Posts Tagged ‘KMX’

Bullish Options In Play As CarMax Shares Pop

 

Today’s tickers: KMX, AA & MCO

KMX - CarMax, Inc. – Shares in used vehicle retailer, CarMax, Inc., jumped 13% this morning to $33.00 on positive comments regarding revenue growth and same-store sales at ITG Research. The stock is off its earlier highs this afternoon, trading up 9.3% on the day at $31.90 as of 12:40 p.m. ET. Options traders flocked to CarMax options straight out of the gate this morning, snapping up calls across several expiries to position for further upside in the price of the underlying. Near-term bullish positioning in the front month options is heaviest at the Oct. $32 strike, where around 1,200 calls were purchased for an average premium of $0.50 apiece. Traders long the $32 calls stand ready to profit at October expiration in the event that KMX shares add 1.9% to the current price of $31.90 to exceed the average breakeven point at $32.50. Upside calls expiring November 16th attracted fresh interest, as well. Options traders picked up around 700 of the Nov. $33 strike call at an average premium of $0.92 each and purchased some 480 calls at the Nov. $34 strike for an average premium of $0.60 apiece. Call buyers that may see profits in the event that KMX shares soar to a new 52-week high by November expiration, bought more than 300 calls at the Nov. $35 strike for an average premium of $0.39 per contract. Buyers of the $35 strike call start making money if CarMax’s shares surge 11% over the current price of $31.90 to top $35.39 by expiration next month.

AA - Alcoa, Inc. – All eyes will be on aluminum producer, Alcoa, Inc., on Tuesday when the company reports third-quarter earnings after the closing bell. Shares in the name are bucking the trend on a down…
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Put Spreader Prepares For Possible Market Rout

Today’s tickers: EFA, KMX & ONNN

EFA - iShares MSCI EAFE Index Fund – A massive put spread on the EFA, an exchange-traded fund made up of stock in multinational companies such as Nestle, Novartis and BP, to name a few, suggests one big options player is prepared should equities stumble over the next few months. Shares in the index developed as an equity benchmark for international stock performance rallied 2.5% to $51.80 this afternoon as stocks across the board look to end the week on a positive note. The put spread initiated on the fund may serve as a life preserver for its owner if (when) the next negative headline from Europe rocks markets once more. The investor purchased 55,000 puts at the Jan. 2012 $49 strike for a premium of $2.27 each, and sold the same number of puts at the lower Jan. 2012 $43 strike at a premium of $1.07 apiece. Net premium paid to initiate the spread amounts to $1.20 per contract, or a total of $6.6 million. The spread positions the trader to profit in the event that shares in the ETF fall 7.7% to breach the effective breakeven point on the downside at $47.80 by January expiration. Maximum potential profits of $4.80 per contract are available on the spread – that amounts to a cool $26.4 million – should shares in the EFA tumble 17.0% over the next few months to trade below $43.00 at expiration. Shares in the fund slumped to a 52-week low of $45.45 as recently as October 4, but have not traded below $43.00 since May 2009.

KMX - CarMax, Inc. – A flurry of put activity on CarMax, Inc. pushed the used car retailer onto our ‘hot by options volume’ market scanner this morning. Shares in the Richmond, Virginia-based company rose 0.80% to $28.60 in the first half of the session. It looks like one investor binged on KMX puts, perhaps to take an outright bearish stance on the stock through the end of the year, or to provide varying degrees of downside protection on a long position in the underlying shares. The investor purchased roughly 200 puts at the Dec. $28 strike, the closest to-the-money available in the expiry, for a premium of $1.10 each. Buying continued at the Dec. $26 and $27 strikes, where the trader picked up more than 650 puts at each strike at average premiums of $0.56 and…
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Options Fly Following Juniper Networks Disappointment

    Today’s tickers: JNPR, IACI, KMX & NWL

JNPR - Juniper Networks, Inc. – Investors are initiating diverse options strategies on the largest maker of Internet networking equipment today in the aftermath of an earnings miss that sent shares in Juniper Networks down more than 20.0% to a new 52-week low of $24.72. It looks like some traders are bracing for shares to extend losses, while other investors position for the stock to rebound. Meanwhile, investors holding previously established bullish and bearish positions on the stock may be throwing in the towel or taking profits off the table given the nosedive in the price of the underlying today. Call and put options on JNPR are by far the most active in the front month. Traders hoping to see shares recover are buying to open positions in out-of-the-money calls, with notable fresh interest building in the August $26 strike call. The closest to-the-money August $25 strike call chances hands more than 5,400 times by 1:30 pm ET, but trading traffic here is decidedly mixed as both sellers and buyers of the contracts made their mark. Calls at the August $28 strike are the most heavily traded, with upwards of 6,600 contracts having changed hands against open interest of 1,377 positions. Sellers of these options for an average premium of $0.18 a-pop cast doubt that Juniper’s shares will recover above $28.00 ahead of August expiration in a few weeks time. Open interest is substantial in deep out-of-the-money calls, which lost nearly all of their value overnight and today trade for a penny or two post-earnings. Near-term puts are active, as well. Buyers of the August $25 strike put paid an average premium of $1.12 each for some 1,500 contracts. Put buyers profit if shares in JNPR extend losses to trade beneath the lower breakeven price of $23.88 by expiration day next month. Finally, the heaviest put action up at the August $26 and $27 strikes may be the work of an investor taking profits on well-placed pre-earnings bearish positions.…
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Zero Hedge

China Rescue Fails To Save EU, US Markets - Banks, Builders, & Bud Stocks Battered

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

What did China do...

