter performance report. Call options are far more popular than puts, with more than nine calls changing hands on Pandora for each single put in play. Volume is heaviest at the Mar. $16 strike, where more than 7,000 calls traded against open interest of just 917 contracts. Trading in the $16 calls is mixed, but it looks like slightly more of the contracts were purchased for an average premium of $0.44 each. Call buyers may profit at expiration in the event that Pandora’s shares surge 11.1% to surpass the average breakeven price of $16.44. Bullish positioning was also seen in the Mar. $17 strike calls as traders paid an average premium of $0.17 for around 400 of the contracts. Overall options volume on Pandora is fast approaching 20,000 contracts on the day just before 1:20 p.m. in New York trade.

AIG - American International Group, Inc. – The insurance giant’s shares are off their highest levels of the session, but remain positive, up 2.2% at $30.46 as of 11:45 a.m. in New York. Shares rallied as much as 5.0% to $31.30 this morning on news AIG is selling $6 billion in shares of AIA Group Ltd. to institutional investors. The bullish move in the price of the underlying shares is a boon for traders observed snapping up weekly call options at the tail-end…
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Put Player Eyes Valassis Communications, Inc. Pullback

Today’s tickers: VCI, EXPR, XLE & LVS

VCI - Valassis Communications, Inc. – Shares in the media and marketing services company increased as much as 2.2% at the start of the trading day to hit an intraday high of $28.00, but relinquished much of the morning’s gains to stand just 0.20% higher on the session at $27.46 as of 12:50pm. One bearish options strategist appears to be positioning for Valassis Communications’ shares to tumble ahead of June expiration. It looks like the trader purchased a put spread, buying around 1,500 now in-the-money puts at the June $27.5 strike for a premium of $2.30 each, and selling the same number of puts at the lower June $22.5 strike at a premium of $0.50 apiece. Net premium paid to initiate the transaction amounts to $1.80 per contract and prepares the investor to make money should shares in VCI drop 6.4% from the current price of $27.46 to breach the effective breakeven point on the spread at $25.70 by expiration in June. Maximum potential profits of $3.20 per contract are available to the investor should Valassis’ shares plunge 18.1% to trade below $22.50 by June expiration.

EXPR - Express, Inc. – The specialty retailer of apparel and accessories popped up on our ‘hot by options volume’ market scanner this morning after a number of calls changed hands in the front month. Options on Express, Inc. may be more active today ahead of the firm’s fourth-quarter earnings report, which is scheduled for release ahead of the opening bell on Tuesday. Shares in Express earlier rallied 1.6% to secure an intraday high of $17.38, but slipped this afternoon to stand 0.70% lower on the session at $16.98. Options traders exchanged more than 2,400 in-the-money calls…
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Zero Hedge

Hong Kong Protests Go Global: China Demands Investigation After Lam's Justice Minister Wounded In London

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

Chinese officials slammed American lawmakers who are advancing a bill designed to protest Hong Kong's quasi-independent status guaranteed by the legal handover agreement between the British and the Chinese, but the US isn't the only major western power that's creating problems with the increasing dangerous situation in Hong Kong.

Hong Kong's Justice Minister Teresa Cheng took a nasty tumble last night during a confrontation with pro-democracy sympathizers who came out to protest her presence in London. ...



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Phil's Favorites

Why telling people with diabetes to use Walmart insulin can be dangerous advice

Reminder: We are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

Why telling people with diabetes to use Walmart insulin can be dangerous advice

A vial of insulin. Prices for the drug, crucial for those with diabetes, have soared in recent years. Oleksandr Nagaiets/Shutterstock.com

Courtesy of Jeffrey Bennett, Vanderbilt University

About 7.4 million people ...



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Biotech

Why telling people with diabetes to use Walmart insulin can be dangerous advice

Reminder: We are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

Why telling people with diabetes to use Walmart insulin can be dangerous advice

A vial of insulin. Prices for the drug, crucial for those with diabetes, have soared in recent years. Oleksandr Nagaiets/Shutterstock.com

Courtesy of Jeffrey Bennett, Vanderbilt University

About 7.4 million people ...



