Posts Tagged ‘SA’

Options Activity Pops As Express Shares Tumble

 

Today’s tickers: EXPR, DV & SA

EXPR - Express, Inc. – Shares in apparel retailer, Express, Inc., dropped nearly 30.0% today to a new 52-week low of $16.38 after the company projected full-year earnings below those expected by analysts. Options on EXPR are far more active than usual today, with overall volume on the stock currently at 4,460 lots, up nearly 2,000% over the stock’s 90-day average volume of 227 contracts. The June $17.5 strike call saw most of the action as traders exchanged some 2,365 of the contracts versus zero open positions in the first half of the session. A slight majority of the calls were purchased for an average premium of $0.78 apiece, suggesting some traders are positioning for shares in the name to rebound somewhat in the near term. Call buyers stand ready to profit at expiration next month in the event that EXPR shares rally 5.7% over the current price of $17.30 to top the average breakeven point at $18.28. On the flip side, June $17.5 strike put buyers anticipate shares in the name could go lower from here. Around 340 of the $17.5 puts were purchased this morning for an average premium of $0.88 each. Finally, some traders that initiated bearish strategies on Express prior to the earnings report saw the value of their positions appreciate big-time today. Buyers of around 720 of the June $22.5 strike put last Thursday paid an average premium of $1.18 per contract. Today those put options are trading at more than four times the average purchase price given the last-traded price of $5.20 each as of 12:45 p.m. ET.

DV - DeVry, Inc. – The for-profit education provider’s shares could hit their lowest price in more than five years in the next few weeks by the looks of bearish options trades initiated on the stock this morning. Shares in DeVry, Inc., which have dropped nearly 60.0% since last summer, are down 2.2% on the…
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Bulls and Bears Appear at Patriot Coal Corp. Ahead of Earnings

 Today’s tickers: PCX, RSH, SA & EK

PCX - Patriot Coal Corp. – Options traders are placing bullish and bearish bets on the coal company today with roughly one week remaining before the firm reports fourth-quarter earnings ahead of the opening bell next Tuesday. Shares in Patriot Coal are up 3.8% at $24.05 as of 12:10pm in New York. One bullish player hoping to see PCX shares gravitate toward the January 14, 2011, 52-week high of $27.35, initiated a near-term call spread. The investor picked up approximately 4,700 now in-the-money calls at the February $24 strike for an average premium of $1.58 each, and sold about the same number of calls at the higher February $27 strike at an average premium of $0.67 apiece. Net premium paid to establish the bullish spread amounts to $0.91 per contract. Thus, the trader starts to make money if Patriot’s shares rally another 3.6% over the current price of $24.05 to surpass the average breakeven price of $24.91 by February expiration. Maximum potential profits of $2.09 per contract are available to the investor should shares in PCX jump 12.3% to trade above $27.00 by expiration day next month. Out-of-the-money put options in the front month were also popular with Patriot players in the first half of the session. One options strategist with a more pessimistic view enacted a ratio put spread on the stock ahead of the earnings report. The trader purchased around 1,100 puts at the February $22 strike at an average premium of $1.21 each, and sold 2,200 puts at the lower February $20 strike for an average premium of $0.56 a-pop. The net cost of the ratio spread amounts to just $0.09 per contract. The investor responsible for the spread profits if PCX shares decline 8.9% to slip beneath the average breakeven price of $21.91, and may make up to $1.91 per contract should shares plunge 16.8% to settle at $20.00 at expiration day. The sale of twice as many lower-strike puts exposes the put player to losses in the event that Patriot Coal’s shares drop 24.8% to trade below the lower breakeven price of $18.09 before the contracts expire in February.…
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Phil's Favorites

The Fed finds another kitchen sink to throw at us

 

The Fed finds another kitchen sink to throw at us

Courtesy of 

This morning, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will be speaking on the just-unveiled $2.3 trillion plan to get more money flowing throughout our shutdown economy.

The Fed’s dual mandate is stable prices and full employment. This morning we learned that another 6 million people have filed for unemployment insurance last week, which is on top of the 10 million cumulative from the previous two weeks. Small and midsize enterprises account for more than 40% of all economic activity and employment – so going directly to Main Str...



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Biotech/COVID-19

COVID-19 is hitting black and poor communities the hardest, underscoring fault lines in access and care for those on margins

 

COVID-19 is hitting black and poor communities the hardest, underscoring fault lines in access and care for those on margins

Nurse Shelia Rickman participates in an after-shift demonstration on Monday, April 6, 2020, in Chicago’s Hyde Park neighborhood, after media reports of disproportionate numbers of black people dying from COVID-19 in the city. AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast

Grace A. Noppert, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

As the COVID-19 epidemic continues to ravage the American public, an unsurprisin...



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ValueWalk

Coronavirus symptoms, causes, prevention and cure

By Jacob Wolinsky. Originally published at ValueWalk.

The best case situation for Coronavirus or COVID-19 is that in a few weeks it dies down and things get back to normal. However, we must entertain the possibility of a far more frightening scenario.

