Posts Tagged ‘Ginnie Mae’

GMAC at the Forefront of Ginnie Mae’s Troubled Issuers

GMAC at the Forefront of Ginnie Mae’s Troubled Issuers

Courtesy of Mish

In response to Taxpayers On The Hook For Ginnie Mae’s Rampant Growth I received a nice Email from the Center for Public Integrity inviting me to take a look at Ginnie Mae’s Troubled Issuers. The data is interesting to say the least.

Problem Issuers by Compare Ratio

gennie mae's troubled issuers

Compare ratio is the comparison of a lender’s default rates with other lenders in a geographic region as defined by HUD. For example, if a lender has a compare ratio of 200 percent, the Federal Housing Administration loans made by that lender are defaulting at twice the rate of its competitors in its geographic region. A compare ratio of 200 percent or more is grounds for suspension and a compare ratio of 150 percent or more indicates "a problem" lender, according to FHA Commissioner David Stevens.

Compare Ratios Over 150%

  • Pine State Mortgage Corporation – 314% – Default Rate 18.86%
  • Premium Capital Funding, LLC dba Topdot Mortgage – 238% – Default Rate 14.31%
  • Ideal Mortgage Bankers, Ltd, dba Lend America^ – 235% – Default Rate 14.14%
  • IndyMac FSB, dba OneWest Bank – 211% – Default Rate 12.67%
  • First Horizon Home Loans dba First Tennessee – 207% – Default Rate 12.45%
  • First American Mortgage Trust – 205% – Default Rate 12.31%
  • First Guaranty Mortgage Corp. – 204% – Default Rate 12.26%
  • American Financial Resources, Inc. – 202% – Default Rate 12.16%
  • Weststar Mortgage Corporation – 198% – Default Rate 11.88%
  • Gateway Mortgage Group – 198% – Default Rate 11.9%
  • Colonial Bank – 189% – Default Rate 11.38%
  • MVB Mortgage Corporation – 183% – Default Rate 11.01%
  • GMAC Mortgage – 171% – Default Rate 10.29%
  • Allied Home Mortgage Corporation – 168% – Default Rate 10.09%
  • Taylor Bean & Whitaker Mortgage^ – 163% – Default Rate 9.77%
  • Shore Financial Services, Inc. dba Shore Mortgage – 159% – Default Rate 9.54%

Problem Issuers by Loan Volume

The charts in the article are interactive so please give it a look.

GMAC – The Gift That Keeps On Giving

None of the above banks should be doing business with Ginnie Mae. Indeed, most of them should not be doing business at all, especially GMAC.

To help bailout GM , the Obama administration screwed the bondholders to appease the unions, and taxpayers


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Taxpayers On The Hook For Ginnie Mae’s Rampant Growth

Mish sums it up well:  "Government is the mortgage lender of last resort, the job provider of last resort, and the auto manufacturer of last resort, places government has no business being at all. Government spending has gone wild and all we have to show for it is trillions of dollars worth of debt, 10% unemployment, troops in 150 countries, two wars, and 35 million on food stamps." – Ilene

Taxpayers On The Hook For Ginnie Mae’s Rampant Growth

Courtesy of Mish 

The Center for Public Integrity and The Washington Post collaborated nicely on a report detailing problems at Ginnie Mae.

Please consider Mortgage agency’s growth gives fuel to risky lenders.

The trouble signs surrounding Lend America had been building for years. A top executive was convicted of mortgage fraud but still helped run the company. Home loans made by its headquarters were defaulting at an extremely high rate. Federal prosecutors alleged in a civil suit that the company falsified loan documents and committed fraud.

Yet despite these red flags the Government National Mortgage Association, known as Ginnie Mae, authorized the firm to bundle its mortgages into securities and sell them to investors around the world — all backed by U.S. taxpayer money.

Lend America is hardly the only lender with a troubled record that Ginnie Mae has endorsed. The agency has provided taxpayer backing to at least 36 other mortgage companies with a history of reckless lending, fines or other sanctions by state and federal regulators or civil lawsuits, according to an analysis of government records, court documents and statistics in a HUD database.

"Ginnie is like an accelerant to a fire," said Anthony Sanders, professor of real estate finance at George Mason University.

HUD Inspector General Kenneth Donohue said Ginnie Mae is too accommodating of problem lenders, adding that the agency has put its highest priority on ensuring that money is pumped into the mortgage market.

"Ginnie Mae is in the business of trying to bring in business," he said.

Lenders with spotty histories and poor financial health have sold nearly $100 billion in loans packaged into Ginnie Mae-guaranteed securities in the past two years, according to calculations based on data provided by Inside Mortgage Finance, a trade publication.

Sixteen mortgage lenders endorsed by Ginnie Mae have been cited by various federal regulators for unsafe banking practices, insufficient capital or


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Setting Up the Next Leg Down in Housing

Setting Up the Next Leg Down in Housing

housing market Courtesy of Charles Hugh Smith of Of Two Minds

Loose lending standards in government-backed mortgages is setting up the next wave of defaults and sharp declines in housing prices.

