Posts Tagged ‘MDR’

Short-Term Bullish Bets On Yahoo Performing As Shares Push Higher

 

Today’s tickers: YHOO, FWLT & MDR

YHOO - Yahoo!, Inc. – Near-term bullish positions established on Yahoo yesterday are working for some options players on Friday, with shares in the name rallying as much as 4.5% this morning to $22.28, the highest level since July 2008. On Thursday, we noted upside call buying at the Mar. 08 ’13 $22 strike. More than 3,000 of the $22 strike weekly calls changed hands yesterday, with much of the volume purchased at an average premium of $0.11 per contract. Continued gains in the price of the underlying shares since then has pushed the value of those contracts up sharply overnight, with premium on the $22 strike calls nearly quadrupling to $0.40 as of 11:20 a.m. ET. Trading traffic in Yahoo weeklies this morning suggests some strategists are looking for short-term bullish positions to pay off next week as well. Volume in the Mar. 08 ’13 $22.5 strike calls is approaching 4,300 contracts versus open interest of 117 lots, and much of the volume appears to have been purchased in the early going for an average premium of $0.14 apiece. Buyers of the $22.5 strike call options may profit if shares in Yahoo continue to hit fresh multi-year highs next week.

MDR - McDermott International, Inc. – Shares in the provider of off-shore drilling platforms are down 13.75% at $10.97 this afternoon, wiping out all gains realized year-to-date, following the company’s fourth-quarter earnings report after the closing bell on Thursday. The company swung to a fourth-quarter profit, but projected 2013 revenue below average analyst expectations. A sizable position initiated in MDR puts ahead of the earnings report has benefited one strategist, with the value of the bearish options soaring overnight. It looks like the trader purchased 3,000 puts at the Mar. $12 strike yesterday afternoon for a premium of $0.30 per contract. The subsequent double-digit percentage drop in the price of the underlying lifted premium on the $12 strike put options to as high as $1.15 each this morning. The put buyer…
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Morgan Stanley Options Active As JPM Errs

 

Today’s tickers: MS, EWZ & MDR

MS - Morgan Stanley – JPMorgan’s trading loss troubles, which brought the shares down nearly 10.0% this morning, weighed heavily on Morgan Stanley as well. Shares in the financial services firm earlier fell 5.8% to an intraday and four-month low of $14.70. Options traders expecting MS to bounce back next week picked up cheapened upside exposure in the form of May expiry calls. The bullish plays may be winning propositions in the event of a near term recovery in the price of the underlying. Traders purchased around 2,100 of the May $14 strike calls for an average premium of $1.05 apiece, and picked up more than 4,800 calls at the higher May $15 strike at an average premium of $0.36 each. Premiums on the $14 and $15 strike calls have moved higher during the session as shares in the name recovered off the morning lows. Strategists holding in-the-money contracts with one week remaining to expiration face average breakeven prices of $15.05 and $15.36, respectively.

EWZ - iShares MSCI Brazil Index Fund – Shares in the EWZ, currently up 0.75% on the day at $57.53, may extend gains in the near term by the looks of bullish positioning in the June expiry options this morning. Call options on the fund are most active out at the June $60 strike, where more than 36,000 contracts changed hands against open interest of 9,244 positions. Most of the calls appear to have been purchased for an average premium of $0.80 apiece. The single largest stake, a block of 29,707 calls, was picked up just before 11:00 a.m. ET this morning. Call buyers stand ready to profit at expiration next month in the event that shares in the Brazil ETF rally 5.7% to top the average breakeven…
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Visa Traders Turn Call-Sellers After Regulatory Change

Today’s tickers: V, VIX, SY, TIVO & MDR

V – Visa Inc. – The decision to allow the Federal Reserve to regulate and therefore pressure fees charged by debit-card companies hampered shares at Visa today and in late morning trading they are 8% lower at $79.00. The slide slices the share price right through two five-dollar-wide strike prices and with options expiration next weekend, call sellers were quick to capture premiums available at the May 80 strike where 10,000 contracts have traded within a price range of $2.32 to $1.18. At its present share price those call options are worth nothing but the hope value they carry in the event of a recovery next week. Investors also boosted put premiums from a close yesterday at 73 cents to as high as $3.50 per contract at the May 80 line. Implied options volatility rose a further 8% to 38.7% today as uncertainty for the financial sector grew.

VIX – CBOE Vix Index – As investors’ trading screens once again turn a familiar red as Eurozone fears grow, the flashing red light of the CBOE’s Vix index heads inevitably higher. On Friday the index leapt 17% to stand at 31.33. It’s still well beneath the panic-driven peak of last week when it ran up to 42.15, yet today’s reading is the highest point in between then and now. One investor appeared to extend a bet that volatility is set to remain omnipresent using a 50,000 lot calendar call spread that appears to roll forward protection from May expiration to the June contract. The order combined the same amount of May call options at the 35 strike with June calls at the 37.5 strike. The net cost of the trade was $1.20 per contract.

