Posts Tagged ‘Fannie and Freddie’

Obama Terrified Of Another Leg Down In Housing, As Fannie Mae And Freddie Mac Are Set To Go In Dramatic New Direction

Obama Terrified Of Another Leg Down In Housing, As Fannie Mae And Freddie Mac Are Set To Go In Dramatic New Direction

Courtesy of Joe Weisenthal at Clusterstock/The Business Insider

fanniemaehqWhen the Treasury announced on Christmas Eve that it was lifting the limit on how much Fannie Mae (FNM) and Freddie Mac (FRE) could receive, one point that may have been lost on people was that neither of the GSEs were yet anywhere close to the $200 billion they’d been alloted.

It’s not like there was a need, under the current system to give them a permanent, unlimited blank check to cover their losses.

So then, maybe that’s not what’s going on.

Maybe it’s this, via MarketWatch:

The government’s decision to provide unlimited support to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac probably presages more aggressive action to prop up the U.S. housing market.

The government may put a mortgage-modification effort, called the Home Affordable Modification Program, or HAMP, into overdrive in coming years, pushing for reductions in the principal outstanding on home loans overseen by Fannie and Freddie Bose George, an analyst at Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, wrote in a note to investors Monday.

So basically, Fannie and Freddie will be called on to do everything humanly possible to prop up the housing market in the coming years. Mortgage purchases, principal reductions… everything. And as it goes nuts in its efforts, it will need a blank check so that its lenders don’t even get slightly nervous.

Another serious dip in housing would be killer to this recovery and Obama’s Presidential career. That can’t be let to happen.

See Also: 

Here’s The Secret Reason We Eliminated The Bailout Caps On Fannie And Freddie

 


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You Stupid Fool (Bernanke)

You Stupid Fool (Bernanke)

Courtesy of Karl Denninger at The Market Ticker

Does anyone remember my ranting at Paulson when he was talking about his "Bazooka"?  Here is what I said:

This joins the list of other "dead wrong" statements you’ve made, of which I am keeping a running copy and sent them around on the 19th of July. 

How many times do you get to be wrong as Treasury Secretary Hank before you resign in shame?

And now I must ask again – is that really a Bazooka in your pocket, or an empty launcher?  I’m not the only one that’s curious you know; the bond market seems to think it smells like BS, and so does the stock market.

Fannie and Freddie collapsed, remember?

Paulson was proved - and rather quickly so - to be completely full of crap.

Bernanke’s comments today may have just provoked a dollar catastrophe – a collapse move that may have just begun.  Witness this chart:

The market took about 10 minutes to discern that Bernanke’s "concern" was BS, and now has pushed in the chips – "all in" – breaking key support below 75 – and still going.

The carry traders have redoubled their bets and obviously intend to force Bernanke to either put up or shut up.

The problem with Paulson’s claim is that when the market called the bluff he wound up sticking the taxpayer for up to $400 billion, of which more than $100 billion has now been dissipated.

It appears the FX market intends to force Bernanke (and Geithner) to either defend the dollar or allow it to collapse.  The violence of this move and the concurrent "ramp job" that accompanied it in the S&P 500 makes clear a few points though.

  • The "efficiency" of transmission between this move down and the move up in the stock market is lower than the previous moves have been, although the correlation remains intact.
  • The FX markets will press this bet incessantly as they did when Geithner last mouthed the "strong dollar" mantra.

The Fannie and Freddie game wound up bankrupting both firms and forcing the government to bail them
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How The Government Is Manipulating And Distorting Markets In Everything

Government manipulation--the slide show.  Is this the "change" we voted for? – Ilene

How The Government Is Manipulating And Distorting Markets In Everything

obama biden worried tbiCourtesy of Joe Weisenthal at Clusterstock

A recent CBO report estimated that the government spends about $300 billion to intervene in the housing market each year. That’s based on a range of activities, from direct subsidies to homebuyers, to the mortgage interest tax deduction, and the backstop of Fannie and Freddie.

And thus it’s no surprise that the housing market doesn’t work like other markets, and that we had a major bubble there. Even now, Goldman Sachs estimates, the government is adding at least 5% to the cost of each home, through its various "affordability" measures.

But it’s not just housing. Virtually every important sector of the economy is being manipulated in some way.

Check ‘em out >>

 


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Meet The Next Fannie And Freddie

Meet The Next Fannie And Freddie (FNM, FRE)

20061218 foreclosure 2

Courtesy of Joe Weisenthal at Clusterstock

Imagine that. Our government is still guaranteeing all-manner of ugly, ill-conceived mortgages, even after the epic blowups at Fannie Mae (FNM) and Freddie Mac (FRE).

The Wall Street Journal turns attention to Ginnie Mae and the Federal Housing Administration.

Only last week, Ginnie announced that it issued a monthly record of $43 billion in mortgage-backed securities in June. Ginnie Mae President Joseph Murin sounded almost giddy as he cheered this “phenomenal growth.” Ginnie Mae’s mortgage exposure is expected to top $1 trillion by the end of next year—or far more than double the dollar amount of 2007. (See the nearby table.) Earlier this summer, Reuters quoted Anthony Medici of the Housing Department’s Inspector General’s office as saying, “Who would have predicted that Ginnie Mae and Fannie Mae would have swapped positions” in loan volume?