Beneath the hype that housing has bottomed is an ugly little scenario: lending standards are still loose and the low-down payment, high-risk loans being guaranteed by government agencies are setting up the next giant wave of defaults and foreclosures.

You might have thought that the near-demise of risky-mortgage mills Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac would have cooled the supply of highly leveraged government-guaranteed mortgages--but you’d be wrong, for the Feds have compensated for the implosion of the Fannie/Freddie housing-bubble machines by ramping up their other two mortgage mills: FHA and Ginnie Mae.

These GSEs (government sponsored enterprises) have been around for decades, and have been generally successful due to tightly controlled lending standards.

But the order "save the housing market at all costs!" has been passed down, and the spigots of easy mortgage money have opened. Where FHA only underwrote 3% of the mortgages originated in 2006, now it guarantees about 25%. Between FHA and its VA mortgage sibling, these two GSEs now back fully 40% of all mortgages.

Down payments are as low as 3.5%, and so a first-time buyer making use of his/her $8,000 tax credit could essentially buy a $225,000 house with virtually no money down.

This is moral hazard writ large. Let’s see, the mortgage originator can’t lose because the FHA or Ginnie Mae assumes the risk of default, and the borrower can’t lose more than the few hundred bucks he/she "invested" in closing costs.

In other words, the Federal government has attempted to keep the housing market afloat by ramping up its remaining mortgage mills to fill the easy-money mortgage gap left by the insolvent Freddie and Fannie.

The only problem with this blatant pumping is that a staggering number of these wonderful FHA and Ginnie Mae mortgages are in default and thus doomed to enter the foreclosure pipeline.

Here is a report on the looming FHA fiasco from the Wall Street Journal:

Loan Losses Spark Concern Over FHA:

In the past two years, the number of loans insured by the FHA has soared and its market share reached 23% in the second quarter, up from 2.7% in 2006, according to Inside


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Fed’s Proposed Framework for Addressing “Systemic Risk” Misses the Moving Target

Fed’s Proposed Framework for Addressing "Systemic Risk" Misses the Moving Target

Courtesy of Mish

The Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland is proposing a three-tiered system for regulating systemically important financial institutions (SIFI)

  • Tier one would include high-risk institutions, such as large, interstate banks and multi-state insurance companies.
  • Tier two would include moderately complex financial institutions, such as larger regional banks.
  • Tier three would include non-complex financial institutions, such as community banks.

Each would receive varying degrees of oversight and regulation. In the accompanying video, the author claims: "Really bad drawings…real simple explanations".

Drawing Board : How To Address SIFI

SIFI Framework

  • Size: As a starting point for a size-based definition, a financial firm would be considered systemically important if it accounts for at least 10 percent of the activities or assets of a principal financial sector or financial market or 5 percent of total financial market activities or assets.
  • Contagion: A financial institution would be considered systemically important if its failure could result in the collapse or freezing up of one or more important financial markets.
  • Correlation: Correlation, as a source of systemic importance, is also known as the “too many to fail” problem.
  • Concentration: Concentration has two important aspects: the size of the firm’s activities relative to the contestability of the market. That is, concentration is less likely to make a financial institution systemically important if, other things being equal, the activities of a distressed institution can easily be assumed by a new entrant into the market or by the expansion of an incumbent firm’s activities. Hence, it is logical to adjust concentration thresholds to account for contestability.
  • Conditions/Context: [Pertains to the fragility of the markets at the time, for example ...] New York Fed’s reluctance to allow the failure of Long-Term Capital Management resulted largely from the fragility of financial markets at that time—due to the Southeast Asian currency crises and the Russian default.10 This might explain, in part, why LTCM was treated as systemically important and Amaranth (which was more than twice as big) was not. Another example would be intervention to prevent the bankruptcy of Bear Stearns by merging it (with assistance) into JPMorgan Chase in early 2008, whereas Drexel Burnham Lambert was allowed to enter bankruptcy in early 1990. Firms that might be made systemically important by conditions/context are probably the most difficult


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Peace advocates have long been found among veterans who fought in America's wars

 

Peace advocates have long been found among veterans who fought in America's wars

Veterans for Peace gather for a Veterans Day ceremony at the Minnesota State Capitol mall, Nov. 11, 2014, in St. Paul. AP/Jim Mone

Courtesy of Michael Messner, University of Southern California – Dornsife College of Letters, Arts and Sciences

If President Donald Trump had gotten his way, the nation would have celebrated the centennial of the World War I armistice last year on Nov. 11 with ...



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Zero Hedge

China's Credit Creation Unexpectedly Collapses At The Worst Possible Time

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

Over the weekend, we observed that China's slumping wholesale inflation, or PPI, which is so critical for corporate profits and sparking benign, demand-driven inflation in the economy, and which in October tumbled to a three year low assuring that Chinese dumping and exports of deflation will only further depress global reflation efforts...

