Posts Tagged ‘TJX’

Options Traders Take To Goldman Weeklys

Today’s tickers: GS, TJX & NTGR

GS - Goldman Sachs Group Inc. – Weekly options on Goldman Sachs are active today, with fresh interest on the rise in short-dated calls and puts. Shares in GS are up 0.65% on the session to stand at $159.66 as of 12:30 p.m. ET. Weekly puts with three full trading sessions remaining to expiration attracted substantial volume in the early going. Traders appear to have purchased more than 1,900 of the Aug 23 ’13 $155 strike puts for an average premium of $0.70 apiece this morning, and may profit at expiration this week in the event that Goldman’s shares slump 3.3% from the current price of $159.66 to trade below $154.30. Options traders dabbled in far out of the money weekly puts as well, snapping up around 700 of the Aug 23 ’13 $150 puts at an average premium of $0.27 each and around 310 of the Aug 23 ’13 $145 strike puts for an average premium of $0.13 apiece. The Aug 23 ’13 $160 strike contracts are also changing hands today, with volume in the $160 call and put options exceeding 2,500 contracts and surpassing open interest levels. Overall volume in GS options is approaching 22,200 contracts as of 12:45 p.m. ET, nearing the stock’s average daily options volume of around 24,800 contracts.

TJX - TJX Companies Inc. – Front month call options in play on TJX Companies this morning suggests some traders are positioning for shares in the off-price retailer to extend gains in the near term. The stock is up 6.0% at $53.80 just after midday on Tuesday after the company reported better than expected second-quarter earnings and revenue and raised its full year earnings and sales guidance ahead of the opening bell this morning. Traders looking for the price of TJX shares…
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Traders Construct Cisco Risk Reversals

 

Today’s tickers: CSCO, TJX & INSP

CSCO - Cisco Systems, Inc. – Large risk reversals are dominating the options-landscape on Cisco Systems this morning, helping to drive volume above 540,000 contracts by midday in New York. The maker of networking equipment is the most active single-stock as measured by options volume today following the Company’s third-quarter earnings report after the close Wednesday. Shares are getting crushed, down 10.3% at $16.84 at present, after Cisco forecast lower-than-expected earnings and revenue for the fourth quarter. Risk reversals in the October expiry pay off if shares in CSCO exceed $16.00 through expiration. One large block of 51,000 Oct. $16 puts sold for a premium of $0.77 apiece against the purchase of the same number of Oct. $19 calls at a premium of $0.54 each, yields a net credit of $0.23 per contract. The strategist responsible for the trade keeps the premium if the puts expire worthless at expiration. Additional profits are available on the positions should shares in the name rally 12.8% to top $19.00 during the next five months.

TJX - TJX Companies, Inc. – A sizable put spread on high-flying off-price retail chain operator, TJX Companies, appears to be a near-term bullish bet on the stock. Shares in TJX, up 1.4% at $41.86 this afternoon, have rallied more than 60.0% since this time last year. The sale of a 10,164-lot June $35/$40 put spread results in a net credit of $0.61 per contract, which the trader keeps as long as shares in TJX exceed $40.00 through June expiration. Though a limited risk strategy, the spread could still result in substantial losses of up to $4.39 per contract in the event that TJX shares drop 16.4% to trade below $35.00 at expiration next month. Losses start to amass on the…
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Call Spread Predicts Continued Gains In Store For Gap

 

Today’s tickers: GPS, TJX & EA

GPS - Gap, Inc. – The operator of retail chains Gap, Banana Republic and Old Navy popped up on our market scanners after a large bullish spread was initiated in the May expiry. Shares in Gap are up 2.15% at $26.70 today on the heels of an upgrade to ‘Above Average’ with a target price of $32.00 at Caris & Co. Gap’s shares rallied sharply in the first quarter – currently up 44.5% since the start of 2012 – and it looks like one trader employed a sizable debit call spread to position for the up-trend to continue in the near term. The trader appears to have purchased 6,500 calls at the May $28 strike for a premium of $0.58 each, and sold the same number of calls up at the May $30 strike at a premium of $0.17 apiece. Net premium paid to initiate the spread amounts to $0.41 per contract, thus positioning the strategist to profit at expiration as long as shares in Gap rally another 6.4% to top the breakeven point at $28.41. Maximum potential profits of $1.59 per contract are available on the trade in the event that shares surge 12.4% to trade above $30.00 at May expiration. The Gap, Inc. is scheduled to report first-quarter earnings after the closing bell on May 17th.