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The Technical Traders

What happens To The Global Economy If Oil Collapses Below $40 - Part II

Courtesy of Technical Traders

In the first part of this research article, we shared our ADL predictive modeling research from July 10th, 2019 where we suggested that Oil prices would begin to collapse to levels near, or below, $40 throughout November and December of 2019.  Our ADL modeling system suggests that oil prices may continue lower well into early 2020 where the price is exp...



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Chart School

Dow Jones cycle update and are we there yet?

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

Today the Dow and the SP500 are making new all time highs. However all long and strong bull markets end on a new all time high. Today no one knows how many new all time highs are to go, maybe 1 or 100+ more to go, who knows! So are we there yet?

readtheticker.com combine market tools from Richard Wyckoff, Jim Hurst and William Gann to understand and forecast price action. In concept terms (in order), demand and supply, market cycles, and time to price analysis. 

Cycle are excellent to understand the wider picture, after all markets do not move in a straight line and bear markets do follow bull markets. 



CHART 1: The Dow Jones Industrial average with the 900 period cycle.

A) Red Cycle:...

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Insider Scoop

What Wall Street Thinks Of Google Cache

Courtesy of Benzinga

Alphabet, Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) (NASDAQ: GOOGL) subsidiary Google announced a new partnership with Citigroup Inc (NYSE: C) to launc...



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Digital Currencies

Is Bitcoin a Macro Asset?

 

Is Bitcoin a Macro Asset?

Courtesy of 

As part of Coindesk’s popup podcast series centered around today’s Invest conference, I answered a few questions for Nolan Bauerly about Bitcoin from a wealth management perspective. I decided in December of 2017 that investing directly into crypto currencies was unnecessary and not a good use of a portfolio’s allocation slots. I remain in this posture today but I am openminded about how this may change in the future.

You can listen to this short exchange below:

...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Silver Testing This Support For The First Time In 8-Years!

Courtesy of Chris Kimble

Its been a good while since Silver bulls could say that it is testing support. Well, this week that can be said! Will this support test hold? Silver Bulls sure hope so!

This chart looks at Silver Futures over the past 10-years. Silver has spent the majority of the past 8-years inside of the pink shaded falling channel, as it has created lower highs and lower lows.

Silver broke above the top of this falling channel around 90-days ago at (1). It quickly rallied over 15%, before creating a large bearish reversal pattern, around 5-weeks after the bre...



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Lee's Free Thinking

Today's Fed POMO TOMO FOMC Alphabet Soup Unspin

Courtesy of Lee Adler

But make no mistake, if the Fed wants money rates to stay down by another quarter, it will need to imagineer even more money.

That’s on top of the $281 billion it has already imagineered into existence since addressing its “one-off” repo market emergency on September 17. This came via  “Temporary” Repo Man Operations money, and $70.6 billion in Permanent Open Market Operations (POMO) money.

By my calculations that averages out to $7.4 billion per business day. That works out to a monthly pace of $155 billion or so.

If they keep this up, it will be more than enough to absorb every penny of new Treasury supply. That supply had caused the system to run out of money in mid September.  This flood of paper had been inundati...



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Mapping The Market

How IPOs Are Priced

Via Jean Luc 

Funny but probably true:

...

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Members' Corner

Despacito - How to Make Money the Old-Fashioned Way - SLOWLY!

Are you ready to retire?  

For most people, the purpose of investing is to build up enough wealth to allow you to retire.  In general, that's usually enough money to reliably generate a year's worth of your average income, each year into your retirement so that that, plus you Social Security, should be enough to pay your bills without having to draw down on your principle.

Unfortunately, as the last decade has shown us, we can't count on bonds to pay us more than 3% and the average return from the stock market over the past 20 years has been erratic - to say the least - with 4 negative years (2000, 2001, 2002 and 2008) and 14 positives, though mostly in the 10% range on the positives.  A string of losses like we had from 2000-02 could easily wipe out a decades worth of gains.

Still, the stock market has been better over the last 10 (7%) an...



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Promotions

Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"

 

 

Here's a free ebook for you to check out! 

Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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