COVID-19 models continue to change for the better

April 9, 2020 Update: More than 1.5 million people around the world have been infected by the novel coronavirus, and nearly 90,000 have died. In the U.S., the death toll surpassed 14,000 on Wednesday. Tuesday alone saw a record 1,858 deaths. So far, approximately 425,000 people in the U.S. have tested positive for COVID-19.

Although researchers say the peak hasn’t been reached yet, the model in use by the White House and many other agencies was updated on Wednesday. The number of projected deaths from the virus in the U.S. declined to 60,415 by August, compared...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Silver/Gold Indicator Creates Largest Bullish Pattern In Decades!

Courtesy of Chris Kimble

Is an important metals indicator sending one of the largest bullish messages in nearly 50-years? Very Possible!

This chart looks at the Silver/Gold ratio on a monthly basis since the mid-1970s. Historically metals bulls want to see the ratio heading up, to send the metals complex a solid bullish message.

The ratio hit the top of the falling channel (A) back in 2011, where it created a large bearish reversal pattern. Since creating the bearish pattern at resistance, the ratio has experienced a significant decline.

9 years after hitting the top of the channel the ratio hit the bottom of the channel at (1) last month, where it looks to have created one of the largest monthly b...



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Zero Hedge

Futures Reverse Rally As Oil Slides Ahead Of Surge In Unemployment Claims

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

U.S. stock index futures dipped on Thursday, reversing a 3-day rally as investors braced for another staggering weekly jobless claims number, while European stocks clung to modest gains on the last trading day before the Easter holiday. Oil initially rose in the wake of Russia signaling readiness to cut output although US resistance to join the conversation has sparked concerns today's OPEC+ meeting could end up a major disappointment.

...



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The Technical Traders

Adaptive Fibonacci Suggests Much Lower Prices Yet To Come - Part I

Courtesy of Technical Traders

Our Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system suggests a much deeper price move is in the works and the current price rally will likely end near resistance levels identified by the Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system.  We are posting this research post for friends and followers to help them understand the true structure of price and to allow them to prepare for what we believe will become a much deeper downside price move in the future.

Fibonacci Price Theory teaches us that price moves in waves within up and down price cycles. The recent peak in price, near February 25, 2020, has resulted in a very deep -36% price collapse in the S&P 500 (ES) recently. This dow...



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Chart School

The Big Short movie guides us to what is next for the stock market

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

There is nothing new in WallStreet, it is only the players that change. Sometimes a market player or an event gets ahead of the crowd and WallStreet has to play catch up.

Previous Post Dow 2020 Crash Watch Dow, Three strikes and your out!

It is important to understand major WallStreet players do not want to miss out on a money making moves.  







...

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Insider Scoop

Economic Data Scheduled For Friday

Courtesy of Benzinga

  • Data on nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate for March will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET.
  • US Services Purchasing Managers' Index for March is scheduled for release at 9:45 a.m. ET.
  • The ISM's non-manufacturing index for March will be released at 10:00 a.m. ET.
  • The Baker Hughes North American rig count report for the latest week is scheduled for release at 1:00 p.m. ET.
...

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Members' Corner

10 ways to spot online misinformation

 

10 ways to spot online misinformation

When you share information online, do it responsibly. Sitthiphong/Getty Images

Courtesy of H. Colleen Sinclair, Mississippi State University

Propagandists are already working to sow disinformation and social discord in the run-up to the November elections.

Many of their efforts have focused on social media, where people’s limited attention spans push them to ...



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Digital Currencies

While coronavirus rages, bitcoin has made a leap towards the mainstream

 

While coronavirus rages, bitcoin has made a leap towards the mainstream

Get used to it. Anastasiia Bakai

Courtesy of Iwa Salami, University of East London

Anyone holding bitcoin would have watched the market with alarm in recent weeks. The virtual currency, whose price other cryptocurrencies like ethereum and litecoin largely follow, plummeted from more than US$10,000 (£8,206) in mid-February to briefly below US$4,000 on March 13. Despite recovering to the mid-US$6,000s at the time of writin...



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Promotions

Free, Live Webinar on Stocks, Options and Trading Strategies

TODAY's LIVE webinar on stocks, options and trading strategy is open to all!

Feb. 26, 1pm EST

Click HERE to join the PSW weekly webinar at 1 pm EST.

Phil will discuss positions, COVID-19, market volatility -- the selloff -- and more! 

This week, we also have a special presentation from Mike Anton of TradeExchange.com. It's a new service that we're excited to be a part of! 

Mike will show off the TradeExchange's new platform which you can try for free.  

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Lee's Free Thinking

Why Blaming the Repo Market is Like Blaming the Australian Bush Fires

 

Why Blaming the Repo Market is Like Blaming the Australian Bush Fires

Courtesy of  

The repo market problem isn’t the problem. It’s a sideshow, a diversion, and a joke. It’s a symptom of the problem.

Today, I got a note from Liquidity Trader subscriber David, a professional investor, and it got me to thinking. Here’s what David wrote:

Lee,

The ‘experts’ I hear from keep saying that once 300B more in reserves have ...



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Mapping The Market

How IPOs Are Priced

Via Jean Luc 

Funny but probably true:

...

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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