Posts Tagged ‘RHT’

Vivus Call ‘Fly In Play


Today’s tickers: VVUS, NUS & RHT

VVUS - Vivus, Inc. – A large options trade on Vivus, Inc. appears to be a directional bet on the biotech company’s shares ahead of impending recommendations from an advisory panel, as well as a possible decision from FDA regulators, on whether to approve obesity drug, Qnexa. Shares in VVUS are down 1.5% today at $20.06. The large call butterfly spread purchased on Vivus in the first half of the trading day yields maximum possible gains in the event that shares soar more than 50.0% in the next three weeks. The options player responsible for the single largest trade in the name today appears to have purchased 3,250 calls at the April $27 and $35 strikes, and sold 6,500 calls at the April $31 strike, all for a net premium of $0.55 per contract. Profits on the call ‘fly kick in if shares in VVUS rally at least 37.3% to surpass the breakeven share price of $27.55, while the maximum potential payoff of $3.45 per contract is available to the trader as long as the stock jumps 54.5% to settle at $31.00 at expiration next month. The strategist stands to lose the full amount of premium paid to establish the spread if shares settle below $27.00 or above $35.00. A decision from regulators is expected by April 17th, three days prior to options expiration.

NUS - Nu Skin Enterprises, Inc. – Bearish activity in Nu Skin Enterprises, Inc. options is on the rise this morning with shares in the maker of anti-aging skin products and other personal care items trading down 4.4% at $56.85 as of 11:15 a.m. in New York. Traders picking up $55 strike put options in April and May today appear to be positioning for the price of the…
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Red Hat Calls Active Prior To Earnings

 

Today’s tickers: RHT, TSCO & PETM

RHT - Red Hat, Inc. – The software maker popped up on our scanners this morning after sizable trades were initiated in the front month calls. At first glance the activity could be mistaken for a pre-earnings bullish bet on shares in Red Hat ahead of the Company’s fourth-quarter release after the final bell on Wednesday. However, the transaction is likely bearish on RHT as the April expiry call activity appears to be tied to the sale of stock. Shares in Red Hat are up 1.7% at $52.74 in early-afternoon trade. The strategist responsible for the largest trade in RHT options appears to have purchased a 3,848-lot April $55/$57.5 call spread at a net premium of $0.75 per contract. The debit call spread was established seconds before a block of 50,000 shares in RHT sold at $52.70. The stock and options combo play positions the trader to profit on the short stock leg as long as Red Hat’s shares pullback sufficiently from the $52.70-level to offset the cost of buying the options. Meanwhile, the call spread hedges the position, protecting the trader from losses to the upside in the event that shares extend gains.

TSCO - Tractor Supply Co. – Shares in the largest U.S. retail farm and ranch store chain jumped 5.4% on Monday to hit a new 52-week high of $90.66. The Brentwood, Tennessee-based Company is scheduled to present at the Telsey Advisory Group’s 4th Annual Spring Consumer Conference on Wednesday morning. Options activity on Tractor Supply Co. this morning suggests some traders are positioning for the price of the underlying to extend gains in the near term. Around 795 calls changed hands at the May $95 strike against open interest of 51 contracts. It looks like most of these calls…
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Bulls Prepping for a Rally Don Red Hat Call Options

Today’s tickers: RHT, MDRX, CQB & DOW

RHT - Red Hat, Inc. – Options activity in December contract calls on the world’s leading provider of open source solutions suggests shares in Red Hat may rally more than 10.0% to their highest in more than a decade by the end of 2011. The stock gained 1.80% this afternoon to trade at $44.57 by 12:30 pm on the East Coast, paring some losses realized earlier in this week. In the previous four weeks Red Hat’s shares moved up 17.0% on strong first-quarter earnings as well as analyst upgrades. Bullish strategists expecting the company’s shares to extend gains purchased around 4,390 call options at the December $46 strike on open interest of just 242 contracts. Traders paid an average premium of $3.40 per contract and stand ready to profit should Red Hat’s shares surge 10.8% over the current price of $44.57 to exceed the average breakeven point to the upside at $49.40 by expiration day in December. The Raleigh, NC-based company reports second-quarter earnings after the market closes on September 22. Call buyers may see the value of their positions sky-rocket if Red Hat’s second-quarter results send the price of the underlying skyward.

