Posts Tagged ‘SWK’

Stanley Black & Decker Puts In Play As Shares Plunge

SWK – Stanley Black & Decker Inc. – Shares in the maker of power tools are getting hammered this morning, down nearly 16% to a three-month low of $75.44, after the company reported third-quarter revenue that missed analyst estimates and lowered its full-year 2013 earnings forecast.

Options traders snapping up put options on the stock straight out of the gate today appear to be bracing for shares in Stanley Black & Decker to extend losses during the next few months. More than 2,100 of the Jan 2014 $72.5 strike puts changed hands in the early going against open interest of just 258 contracts. It looks like most of the puts were purchased at an average premium of $2.50 each. Traders long the puts stand ready to profit at expiration next year in the event that SWK shares slide 7.0% from the morning low of $75.44 to breach the average breakeven point on the downside at $70.00. 


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Options On VeriFone Eye Further Weakness As Stock Tumbles To Multi-Year Low

Today’s tickers: PAY, SWK & VMW

PAY - VeriFone Systems, Inc. – Shares in electronic payment systems and services provider, VeriFone, are getting slammed on Thursday after the company yesterday forecast third-quarter revenue and earnings well below average analyst estimates. The stock dropped nearly 20% today to $17.70, the lowest level since May of 2010. Shares are currently down 18% on the day at $18.00 as of 11:45 a.m. ET. Traders positioning for shares in VeriFone Systems to extend losses in the near term picked up June and July expiry put options this morning. Put buying at the Jun $16 and $17 strikes position traders to profit from further selling pressure in the shares ahead of expiration in two weeks. It looks like bears purchased around 200 of the Jun $16 strike puts for an average premium of $0.16 each and around 350 of the Jun $17 strike puts at an average premium of $0.37 apiece. Meanwhile, sizable volume in the July expiry puts appears to be the work of one or more traders taking profits and initiating fresh bearish positions on the stock. More than 2,000 puts changed hands at the Jul $23 strike against open interest of 4,106 contracts in the early going this morning. Open interest in the $23 puts increased during the first half of this week, with around 2,500 lots purchased on Monday and Tuesday for an average premium of $1.63 each, according to time and sales data. The sharp drop in the price of the underlying overnight now finds the deep in the money put options changing hands at $4.90 apiece as of midday in New York. Prints in the $23 puts within 10 minutes of the opening bell today indicates traders sold more than 1,400 of the puts for an average premium of $4.55 apiece. Finally, bears anticipating continued weakness in the price of the underlying going forward snapped up 2,000 puts at the Jul $18 strike for an average premium of $1.20 each. Buyers of these contracts stand ready to profit at expiration next month should shares in VeriFone decline another 6.7% from the current level of $18.00…
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Call Buyers Drive Traffic In Meritor Options

 

Today’s tickers: MTOR, SWK & WMT

MTOR - Meritor, Inc. – Of the 18,255 open options positions on the supplier of parts for manufacturers of trucks, trailers and specialty vehicles, most are open call positions, with the stock’s call-to-put open interest ratio currently at 2.042. Call options on Meritor are active today, as well, with more than 50 calls changing hands on the stock for each single put option in play. The action in MTOR options this morning suggests one or more investors is preparing for shares in the Troy, Michigan-based Company to rally ahead of expiration next month. One catalyst for the bullish look may be Meritor’s upcoming second-quarter earnings report set for release ahead of the opening bell on May 2nd. The stock today trades 1.3% lower on the session at $6.88 as of 12:30 p.m. ET. Call open interest patterns indicate an influx of buyers starting in mid-March, with the trend continuing this morning. The biggest play in MTOR options today is the purchase of 1,000 calls at the May $8.0 strike at a premium of $0.20 apiece. Profits may be available on the contracts should shares in Meritor jump 19.2% to top $8.20 by May expiration. Much of the call open interest at surrounding strike prices in the May expiry appear to have been generated by buyers taking positions back on March 21st, when MTOR’s shares jumped 13.0% intraday to $8.46 after the Company reaffirmed its outlook for 2012 revenue and earnings forecasts. In the three weeks since, the stock has reversed gains, and then some. Needless to say, buyers of the contracts at the end of March paid far more than traders today, as evidenced by the 75.0% decline in May $8.0 strike call option premium from $0.81 apiece on March 21st to today’s asking price of $0.20 each.…
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Thrilling Thursday – Comedy or Tragedy?

Russell 8-0-0, Russell 8-0-0! Wherefore art thou Russell8-0-0?  Deny thy dollar and refuse to fall, or, if thou spike not, be but consolidating at resistance and I’ll happily Capitulate….

