Posts Tagged ‘SJM’

Smucker’s Calls In Focus As Shares Soar To Record High

 

Today’s tickers: SJM, LVS & KKD

SJM - J.M. Smucker Co. – Bullish bets initiated on branded food maker, J.M. Smucker Co., earlier this week are paying off for some strategists following the release of the company’s first-quarter earnings report ahead of the opening bell. Better-than-expected first-quarter earnings and revenue along with the firm’s full-year earnings guidance now at the top end of its previously forecasted range sent the price of the underlying stock soaring 6.5% to a new all-time high of $84.10 this morning. Traders positioning for a post-earnings report pop in the share price picked up around 250 of the Aug. $80 strike puts earlier this week for an average premium of $0.70 per contract. These calls, which are in their final day of trading before expiration, are now deep in-the-money, displaying a last-traded price of $3.70 as of 12:10 p.m. in New York. Traders who paid $0.70 apiece for the contracts have seen the value of the call options quadruple this week. Meanwhile, fresh bullish action in Smucker’s call options spread to the Sept. $85 strike where approximately 330 calls were purchased for an average premium of $0.65 apiece. The trader or traders purchasing the contracts profit if shares in SJM continue high to top a fresh record-high of $85.65 by September expiration.

LVS - Las Vegas Sands Corp. – Shares in the casino resort operator slumped to a 52-week low of $34.72 at the end of July on concerns over slowing growth in China and as gaming growth in Macao slipped to its lowest level in three years. But, the stock has managed to pare some of its losses during the first few weeks in August, rising 1.25% to $41.69 this morning, marking a 20% rebound in the price of the underlying off the July low. A debit call spread initiated in the weekly options expiring next Friday suggests one options player is positioned to benefit from further gains in the…
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J.M. Smucker Co. Calls In Demand Despite Earnings Jam

 

Today’s tickers: SJM, MS & NILE

SJM - J.M. Smucker Co. – Shares in the maker of branded food products fell as much as 9.8% to $70.50 today after third-quarter earnings missed expectations and the Company cut its full-year earnings estimate. The sharp correction in the shares may be temporary, by the looks of trades placed in J.M. Smucker Co. options straight out of the gate this morning. Investors snapped up calls across several expiries, perhaps taking advantage of deeply discounted premiums on the contracts in the view that shares may rebound. March expiry call buyers targeted the $75 strike, buying around 280 lots for an average premium of $0.60 each. Traders long the calls may profit at expiration next month if shares in the peanut butter producer rally 6.5% over the current traded price of $71.00 to exceed the effective breakeven point at $75.60. Same-strike price calls in the April contract were purchased 200 times at an average premium of $1.10 apiece, positioning buyers to profit above a breakeven share price of $76.10. Meanwhile, third-quarter results and the revision to full-year guidance seem to have sparked concern in other strategists buying SJM puts. Traders positioning for shares to extend losses purchased around 150 of the Mar. $65 strike puts at a premium of $0.41 each, and picked up around 220 July $70 strike put options at an average premium of $3.50 per contract.

MS - Morgan Stanley – It looks like some Morgan Stanley options players paid heftier premiums than necessary for downside puts this morning. Reports that Moody’s may cut its rating on MS by up to three notches sent shares in the financial services firm down as much as 4.0% to $18.20, sparking demand for downside protection. The shaky start to the trading day was…
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Phil's Favorites

The Fed finds another kitchen sink to throw at us

 

The Fed finds another kitchen sink to throw at us

Courtesy of 

This morning, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will be speaking on the just-unveiled $2.3 trillion plan to get more money flowing throughout our shutdown economy.

The Fed’s dual mandate is stable prices and full employment. This morning we learned that another 6 million people have filed for unemployment insurance last week, which is on top of the 10 million cumulative from the previous two weeks. Small and midsize enterprises account for more than 40% of all economic activity and employment – so going directly to Main Str...



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Biotech/COVID-19

COVID-19 is hitting black and poor communities the hardest, underscoring fault lines in access and care for those on margins

 

COVID-19 is hitting black and poor communities the hardest, underscoring fault lines in access and care for those on margins

Nurse Shelia Rickman participates in an after-shift demonstration on Monday, April 6, 2020, in Chicago’s Hyde Park neighborhood, after media reports of disproportionate numbers of black people dying from COVID-19 in the city. AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast

Grace A. Noppert, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

As the COVID-19 epidemic continues to ravage the American public, an unsurprisin...



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ValueWalk

Coronavirus symptoms, causes, prevention and cure

By Jacob Wolinsky. Originally published at ValueWalk.

The best case situation for Coronavirus or COVID-19 is that in a few weeks it dies down and things get back to normal. However, we must entertain the possibility of a far more frightening scenario.