TJX - TJX Companies, Inc. – Shares in the off-price retail chain operator kicked off the trading week in rally-mode, trading up 0.70% at the open to a new record high of $39.99, but reversed earlier gains to stand 0.20% lower on the day as of 11:20 a.m. in New York. The most active options on TJX Companies suggest at least one strategist is positioning for fresh all-time highs in the price of the…
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Thrilling Thursday – Can We Make Another Billion Today?

Wheeeee!  

$1,129,860,000!  That’s how much money was made shorting 376,620 NYMEX contracts at $103 yesterday, as we planned!  Congratulations to those of you who got your share playing along with us and, to the manipulators who got stuck with the bill – screw you bastards, we have your number and we’re going to ring it now!  I called a cash-out at the $100 line in Member Chat as 2.9% was more of a drop than we expected in one day and we will re-load on the bounce as we cross back below the $100.50 line – as discussed in this morning’s Member Chat - assuming the Dollar has bottomed out at 74.35.

This isn’t complicated people – what’s the 2.5% line off of $103?  $100.425.  That’s where we’ll look for oil to consolidate but below that line we’ll be comfortable with our shorts again, looking for those next legs down to $98.88 (down 4%) and then $97.85, where we will once again look for a 20% retrace to $98.88 and then a nice short there when it fails.  So come on – you can play along at home – don’t miss out on making the next $1.129Bn!  

Meanwhile, what’s a 20% bounce off a $3 drop? 60 cents, right?  Where did oil bounce to in the futures?  $100.60?  This is not rocket science folks…  We teach these little tips to our Members every day at Philstockworld.  Sure you may find it disturbing that the chart we drew up (above) in early April is hit almost to the penny on the NYSE yesterday (2 months later) as it halted right on our red line – but that just shows us that Bots are running this market (as we keep telling you) and it also means that we can rely on our ranges and that makes it EASY to make good trading decisions.  

Also in Member Chat last night, I reviewed 8 short put ideas (bullish) that can net us over $3,000 in 15 days if we get a bounce and hold our "Must Hold" levels.  This is the nice thing about hedging – we make money on the way up OR on the way down and, when we are trading in a range – like we hopefully will this summer – then we make money both ways on a regular basis!  Let the market manipulators play their…
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Bulls Position for Near-Term Rally in TJX Companies

 Today’s tickers: TJX, TIVO, BP, CSC, ANF, GT & OCR

TJX - TJX Companies, Inc. – Near-term bullish options traders are betting on a rebound in shares of the operator of the largest off-price retail chains, T.J. Maxx and Marshalls, by picking up call options in the January contract this afternoon. Shares in TJX Companies fell 1.30% in the final hour of the session to $43.01, recovering off an earlier intraday low of $42.55. TJX shares are down 4.0% since December 30, and have lost a total of 8.9% since November 5, 2010, when shares touched a 6-month high of $47.21. Investors positioning for a rally in TJX Companies are perhaps hopeful shares will rebound following the release of December same-store sales data. Optimistic traders scooped up more than 2,600 calls at the January $44 strike for an average premium of $0.49 apiece. Call buyers at this strike stand ready to accrue profits should shares rise 3.4% to exceed the average breakeven price of $44.49 ahead of January expiration. Bullish sentiment spread to the higher January $45 strike where nearly 1,000 call options were purchased at an average premium of $0.24 a-pop. Higher-strike call buyers make money if TJX shares rally 5.2% to trade above the average breakeven point at $45.24 before the contracts expire in a couple of weeks.

