Posts Tagged ‘Fibonnaci’

Fibonnaci Stops Rally in China?

Fibonnaci Stops Rally in China?

Courtesy of Trader Mark at Fund My Mutual Fund

I asked an online buddy, Jeff over at Zentrader.ca, to post a Fibonnaci chart for Shanghai. For those unfamiliar with the mathematician and how it affects stock trading please see [Aug 5, 2009: Fibonnaci Calls: The 38.2% Retrace is Approaching]

Since the main Chinese market dropped 10% from its high, bounced for 1 day (Thursday), and then fell through the 50 day moving average Friday with another 3% loss, I was curious to see what sort of pullback the Fibonnaci "method" would call for.

$SSEC
My request was not specific enough and he actually posted 2 charts, with some quite amazing results.
Here is the chart I actually had been asking for with my vague request for a Fibonnaci chart… after spiking close to 3500, the 3 levels of retrace would show as below. So "best case" if this works out, from the close of 3047 Friday China potentially has another 8.4% to fall according to the Italian methodology. Obviously the pullback could of be of the 50% or 61.8% varieties as well but we’re looking for "best case".

$SSECThere was nothing amazing about that data… but the other chart he posted, which was not my original request actually makes one shake their head. Remember in that August 5th piece we said the US markets had retraced 38.2% of their 1.5 year drop (October 2007 – March 2008) and it would be a sensible place to pullback if indeed Fibonnaci still rules over HAL9000. Here is what the chart looked like at the time – since then we’ve made a 2nd run at the 38.2% level (1014) middle of last week and then pulled back yet again Friday.

$SPX
Now for the amazing… China pulled back exactly at its 38.2% retrace as well. Compare this chart below to the one above… striking similarity with about a 2 week lag. (note the US chart is a weekly chart, whereas the Chinese chart is daily – hence why the US one is so compressed)

$SSEC
And after the original pullback (see chart at very top of page) China made a 2nd run at…
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Facebook needs regulation - here's why it should be done by algorithms

 

Facebook needs regulation – here's why it should be done by algorithms

Shutterstock

Courtesy of Emanuele Giovannetti, Anglia Ruskin University

Facebook has been likened to a “digital gangster” by a critical parliamentary report into disinformation and fake news. One witness in the 18-month inquiry into the way digital platforms have transformed the flow of information describes the current use of t...



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Zero Hedge

US Demanding China Keep Value Of Yuan Stable, Halt Devaluations

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

In the latest sign that at least some progress might be made this week toward a US-China trade accord as the seventh round of talks gets underway in Washington, Bloomberg just reported that the US - in addition to its other demands - also been pressing China to "stabilize" the yuan, a move aimed to neutralize efforts by Beijing to devalue its currency to counter American tariffs.

According to sources close to the talks, the two sides are discussing how to codify language prohibiting currency manipulation in a memorandum of understanding that would form the ...



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ValueWalk

Current Quarterly Earnings Forecasts Accentuate The Negative

By Jacob Wolinsky. Originally published at ValueWalk.

In revising their forecasts of companies’ current quarterly earnings, analysts accentuate the negative, new research finds

3844328 / PixabayWidely available earnings forecasts not as informative as many think

It may be the most persistent criticism leveled against stock analysts – excessive optimism, what is widely perceived to be a tendency to be more upbeat about the companies they cover than the facts...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Doc Copper About To Hurdle Important Breakout Level?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

Doc Copper often times sends important messages, to the global economy, reflecting growth or lack thereof. An important price test is currently in play for Ole Doc Copper!

The long-term trend for Copper remains up, as it has created a series of higher lows for the past 18-years along line (1). Over the past few months, Copper could be creating a double bottom just above this long-term rising support line at (2).

The small rally of late has Doc Copper testing the top of its 6-month trading range at (3).

Can ole Doc Copper hurdle this important breakout leve...



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Insider Scoop

The Street's Early Reaction To Walmart's Q4 Beat

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Related WMT Mid-Morning Market Update: Markets Edge Higher; Walmart Tops Q4 Expectations Walmart Brings Bright Spot T...

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Digital Currencies

Cryptos Are Surging: Bitcoin, Ethereum Hit One-Month Highs As Institutions Dip Toes

Courtesy of Zero Hedge

Cryptocurrencies are surging while the US equity markets take the day off. Ethereum is up over 18% from Friday's 'close' and the rest of the crypto space is a sea of green. While no immediate catalyst (headline or technical level) is clear, increasing chatter over institutional investors dipping their toes in the space have prompted an extension of the positive trend.

A sea of green...

Source: Coin360

Ethereum is leading the charge follow...



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Chart School

Weekly Market Recap Feb 17, 2019

Courtesy of Blain.

The “V” shape bounce continues in unrelenting fashion as bulls are stampeding bears in 2019!  All due to a little “patience” from the Federal Reserve.  It is really quite breathtaking but we have seen it repeatedly the past decade as the Federal Reserve pours gas on the market.  Hopes for a deal with China also spurred the action upward.  Rallies (both with gap ups) on Tuesday and Friday provided the juice this week.   The S&P 500 is back over its 200 day moving average after being below for 46 days – it’s longest period of time below that level since March 2016.

Mat Klody, chief investment officer at Keebeck Wealth Management, told MarketWatch that the major benchmarks’ steady march higher since the beginning of the year is being driven &#x...



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Biotech

Cancer: new DNA sequencing technique analyses tumours cell by cell to fight disease

Reminder: We are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

Cancer: new DNA sequencing technique analyses tumours cell by cell to fight disease

Illustration of acute lymphoblastic leukaemia, showing lymphoblasts in blood. Kateryna Kon/Shutterstock

Courtesy of Alba Rodriguez-Meira, University of Oxford and Adam Mead, University of Oxford

...

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Members' Corner

Why Trump Can't Learn

 

Bill Eddy (lawyer, therapist, author) predicted Trump's chaotic presidency based on his high-conflict personality, which was evident years ago. This post, written in 2017, references a prescient article Bill wrote before Trump even became president, 5 Reasons Trump Can’t Learn. ~ Ilene 

Why Trump Can’t Learn

Donald Trump by Gage Skidmore (...



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Mapping The Market

Trump: "I Won't Be Here" When It Blows Up

By Jean-Luc

Maybe we should simply try him for treason right now:

Trump on Coming Debt Crisis: ‘I Won’t Be Here’ When It Blows Up

The president thinks the balancing of the nation’s books is going to, ultimately, be a future president’s problem.

By Asawin Suebsaeng and Lachlan Markay, Daily Beast

The friction came to a head in early 2017 when senior officials offered Trump charts and graphics laying out the numbers and showing a “hockey stick” spike in the nationa...



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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of September 11th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



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Promotions

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Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

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