MDRX - Allscripts-Misys Healthcare Solutions, Inc. – Allscripts shares rose 1.1% to $19.96 this morning after the company said it expects adjusted earnings and revenues for the second quarter to come in better than analysts’ estimates. Despite positive comments from the Chicago, IL-based company, it looks like some options traders are positioning for shares in the healthcare information services company to pullback ahead of August expiration. Allscripts reports second-quarter earnings on August 4. MDRX shares rose 9.1% in the past two weeks, but put buyers populating the stock today are prepared to benefit should shares erase recent gains in the next…
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Pessimistic Player Targets Momenta Pharmaceuticals Put Options

 Today’s tickers: RHT, XLF, MNTA, ODP, AA & CVBF

RHT - Red Hat, Inc. – Shares of the software company are down 2.5% at $46.67 in the final hour of the trading session, but near-term options activity on the stock suggests investors are hoping for the stock to rally ahead of January expiration. Red Hat’s better-than-expected forecast for fourth-quarter profits of $0.21 to $0.22 a share, released during the company’s third-quarter earnings report after the close of trading yesterday, inspired a plethora of analyst upgrades and hikes in share price targets. Investors expecting shares to rebound in short order took advantage of the decline in premium on out-of-the-money calls, and purchased the majority of some 7,850 contracts exchanged at the January 2011 $48 strike today. It looks like bulls bought approximately 4,000 of the call options for an average premium of $0.87 apiece. Call buyers are prepared to make money should Red Hat’s shares rally 4.7% over the current price of $46.67 to surpass the average breakeven price of $48.87 by January expiration. Following earnings, the overall reading of options implied volatility on the world’s largest distributor of the open-source Linux operating system plunged 27.7% to 29.90% by 3:45pm.

XLF - Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF – The purchase of a massive chunk of March 2011 contract put options on the financials SPDR ETF appears to be the work of a cautiously optimistic options strategist hedging a large position in the underlying shares. Shares in the XLF, an exchange-traded fund designed to track the performance of the Financial Select Sector of the S&P 500 Index, are up 0.90% to stand at $15.95 as of 3:45pm in New York. The investor appears to have established a delta neutral hedge, buying 1,500,000 shares of XLF, and picking up 50,000 protective puts at the March 2011 $15 strike for a premium of $0.39 per contract on a 0.30 delta. It seems the trader is positioning for continued bullish movement in the price of XLF shares, but opting to shell out…
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Bullish Options Combo Player Foresees Rally in Goldman Sachs’ Future

Today’s tickers: GS, BA, RHT, DTG, DELL, ISLN & WHR

GS – Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. – A three-legged bullish options combination play initiated on Goldman Sachs this afternoon indicates one strategist is positioning for a sharp rebound in the price of the underlying stock by October expiration. GS shares, unable to hold onto gains realized earlier in the session, are currently down 0.65% to arrive at $147.27 just after 3:30 pm ET. It looks like the options optimist sold puts in order to partially finance the purchase of a debit call spread. The investor shed approximately 2,000 puts at the October $135 strike for an average premium of $2.74 each, purchased roughly the same number of calls at the October $150 strike for an average premium of $5.46 apiece, and sold about 2,000 calls at the higher October $160 strike at a premium of $1.89 a-pop. The average net cost of the transaction is reduced to just $0.83 per contract. Thus, the options player responsible for the trade is positioned to make money as long as Goldman’s shares rally 2.4% over the current price of $147.27 to surpass the average breakeven price of $150.83 by October expiration day. The trader may accumulate profits of up to $9.17 per contract if GS shares surge 8.6% to trade above $160.00 at expiration in a couple of months. Goldman Sachs’ shares last traded above $160.00 back on April 29, 2010.