TIVO - TiVo, Inc. – Massive prints in deep out-of-the-money call options on TiVo today appear to be the work of outright bullish players speculating that shares in the television technology firm could more than double by May expiration. Shares in TiVo are up sharply by 8.07% this afternoon to stand at $9.78 as of 2:40pm in New York. TiVo, Inc. is participating in the Citi 21st Annual Global Entertainment, Media and Telecommunications Conference today. Investors hoping to see TiVo’s shares rebound to prices not seen since April of 2010 purchased debit call spreads during the first half of the trading session. Approximately 20,000 calls were picked up at the May $17.5 strike for an average…
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Thrill-Ride Thursday – Retail Sales and Maybe Some Jobs?

Beware the data!

The first thing you will hear this morning is that COST had a 9% rise in sales, with International sales up a whopping 25%.  What you are less likely to hear is that COST sells a lot of gasoline, which has doubled in price since last December and, excluding inflation in gas prices, same-store sales are up just 2%, a tremendous miss of the 7.9% expected.  Out of the 25% increase in International sales, 15% is attributable to currency exchange so up 10% is the real number

This is nothing against Costco, I like that company, but it's a caution sign to look carefully at the retail numbers we're going to be seeing today as there are several outside factors that are skewing the results drastically – to the point where the numbers, whether good or bad, are almost meaningless.  It's also good to keep in mind that we are comping sales to the WORST CHRISTMAS EVER so anything less than double digit gains over last year is still pretty sad. 

Mish did a good job yesterday of pointing out the statistical nonsense known as the Non-Farm Payroll Report, where "Birth/Death" model revisions that were as much as 356,000 a month last year (January) make the data beyond useless for any kind of serious analysis.  Nonetheless, analyze it they will and if we manage to avoid posting our 24th CONSECUTIVE month of losses, surely they will be pouring champagne on CNBC and acting like Capitalism has once again triumphed over evil (evil being people without money who still want to live with dignity). 

 

Speaking of dignity – if you know 100 people in Nevada then, statistically, 3 of them went bankrupt this year, up 61% from last year as our economy "recovers".  In Tennessee, Georgia and Alabama, just 2 of your 100 friends filed while California, surprisingly "only" had one in 66 households file for bankruptcy so you can go almost a whole day and not run into someone who lost everything in California – too bad the same can't be said for the State overall!  California needs $21Bn over the next 18 months to keep the lights on.  This doesn't seem so bad, GMAC is losing $13Bn this quarter and we're bailing
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Zero Hedge

Boeing Drops, Drags Dow To Session Lows After Fitch Puts Single-A Rating In Danger Of Downgrade

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

With the ongoing debacle over the 737 MAX seemingly getting worse by the day, a potentially far more ominous development hit today when rating agency Fitch warned that it may downgrade Boeing as the grounding of the ill-fated airplane stretches into the 5th month.

Citing regulatory uncertainty around the return to service of Boeing's workhorse jet and the “growing logistical challenge” of getting parked planes back in the air, Fitch said Boeing's credit rating was threatened as its cut its credit outlook for the...



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Phil's Favorites

F.I.R.E. - Ignited By The Bull, Extinguished By The Bear

Courtesy of Lance Roberts, RealInvestmentAdvice.com

Do you remember this commercial?

The Etrade commercial aired during Super Bowl XLI in 2007. The following year, the financial crisis set in, markets plunged, and investors lost 50%, or more, of their wealth.

However, this wasn’t the first time it happened.

The same thing happened in late 1999. This commercial was aired 2-months shy of the beginning of the “Dot.com” bust as investors once again believed “investing was as easy as 1-2-3.”

Why this trip down memory lane? (Other than the fact the commercials are hilarious to watch.)

Because this is typical of the mindset seen at the end of extremely long “cyclical&rdquo...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Is Crude Oil Sending a Bearish Message to the Stock Market?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

Crude Oil (NYSEARCA: USO) and the S&P 500 Index (INDEXSP: .INX) have peaked and bottomed together several times in the past 9 months. See points (1) and (2) on the chart above.

In summary, the correlation between Oil and the stock market has been quite interesting and demands investors attention.

Crude Oil has been creating lower highs of late and is breaking price support at (3).

