Posts Tagged ‘PBPB’

Paper Profits On Potbelly Puts

Investors in Potbelly Corp. (Ticker: PBPB) suffered a swift kick to the gut on Thursday with shares in the name plunging 25% to $10.95 after the company’s annual profit and quarterly revenue forecast came in lower than analysts’ estimates. U.S. stocks opened sharply lower, but are well off the lows of the session with the S&P 500 Index down roughly 0.30% at 1,967 as of 2:15 p.m. ET after earlier dipping to as low as 1,951.72 near the open.
Trading in Potbelly put options on Wednesday signaled at least one trader was bracing for sizable declines in the price of the underlying shares during the next few months. The most traded contracts on PBPB yesterday were the Oct 12.5 strike puts. All told, it looks like approximately 3,000 of the 12.5 strike puts were purchased yesterday afternoon for an average premium of $0.58 each. The move in the stock price since the bearish position was initiated pushed premium on the now in-the-money put options skyward. At last check premium required to purchase the Oct 12.5 strike put is hovering around $2.05 per contract.
The most traded contracts by volume on Potbelly today look for longer-term recovery in the price of the underlying stock. Approximately 1,000 of the Jan ’15 10.0 strike calls have traded against open interest of just 30 contracts. Time and sales data indicates most of the volume was purchased at a premium of $2.25 each. Buyers of the 10.0 strike calls may profit at expiration in the event that shares in PBPB rally 11% over the current price of $11.02 to exceed the breakeven price of $12.25 by January expiration.


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Potbelly Options In Focus As Stock Soars After Earnings

PBPB – Potbelly Inc. – Better than expected third-quarter earnings reported by sandwich purveyor Potbelly on Tuesday pushed shares in the name up as much as 20% today to $32.57, the highest level since October 8th. The blowout earnings report is the first quarterly release from the sandwich chain since the company’s IPO six weeks prior.

Upside calls purchased on PBPB yesterday ahead of the company’s earnings release are generating sizable gains for some traders today. The Nov $30 strike calls were active on Tuesday, with a burst of trading traffic observed during the final 10 minutes of the session yesterday. It looks like much of the late-day activity was the work of one trader buying approximately 450 of the $30 calls, most at a premium of $0.55 each. The sharp rally in Potbelly shares today now finds the $30 strike call options changing hands at $1.25 per contract as of 11:15 a.m. EST.

Overall options volume on PBPB of around 2,900 contracts this morning is well above the stock’s average daily volume of close to 400 contracts. The bulk of the trading is in Potbelly calls, with the call/put ratio near 4.5 as of the time of this writing. 

RLD – RealD Inc. – Shares in the licenser of 3D and visual technologies to motion picture exhibitors are spiking today, up as much as 27% to touch $8.89, the highest level since August 26th, after the company reported a narrower than expected second-quarter loss.

Options changing hands on RealD this morning indicates some traders are positioning for shares in the name to extend gains during the next few months. The most traded contracts on RLD thus far in the session are the Feb ’14 $10 strike calls, with upwards of 790 lots in play against open interest of 302 contracts. Time and sales data suggests most of the volume was purchased at a premium of $0.50 each. Traders long the $10 calls stand ready to profit at expiration next year in the event that RealD shares rally another 18% over today’s high of $8.89 to exceed the breakeven price of $10.50. 


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Phil's Favorites

Is This As Good As It Gets For the Stock Market?

 

Is This As Good As It Gets For the Stock Market?

Courtesy of 

Josh and I spoke recently  about the slow grind higher, the lack of volatility, and all the recent stock market records. The very first response in the comment section was, “market overdue for a pullback.”

This seems to be the prevailing narrative and I gotta be honest, I agree. I’m just as surprised as anyone that the market keeps grinding higher.

Here are a few data points, by way of the S&am...



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Zero Hedge

Neel Kashkari Appeals To "QE Conspiracists": Show Me How The Fed Is Moving Stock Prices... So Here It Is

Courtesy of ZeroHedge

Things are starting to get surprisingly heated at the Fed, now that not only Wall Street strategists, and traders but also Fed presidents are starting to tell the truth about how the Fed's "NOT QE", which sorry but we will call it by its real name QE 4, is pushing stocks to ridiculous nosebleed record levels (as one can see by the relentless meltup in the S&P over the past four months), at valuations that are now higher the dot com days.

...