Ginnie’s mission is to bundle, guarantee and then sell mortgages insured by the Federal Housing Administration, which is Uncle Sam’s home mortgage shop. Ginnie’s growth is a by-product of the FHA’s spectacular growth. The FHA now insures $560 billion of mortgages—quadruple the amount in 2006. Among the FHA, Ginnie, Fannie and Freddie, nearly nine of every 10 new mortgages in America now carry a federal taxpayer guarantee.

Herein lies the problem. The FHA’s standard insurance program today is notoriously lax. It backs low downpayment loans, to buyers who often have below-average to poor credit ratings, and with almost no oversight to protect against fraud. Sound familiar? This is called subprime lending—the same financial roulette that busted Fannie, Freddie and large mortgage houses like Countrywide Financial.

And it’s not like the problems are far-off in the future. Defaults are already double what’s considered a healthy rate; delinquencies on these loans are soaring, and reserves have fallen so low, that Ginnie has a 33-1 leverage ratio. Get read for another bailout.

Read the whole thing >

Fannie Mae

See Also:

The White House Denies Horrible Plan For Fannie And Freddie (FNM, FRE)

 

 


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Phil's Favorites

Brexit: wisdom of crowds proves effective predictor of Britain's chaotic EU departure

 

Brexit: wisdom of crowds proves effective predictor of Britain's chaotic EU departure

Shutterstock

Courtesy of Aleks Berditchevskaia, Nesta and Kathy Peach, ...



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Zero Hedge

Facebook Won't Say Whether Banned Individuals Can Use Libra Despite Claiming To Be 'Politically Neutral' 

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Facebook's second day of Congressional hearings over Libra was by most accounts a total debacle - between Rep. Carolyn Maloney (D-CA) suggesting that the social media giant 'shouldn't launch' the cryptocurrency - as new currencies should be 'left to democratically accountable institutions,' and another lawmaker accusing the company of 'winging it.' 

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Kimble Charting Solutions

Aussie Dollar About To Send Bullish Message To Precious Metals?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

The Australian Dollar and its ETF (NYSEARCA: FXA) have traded sideways for much of the past 4 years (see blue shaded area on chart above).

And since the Aussie Dollar and precious metals are highly correlated, this hasn’t helped gold and silver.

But this setup may be changing soon as a big test comes into play for the AU$.

It is currently testing falling resistance on a bullish falling wedge pattern.

If it succeeds in breaking out at (1), it will send metals and commodities a short-term bullish message. Stay tuned!

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Courtesy of Benzinga.

Read more about our latest Cannabis News! CANNABIS HOME Gainers
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Digital Currencies

Bitcoin Breaks Back Below $10k, Crypto-Crash Accelerates As Asia Opens

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Update 2010ET: Having briefly stabilized after this morning's weakness, cryptos are tumbling once again as Asian markets open.

Bitcoin has broken below $10,000 again...

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Biotech

DNA testing companies offer telomere testing - but what does it tell you about aging and disease risk?

Reminder: We're is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

DNA testing companies offer telomere testing – but what does it tell you about aging and disease risk?

A telomere age test kit from Telomere Diagnostics Inc. and saliva. collection kit from 23andMe. Anna Hoychuk/Shutterstock.com

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ValueWalk

Professor Shubha Ghosh On The Current State Of Gene Editing

 

Professor Shubha Ghosh On The Current State Of Gene Editing

Courtesy of Jacob Wolinsky, ValueWalk

ValueWalk’s Q&A session with Professor Shubha Ghosh, a professor of law and the director of the Syracuse Intellectual Property Law Institute. In this interview, Professor Ghosh discusses his background, the Human Genome Project, the current state of gene editing, 3D printing for organ operations, and gene editing regulation.

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Chart School

Gold Gann Angle Update

Courtesy of Read the Ticker.

Charts show us the golden brick road to high prices.

GLD Gann Angle has been working since 2016. Higher prices are expected. Who would say anything different, and why and how?

Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing.



The GLD very wide channel shows us the way.
- Conservative: Tag the 10 year rally starting in 2001 to 2019 and it forecasts $750 GLD (or $7500 USD Gold Futures) in 10 years.
- Aggressive: Tag the 5 year rally starting in 1976 to 2019  and it forecasts $750 GLD (or $7500 USD Gold Futures) in 5 years.

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Members' Corner

Despacito - How to Make Money the Old-Fashioned Way - SLOWLY!

Are you ready to retire?  

For most people, the purpose of investing is to build up enough wealth to allow you to retire.  In general, that's usually enough money to reliably generate a year's worth of your average income, each year into your retirement so that that, plus you Social Security, should be enough to pay your bills without having to draw down on your principle.

Unfortunately, as the last decade has shown us, we can't count on bonds to pay us more than 3% and the average return from the stock market over the past 20 years has been erratic - to say the least - with 4 negative years (2000, 2001, 2002 and 2008) and 14 positives, though mostly in the 10% range on the positives.  A string of losses like we had from 2000-02 could easily wipe out a decades worth of gains.

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It's Not Capitalism, it's Crony Capitalism

A good start from :

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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of September 11th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



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Promotions

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In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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