BA – Boeing Co. – The second-largest U.S. satellite maker attracted the attention of one bullish options player this afternoon perhaps on news the firm expects to receive a minimum of $2 billion of orders for military communications satellites from a Defense Department contract announced in the previous week. Boeing’s shares slipped 1.95% to $63.34 in late afternoon trading, but the price erosion did not deter one trader from initiating a bullish risk reversal on the stock. It looks like the investor sold 7,000 puts at the October $60 strike for an average premium of $1.83 each in order to buy the same number of calls at the higher October $70 strike for premium of $0.95 apiece. The risk reversal was tied to the purchase of some 371,000 shares of the underlying at a price of $63.94 each. The responsible party received a net credit of $0.88 per contract on the reversal play. The investor is long the stock, short put…
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Strangle Strategist Tightens Grip on JPMorgan

Today’s tickers: JPM, TIVO, RHT, UTX, CSCO, CI, BA, XRX, DIS, AKS & M

JPM – JPMorgan Chase & Co. – A long strangle enacted on JPMorgan today indicates one investor is expecting the firm to experience a significant shift in the price of its shares by June expiration. The investment banking and financial services giant realized a 1% rally in share price during the current session to $41.94. The investor initiated the strangle strategy by purchasing 9,000 calls at the June $46 strike for a premium of $1.06 apiece and by picking up 9,000 puts at the June $36 strike for $0.96 each. The net cost of the transaction amounts to $2.02 per contract. Strangle-players benefit from drastic moves in share price, but lose out if the value of the stock stagnates. In this specific trade, the investor profits if JPM’s shares rally above the upper breakeven price of $48.02 by expiration, or if shares trade below the lower breakeven point at $33.98, by June expiration. The trader is looking for increased volatility in the price of the underlying shares, but also may benefit from higher options implied volatility. Moves higher in options implied volatility corresponds with greater option premium on both calls and puts. Thus, the investor could potentially sell the strangle at a profit ahead of expiration day if combined premium on the trade exceeds the $2.02 per contract paid today. We note that JPM’s shares have not exceeded $47.47 in the past year, but did trade as low as $14.96 back on March 6, 2009.

TIVO – TiVo, Inc. – Shares of the innovator of digital-video recording services surged as much as 61.30% to an intraday high of $16.42, the highest price recorded for TiVo’s shares in at least five years. TiVo was named the victor today after a U.S. appeals court ruled that Dish Network Corp. and EchoStar Corp. are “still infringing its patent and should stop providing digital-video recording services.” Options traders had a field day with the news and exchanged upwards of 275,300 contracts on the stock by 3:10 pm (ET). Today’s options trading volume on TiVo represents just under 80% of the total existing open interest on the stock of 348,203 contracts. Investors populated the stock with a plethora of trading strategies. Some traders banked profits on the rally, while others employed the use of strangles. Plain-vanilla call buying and put selling…
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Sizeable Combination Trade in Regions Financial

Today’s tickers: RF, GNW, EEM, RHT, MRVL, CMCSA & LEAP

RF - Banking services firm, Regions Financial, jumped onto our ‘most active by options volume’ market scanner this afternoon after one investor exchanged 120,000 option contracts on the stock. The investor made bullish moves on RF despite the more than 3.5% decline in shares to $5.97. It appears the trader sold puts short 40,000 times at the May 6.0 strike for an average premium of 1.30 apiece, in order to finance the purchase of a bull call spread. The investor constructed the spread by buying 40,000 calls at the January 6.0 strike for one dollar each and simultaneously selling 40,000 calls at the higher January 10 strike for 12 pennies apiece. The trader receives a net credit of 42 cents per contract on the three-legged strategy. He retains the full credit of $1,680,000 as long as shares remain higher than $6.00 through expiration in May of 2010. However, additional profits are available if shares of Regions Financial rally by expiration in January. Maximum potential profits on the call spread amount to 4.0 per contract – or a total of $16,000,000 – if shares of RF surge 68% from the current price to $10.00 before the calls expire in January. – Regions Financial Corp. –

