Posts Tagged ‘PBPB’

Paper Profits On Potbelly Puts

Investors in Potbelly Corp. (Ticker: PBPB) suffered a swift kick to the gut on Thursday with shares in the name plunging 25% to $10.95 after the company’s annual profit and quarterly revenue forecast came in lower than analysts’ estimates. U.S. stocks opened sharply lower, but are well off the lows of the session with the S&P 500 Index down roughly 0.30% at 1,967 as of 2:15 p.m. ET after earlier dipping to as low as 1,951.72 near the open.
Trading in Potbelly put options on Wednesday signaled at least one trader was bracing for sizable declines in the price of the underlying shares during the next few months. The most traded contracts on PBPB yesterday were the Oct 12.5 strike puts. All told, it looks like approximately 3,000 of the 12.5 strike puts were purchased yesterday afternoon for an average premium of $0.58 each. The move in the stock price since the bearish position was initiated pushed premium on the now in-the-money put options skyward. At last check premium required to purchase the Oct 12.5 strike put is hovering around $2.05 per contract.
The most traded contracts by volume on Potbelly today look for longer-term recovery in the price of the underlying stock. Approximately 1,000 of the Jan ’15 10.0 strike calls have traded against open interest of just 30 contracts. Time and sales data indicates most of the volume was purchased at a premium of $2.25 each. Buyers of the 10.0 strike calls may profit at expiration in the event that shares in PBPB rally 11% over the current price of $11.02 to exceed the breakeven price of $12.25 by January expiration.


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Potbelly Options In Focus As Stock Soars After Earnings

PBPB – Potbelly Inc. – Better than expected third-quarter earnings reported by sandwich purveyor Potbelly on Tuesday pushed shares in the name up as much as 20% today to $32.57, the highest level since October 8th. The blowout earnings report is the first quarterly release from the sandwich chain since the company’s IPO six weeks prior.

Upside calls purchased on PBPB yesterday ahead of the company’s earnings release are generating sizable gains for some traders today. The Nov $30 strike calls were active on Tuesday, with a burst of trading traffic observed during the final 10 minutes of the session yesterday. It looks like much of the late-day activity was the work of one trader buying approximately 450 of the $30 calls, most at a premium of $0.55 each. The sharp rally in Potbelly shares today now finds the $30 strike call options changing hands at $1.25 per contract as of 11:15 a.m. EST.

Overall options volume on PBPB of around 2,900 contracts this morning is well above the stock’s average daily volume of close to 400 contracts. The bulk of the trading is in Potbelly calls, with the call/put ratio near 4.5 as of the time of this writing. 

RLD – RealD Inc. – Shares in the licenser of 3D and visual technologies to motion picture exhibitors are spiking today, up as much as 27% to touch $8.89, the highest level since August 26th, after the company reported a narrower than expected second-quarter loss.

Options changing hands on RealD this morning indicates some traders are positioning for shares in the name to extend gains during the next few months. The most traded contracts on RLD thus far in the session are the Feb ’14 $10 strike calls, with upwards of 790 lots in play against open interest of 302 contracts. Time and sales data suggests most of the volume was purchased at a premium of $0.50 each. Traders long the $10 calls stand ready to profit at expiration next year in the event that RealD shares rally another 18% over today’s high of $8.89 to exceed the breakeven price of $10.50. 


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Zero Hedge

European Carmakers Face Perfect Storm

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

Authored by Irina Slav via OilPrice.com,

European carmakers are facing what could turn out to be a major crisis cooked up by EU regulators, and it’s all about EVs and emissions. The former are supposed to help solve the problem with the latter, but the likelihood of success is uncertain because there are literally millions of variables: car buyers.

The EU has been enforcing emission ...



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Phil's Favorites

Black Hole Investing

 

Black Hole Investing

Courtesy of John Mauldin, Thoughts from the Frontline 

Scientists say the rules change in a cosmic “black hole” at what astrophysicists call the event horizon. How do they know that? Not by observation, since what happens in there is, by definition, un-seeable. They infer it from the surroundings, which say that the mathematics of the universe as we understand them change at the event horizon.

Or maybe not. One theory says we are all inside a black hole right now. That could possibly explain a few things about central bank policy. ...



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The Technical Traders

Crude Oil Setting Up For A Downside Price Rotation

Courtesy of Technical Traders

Crude Oil has been trading in a fairly narrow range since mid-August – between $52 and $57 ppb.  Our Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) predictive modeling system suggested the downside price move in late July/early August was expected and the current support aligns very well with our ADL predictions of higher price rotation throughout most of September/October.  Please take a minute to review the original research post below :

July 10, 2019: ...



