Posts Tagged ‘MTG’

Upside Calls Active On Aetna Ahead Of Earnings

 

Today’s tickers: AET, MTG & GNTX

AET - Aetna Inc. – Shares in Aetna, up 25% since the end of July, tacked on 1.6% this morning to touch an intraday high of $44.23. Heavy call options activity on the stock today suggests some traders are positioning for shares in the health insurer to extend gains in the near term. Call options on AET are far more active than puts, with the call-to-put ratio topping 37-to-1 in early-afternoon trade. Much of the trading traffic in Aetna options today occurred at the Nov. $45 strike, where upwards of 10,000 calls changed hands against open interest of 2,200 contracts. It looks like most of the call options were purchased in the first hour of the trading session at a premium of $1.12 per contract. Traders long the $45 strike calls stand ready to profit at expiration next month should Aetna’s shares rally another 4.3% to top the breakeven price of $46.12. Bullish positioning also spread to the higher Nov. $46 strike, where it looks like some 620 calls were purchased for an average premium of $0.88 apiece. These contracts may be profitable come expiration given a 5% increase in the price of the underlying to $46.88. Aetna Inc. is scheduled to report third-quarter earnings prior to the open on Thursday.

MTG - MGIC Investment Corp. – Mortgage insurer, MGIC Investment Corp., was among the most active names by options volume this morning after one strategist initiated a sizable bull call spread in the January 2013 expiry options. Shares in MTG ticked higher earlier in the session, but currently trade flat on the day at $2.02 as of 11:45 a.m. ET, ahead of the company’s third-quarter earnings report due out after the closing bell. It looks like one trader purchased roughly 10,000 calls at the Jan. 2013 $2.5 strike for a premium of $0.38 apiece, and sold around the same number of calls at the higher Jan. 2013 $3.0…
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Lam Research Options Draw Optimistic Crowd

Today’s tickers: LRCX, AZN, BRCD, F, MTG, RSH & FL

LRCX – Lam Research Corp. – Contrarian option players initiated bullish trades on Lam Research Corporation today even though shares are trading 7% lower to $32.79. Investors sold nearly 5,000 in-the-money put options at the March $35 strike for an average premium of $1.71 apiece. Put-sellers are perhaps positioning for a rebound in the price of the underlying stock ahead of expiration next month. Traders keep the $1.71 premium per contract on the sale only if LRCX’s shares rally above $35.00 by expiration day. Short-put sellers receive the premium in exchange for bearing the risk that the puts land in-the-money at expiration and shares of the underlying stock are put to them at an effective price of $33.29 apiece. Optimism spread to the April $35 strike where 1,000 calls were picked up for an average premium of $1.15 apiece. Lam Research’s shares must jump 10.25% from the current value before call-buyers start to accumulate profits above the breakeven share price of $36.15. The increase in demand for options on LRCX today boosted options implied volatility on the stock about 11.1% to 37.54%.

AZN – AstraZeneca PLC – A bearish risk reversal was initiated on pharmaceuticals firm, AstraZeneca, today despite news the firm is raising its 2010 earnings outlook to $5.90-$6.30 per share up from $5.75-$6.15 per share. AstraZeneca improved its 2010 outlook after revealing plans to pay $783 million to settle a tax dispute with United Kingdom regulators. Shares were up earlier in the session, but are currently trading lower by less than 0.10% to $43.51. The pessimistic play involved the sale of 5,000 calls at the July $50 strike for a premium of $0.60 apiece, spread against the purchase of 5,000 puts at the lower July $40 strike for a premium of $1.35 each. The net cost of the reversal transaction amounts to $0.75 per contract. The investor responsible for the trade is perhaps hoping to accumulate profits to the downside should the stock trade beneath the breakeven share price of $39.25 by expiration in July.

