Posts Tagged ‘RCII’

XLF Put/Call Ratio Highest Since June 2010, trades Suggest Continued Pain For Financials

     Today’s tickers: XLF, EL, RCII & CY

XLF - Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund – Massive prints in XLF put options cropped up ahead of President Obama’s speech on plans to cut the budget deficit and amid heightened concerns regarding the European debt crisis over the weekend. Shares in the XLF, an exchange-traded fund that tracks the performance of the Financial Select Sector of the S&P 500 Index, fell 3.1% to $12.50 by 11:15 am ET as the President wrapped up his speech by reiterating the need for a balanced approach to the deficit issue. Large trades in December contract puts this morning suggest some strategists expect financials to worsen through the end of the year.

One bearish play, which yields maximum benefits if shares in the ETF drop more than 25% by December expiration, is one of the largest initiated on the XLF so far today. It looks like the investor responsible for the put spread purchased 75,000 puts at the Dec. $11 strike for a premium of $0.57 each, and sold the same number of puts at the lower Dec. $9.0 strike at a premium of $0.23 apiece. Net premium paid on the transaction amounts to $0.34 per contract. The trader profits on the spread if shares in the fund fall 14.7% to breach the effective breakeven price of $10.66 at expiration in December. Maximum potential profits of $1.66 per contract are available on the position should the price of the underlying plunge 28% to trade below $9.00 at expiration. Shares in the XLF last traded below $9.00 back in April 2009. Put options on the XLF are changing hands more than 10 times for each single call option in action as of 11:30 am in New York. The put to call ratio on the fund is currently at its highest since June 2010.…
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Mega Earnings Monday – 1,000 Reports This Week!

What a crazy week this is going to be!

Pre-Market we're hearing from BLK, CAT (are we building stuff?), EXP, HTZ, HUM, LO, TUES and TZOO and later we will hear from BSX, CHH, OLN, RSH, RCII, TXN (major) and my "friendbuddypal" Cramer's TSCM (if they are not delayed).  Revenues at The Street have crept back up this year in a recovery that pretty much mirrors the market.  The company does pay a nice 2.6% dividend, which works out to a nice $200,000 bonus on Jimmy's 2.1M shares (6.7% of the company) so you know that bonus will be a priority for the company.  Cramer was BUYBUYBUYing his own stock at $2.41 in January but sadly they have no options to hedge…  They might make a nice pick-up after earnings if they disappoint and head back to $3 or less.

I'm full of useful information on hundreds of stocks right now because I've been researching our new Buy List but I'm not pleased with what I've been seeing so far and this week's tidal wave of earnings, with 1,000 companies reporting means we're in no hurry to dip our toes in the water.  I told Members this morning I should probably be working on a Sell List, as it's much easier to find companies I want to short than ones I want to buy.  Even in the Weekly Wrap-Up, we featured a 1,900% downside hedge on the Russell to offset the 566% plays and other bullish plays we've begun to reluctantly take, just so we don't feel too silly in this runaway market. 

If you have never watched Jim Cramer discussing the sleazy, manipulative ways he used to game the markets – you really must take 10 minutes and watch this video, where Jim explains how any immoral bastard with $10M can yank the entire futures market around at will.  He prefaces one of his favorite strategies with "this is blatantly illegal but.. I think it's really important… these are things you MUST do on a day like today and if you are not doing it, maybe you shouldn't be in the game."  Are you playing the game or are you being played? 

The biggest game ever played may be unwinding as we speak.  Bloomberg reports that foreign-exchange profits from carry trades are disappearing as differences in central
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Monday Markets – Is Momentum Shifting?

We're still trying to get bullish, really we are

Yes we are reluctantly bullish and only technically bullish at that.  All we are asking of the markets is for them to take out our very simple levels and hold them for more than a day or two.    Those levels are (and have been since early September):  Dow 10,087, S&P 1,096, Nasdaq 2,173, NYSE 7,204 and Russell 623.  These are, according to the 5% rule, the levels we need to hold in order to establish a floor in the markets that justifies setting higher upside targets.  If they cannot be crossed, then these REMAIN our upside range targets and we need to start seriously considering the possibility that we may still get a pullback to Dow 9,650, S&P 1,020, Nas 2,075, NYSE 6,900 and Russell 575.

