Posts Tagged ‘RIO’

Frenzied Call Buying At Family Dollar As Shares Hit Record High

Today’s tickers: FDO, BBBY & RIO

FDO - Family Dollar Stores, Inc. – Call buyers flocked to Family Dollar Stores today, with shares in the operator of general merchandise retail discount stores trading up as much as 4.6% to a record high of $62.84 on the heels of encouraging consumer sentiment and spending data. The stock posted big gains in the month of March, gaining 15.5% in the past four weeks, and it looks like some traders are positioning for the good times to continue. Bullish trading in the front month calls is heaviest at the April $65 strike where more than 5,000 calls have changed hands against open interest of 324 contracts, as of 12:50 p.m. in New York. It looks like the majority of the $65 calls were purchased for an average premium of $0.45 apiece, thus positioning buyers to profit in the event that shares in FDO add another 4.2% to top $65.45 by expiration next month. Lighter-volume call buying spread to the May $60, $62.5 and $65 strikes, as well as the July $65 strike calls. Nearly 10,000 option contracts are in play on Family Dollar Stores this afternoon, a more than ten-fold increase over the stock’s 90-day average options volume of 925 contracts.

BBBY - Bed Bath & Beyond, Inc. – Shares in the operator of retail chain stores Bed Bath & Beyond, Christmas Tree Shops and others, kicked off the final trading session of the week in positive territory, but have since surrendered earlier gains to trade 0.60% lower on the session at $66.30 as of 11:30 a.m. in New York. Call volume on Bed Bath & Beyond spiked this morning after one strategist initiated a ratio spread in the May expiry. The trader appears to have purchased 2,000 calls at the May…
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Broadcom bears use put spread and call sales

Today’s tickers: BRCM, BNI, EMC, RIO, GM, VIX, XLF, BAC & ARNA

BRCM Broadcom Corp. Class A – Shares are currently off by 3% to $20.01 for Broadcom, which is engaged in semiconductors for wired and wireless communications. Options activity was largely contained to the May contract. One investor established a put spread by purchasing 7,500 puts at the May 20 strike for 2.00 each, and selling 7,500 puts at the May 18 strike for a premium of 1.15 apiece. The net cost of the trade amounts to 85 cents and yields a maximum potential profit of 1.15 if shares fall to $18.00 by expiration. Further evidence of investor bearishness on BRCM came in the form of 5,000 sold calls at the May 20 strike price for a 2.00 premium per contract. Apparently investors agree that, at least in the near-term, the current $20.01 share price is due for a decline. Option implied volatility has jumped from Friday’s reading of 64% to the current value of 70%.

BNI Burlington Northern Santa Fe Corporation – When you need your share price to rise in the face of a 4.3% equity market decline you could do one of two things. First, have Goldman Sachs upgrade the company or second, find someone to suggest out loud that your shares might be bought by legendary investor, Warren Buffett. Sadly, neither seems to have worked for the operator of one of the largest railroad networks in North America, which has seen its shares dip slightly by 2% to stand at $60.71. BNI was upgraded to ‘buy’ from ‘neutral’ at Goldman Sachs amid rumors about a possible purchase of the company by Berkshire Hathaway. Option traders reflected the bullish upgrade by purchasing calls in the April contract. At the April 65 strike price 3,300 calls were scooped up for an average price of 1.50, while at the higher April 70 strike more than 3,200 calls were bought for a 55 cent premium. In order for the April 70 calls to turn profits for optimistic traders, shares would need to rally by 16% to the breakeven share price of $70.55 by expiration.

EMC EMC Corporation – The IT support company has experienced a share price decline of about 3.5% to $11.17. EMC edged onto our ‘most active by options volume’ market scanner after some large volume trades were initiated in the April and May contracts. It…
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Dividend cut sparks put buying at Alcoa