...



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Insider Scoop

6 Stocks To Watch For November 11, 2019

Courtesy of Benzinga

Some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are:

  • Wall Street expects Qurate Retail, Inc. (NASDAQ: QRTEA) to report quarterly earnings at $0.30 per share on revenue of $3.13 billion before the opening bell. Qurate Retail shares fell 0.2% to $9.38 in after-hours trading.
  • Pingtan Marine Enterprise Ltd (NASDAQ: PME) ...


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The Technical Traders

Welcome to the Zombie-land Of Investing - Part I

Courtesy of Technical Traders

This current market environment is very reminiscent of the 2006-08 market environment where price rotated into weakness on technicals and continued to establish new all-time price highs in the process – creating what we are calling a “zombie-land melt-up”.  This very dangerous price action is indicative of money chasing a falling trend.  Where technicals and fundamentals are suggesting that price is actually weakening quite substantial, yet the process of price exploration is continually biased towards the upside as investors continue to pile onto the back of the beast expecting a further melt-up.

Let’s take a look at what happened to the ES and Gold in 2006 an...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Gold Indicator Sending Fresh Bearish Message, Says Joe Friday!

Courtesy of Chris Kimble

Could the Gold/US Dollar ratio be sending a fresh concerning message to Gold bulls this week? Joe Friday says Yes!

This chart looks at the Gold/Dollar ratio over the past 8-years.

The intersection of two long-term channel met at (1) a few months ago. The ratio was testing the bottom of one as resistance and the top of another as resistance at the same time.

As the ratio was testing both channels as resistance, a sizeable bearish reversal pattern took place at (1).

Since the reversal pattern took place, the ratio has been heading lower.

Joe Friday Just The Facts Ma’am; The ratio is breaking below...



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Digital Currencies

3 Reasons Why One Trader Didn't "Manipulate" Bitcoin Price To $20K

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

Authored by William Suberg via CoinTelegraph.com,

Bitcoin price highs in 2017 were not the result of a single trader on an exchange, the CEO of payment company Circle claims. In a series of tweets on Nov. 4, Jeremy Allaire disputed ...



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Chart School

Gold Gann and Cycle Review

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

Gold has performed well, golden skies are here again. In fact it has been a straight line move, and this is typically unusual and a pause can be expected.

It seems the markets are happy again, new highs in the SP500, US 10 year interest rates look to re bound, negative interest may soften. The US FED has reversed their QT and now doing $250BN (not QE) repo. The main point is the FED has stopped QT, and will do QE forever. The evidence now is the FED put is under market risk and the possibility of excessive losses do not exist. 

Point: If in future if there is market risk, the FED will print it's way out of it.
Subject To: In this blog view. The above is so until the amount required rocks confidence in the US dollar as a reserve currency.&n...



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Lee's Free Thinking

Today's Fed POMO TOMO FOMC Alphabet Soup Unspin

Courtesy of Lee Adler

But make no mistake, if the Fed wants money rates to stay down by another quarter, it will need to imagineer even more money.

That’s on top of the $281 billion it has already imagineered into existence since addressing its “one-off” repo market emergency on September 17. This came via  “Temporary” Repo Man Operations money, and $70.6 billion in Permanent Open Market Operations (POMO) money.

By my calculations that averages out to $7.4 billion per business day. That works out to a monthly pace of $155 billion or so.

If they keep this up, it will be more than enough to absorb every penny of new Treasury supply. That supply had caused the system to run out of money in mid September.  This flood of paper had been inundati...



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Biotech

The Big Pharma Takeover of Medical Cannabis

Reminder: We are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

The Big Pharma Takeover of Medical Cannabis

Courtesy of  , Visual Capitalist

The Big Pharma Takeover of Medical Cannabis

As evidence of cannabis’ many benefits mounts, so does the interest from the global pharmaceutical industry, known as Big Pharma. The entrance of such behemoths will radically transform the cannabis industry—once heavily stigmatized, it is now a potentially game-changing source of growth for countless co...



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Mapping The Market

How IPOs Are Priced

Via Jean Luc 

Funny but probably true:

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Members' Corner

Despacito - How to Make Money the Old-Fashioned Way - SLOWLY!

Are you ready to retire?  

For most people, the purpose of investing is to build up enough wealth to allow you to retire.  In general, that's usually enough money to reliably generate a year's worth of your average income, each year into your retirement so that that, plus you Social Security, should be enough to pay your bills without having to draw down on your principle.

Unfortunately, as the last decade has shown us, we can't count on bonds to pay us more than 3% and the average return from the stock market over the past 20 years has been erratic - to say the least - with 4 negative years (2000, 2001, 2002 and 2008) and 14 positives, though mostly in the 10% range on the positives.  A string of losses like we had from 2000-02 could easily wipe out a decades worth of gains.

Still, the stock market has been better over the last 10 (7%) an...



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Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

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