SY – Sybase Inc. – Option trading indicates little upside room for Sybase after Germany’s SAP said it would pay $65 per share to acquire the enterprise software business. Having shot up from $40 before the deal to more than $65 yesterday option sellers appear to be writing chunks of $65 strike calls in the June and September contracts probably because they expect to see further declines in volatility and little improvement in an already generous deal that boosted the company’s capitalization by 63% in a stroke. The June call options carrying a $65 strike price have traded 13,000 times mainly at a 25-cent premium, while the September contract…
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Simon Properties upgrade leaves option traders with butterflies

Today’s tickers: SPG, AMR, EEM, MDR, EFA, EWZ, IP & M

SPG Simon Property Group, Inc. – The real estate investment trust (REIT) has experienced a significant rally of more than 9% to $42.16 today and was added to the ‘conviction buy’ list at Goldman Sachs. SPG appeared on our ‘most active by options volume’ market scanner after one investor established a long butterfly spread in the July contract. The purchase of 5,000 puts at the July 20 strike for 90 cents apiece (wing 1) and the purchase of 5,000 puts at the July 40 strike for 6.70 each (wing 2) were spread against the sale of 10,000 puts at the July 30 strike price for a premium of 2.80 per contract (body). The net cost of the transaction amounts to 2.00 (0.90 [wing 1] + 6.70 [wing 2] – (2.80*2 [body]) = 2.00). This investor will gain the maximum potential profit of 8.00 if shares settle at $30.00 by expiration. This strategy implies that he is hoping shares will fall from the current level through the breakeven point located at $38.00, at which point profits begin to amass to the downside. Should shares continue to rally rather than plummet, the most this trader can lose is the 2.00 he paid for the strategy. In order to reel in the full 8.00 of potential profits, shares would need to decline by 29% from the current price.

AMR AMR Corporation – American Airlines parent corporation, AMR, has experienced a huge share price rally as the stock jumped by more than 16% today to $4.90 after the company revealed narrower than expected first-quarter losses. AMR continues to struggle in this recessionary climate, but looks for travel demand to rise by the middle of the year. Option investors welcomed the better-than-expected results and were seen taking bullish stances on the company. At the May 5.0 strike price, 10,800 calls were purchased for an average premium of 70 cents per contract. One investor sold 6,850 puts at the May 4.0 strike price for 30 cents apiece in order to fund the purchase of 6,850 of the calls picked up at the May 5.0 strike. Finally, bullish investors looking to fly higher selected the May 6.0 strike where more than 3,400 calls were coveted for an average premium of 28 cents. Shares would need to continue on the up-and-up and gain another 22% in order…
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Zero Hedge

FDA Approves Gilead's Remdesivir To Treat COVID-19 Despite Data Showing Drug Doesn't Work

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

Despite reams of data from an international WHO study raising serious questions about its efficacy, the FDA has finally approved the use of Gilead Science's remdesivir - a powerful antiviral originally developed to treat ebola - for the treatment of COVID-19, making it the first such drug approved to treat the virus in the US.

The FDA first granted the drug emergency authorization in May, allowing hospitals and ...



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Phil's Favorites

SPINNING WHEEL

 

SPINNING WHEEL

Courtesy of Almost Daily Grant's

Top of the heap no more. International Business Machines Corp. reported third quarter earnings on Monday, including $17.56 billion in revenues.  That’s down 2.6% from a year ago and 3.1% sequentially and the weakest result since the first quarter of 1997. 

While $2.58 in headline earnings per share was down 4% from a year ago, a series of salutary one-time adjustments spruced up that figure, which was 27% above the $1.89 per share derived from generally accepted accounting principles.  Even those GAAP results were flattered by a meager 7% corporate tax rate.  In 1985, when then-dominant IBM commanded a 6.4% share of the market cap-weighted S&P 500 (a record single-stock concentrati...



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Politics

How to track your mail-in ballot

 

How to track your mail-in ballot

Make sure you know when your ballot is arriving, and whether it’s been accepted for counting back at your election office. erhui1979/DigitalVision Vectors via Getty Images

Courtesy of Steven Mulroy, University of Memphis

Many voters who want to participate in the election by mail are concerned about when they’ll receive their ballot – and whether it will get back in time to be counted.

The pandemic has caused interest in ...



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ValueWalk

A New Judge At The Expense Of COVID Relief

By Ankur Shah. Originally published at ValueWalk.