As I mentioned last week (and noted on David Fry's IWM chart), the Russell was the first to fail our 623 mark and will be our canary in the coal mine as they test 595, which is the 50 dma.  A failure there and the markets have little support all the way down to our June highs, our original breakout levels of Dow 8,650 and other levels you don't even want to think about on a Monday. 

$2.66 is another level we don't want to think about.  That's the average price of regular gasoline this weekend.  Despite 10% lower demand than last year when December gasoline averaged $1.66 a gallon.  What's a dollar a gallon between friends right? 

Well, actually since US consumers use 63M barrels of gas each week, and a barrel happens to be 42 gallons, it happens to be about $10.5Bn a month taken our of consumer's pockets.  That's cash, after-tax money – gone!  Money they won't be able to give to all those nice Russell companies for Christmas this year.  Remember how much that $160Bn stimulus helped the economy last year?  How much do you think a $120Bn mugging hurts the economy this year? 

The timing couldn't be worse – last year, gas prices flew down and helped people make it to the mall for Christmas, this year already – as we can see from Amazon's great quarter, many people will be skipping the malls and buying on-line.  With 10% of the workforce…
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Zero Hedge

Uber Sued For Firing Minority Drivers Who Get Poor Service Ratings From Customers

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

The latest chapter in the ridesharing soap opera that continues to play out across the U.S. (and notably California, where a court just ruled that drivers must be made employees, and not contractors) has arrived in the form of a U.S. Civil Rights Act lawsuit filed against Uber for - wait for it - firing drivers based on how they are rated by customers for doing their job.

Yes, in today'...



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Phil's Favorites

On Twitter, bots spread conspiracy theories and QAnon talking points

 

On Twitter, bots spread conspiracy theories and QAnon talking points

Are you being deceived by a robot? Alina Kvaratskhelia/iStock/Getty Images Plus

By Emilio Ferrara, USC Annenberg School for Communication and Journalism

Americans who seek political insight and information on Twitter should know how much of what they are seeing is the result of automated propaganda campaigns.

Nearly four years after my collaborators and I revealed ...



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ValueWalk

Microsoft And Mastercard Exhibit Bearish Post-Earnings Behavior

By Gorilla Trades. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Commenting on the bearish post-earnings behavior of Microsoft and Mastercard, and today’s trading, Gorilla Trades strategist Ken Berman said:

Q3 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more

The major indices are all trading significantly lower at midday following another volatile and bearish morning session on Wall Street, with the deteriorating COVID picture weighing on global risk assets. European stocks, currencies, and crude oil all fell sharply overnight amid fears of another lockdown period in Europe, and the negative sentiment affected U.S. inde...



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Biotech/COVID-19

Where the President Goes, Coronavirus Follows: Analysis Shows Spike in Covid-19 Cases After Numerous Trump Rallies

 

Where the President Goes, Coronavirus Follows: Analysis Shows Spike in Covid-19 Cases After Numerous Trump Rallies

"These rallies offer a boost to the president's ego but risk leaving behind a trail of sickness and increased strain on local public health departments and medical systems."

By Kenny Stancil, Common Dreams

U.S. President Donald Trump speaks during a "Make America Great Again" campaign rally at Altoona-Blair County Airport in Martinsburg, Pennsylvania on October 26, 2020. (Photo: Saul Loeb/AFP via Getty Images)

Ha...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Are the U.S. Stock Market Indices Facing Double Top Deja Vu?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble

Stock market volatility has turned higher as the month of October has wore on. And now that we are just one week away from the elections, it appears that investors are showing their uncertainty through the price action on the major U.S. stock market indices.

In today’s chart 2-pack, we look at “weekly” charts of the Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500 Index. Though not the same, they have a similar developing pattern. Perhaps one that leads to a 15%+ decline back in 2018.

Could History Be Repeating Itself?