Of course, everyone is talking about Chinese stocks - CHINEXT is up 10% in two days... if you fall for this manipulated idiocy, you deserve all you get. This was the biggest 2-day jump since the rescue of Chinese stocks after August 2015's devaluation crashed stocks...

...



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Phil's Favorites

SUDDENLY...

 

SUDDENLY…

Courtesy of 

The environment has been changing but it’s only really become part of the investor consciousness within the last two weeks: Suddenly, cash has a cost. Money isn’t free. Not every business model makes sense. Not every hurdle for investment is sitting an inch or so off the ground.

It’s this normalization of interest rates which, despite it being in effect for three years now, that has all of a sudden gotten some attention.

The yield on a 10-year Treasury now stands above 3%, and se...



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Insider Scoop

Morgan Stanley Downgrades A Fleet Of Freight Stocks

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Related UNP 8 Biggest Price Target Changes For Monday Benzinga's Top Upgrades, Downgrades For October 22, 2018 ...

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Kimble Charting Solutions

Stock Market Crash Deja Vu? Keep An Eye On This Pattern!

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

Just over 3 weeks ago, I shared a chart looking at the divergence that has been brewing under the surface of the S&P 500 (NYSEARCA:SPY). Since that post, the S&P 500 finds itself in a deep pullback, with other key stock market indices hitting correction territory at their lows.

Today we provide another look at the divergence and highlight why it’s time for investors to pay closer attention. In the chart below, we compare today’s setup to 2000 and 2007 and the market crashes that followed.  Note, though, that we have NOT broken trend support yet.

Similar to today, in 2000 and 2007 the S&P 500 made a...



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Chart School

History Rhymes with the Dow

Courtesy of Read the Ticker.

The next 10 years, or even the next 2 years will not be like any of the years in the past 10. Risk is moving closer and closer to the surface.

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Market risks coming to the surface:

1) Higher interest rates.

2) US Congress control.

3) China vs USA in trade.

4) World wide Leverage.

5) World wide liquidity issues.

6) US Pensions.

7) Corporate bond market....



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Digital Currencies

Grocers: Get ready to join the blockchain party

 

Grocers: Get ready to join the blockchain party

Five people died and more than 200 got sick during a 2018 E. coli outbreak, the largest in more than a decade. The bacteria was traced to contaminated romaine lettuce. (Shutterstock)

Courtesy of Sylvain Charlebois, Dalhousie University

In the wake of this year’s large E. coli outbreak, Walmart notified its leafy green suppliers that they must be using blockchain technology to trace their products before the end of 2019.

Walmart, one of the world’s largest retailers, has be...



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ValueWalk

Vilas Fund Up 55% In Q3; 3Q18 Letter: A Bull Market In Bearish Forecasts

By Jacob Wolinsky. Originally published at ValueWalk.

The Vilas Fund, LP letter for the third quarter ended September 30, 2018; titled, “A Bull Market in Bearish Forecasts.”

Ever since the financial crisis, there has been a huge fascination with predictions of the next “big crash” right around the next corner. Whether it is Greece, Italy, Chinese debt, the “overvalued” stock market, the Shiller Ratio, Puerto Rico, underfunded pensions in Illinois and New Jersey, the Fed (both for QE a few years ago and now for removing QE), rising interest rates, Federal budget deficits, peaking profit margins, etc...



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Members' Corner

Why obvious lies still make good propaganda

 

This is very good; it's about "firehosing", a type of propaganda, and how it works.

Why obvious lies still make good propaganda

A 2016 report described Russian propaganda as:
• high in volume
• rapid, continuous and repetitive
• having no commitment to objective reality
• lacking consistency

...

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Biotech

Gene-editing technique CRISPR identifies dangerous breast cancer mutations

Reminder: Pharmboy is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

Gene-editing technique CRISPR identifies dangerous breast cancer mutations

Breast cancer type 1 (BRCA1) is a human tumor suppressor gene, found in all humans. Its protein, also called by the synonym BRCA1, is responsible for repairing DNA. ibreakstock/Shutterstock.com

By Jay Shendure, University of Washington; Greg Findlay, ...



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Mapping The Market

Mistakes were Made. (And, Yes, by Me.)

Via Jean-Luc:

Famed investor reflecting on his mistakes:

Mistakes were Made. (And, Yes, by Me.)

One that stands out for me:

Instead of focusing on how value factors in general did in identifying attractive stocks, I rushed to proclaim price-to-sales the winner. That was, until it wasn’t. I guess there’s a reason for the proclamation “The king is dead, long live the king” when a monarchy changes hands. As we continued to update the book, price-to-sales was no longer the “best” single value factor, replaced by others, depending upon the time frames examined. I had also become a lot more sophisticated in my analysis—thanks to criticism of my earlier work—and realized that everything, including factors, moves in and out of favor, depending upon the market environment. I also realized...



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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of September 11th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



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Promotions

Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"

 

 

Here's a free ebook for you to check out! 

Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

Some other great content in this free eBook includes:

 

·       How 2017 Will Affect Oil, the US Dollar and the European Union

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All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: Harlan is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Click here for the full report.




To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

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