Posts Tagged ‘TFM’

Options Volume Pops On The Fresh Market As Shares Tumble

TFM – The Fresh Market, Inc. – Options volume on The Fresh Market is running at more than five times the stock’s average daily volume today, with shares in the high-quality food products retailer down sharply after the company reported lower than expected third-quarter earnings and pared back its forecast for full year earnings. TFM shares earlier dropped 20% to an intraday low of $40.03, the lowest level since April.

Traders positioning for shares in The Fresh Market to extend losses in the near term appear to be buying the Dec $40 strike puts. Around 1,100 contracts changed hands during the first half of the session against open interest of 438 contracts. Buyers of the puts paid an average premium of $1.19 per contract this morning, and may profit at expiration next month in the event that TFM shares slip 3.0% from the $40.03 intraday low to trade below the average breakeven point at $38.81.

The stock was cut to ‘Neutral’ from ‘Buy’ with a target share price of $44.00 down from $59.00 at Sterne Agee, while an analyst at Deutsche Bank reiterated a ‘Buy’ rating on the stock, with a lowered target share price of $48.00 down from $58.00. Shares in TFM are down roughly 35% since this time last year.

BAC – Bank of America Corp. – Trading in the Nov 29 ’13 expiry weekly calls on BAC this morning indicates some options traders are positioning for shares in the name to continue higher ahead of expiration next Friday. Shares in Bank of America are up 1.1% on the session at a new 52-week high of $15.76 as of 11:30 a.m. EST and have risen roughly 5.0% since the start of the trading week.

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Vodafone Weeklys Generate Big Profits For Some Traders As Shares Soar

Today’s tickers: VOD, TFM & WSM

VOD – Vodafone Group Plc – Short term bullish positions initiated on Vodafone last week are generating substantial gains for some options traders today, with shares in the name up as much as 9.2% today to $32.12 after the U.K. carrier confirmed it is in talks to sell its 45% stake in Verizon Wireless to Verizon Communications Inc. Buyers of VOD weekly call options last Thursday saw a big jump in the value of their contracts overnight. Open interest in contracts that expire at the end of this week is greatest in the Aug 30 ’13 $29.5 and $30 calls, with 344 and 353 open contracts, respectively. A review of time and sales data in the $29.5 strike calls indicates one strategist purchased more than 300 contracts on August 22nd for a premium of $0.50 each. The jump in Vodafone’s shares today has roughly quadrupled the value of the $29.5 strike calls versus this time last week to $2.40 per contract as of 11:45 a.m. ET. Similarly, time and sales data suggests most of the Aug 30 ’13 $30 calls were purchased last Friday at a premium of $0.35 per contract. Premium required to purchase the $30 calls today has more than tripled in value to $1.90 each as of the time of this writing. Overall options volume on Vodafone is running well above the average daily level this morning, with 32,400 contracts traded thus far in the session versus an average of 8,900 options. Trading in VOD calls is outpacing that of puts, with the call/put ratio hovering around 3.2 as of 11:45 a.m. in New York.

TFM – Fresh Market, Inc. – Shares in Fresh Market fell as much as 10% today to…
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Bearish Options In Play At Disney


Today’s tickers: DIS, TFM & HOLX

DIS - Walt Disney Co. – Put options on the world’s largest entertainment company are active on a morning that finds U.S. equities reversing earlier losses and moving into positive territory on favorable comments from Speaker of the House, John Boehner, regarding budget talks. Disney shares, in negative territory for much of the morning, are currently flat on the session at $48.60 as of 11:25 a.m. ET. Downside puts expiring January 2013 are the most active contracts on Disney today, with the $44 strike put changing hands upwards of 5,400 times in the first hour of the session. It looks like most of the volume was purchased for an average premium of $0.42 apiece. Put buyers may profit at expiration next year should shares in DIS decline more than 10% from the current price of $48.60 to breach the average breakeven price of $43.58. Put open interest of 8,335 contracts at the Jan. 2013 $44 strike is sufficient to cover today’s volume of roughly 5,400 contracts. The bulk of the previously existing positions comprising open interest were purchased on November 9th. Shares in Disney have traded above $44.00 since the end of May.

TFM - Fresh Market, Inc. – The operator of 115 food retail stores in 20 states throughout the U.S. popped up on our scanners this morning with options volume up sharply and the price of the underlying down substantially following the company’s third-quarter earnings report and a downgrade to ‘Sell’ from ‘Neutral’ with a 12-month share price target of $45.00 at Northcoast Research. Shares in Fresh Market are currently down more than 14% at $51.75 as of 12:15 p.m. in New York. Front month put buying on Fresh Market suggests some traders anticipate possible further declines in the near term. The Dec. $50 strike puts attracted the most volume in the first half of the session, with more than 1,000 lots in play versus open interest of 144 contracts.…
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Phil's Favorites

The Byzantine history of Putin's Russian empire


The Byzantine history of Putin's Russian empire

Courtesy of Theodore Christou, Queen's University, Ontario

Russian athletes were conspicuous in their neutral colours during this year’s Winter Olympics and Paralympics due to a ban based on doping allegations.