If it's good enough for fair Juliet, it's going to have to be good enough for us as the Russell finally makes it over our 800 target – the last barrier that was keeping us on the bearish side.  Above these lines – it's time to stop worrying and love the rally as we romanticize the deadly combination of QE2 the Obama tax cuts as: "A pair of star-crossed lovers take their life, whose misadventured piteous overthrows doth with their death bury their parents’ strife."

Of course Willie Shakespeare has nothing on Jimmy Cramer, who's pearls of wisdom are also sure to be repeated centuries from now.  Last night the Bard of Wall Street sang a veritable sonnet in praise of the stock market and foretold a tale of woe for anyone dumb enough to take profits into this rally:

 

We got the correction this morning, Dow fell 35 points…  Today's action was proof positive that you need to stop worrying and learn to love corrections…  What scares me, and what should scare you, is that if you sell your stocks here, you won't be able to get back in.  You should be worried about stocks getting away from you, because I think we can be on the verge of something big – something very positive.   FORGET the fact that stocks have run up a lot in the last 6 months.  For more than 10 years, this market has done nothing, THAT is the most important frame of reference…

What's changed?  We are finally starting to see big breakouts from a slew of breakouts from several large cap companies including: CAT, UTX, FCX, SWK, CBE, ETN, CSX, UNP and so many other big industrials.  Ladies and gentlemen, we have waited over a decade for this move and what do people want to do now that it has arrived?  They want to sell!  That's right, they want to sell.  That's right.  They want to dump the stocks (sell button sound effect) because they are up


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Risk Reversal Pops Up on Biotech-Company, Life Technologies

Today’s tickers: LIFE, FL, VTR, WFC, RRI, WFR, CAR, FRX, SWK, BNI & WFR

LIFE – Life Technologies Corp. – Biotechnology company, Life Technologies, popped up on our ‘hot by options volume’ market scanner this morning after one investor initiated a risk reversal in the December contract. Shares are relatively flat on the day at $47.58. The reversal is most likely the work of a bullish individual positioning for a rally in shares of LIFE by expiration next month. It appears the trader sold 5,200 puts short at the December 45 strike for an average premium of 1.30 apiece to finance the purchase of the same number of call options at the higher December 50 strike for 1.20 each. The investor receives a credit of 10 cents per contract on the transaction. The 10 cent credit is money in the bank as long as shares remain above $45.00 through expiration. Additional profits on the trade require the stock to surge to a new 52-week high of $50.00. Shares must rally 5% from the current price before the investor begins to accumulate profits. The 10,400 contracts exchanged in the spread represent about 23% of the total existing open interest on LIFE of 45,963 lots.

FL – Foot Locker, Inc. – A long-term bullish play in the January 2011 contract pushed the global retailer of athletic footwear and apparel onto our ‘hot by options volume’ market scanner this afternoon. Shares are currently up nearly 1% to $10.25. It looks like the trader initiated a bullish risk reversal by selling 3,500 puts at the December 7.5 strike for 1.10 each, and by buying the same number of calls at the higher December 12.5 strike for 1.10 apiece. The investor put on the trade for free and hopes to see shares rise above $12.50 by expiration in 14 months. Profits begin to accumulate if the stock rallies 22% over the current price to surpass the breakeven point at $12.50. We note that shares of FL have traded beneath $12.50 since November 11, 2008.

VTR – Ventas, Inc. – Shares of the real estate investment trust edged slightly higher by less than 0.25% to $40.56 during the trading day. An investor expecting shares to appreciate by expiration in December put on a bullish risk reversal strategy. The trader sold 3,000 puts at the December 35 strike for 60 cents premium and simultaneously purchased the same…
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Zero Hedge

Stocks Slump After Quad-Witch; Bonds, Bullion, & Bitcoin Jump

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Without the quad-witch magic, stocks unable to hold gains as bonds, bullion, and bitcoin all see safe-haven bids...

Chinese stocks trod water largely overnight after a big week, with tech and small caps leading the drop...

European stocks drifted lower for the 3rd day in a row, despite an excited open...

Ugly day for Trannies ...



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Phil's Favorites

Corporate boards are supposed to oversee companies but often turn a blind eye

 

Corporate boards are supposed to oversee companies but often turn a blind eye

Courtesy of Siri Terjesen, American University Kogod School of Business

A lot of giant companies are getting into big trouble these days.

When Boeing 737 Max aircraft crashed in Indonesia and Ethiopia, killing a total of 346 people in October 2018 and March 2019, the disasters raised serious questions about the safety of the aviation leader’s anti-stall system.

When some 5,000 Wells Fargo employees fra...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Wilshire 5000 Creating A Triple Top? An Important Breakout Test Is In Play!

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

The stock market has been on fire of late, rallying up to the edge of price resistance on several indexes. Today, we look at one of those stock market indexes: the Wilshire 5000.