BRCD – Brocade Communications Systems, Inc. – The supplier of networking equipment forecast maximum 2010 earnings of $0.58 per share, which underwhelmed analysts expecting $0.60 per share. A plethora of analyst downgrades combined with the lower-than-expected 2010 profit forecast pummeled Brocade’s share price down 23.50% to $5.32 today. BRCD was downgraded to ‘hold’…
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Gold Bulls and Bears Place Bets on Bullion

Today’s tickers: GLD, MTG, ACN, BAC, HUN, PSS, ARO, HUN, APWR & FDO

GLD – SPDR Gold Trust ETF – Surprise, surprise…shares of the gold exchange-traded fund reached another record high by climbing up to $119.42 today. We observed one investor initiate a contrarian play in the January 2010 contract. The trader established a bearish risk reversal by selling 4,000 calls at the January 120 strike for 3.65 apiece, spread against the purchase of 4,000 puts at the same strike for 4.60 each. The net cost of the spread amounts to 95 cents per contract. The trader, if long shares of the underlying, enacted downside protection to hedge against potential declines in the price of gold through expiration in January. Perhaps this investor believes gold has peaked, at least as far as the next couple of months are concerned. In contrast, longer-term trading in the September contract was decidedly bullish. The trader sold 5,750 puts at the September 117 strike for 9.35 apiece in order to finance the purchase of the same number of calls at the higher September 140 strike for an average premium of 5.88 each. The investor banks a net credit of 3.47 per contract on the transaction, which he retains in full as long as shares remain higher than $117.00 through expiration. Additional profits amass if shares jump 17% to surpass the $140-level by expiration in September.

MGT – MGIC Investments Corp. – Bullish investors populated MGIC Investments Corporation with various optimistic option strategies throughout the trading day. Shares surged 20% to $5.10 after its Wisconsin regulator waived minimum capital requirements for two years. This permits the company to continue selling coverage despite nine straight quarterly losses. Investor reacted by picking up nearly 5,000 calls at the now in-the-money December 5.0 strike for an average premium of 30 cents apiece. Call-buyers will profit if MTG’s shares surpass the breakeven price of $5.30 by expiration. Additional bullish transactions appeared in the January 2010 and March 2010 contracts. Optimistic individuals shed 3,000 puts at the January 5.0 strike for 60 cents premium apiece. Investors retain the premium received on the sale if shares remain above $5.00 through January’s expiration day. Put-sellers stand ready to have shares of the underlying stock put to them at an effective price of $4.40 per share if the puts land in-the-money. Finally, another chunk of 5,000 puts were sold at the March 5.0…
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Phil's Favorites

Goldman Sachs Refuses to Say If It Was Placing Trades for Dallas Fed President Kaplan as Materially False Statement Released by Board on Kaplan's Relationship with Goldman Sachs

Courtesy of Pam Martens

Federal Reserve Building in Washington, D.C.

The biggest trading scandal in the Federal Reserve’s 108-year history took down two Federal Reserve Bank Presidents yesterday. Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren, who traded in and out of REITs last year in amounts of $1,000 to $50,000, will leave this Thursday; Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan, whose trading made Rosengren look like a Boy Scout, will step down from his post at the e...



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Zero Hedge

Blain: The Threat Board Is Looking Busy

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

Authored by Bill Blain via MorningPorridge.com,

“Many people have speculated that if we knew exactly why the bowl of petunias had thought that we would know a lot more about the nature of the Universe than we do now.”

Markets are never as bad as you fear, but never as good as you hope. The Threat Board has seldom looked so complex: we can try to predict outcomes, but its notoriously difficult. The list of potential ignition points seems to be expanding ex...



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Biotech/COVID-19

New Johnson & Johnson data shows second shot boosts antibodies and protection against COVID-19 - but one dose is still strong against delta variant

 

New Johnson & Johnson data shows second shot boosts antibodies and protection against COVID-19 – but one dose is still strong against delta variant

Public health officials have been waiting for good data before making any decisions about booster shots for people who received Johnson & Johnson’s Janssen COVID-19 vaccine. AP Photo/Mary Altaffer

Courtesy of Maureen Ferran, Rochester Institute of Technology ...



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Chart School

Silver during periods of Industrial Inflation

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

When industrial inflation is hotter than consumer inflation silver does well.

Previous Post: Silver, after the FED said taper talk is a long way off

In the chart below we see the relationship between silver and the yield curve and the Producer Price Inflation. 

The yield curve is the US 30 yr interest rate less the Fed Funds interest rate (blue line). When the blue line is high a steep yield curve is present, and when it is low a flat yield curve is present. A steep yield curve is when longer term rates are higher than short term rates vica versa for a flat yi...

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Digital Currencies

China Declares All Virtual Currency Transactions "Illegal", Sending Crypto Prices Tumbling

Courtesy of ZeroHedge

China expanded its escalating crackdown on cryptocurrencies on Friday when its central bank declared that all activities related to digital coins are “illegal” and must be banned.