Just as we saw in 2018, momentum is forming a bearish divergence this year at (1). Tha...



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Chart School

RTT browsing latest..

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

Please review a collection of WWW browsing results. The information here is delayed by a few months, members get the most recent content.



Date Found: Monday, 18 May 2020, 03:35:21 AM

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Comment: Ooh so pretty, so pretty, ooh so!



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Comment: Charlie Lee: All Things Litecoin (#MimbleWimble, ...



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Politics

How to track your mail-in ballot

 

How to track your mail-in ballot

Make sure you know when your ballot is arriving, and whether it’s been accepted for counting back at your election office. erhui1979/DigitalVision Vectors via Getty Images

Courtesy of Steven Mulroy, University of Memphis

Many voters who want to participate in the election by mail are concerned about when they’ll receive their ballot – and whether it will get back in time to be counted.

The pandemic has caused interest in ...



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Digital Currencies

Bitcoin: the UK and US are clamping down on crypto trading - here's why it's not yet a big deal

 

Bitcoin: the UK and US are clamping down on crypto trading – here's why it's not yet a big deal

Where there’s a bit there’s a writ. Novikov Aleksey

Courtesy of Gavin Brown, University of Liverpool

The sale and promotion of derivatives of bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies to amateur investors is being banned in the UK by the financial regulator, the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA). It is a...



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Mapping The Market

COVID-19 Forces More Than Half of Asset Management Firms to Accelerate Adoption of Digital Marketing Technology

By Jacob Wolinsky. Originally published at ValueWalk.

There is no doubt that the use of technology to support client engagement initiatives brings both opportunities and threats but this has been brought into sharp focus this year with the COVID-19 pandemic.

The crisis has brought to the fore the need for firms to enable flexibility in client engagement – the expectation that providers will communicate to clients on their terms, at their speed and frequency and on their preferred channels, is now a given. This is even more critical when clients are experiencing unparalleled anxiety from both market conditions and their own personal circumstances.

...

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The Technical Traders

Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling System Suggests Market Peak May Be Near

Courtesy of Technical Traders

Our Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system is suggesting a moderate price peak may be already setting up in the NASDAQ while the Dow Jones, S&P500, and Transportation Index continue to rally beyond the projected Fibonacci Price Expansion Levels.  This indicates that capital may be shifting away from the already lofty Technology sector and into Basic Materials, Financials, Energy, Consumer Staples, Utilities, as well as other sectors.

This type of a structural market shift indicates a move away from speculation and towards Blue Chip returns. It suggests traders and investors are expecting the US consumer to come back strong (or at least hold up the market at...



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Lee's Free Thinking

Texas, Florida, Arizona, Georgia - The Branch COVIDIANS Are Still Burning Down the House

 

Texas, Florida, Arizona, Georgia – The Branch COVIDIANS Are Still Burning Down the House

Courtesy of Lee Adler, WallStreetExaminer 

The numbers of new cases in some of the hardest hit COVID19 states have started to plateau, or even decline, over the past few days. A few pundits have noted it and concluded that it was a hopeful sign. 

Is it real or is something else going on? Like a restriction in the numbers of tests, or simply the inability to test enough, or are some people simply giving up on getting tested? Because as we all know from our dear leader, the less testing, the less...



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Insider Scoop

Economic Data Scheduled For Friday

Courtesy of Benzinga

  • Data on nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate for March will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET.
  • US Services Purchasing Managers' Index for March is scheduled for release at 9:45 a.m. ET.
  • The ISM's non-manufacturing index for March will be released at 10:00 a.m. ET.
  • The Baker Hughes North American rig count report for the latest week is scheduled for release at 1:00 p.m. ET.
...

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Promotions

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Feb. 26, 1pm EST

Click HERE to join the PSW weekly webinar at 1 pm EST.

Phil will discuss positions, COVID-19, market volatility -- the selloff -- and more! 

This week, we also have a special presentation from Mike Anton of TradeExchange.com. It's a new service that we're excited to be a part of! 

Mike will show off the TradeExchange's new platform which you can try for free.  

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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