If the correlation remains the same, Crude Oil may very well be sending a bearish message to stocks.

Tricky spot for active investors – careful here.

...

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Insider Scoop

10 Biggest Price Target Changes For Monday

Courtesy of Benzinga.

  • Goldman Sachs boosted the price target for Applied Materials, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMAT) from $48 to $56. Applied Materials shares closed at $47.81 on Friday.
  • Citigroup raised the price target for Intercontinental Exchange Inc (NYSE: ICE) from $92 to $99. Intercontinental Exchange shares closed at $90.77 on Friday.
  • Nomura cut the price target on LyondellBasell Industries NV (NYSE: LYB) from $107 to $93. LyondellBasell shares closed at $85.92 on Friday.
  • ...


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Chart School

RTT Plus Chart Book (Sneak Peak)

Courtesy of Read the Ticker.

The magic of support and resistance channel lines and how they direct price. Here are some chart disclosed to members via the RTT Plus service. All charts are a few weeks old. 


XAU bound by parallel channel lines.


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Newmont Mining support from Gann Angles.



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US Dollar index (DXY) dominate cycle ...

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Digital Currencies

Cryptos Suddenly Panic-Bid, Bitcoin Back Above $10k

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Following further selling pressure overnight, someone (or more than one) has decided to buy-the-dip in cryptos this morning, sending Bitcoin (and most of the altcoins) soaring...

A sea of green...

Source: Coin360

Bitcoin surged back above $10,000...

Ethereum bounced off suppo...



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Biotech

DNA testing companies offer telomere testing - but what does it tell you about aging and disease risk?

Reminder: We're is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

DNA testing companies offer telomere testing – but what does it tell you about aging and disease risk?

A telomere age test kit from Telomere Diagnostics Inc. and saliva. collection kit from 23andMe. Anna Hoychuk/Shutterstock.com

Courtesy of Patricia Opresko, University of Pittsburgh and Elise Fouquerel, ...



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ValueWalk

Professor Shubha Ghosh On The Current State Of Gene Editing

 

Professor Shubha Ghosh On The Current State Of Gene Editing

Courtesy of Jacob Wolinsky, ValueWalk

ValueWalk’s Q&A session with Professor Shubha Ghosh, a professor of law and the director of the Syracuse Intellectual Property Law Institute. In this interview, Professor Ghosh discusses his background, the Human Genome Project, the current state of gene editing, 3D printing for organ operations, and gene editing regulation.

...

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Members' Corner

Despacito - How to Make Money the Old-Fashioned Way - SLOWLY!

Are you ready to retire?  

For most people, the purpose of investing is to build up enough wealth to allow you to retire.  In general, that's usually enough money to reliably generate a year's worth of your average income, each year into your retirement so that that, plus you Social Security, should be enough to pay your bills without having to draw down on your principle.

Unfortunately, as the last decade has shown us, we can't count on bonds to pay us more than 3% and the average return from the stock market over the past 20 years has been erratic - to say the least - with 4 negative years (2000, 2001, 2002 and 2008) and 14 positives, though mostly in the 10% range on the positives.  A string of losses like we had from 2000-02 could easily wipe out a decades worth of gains.

Still, the stock market has been better over the last 10 (7%) an...



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Mapping The Market

It's Not Capitalism, it's Crony Capitalism

A good start from :

It's Not Capitalism, it's Crony Capitalism

Excerpt:

The threat to America is this: we have abandoned our core philosophy. Our first principle of this nation as a meritocracy, a free-market economy, where competition drives economic decision-making. In its place, we have allowed a malignancy to fester, a virulent pus-filled bastardized form of economics so corrosive in nature, so dangerously pestilent, that it presents an extinction-level threat to America – both the actual nation and the “idea” of America.

This all-encompassing mutant corruption saps men’s souls, crushes opportunities, and destroys economic mobility. Its a Smash & Grab system of ill-gotten re...



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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of September 11th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



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Promotions

Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"

 

 

Here's a free ebook for you to check out! 

Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

Some other great content in this free eBook includes:

 

·       How 2017 Will Affect Oil, the US Dollar and the European Union

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

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