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The Technical Traders

Energy Continues Basing Setup - Breakout Expected Near January 24th

Courtesy of Technical Traders

After watching Crude Oil fall from the $65
ppb level to the $58 ppb level (-10.7%) over the past few weeks, we still
believe the energy sector is setting up for another great trade for skilled
investors/traders.

We are all keenly aware that Winter is still
here and that heating oil demands may continue to push certain energy prices
higher.  Yet Winter is also a time when
people don’t travel as much and, overall, energy prices tend to weaken
throughout Winter.

Over the past 37 years, the historical monthly breakdown for Crude Oil is as follows:

December: Generally l...



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Insider Scoop

10 Biggest Price Target Changes For Friday

Courtesy of Benzinga

  • Citigroup lifted Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE: CAT) price target from $145 to $170. Caterpillar closed at $147.87 on Thursday.
  • UBS cut Twitter Inc (NYSE: TWTR) price target from $37 to $35. Twitter shares closed at $34.19 on Thursday.
  • Morgan Stanley boosted the price target for Yum! Brands, Inc. (NYSE: YUM) from $113 to $118. Yum! Brands closed at $102.16 on Thursday.
  • Jefferies lifted the price target on Ventas, Inc. (NYSE: ...


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Kimble Charting Solutions

Tesla About To Run Out Of Energy Here? Short-Term Peak Possible?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble

Tesla (TSLA) has been screaming higher of late, as very impressive gains have taken place.

Is Tesla about to run out of energy/take a break/experience some selling pressure? A unique price setup is in play, that bulls might want want to be aware of.

This chart applies Fibonacci to the 2016 lows and 2017 highs at each (1). The impressive rally of late has it testing its 161% extension level, based upon those price points.

At the same time, it is hitting its 161% extension level, it finds itself at the top of a 7-year rising channel, with momentum hitting the highest ...



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Chart School

Gold Gann Angle Update

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

The new year of 2020 has gold is poised to break out higher. Why is gold going higher? Maybe the FED's economists can explain .... or not.

Maybe these could be on the list:

- FED repo hundreds of billions a day.
- ECB made up tools to keep the European banks solvent.
- A sugar high stock market with Apple Inc and Microsoft looking like Bitcoin 2017.
- The US bond market is NOT confirming a strong stock market.
- Corporate profits have flat lined for 3 years while stocks soared each year.
- Knowing an US election year needs stimulus, and a lower US dollar is a first choice.
- China deal, will have a currency element to make it easier to do business. Lower US dollar.



Gold Gann Angle ...

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Lee's Free Thinking

Why Blaming the Repo Market is Like Blaming the Australian Bush Fires

 

Why Blaming the Repo Market is Like Blaming the Australian Bush Fires

Courtesy of  

The repo market problem isn’t the problem. It’s a sideshow, a diversion, and a joke. It’s a symptom of the problem.

Today, I got a note from Liquidity Trader subscriber David, a professional investor, and it got me to thinking. Here’s what David wrote:

Lee,

The ‘experts’ I hear from keep saying that once 300B more in reserves have ...



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Digital Currencies

Cryptos Have Surged Since Soleimani Death, Bitcoin Tops $8,000

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

Bitcoin is up over 15% since the assassination of Iran General Soleimani...

Source: Bloomberg

...topping $8,000 for the first time since before Thanksgiving...

Source: Bloomberg

Testing its key 100-day moving-average for the first time since October...

...



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Members' Corner

Tobin Smith: Foxocracy, the 2020 Election, and the Stock Market

 

For decades, Fox News has been spreading false information and hooking its audience into an angry, xenophobic and paranoid worldview. It's no mystery that Fox was instrumental in the 2016 election -- but how did it do it? How did it gain so much influence? Tobin Smith, CEO of Transformity Research, Inc. and former Fox News contributor and talk show host, explores this phenomenon and discusses Fox News’ emotionally predatory and partisan propaganda media strategies and tactics in his new book, ...



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Biotech

Why telling people with diabetes to use Walmart insulin can be dangerous advice

Reminder: We are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

Why telling people with diabetes to use Walmart insulin can be dangerous advice

A vial of insulin. Prices for the drug, crucial for those with diabetes, have soared in recent years. Oleksandr Nagaiets/Shutterstock.com

Courtesy of Jeffrey Bennett, Vanderbilt University

About 7.4 million people ...



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Mapping The Market

How IPOs Are Priced

Via Jean Luc 

Funny but probably true:

...

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Promotions

Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"

 

 

Here's a free ebook for you to check out! 

Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

Some other great content in this free eBook includes:

 

·       How 2017 Will Affect Oil, the US Dollar and the European Union

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Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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