In a statement dated Sept. 15 but was only posted onto the central bank’s website at 5 p.m. local time on Friday, the People’s Bank of China said the latest notice was to further prevent the risks surrounding crypto trading and to maintain national security and social stability.

Naming bitcoin, ether and tether as examples, the centra...



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Politics

'What Betrayal Looks Like': UN Report Says World on Track for 2.7°C of Warming by 2100

 

Image by Gerd Altmann from Pixabay

'What Betrayal Looks Like': UN Report Says World on Track for 2.7°C of Warming by 2100

"Whatever our so-called 'leaders' are doing," said Swedish climate activist Greta Thunberg, "they are doing it wrong."

By Jake Johnson, Common Dreams

The United Nations warned Friday t...



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Promotions

Phil's Interview on Options Trading with TD Bank

TD Bank's host Bryan Rogers interviewed Phil on June 10 as part of TD's Options Education Month. If you missed the program, be sure to watch the video below. It should be required viewing for anyone trading or thinking about trading using options. 

Watch here:

TD's webinar with Phil (link) or right here at PSW

Screenshots of TD's slides illustrating Phil's examples:

 

 

&n...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Crude Oil Cleared For Blast Off On This Dual Breakout?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble

Is Crude Oil about to blast off and hit much higher prices? It might be worth being aware of what could be taking place this month in this important commodity!

Crude Oil has created lower highs over the past 13-years, since peaking back in 2008, along line (1).

It created a “Double Top at (2), then it proceeded to decline more than 60% in four months.

The countertrend rally in Crude Oil has it attempting to break above its 13-year falling resistance as well as its double top at (3).

A successful breakout at (3) would suggest Crude Oil is about to mo...



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ValueWalk

Managing Investments As A Charity Or Nonprofit

By Anna Peel. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Maintaining financial viability is a constant challenge for charities and nonprofit organizations.

Q4 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more

The past year has underscored that challenge. The pandemic has not just affected investment returns – it’s also had serious implications for charitable activities and the ability to fundraise. For some organizations, it’s even raised doubts about whether they can continue to operate.

Finding ways to generate long-term, sustainable returns for ...



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Mapping The Market

Suez Canal: Critical Waterway Comes to a Halt

 

Suez Canal: Critical Waterway Comes to a Halt

Courtesy of Marcus Lu, Visual Capitalist

The Suez Canal: A Critical Waterway Comes to a Halt

On March 23, 2021, a massive ship named Ever Given became lodged in the Suez Canal, completely blocking traffic in both directions. According to the Suez Canal Authority, the 1,312 foot long (400 m) container ship ran aground during a sandstorm that caused low visibility, impacting the ship’s navigation. The vessel is owned by Taiwanese shipping firm, Evergreen Marine.

With over 2...



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The Technical Traders

Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling System Suggests Market Peak May Be Near

Courtesy of Technical Traders

Our Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system is suggesting a moderate price peak may be already setting up in the NASDAQ while the Dow Jones, S&P500, and Transportation Index continue to rally beyond the projected Fibonacci Price Expansion Levels.  This indicates that capital may be shifting away from the already lofty Technology sector and into Basic Materials, Financials, Energy, Consumer Staples, Utilities, as well as other sectors.

This type of a structural market shift indicates a move away from speculation and towards Blue Chip returns. It suggests traders and investors are expecting the US consumer to come back strong (or at least hold up the market at...



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Lee's Free Thinking

Texas, Florida, Arizona, Georgia - The Branch COVIDIANS Are Still Burning Down the House

 

Texas, Florida, Arizona, Georgia – The Branch COVIDIANS Are Still Burning Down the House

Courtesy of Lee Adler, WallStreetExaminer 

The numbers of new cases in some of the hardest hit COVID19 states have started to plateau, or even decline, over the past few days. A few pundits have noted it and concluded that it was a hopeful sign. 

Is it real or is something else going on? Like a restriction in the numbers of tests, or simply the inability to test enough, or are some people simply giving up on getting tested? Because as we all know from our dear leader, the less testing, the less...



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Insider Scoop

Economic Data Scheduled For Friday

Courtesy of Benzinga

  • Data on nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate for March will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET.
  • US Services Purchasing Managers' Index for March is scheduled for release at 9:45 a.m. ET.
  • The ISM's non-manufacturing index for March will be released at 10:00 a.m. ET.
  • The Baker Hughes North American rig count report for the latest week is scheduled for release at 1:00 p.m. ET.
...

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Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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