GNW - The financial security company experienced a more than 5.5% decline in shares to arrive at the current price of $11.28. Bearish investors active on GNW today exchanged more than 3.5 put options to every single call option in play on the stock. One investor took a long-term pessimistic stance by initiating a ratio calendar spread. The transaction involved the purchase of 10,000 puts at the December 10 strike for an average premium of 1.22 per contract, spread against the sale of 15,000 puts at the lower January 2011 7.5 strike for 1.70 each. The investor takes a credit on the trade because he received richer option premium on the sale of a greater number of puts set to expire in January 2011. The placement of this trade suggests the investor is bracing for potential declines in GNW through expiration in December. – Genworth Financial, Inc. –

EEM - Shares of the emerging markets exchange-traded fund have dipped 2.5% lower to $37.90, prompting one trader to establish a bearish risk reversal in the January contract. The trader targeted the January 38 strike to sell 12,000 just out-of-the-money…
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Blackstone bulls line up

Today’s tickers: BX, GCI, AA, LVS, XLF, JPM, C, AGN, RHT, SU & SWY

BX The Blackstone Group L.P. – The broader market experienced gains after fresh information from the Treasury Department was released regarding its plan to utilize private and public funds to relieve banks of bad credit and toxic assets. Shares of BX soared on the news by 23% to $7.77 because it is has now been widely reported that hedge funds and private-equity firms are likely to reap substantial gains from the public-private partnership. Blackstone jumped to the top of our ‘hot by options volume’ market scanner after one investor established a sold straddle in the May contract. At the May 7.5 strike price 10,000 calls were sold for 1.60 each while 10,000 puts were also sold for 1.10 each. The gross premium pocketed on the trade amounts to 2.70 and is fully retained if shares settle at $7.50 by expiration. Call volume has far outweighed put volume with a ratio of 2.4 calls to each put traded. We observed pure call buying in the April contract where traders picked up lots as high up as the 10 strike for a premium of 33 cents each. One investor paid a net cost of 40 cents in order to roll 4,350 in-the-money calls at the June 2.5 strike price forward to the same low strike expiring in January 2010. Optimistic traders also picked up 3,000 calls at the January 10 strike price for 1.86 each. Option implied volatility peaked at 120% today, but has since come off to the current reading of 105%.

GCI Gannett Co., Inc. – Shares of the international news and information company are up by more than 7% to stand at $2.30. GCI appeared on our ‘hot by options volume’ market scanner after one trader utilized options in search of gains on the rising stock. We believe that this investor likely purchased 1,000,000 shares of the underlying stock and simultaneously sold 10,000 calls at the April 2.5 strike price for a 15 cent premium. By selling the option contracts the trader effectively reduced the price of the shares to $2.00 each because the stock was trading at $2.15 at the time of the trade. Should the 2.5 calls land in-the-money by expiration this investor will have sustained gains of 23% if the shares get called away from him at the end of the…
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Zero Hedge

Trump's $50 Billion Farm Deal Is Fantasy After Trade War Market Shifts

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

Industry insiders have told South China Morning Post (SCMP) that President Trump's alleged $50 billion agriculture deal with China is merely a fantasy, used to stimulate his Farm Belt supporters ahead of an election year, and even used as a communication tool to drive the stock market to new highs. Still, the likelihood of it actually happening is very low.

SCMP notes that China has never confirmed the $50 to ...



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Phil's Favorites

What is an oligarch?

 

What is an oligarch?

Boris Yeltsin shakes hands with Russia’s most powerful businessmen in Moscow. AP Photo

Courtesy of Joel Samuels, University of South Carolina

With the impeachment hearings for President Donald Trump under way, several American diplomats and ...



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The Technical Traders

When Oil Collapses Below $40 What Happens? PART III

Courtesy of Technical Traders

This, the final section of this multi-part research article, will continue our exploration of the consequences that may result from our ADL predictive modeling system’s suggestion that Oil may continue to fall to levels below $40 over the next few months. 

In Part I and ...