Today’s tickers: AA, RIO, TGT, HD, IP, VIX, ORCL, COGO & FRED

AA Alcoa Inc. – The producer of aluminum has dropped more than 9% to $5.55 after the company slashed its dividend by 3 cents in an effort to cut back on capital spending. AA hopes these measures will help strengthen its position in the case of a lengthy economic downturn. Most of the action in options-land occurred on the put side as investors seek to profit from declines in the share price. Fresh buying was observed at the March 5.0 strike price where around 25,000 puts were picked up for an average of 15 cents apiece out of the 47,000 puts traded at the strike. Shares of Alcoa would need to fall another 12% by Friday in order to reach the breakeven price of $4.85 – the price at which put-buyers begin to amass profits. Similar purchases were observed at the 5.0 strike in April where some 53,000 puts changed hands throughout the day at an average premium of 52 cents per contract. Interestingly, one investor was seen looking for recovery in the October contract by purchasing 4,000 calls at the 7.5 strike for 1.10 each. We believe this transaction was funded by the sale of 8,000 calls at the April 7.5 strike price for a premium of 23 cents each. This investor does not see Alcoa rebounding in the next 30 days, but he is optimistic that shares will increase by about 35% in order for the calls to land in-the-money by expiration in October. In stark contrast to the optimism seen in the previous trade, one investor picked up 12,000 puts at the 2.5 strike price in January 2010 at a cost of 50 cents per contract. This trade predicts nothing but doom-and-gloom for Alcoa all the way through to the start of next year.

RIO Companhia Vale do Rio Doce ADS – Shares of the metals and mining company have rallied 2% to $13.73 perhaps due to the selection of a new chairman-designate who stated that his immediate focus would be centered on finalizing the transaction with Chinalco (Aluminum Corp. of China). Global economic conditions continue to thrash commodity markets and Rio Tinto sees little chance of a rebound this year. Thus, the new chairman (Jan du Plessis) is hoping that finalized deal – which would increase Chinalco’s stake in RIO to 18% – will…
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Hartford covered call writer strikes gold, albeit rather early in the game

Today’s tickers: HIG, ORCL, LDK, AXP, MS, JNPR, RIO & BWA

HIG – The Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc. – The roof is on fire at HIG after shares sky-rocketed up by over 23.5% to $8.25. But, one investor appears to have jumped the gun today by initiating the sale of over 17,000 calls at the January 2011 7.5 strike price for a premium of 3.90 at which point the tinder was aflame, but the roaring blaze was yet to come. We believe the sale was part of a covered call in which the underlying shares were purchased simultaneously. The investor appears to have been selling volatility which was 130.3% at the 7.5 strike when shares were at $6.65. It is likely that he was happy with the 3.90 in premium coupled with the hope inherent in this trade of a 13% rally in shares to $7.50. The investor was likely thinking that if shares rose to meet the strike price, the underlying stock would likely get called away from him at expiration. However, in hindsight it seems the timing of his trade was poor as premiums have since soared to 5.20 and shares have exited the building (so to speak).

ORCL – Oracle Corporation – Shares of the software and services company have increased by roughly 3% to stand at $16.35. ORCL caught our attention due to a number of noteworthy options trades that played out today. A sold strangle was initiated in April by selling 7,500 puts at the 14 strike price for a premium of 50 cents, and by selling 7,500 calls at the April 18 strike for a premium of 53 cents each. The gross premium pocketed by this investor amounts to 1.03 on the trade. Thus, it appears that this trader does not see much by way of recovery for Oracle in the next couple of months, rather seeks experience maximum retention of the 1.03 premium if shares remain within the borders set by the April strikes selected. If shares were to swing outside the strikes, this investor would experience losses beginning at $12.97 on the downside and at $19.03 on the upside. Looking past April showers, a number of bulls were observed scooping up calls in June. Purchases were made at a number of strikes and settled as far up as the June 22 strike price, where 6,000 calls were bought for 15 cents…
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Phil's Favorites

Ray Dalio Is Kinda, Sorta, Really Wrong, Part 3

 

Ray Dalio Is Kinda, Sorta, Really Wrong, Part 3

Courtesy of John Mauldin, Thoughts from the Frontline 

Two weeks ago I started a mini-series in the form of an open letter responding to a series of essays by Ray Dalio, the founder of Bridgewater Associates. I wrote here and here that he was kinda, sorta wrong in Why and How Capitali...



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Zero Hedge

Exposing The Fed's False QE/QT Narrative With Its Own Data

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Authored by Daniel Nevins via FFWiley.com,

“The fact that financial markets responded in very similar ways... lends credence to the view that these actions had the expected effects on markets and are thereby providing significant s...



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ValueWalk

Beyond Meat vs Impossible Burger: Comparing The Vegan Meat Burgers

 

Beyond Meat vs Impossible Burger: Comparing The Vegan Meat Burgers

Courtesy of Vikas Shukla, ValueWalk

Pexels / Pixabay

The trend of vegan food has been gathering momentum in the last few years as people become more health conscious. They have also begun to realize the environmental impact of raising meat for human consumption. According to PETA, it takes an estimated 1...