What’s At Stake for Small Businesses with another Conservative Supreme Court Confirmation?

Q3 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more

Press Call - Monday - 2pm ET - Register

Senate Wants A New Judge At ...

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Biotech/COVID-19

Disney's pivot to streaming is a sign of severe COVID economic crisis still to come

 

Image by Eiji Kikuta from Pixabay

 

Disney’s pivot to streaming is a sign of severe COVID economic crisis still to come

Courtesy of Hamza Mudassir, Cambridge Judge Business School

Disney has announced a significant restructuring o...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Doc Copper/Gold Indicator Breaking Out Again?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble

The Doc Copper/Gold ratio broke above a 2-year falling channel back in 2016 at (1). Following this breakout, it rallied for the next year. During that year, Copper related assets did very well!

The ratio peaked in the summer of 2018 and created a series of lower highs over the past two years.

The strength of late has the ratio attempting to break above dual resistance at (2).

If the ratio continues to push higher and succeeds in breaking out, Copper, Basic Materials (XLB), and ...



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Chart School

Dow Gann Angle Update

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

Time to see what happens to the Dow post US elections.

The Dow Gann Angle Target 3 (from 2007 top) is on the table, and what a ride that will be. The FED went BRRRRR is all the fundamental news you need to know. Gann angles are very good tool to see how the masses are pushing price.


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The last two US elections saw Bitcoin and the DOW rally well for 6 months, due to stimulus. The most bearish 2020 US Election case for the markets is a Biden win with the Senate and Congress controlled by the Democrats, somehow this blog feels that is very unlikely. So what could go wrong!


...

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Digital Currencies

Bitcoin: the UK and US are clamping down on crypto trading - here's why it's not yet a big deal

 

Bitcoin: the UK and US are clamping down on crypto trading – here's why it's not yet a big deal

Where there’s a bit there’s a writ. Novikov Aleksey

Courtesy of Gavin Brown, University of Liverpool

The sale and promotion of derivatives of bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies to amateur investors is being banned in the UK by the financial regulator, the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA). It is a...



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Mapping The Market

COVID-19 Forces More Than Half of Asset Management Firms to Accelerate Adoption of Digital Marketing Technology

By Jacob Wolinsky. Originally published at ValueWalk.

There is no doubt that the use of technology to support client engagement initiatives brings both opportunities and threats but this has been brought into sharp focus this year with the COVID-19 pandemic.

The crisis has brought to the fore the need for firms to enable flexibility in client engagement – the expectation that providers will communicate to clients on their terms, at their speed and frequency and on their preferred channels, is now a given. This is even more critical when clients are experiencing unparalleled anxiety from both market conditions and their own personal circumstances.

...

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The Technical Traders

Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling System Suggests Market Peak May Be Near

Courtesy of Technical Traders

Our Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system is suggesting a moderate price peak may be already setting up in the NASDAQ while the Dow Jones, S&P500, and Transportation Index continue to rally beyond the projected Fibonacci Price Expansion Levels.  This indicates that capital may be shifting away from the already lofty Technology sector and into Basic Materials, Financials, Energy, Consumer Staples, Utilities, as well as other sectors.

This type of a structural market shift indicates a move away from speculation and towards Blue Chip returns. It suggests traders and investors are expecting the US consumer to come back strong (or at least hold up the market at...



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Lee's Free Thinking

Texas, Florida, Arizona, Georgia - The Branch COVIDIANS Are Still Burning Down the House

 

Texas, Florida, Arizona, Georgia – The Branch COVIDIANS Are Still Burning Down the House

Courtesy of Lee Adler, WallStreetExaminer 

The numbers of new cases in some of the hardest hit COVID19 states have started to plateau, or even decline, over the past few days. A few pundits have noted it and concluded that it was a hopeful sign. 

Is it real or is something else going on? Like a restriction in the numbers of tests, or simply the inability to test enough, or are some people simply giving up on getting tested? Because as we all know from our dear leader, the less testing, the less...



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Insider Scoop

Economic Data Scheduled For Friday

Courtesy of Benzinga

  • Data on nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate for March will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET.
  • US Services Purchasing Managers' Index for March is scheduled for release at 9:45 a.m. ET.
  • The ISM's non-manufacturing index for March will be released at 10:00 a.m. ET.
  • The Baker Hughes North American rig count report for the latest week is scheduled for release at 1:00 p.m. ET.
...

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Promotions

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Feb. 26, 1pm EST

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Phil will discuss positions, COVID-19, market volatility -- the selloff -- and more! 

This week, we also have a special presentation from Mike Anton of TradeExchange.com. It's a new service that we're excited to be a part of! 

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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