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Insider Scoop

The Street Reacts To Kroger's Q2 With Mixed Takeaways

Courtesy of Benzinga

Kroger Co (NYSE: KR) reported second-quarter results that came in better than expected. The earnings beat may have been overshadowed by management's decision to remove its prior guidance of $400 million in incremental EBIT by fiscal 2021.

Q2 A Mix Of Positives And Negativ...

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Chart School

Dow to 38,000 by 2022

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

President Trump said the Dow would be 10,000 points higher if it was not for the FED. In truth if the Dow breaks to new all time highs the next stop is 38,000 and he may be proven correct. Is there an election on? 

Of course who knows? But lets continue. 

The fundamentals behind this may be:

  • A good deal with China.
  • The FED turning on easy money with further rate cuts (very strange with a market near all time highs). FOMC Sept 17th well tell us more.
  • The above turbo charging stock buy backs.
  • Off shore money running out of foreign equity markets in to US markets (see note1).

Note1: Of course this has happened before, one particular time was just before O...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Bond Yields Due For Rally After Declining More Than 1987 Stock Crash

Courtesy of Chris Kimble

U.S. Treasury Bond Yields – 2, 5, 10, 30 Year Durations

The past year has seen treasury bond yields decline sharply, yet in an orderly fashion.

This has spurred recession concerns for much of 2019. Needless to say, it’s a confusing time for investors.

In today’s chart of the day, we look at a longer-term view of the 2, 5, 10, and 30-year treasury bond yields.

Short to long term bond yields are all testing 7 to 10-year support levels as momentum is at the lowest levels in a decade.

A yield rally is likely due across the board after a recent decline that was bigger than the stock crash in 1987!

If yields fail to ral...



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Lee's Free Thinking

Nonfarm Payrolls Not Seasonally Adjusted Tell the Real Story - Unspinning Wall Street™

Courtesy of Lee Adler

Not seasonally adjusted nonfarm payrolls, that is, the actual numbers, give us a truer picture of the jobs market than the seasonally adjusted garbage that Wall Street spews.

Friday’s seasonally adjusted nonfarm payrolls jobs headline numbers disappointed investors with slower than expected growth. But was it really that bad?

Here’s How The Street Spun It – Wall Street Journal Modest August Job Growth Shows Economy Expanding, but Slowly

Employers added 130,000 nonfarm jobs, jobless rate held steady at 3.7%

U.S. employment grew only modestly in August, suggesting that a global economic slowdown isn’t driving the U.S. into recession but has dente...



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Digital Currencies

China Crypto Miners Wiped Out By Flood; Bitcoin Hash Rate Hits ATHs

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

Last week, a devastating rainstorm in China's Sichuan province triggered mudslides, forcing local hydropower plants and cryptocurrency miners to halt operations, reported CoinDesk.

Torrential rains flooded some parts of Sichuan's mountainous Aba prefecture last Monday, with mudslides seen across 17 counties in the area, according to local government posts on Weibo. 

One of the worst-hit areas was Wenchuan county, ...



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Biotech

The Big Pharma Takeover of Medical Cannabis

Reminder: We are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

The Big Pharma Takeover of Medical Cannabis

Courtesy of  , Visual Capitalist

The Big Pharma Takeover of Medical Cannabis

As evidence of cannabis’ many benefits mounts, so does the interest from the global pharmaceutical industry, known as Big Pharma. The entrance of such behemoths will radically transform the cannabis industry—once heavily stigmatized, it is now a potentially game-changing source of growth for countless co...



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Mapping The Market

How IPOs Are Priced

Via Jean Luc 

Funny but probably true:

...

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Members' Corner

Despacito - How to Make Money the Old-Fashioned Way - SLOWLY!

Are you ready to retire?  

For most people, the purpose of investing is to build up enough wealth to allow you to retire.  In general, that's usually enough money to reliably generate a year's worth of your average income, each year into your retirement so that that, plus you Social Security, should be enough to pay your bills without having to draw down on your principle.

Unfortunately, as the last decade has shown us, we can't count on bonds to pay us more than 3% and the average return from the stock market over the past 20 years has been erratic - to say the least - with 4 negative years (2000, 2001, 2002 and 2008) and 14 positives, though mostly in the 10% range on the positives.  A string of losses like we had from 2000-02 could easily wipe out a decades worth of gains.

Still, the stock market has been better over the last 10 (7%) an...



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Promotions

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Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

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Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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