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Insider Scoop

McDonald's Hit New All-Time High After Quarter Pounder Update, Bullish Rating

Courtesy of Benzinga.

McDonald's (NYSE: MCD) shares hit an all-time high of $206.39 Tuesday afternoon.

On Monday, the fast-food chain announced that after a year of serving fresh beef Quarter Pounders across the United States, the company gained burger share in the "informal eating out...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Wilshire 5000 Creating A Triple Top? An Important Breakout Test Is In Play!

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

The stock market has been on fire of late, rallying up to the edge of price resistance on several indexes. Today, we look at one of those stock market indexes: the Wilshire 5000.

The Wilshire 5000 tracks all of the stocks in the US market, so it is a broad-based index that carries significant importance when gauging the health of the overall US stock market.

Looking at the long-term “weekly” chart above, it is pretty clear that the index is at an important price juncture.

The Wilshire 5000 spent the last 25 years trading within a rising price channel (1)...



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Chart School

Formula for when the Great Stock Market Rally ends

Courtesy of Read the Ticker.

When valuations for the boring water company or the boring electric company is trading like your Facebook, Apple, Amazon or Netflix or Google (ie FANG) you know something is wrong.

This is when a seriously over valued market is screaming at you.

Of course the reader must understand in a world where money printing goes super nuts (Zimbabwe style) the stock market may go hyper inflationary and picking a time frame for a top is never a good idea, but we are not there yet. There is no Ben Bernanke helicopter money to the masses yet (ie MMT). 

To see when water company's (and such like) are nearing the crazy FANG like valuations a review of the Dow Jones Utility Index channel shows us how history can repeat. The c...

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Digital Currencies

Cryptocurrencies are finally going mainstream - the battle is on to bring them under global control

 

Cryptocurrencies are finally going mainstream – the battle is on to bring them under global control

The high seas are getting lower. dianemeise

Courtesy of Iwa Salami, University of East London

The 21st-century revolutionaries who have dominated cryptocurrencies are having to move over. Mainstream financial institutions are adopting these assets and the blockchain technology that enables them, in what ...



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Biotech

Consumer genetic testing customers stretch their DNA data further with third-party interpretation websites

Reminder: Pharmboy is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

Consumer genetic testing customers stretch their DNA data further with third-party interpretation websites

If you’ve got the raw data, why not mine it for more info? Sergey Nivens/Shutterstock.com

Courtesy of Sarah Catherine Nelson, University of Washington

Back in 2016, Helen (a pseudonym) took three different direct-to-consumer (DTC) genetic tests: AncestryDNA, 23andMe and FamilyTreeDNA. She saw genetic testing as a way...



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Members' Corner

Despacito - How to Make Money the Old-Fashioned Way - SLOWLY!

Are you ready to retire?  

For most people, the purpose of investing is to build up enough wealth to allow you to retire.  In general, that's usually enough money to reliably generate a year's worth of your average income, each year into your retirement so that that, plus you Social Security, should be enough to pay your bills without having to draw down on your principle.

Unfortunately, as the last decade has shown us, we can't count on bonds to pay us more than 3% and the average return from the stock market over the past 20 years has been erratic - to say the least - with 4 negative years (2000, 2001, 2002 and 2008) and 14 positives, though mostly in the 10% range on the positives.  A string of losses like we had from 2000-02 could easily wipe out a decades worth of gains.

Still, the stock market has been better over the last 10 (7%) an...



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Mapping The Market

It's Not Capitalism, it's Crony Capitalism

A good start from :

It's Not Capitalism, it's Crony Capitalism

Excerpt:

The threat to America is this: we have abandoned our core philosophy. Our first principle of this nation as a meritocracy, a free-market economy, where competition drives economic decision-making. In its place, we have allowed a malignancy to fester, a virulent pus-filled bastardized form of economics so corrosive in nature, so dangerously pestilent, that it presents an extinction-level threat to America – both the actual nation and the “idea” of America.

This all-encompassing mutant corruption saps men’s souls, crushes opportunities, and destroys economic mobility. Its a Smash & Grab system of ill-gotten re...



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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of September 11th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



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Promotions

Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"

 

 

Here's a free ebook for you to check out! 

Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

Some other great content in this free eBook includes:

 

·       How 2017 Will Affect Oil, the US Dollar and the European Union

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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