The Wilshire 5000 tracks all of the stocks in the US market, so it is a broad-based index that carries significant importance when gauging the health of the overall US stock market.

Looking at the long-term “weekly” chart above, it is pretty clear that the index is at an important price juncture.

The Wilshire 5000 spent the last 25 years trading within a rising price channel (1)...



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Insider Scoop

Jefferies Upgrades Deere, Cites 'Significantly Improved Farmer Income Outlook'

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Farmer buying power will remain pressured for 2019, but this will change for the better next year and will help support Deere & Company (NYSE: DE), according to Jefferies.

The Analyst

Jefferies' Stephen Volkmann upgraded Deere from Hold to Buy with a price target lifted from $150 to $190....



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Chart School

Formula for when the Great Stock Market Rally ends

Courtesy of Read the Ticker.

When valuations for the boring water company or the boring electric company is trading like your Facebook, Apple, Amazon or Netflix or Google (ie FANG) you know something is wrong.

This is when a seriously over valued market is screaming at you.

Of course the reader must understand in a world where money printing goes super nuts (Zimbabwe style) the stock market may go hyper inflationary and picking a time frame for a top is never a good idea, but we are not there yet. There is no Ben Bernanke helicopter money to the masses yet (ie MMT). 

To see when water company's (and such like) are nearing the crazy FANG like valuations a review of the Dow Jones Utility Index channel shows us how history can repeat. The c...

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ValueWalk

The "Tesla Killer" Car Is Nowhere In Sight

 

The “Tesla Killer” Car Is Nowhere In Sight

By Jacob Wolinsky, ValueWalk

Here’s some catnip for the Tesla bulls on this email list: my analyst, Kevin DeCamp, a longtime TSLA shareholder and car owner, took a test drive of the Jaguar I-PACE and, while it “looks great and is fun to drive… it is lacking in a few areas where Tesla really shines.” He concludes that “Tesla may end up killing itself, but the “Tesla killer” car is nowhere in sight.”

The Tesla Killer Hasn’t Arrived Yet: My Test Drive of the Jaguar I-PACE

By Kevin DeCamp

As a long-time, devoted Tesla...



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Digital Currencies

Cryptocurrencies are finally going mainstream - the battle is on to bring them under global control

 

Cryptocurrencies are finally going mainstream – the battle is on to bring them under global control

The high seas are getting lower. dianemeise

Courtesy of Iwa Salami, University of East London

The 21st-century revolutionaries who have dominated cryptocurrencies are having to move over. Mainstream financial institutions are adopting these assets and the blockchain technology that enables them, in what ...



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Biotech

Consumer genetic testing customers stretch their DNA data further with third-party interpretation websites

Reminder: Pharmboy is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

Consumer genetic testing customers stretch their DNA data further with third-party interpretation websites

If you’ve got the raw data, why not mine it for more info? Sergey Nivens/Shutterstock.com

Courtesy of Sarah Catherine Nelson, University of Washington

Back in 2016, Helen (a pseudonym) took three different direct-to-consumer (DTC) genetic tests: AncestryDNA, 23andMe and FamilyTreeDNA. She saw genetic testing as a way...



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Members' Corner

Despacito - How to Make Money the Old-Fashioned Way - SLOWLY!

Are you ready to retire?  

For most people, the purpose of investing is to build up enough wealth to allow you to retire.  In general, that's usually enough money to reliably generate a year's worth of your average income, each year into your retirement so that that, plus you Social Security, should be enough to pay your bills without having to draw down on your principle.

Unfortunately, as the last decade has shown us, we can't count on bonds to pay us more than 3% and the average return from the stock market over the past 20 years has been erratic - to say the least - with 4 negative years (2000, 2001, 2002 and 2008) and 14 positives, though mostly in the 10% range on the positives.  A string of losses like we had from 2000-02 could easily wipe out a decades worth of gains.

Still, the stock market has been better over the last 10 (7%) an...



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Mapping The Market

It's Not Capitalism, it's Crony Capitalism

A good start from :

It's Not Capitalism, it's Crony Capitalism

Excerpt:

The threat to America is this: we have abandoned our core philosophy. Our first principle of this nation as a meritocracy, a free-market economy, where competition drives economic decision-making. In its place, we have allowed a malignancy to fester, a virulent pus-filled bastardized form of economics so corrosive in nature, so dangerously pestilent, that it presents an extinction-level threat to America – both the actual nation and the “idea” of America.

This all-encompassing mutant corruption saps men’s souls, crushes opportunities, and destroys economic mobility. Its a Smash & Grab system of ill-gotten re...



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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of September 11th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



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Promotions

Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"

 

 

Here's a free ebook for you to check out! 

Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

Some other great content in this free eBook includes:

 

·       How 2017 Will Affect Oil, the US Dollar and the European Union

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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