In Vancouver in 2010 and in Sochi in 2014, however, Russia’s Olympic hockey jerseys prominently featured a two-headed eagle exactly where Canada’s jerseys highlighted the maple leaf.


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Zero Hedge

"Where Will It Stop?": Libor Spread Blows Out Beyond Eurocrisis Highs, Central Banks Intervention Awaited

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Until two days ago, the critical level for both the Libor-OIS and FRA-OIS spread was the "psychological level" of 50bps. This, however, was breached on Wednesday when as we reported Libor pushed significantly higher without a matching move in swaps. And yet, despite the sharp push wider, both spreads remained below the peak levels observed during the European sovereign debt crisis of 2011/2012, with some speculating that open ce...

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Connor Browne - FAANG Stocks Dominance

By VW Staff. Originally published at ValueWalk.

They are known as the FAANGs but Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Netflix and Google/Alphabet should also be dubbed the great disruptors. They have created new businesses and destroyed old ones, changing the way we conduct our personal and business lives in the process.

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Digital Currencies

Anthill 23: Bursting the Bitcoin bubble


Anthill 23: Bursting the Bitcoin bubble


Courtesy of Annabel Bligh, The Conversation; Gemma Ware, The Conversation; Kelly Fiveash, The Conversation, and Will de Freitas, The Conversation


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Insider Scoop

BofA: Lyft, Magna Could Be The First Of Many Autonomous Vehicle Partnerships

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Related MGA Benzinga Pro's 5 Stocks To Watch Today Earnings Scheduled For February 22, 2018 ... more from Insider

Chart School

Selling Extends For A Third Day

Courtesy of Declan.

Indices extended loses for a third day but didn't change the picture from yesterday.  The S&P is still sitting on a support level of the former channel as On-Balance-Volume extended on yesterday's 'sell' trigger.

The Nasdaq confirmed its 'bull trap' but it still has a support level from the last swing high to use. Technicals remain net bullish with relative performance particularly strong.


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How your brain is wired to just say 'yes' to opioids

Reminder: Pharmboy and Ilene are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.


How your brain is wired to just say ‘yes’ to opioids

A Philadelphia man, who struggles with opioid addiction, in 2017. AP Photo/Matt Rourke

Courtesy of Paul R. Sanberg, University of South Florida and Samantha Portis, University of South Florida


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Members' Corner

Fatal Flaws of our Enlightenment?


David Brin is an astrophysicist, technology consultant, and best-selling author who speaks, writes, and advises on many topics including national defense, creativity, and space exploration. He’s also one of the “World’s Best Futurists.” Find David’s books and latest thoughts on various matters at his website and blog. In ...

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Mapping The Market

The tricks propagandists use to beat science

Via Jean-Luc

How propagandist beat science – they did it for the tobacco industry and now it's in favor of the energy companies:

The tricks propagandists use to beat science

The original tobacco strategy involved several lines of attack. One of these was to fund research that supported the industry and then publish only the results that fit the required narrative. “For instance, in 1954 the TIRC distributed a pamphlet entitled ‘A Scientific Perspective on the Cigarette Controversy’ to nearly 200,000 doctors, journalists, and policy-makers, in which they emphasized favorable research and questioned results supporting the contrary view,” say Weatherall and co, who call this approach biased production.

A second approach promoted independent research that happened to support ...

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Swing trading portfolio - week of September 11th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.


This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...

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NewsWare: Watch Today's Webinar!


We have a great guest at today's webinar!

Bill Olsen from NewsWare will be giving us a fun and lively demonstration of the advantages that real-time news provides. NewsWare is a market intelligence tool for news. In today's data driven markets, it is truly beneficial to have a tool that delivers access to the professional sources where you can obtain the facts in real time.

Join our webinar, free, it's open to all. 

Just click here at 1 pm est and join in!

[For more information on NewsWare, click here. For a list of prices: NewsWar...

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Kimble Charting Solutions

Brazil; Waterfall in prices starting? Impact U.S.?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

Below looks at the Brazil ETF (EWZ) over the last decade. The rally over the past year has it facing a critical level, from a Power of the Pattern perspective.


EWZ is facing dual resistance at (1), while in a 9-year down trend of lower highs and lower lows. The counter trend rally over the past 17-months has it testing key falling resistance. Did the counter trend reflation rally just end at dual resistance???

If EWZ b...

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All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: Harlan is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Click here for the full report.

To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

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