COVID-19 models continue to change for the better

April 9, 2020 Update: More than 1.5 million people around the world have been infected by the novel coronavirus, and nearly 90,000 have died. In the U.S., the death toll surpassed 14,000 on Wednesday. Tuesday alone saw a record 1,858 deaths. So far, approximately 425,000 people in the U.S. have tested positive for COVID-19.

Although researchers say the peak hasn’t been reached yet, the model in use by the White House and many other agencies was updated on Wednesday. The number of projected deaths from the virus in the U.S. declined to 60,415 by August, compared...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Silver/Gold Indicator Creates Largest Bullish Pattern In Decades!

Courtesy of Chris Kimble

Is an important metals indicator sending one of the largest bullish messages in nearly 50-years? Very Possible!

This chart looks at the Silver/Gold ratio on a monthly basis since the mid-1970s. Historically metals bulls want to see the ratio heading up, to send the metals complex a solid bullish message.

The ratio hit the top of the falling channel (A) back in 2011, where it created a large bearish reversal pattern. Since creating the bearish pattern at resistance, the ratio has experienced a significant decline.

9 years after hitting the top of the channel the ratio hit the bottom of the channel at (1) last month, where it looks to have created one of the largest monthly b...



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Zero Hedge

Futures Reverse Rally As Oil Slides Ahead Of Surge In Unemployment Claims

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

U.S. stock index futures dipped on Thursday, reversing a 3-day rally as investors braced for another staggering weekly jobless claims number, while European stocks clung to modest gains on the last trading day before the Easter holiday. Oil initially rose in the wake of Russia signaling readiness to cut output although US resistance to join the conversation has sparked concerns today's OPEC+ meeting could end up a major disappointment.

...



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The Technical Traders

Adaptive Fibonacci Suggests Much Lower Prices Yet To Come - Part I

Courtesy of Technical Traders

Our Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system suggests a much deeper price move is in the works and the current price rally will likely end near resistance levels identified by the Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system.  We are posting this research post for friends and followers to help them understand the true structure of price and to allow them to prepare for what we believe will become a much deeper downside price move in the future.

Fibonacci Price Theory teaches us that price moves in waves within up and down price cycles. The recent peak in price, near February 25, 2020, has resulted in a very deep -36% price collapse in the S&P 500 (ES) recently. This dow...



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Chart School

The Big Short movie guides us to what is next for the stock market

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

There is nothing new in WallStreet, it is only the players that change. Sometimes a market player or an event gets ahead of the crowd and WallStreet has to play catch up.

Previous Post Dow 2020 Crash Watch Dow, Three strikes and your out!

It is important to understand major WallStreet players do not want to miss out on a money making moves.  







...

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Insider Scoop

Economic Data Scheduled For Friday

Courtesy of Benzinga

  • Data on nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate for March will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET.
  • US Services Purchasing Managers' Index for March is scheduled for release at 9:45 a.m. ET.
  • The ISM's non-manufacturing index for March will be released at 10:00 a.m. ET.
  • The Baker Hughes North American rig count report for the latest week is scheduled for release at 1:00 p.m. ET.
...

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Members' Corner

10 ways to spot online misinformation

 

10 ways to spot online misinformation

When you share information online, do it responsibly. Sitthiphong/Getty Images

Courtesy of H. Colleen Sinclair, Mississippi State University

Propagandists are already working to sow disinformation and social discord in the run-up to the November elections.

Many of their efforts have focused on social media, where people’s limited attention spans push them to ...



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Digital Currencies

While coronavirus rages, bitcoin has made a leap towards the mainstream

 

While coronavirus rages, bitcoin has made a leap towards the mainstream

Get used to it. Anastasiia Bakai

Courtesy of Iwa Salami, University of East London

Anyone holding bitcoin would have watched the market with alarm in recent weeks. The virtual currency, whose price other cryptocurrencies like ethereum and litecoin largely follow, plummeted from more than US$10,000 (£8,206) in mid-February to briefly below US$4,000 on March 13. Despite recovering to the mid-US$6,000s at the time of writin...



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Promotions

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Feb. 26, 1pm EST

Click HERE to join the PSW weekly webinar at 1 pm EST.

Phil will discuss positions, COVID-19, market volatility -- the selloff -- and more! 

This week, we also have a special presentation from Mike Anton of TradeExchange.com. It's a new service that we're excited to be a part of! 

Mike will show off the TradeExchange's new platform which you can try for free.  

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Lee's Free Thinking

Why Blaming the Repo Market is Like Blaming the Australian Bush Fires

 

Why Blaming the Repo Market is Like Blaming the Australian Bush Fires

Courtesy of  

The repo market problem isn’t the problem. It’s a sideshow, a diversion, and a joke. It’s a symptom of the problem.

Today, I got a note from Liquidity Trader subscriber David, a professional investor, and it got me to thinking. Here’s what David wrote:

Lee,

The ‘experts’ I hear from keep saying that once 300B more in reserves have ...



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Mapping The Market

How IPOs Are Priced

Via Jean Luc 

Funny but probably true:

...

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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