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Biotech

Why telling people with diabetes to use Walmart insulin can be dangerous advice

Reminder: We are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

Why telling people with diabetes to use Walmart insulin can be dangerous advice

A vial of insulin. Prices for the drug, crucial for those with diabetes, have soared in recent years. Oleksandr Nagaiets/Shutterstock.com

Courtesy of Jeffrey Bennett, Vanderbilt University

About 7.4 million people ...



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Insider Scoop

Glass House Group Appoints Graham Farrar As President

Courtesy of Benzinga

Glass House Group, a California-based cannabis and hemp company, earlier this week appointed Graham Farrar as president.

In his new role, Graham will oversee the company’s short and long-term business strategies, budgets and operations, and report up to Glass House Group CEO Kyle Kazan.

A long-time entrepreneur and an original team member of both Sonos (NASDAQ: SONO...



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Chart School

Dow Jones cycle update and are we there yet?

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

Today the Dow and the SP500 are making new all time highs. However all long and strong bull markets end on a new all time high. Today no one knows how many new all time highs are to go, maybe 1 or 100+ more to go, who knows! So are we there yet?

readtheticker.com combine market tools from Richard Wyckoff, Jim Hurst and William Gann to understand and forecast price action. In concept terms (in order), demand and supply, market cycles, and time to price analysis. 

Cycle are excellent to understand the wider picture, after all markets do not move in a straight line and bear markets do follow bull markets. 



CHART 1: The Dow Jones Industrial average with the 900 period cycle.

A) Red Cycle:...

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Digital Currencies

Is Bitcoin a Macro Asset?

 

Is Bitcoin a Macro Asset?

Courtesy of 

As part of Coindesk’s popup podcast series centered around today’s Invest conference, I answered a few questions for Nolan Bauerly about Bitcoin from a wealth management perspective. I decided in December of 2017 that investing directly into crypto currencies was unnecessary and not a good use of a portfolio’s allocation slots. I remain in this posture today but I am openminded about how this may change in the future.

You can listen to this short exchange below:

...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Silver Testing This Support For The First Time In 8-Years!

Courtesy of Chris Kimble

Its been a good while since Silver bulls could say that it is testing support. Well, this week that can be said! Will this support test hold? Silver Bulls sure hope so!

This chart looks at Silver Futures over the past 10-years. Silver has spent the majority of the past 8-years inside of the pink shaded falling channel, as it has created lower highs and lower lows.

Silver broke above the top of this falling channel around 90-days ago at (1). It quickly rallied over 15%, before creating a large bearish reversal pattern, around 5-weeks after the bre...



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Lee's Free Thinking

Today's Fed POMO TOMO FOMC Alphabet Soup Unspin

Courtesy of Lee Adler

But make no mistake, if the Fed wants money rates to stay down by another quarter, it will need to imagineer even more money.

That’s on top of the $281 billion it has already imagineered into existence since addressing its “one-off” repo market emergency on September 17. This came via  “Temporary” Repo Man Operations money, and $70.6 billion in Permanent Open Market Operations (POMO) money.

By my calculations that averages out to $7.4 billion per business day. That works out to a monthly pace of $155 billion or so.

If they keep this up, it will be more than enough to absorb every penny of new Treasury supply. That supply had caused the system to run out of money in mid September.  This flood of paper had been inundati...



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Mapping The Market

How IPOs Are Priced

Via Jean Luc 

Funny but probably true:

...

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Members' Corner

Despacito - How to Make Money the Old-Fashioned Way - SLOWLY!

Are you ready to retire?  

For most people, the purpose of investing is to build up enough wealth to allow you to retire.  In general, that's usually enough money to reliably generate a year's worth of your average income, each year into your retirement so that that, plus you Social Security, should be enough to pay your bills without having to draw down on your principle.

Unfortunately, as the last decade has shown us, we can't count on bonds to pay us more than 3% and the average return from the stock market over the past 20 years has been erratic - to say the least - with 4 negative years (2000, 2001, 2002 and 2008) and 14 positives, though mostly in the 10% range on the positives.  A string of losses like we had from 2000-02 could easily wipe out a decades worth of gains.

Still, the stock market has been better over the last 10 (7%) an...



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Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"

 

 

Here's a free ebook for you to check out! 

Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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