Posts Tagged ‘XLB’

Options Change Hands On Diamond Foods Ahead Of Earnings

Today’s tickers: DMND, XLB & CLDX

DMND - Diamond Foods, Inc. – Bullish options in play on the maker of Pop Secret® popcorn and other packaged consumer food products look for shares in Diamond Foods to rally in the near term. Shares in DMND are up 2.8% at $16.70 as of 12:45 p.m. ET, moving higher ahead of the company’s third-quarter earnings report after the closing bell. The stock is off its 2013 high of $17.99 reached back in March, but is still at a more than 20% premium to where the shares closed on December 31st of last year. Despite the recent rally in the stock, shares in the name are still down more than 80% since September of 2011. Traders positioning for shares to rally snapped up Jun $17 strike calls straight out of the gate this morning, picking up around 3,000 contracts for an average premium of $0.65 apiece. Call buyers may profit at expiration should the price of the underlying rise 5.6% over the current price of $16.70 to top the average breakeven point at $17.65.

XLB - Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF – Shares in the XLB are up 0.55% at $40.38 on Monday afternoon, rebounding somewhat after last week touching down to the lowest level since May 2nd. Options changing hands on the Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF early in the session suggest some traders are positioning for the price of the underlying to decline during the next few months. Upwards of 10,000 puts traded at the Sep $40 strike versus open interest of 3,942 contracts this morning, with much of the volume purchased for an average premium of $1.67 each. The largest print was the purchase of a block of 6,000 of the $40 puts at a premium of $1.68 per contract. Put buyers stand ready to profit at September expiration should the price of the underlying fund decline 5.0% from the current level to trade…
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Traders Lock In Gains At eBay; Big Prints In XLB, XLI Puts See Stormier Skies Up Ahead

 

Today’s tickers: EBAY, XLB & XLI

EBAY - eBay, Inc. – Equities are moving broadly lower today as Spain’s borrowing costs spike, heightening concerns over Europe’s debt crisis. Shares in eBay, which rallied to a fresh six-year high last week on the heels of better-than-expected earnings and a number of analyst upgrades, surrendered 3.4% this morning to trade at $43.34 as of 11:45 a.m. in New York. Put activity on the operator of online marketplaces and electronic payments systems, PayPal, suggests some traders are bracing for further declines in the near term. Upwards of 5,900 puts changed hands at the Aug. $43 strike this morning versus open interest of 2,887 contracts. It looks like most of the puts were purchased for an average premium of $1.48 apiece, thus providing buyers with profits – or downside protection – beneath the average breakeven price of $41.52 through expiration next month.

XLB - Materials Select Sector SPDR – Materials stocks are among the worst performers on a down day for the market, with shares in the XLB down 2.2% at $34.64 as of 12:30 p.m. on the East Coast. A large block of put options purchased on the fund this morning suggests that materials may continue to decline in the next couple of months. All thirty stocks in the fund are in the red today, with Freeport-McMoRan, the fifth-largest holding and 7.61% of the total, down 4.3% on the day at $32.31. It looks like one big options market participant purchased more than 33,000 puts at the Sept. $30 strike for a premium of $0.30 apiece. Open interest in the Sept. $30 strike put exceeds 28,000 contracts, with the bulk of the existing put positions purchased back on July 10th for a premium of $0.41 each. Bearish positioning in the Sept. $30 put looks for the price of the underlying fund to sustain a more than 14% move to the downside within the next nine weeks to expiration.…
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XLB Puts In Demand As Materials Stocks Selloff

 

Today’s tickers: XLB, SHFL & HNR

XLB - Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF – U.S. equities are in retreat today after data showing Europe’s economy contracted in the fourth quarter sparked global growth concerns. Shares in the XLB, an exchange-traded fund that tracks the performance of the Materials Select Sector Index, are down 2.2% this morning at $35.89, with all 30 stocks represented in the fund on the decline just before midday in New York. Materials stocks are among those getting hit hardest as the major averages slump to session lows. A large block of put options in play on the XLB may mean one strategist is prepared for the pullback to continue. The purchase of a block of 30,850 puts at the April $35 strike for a premium of $0.92 each may be an outright bearish stance that benefits from an additional 5.0% correction in the sector. In this case, the put buyer starts making money on the position if the price of the underlying pulls back beneath the effective breakeven price of $34.08 by expiration. Alternatively, the trader may be hedging a long position in the underlying shares, protecting against further bearish movement in the ETF through April expiration, while maintaining upside exposure should growth concerns abate. Shares in the ETF are still up more than 10% since mid-December, the trader could be locking in gains, hedging additional turbulence in the near term, under the view that equities will get back on track this spring.

SHFL - Shuffle Master, Inc. – The maker of gaming-entertainment products and technologies popped up on our scanners this morning with call options a-buzz following the release of better-than-expected first-quarter earnings after the close on Monday. Shares today jumped 20.0% to an intraday high of $17.49. More than 3,350 contracts have…
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Options Player Snaps Up Doomsday Protection On JPMorgan Chase & Co.

Today’s tickers: JPM, XLB & SWI

JPM - JPMorgan Chase & Co. – Shares in JPMorgan Chase & Co. are down 1.6% at $34.01 in early-afternoon trade, but the stock is just one among many slipping lower ahead of Wednesday’s meeting of euro-zone officials in Brussels. One strategist’s large stake initiated in Jan. 2012 contract put options on JPM this morning may be a hedge against steep declines in the price of the underlying into next year. It looks like one investor purchased 8,000 puts at the Jan. 2012 $24 strike for a premium of $0.62 each. The investor profits at expiration in the event that JPM’s shares drop 31.25% to breach the effective breakeven point at $23.38. The stock dipped to as low as $27.85 on October 4, and has since rebounded some 22.1% up to the current price of $34.01. The value of the deep out-of-the-money puts may rise sharply if JPMorgan’s shares head back down toward the lows of the month ahead of expiration. The stock hasn’t traded below $23.38 since March 2009.

XLB - Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF – The XLB popped up on our ‘most active by options volume’ market scanner this morning after one investor established a large bearish stance in the front month. Shares in the XLB, an exchange-traded fund that tracks the performance of the Materials Select Sector of the S&P 500 Index, fell 0.55% to $33.98 by 12:40 pm in New York. The fund’s three largest holdings, EI du Pont de Nemours, Monsanto and Freeport McMoRan, are all in the red this afternoon. It looks like the strategist responsible for more than half of total volume in XLB options today purchased the majority of the more than 56,000 puts exchanged at the Nov. $32 strike thus far in the session. It appears the investor snapped up some 53,000 puts at that strike for an average premium of $0.79 each. The put buyer may profit at expiration next month if shares in the fund slide 8.15% to trade beneath the effective breakeven price of $31.21. Shares in the XLB had traded down to a 52-week low of $27.77 as recently as October 4. Options implied volatility on the SPDR fund is up 5.6% at 35.8% in early-afternoon trade.

SWI - SolarWinds, Inc. – One call-seller targeting the software company today sees little chance the stock will make new record highs any time soon. Shares in SolarWinds are…
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Volatility Sellers Attack UltraShort S&P500 Calls

Today’s tickers: SDS, RIMM, KWK & XLB

SDS - ProShares UltraShort S&P 500 ETF – Roughly 50% of the S&P 500 Index rally from August 2010 through early-May has evaporated, with the market meltdown accelerating on the heels of the downgrade of U.S. debt. The VIX spiked to flash-crash levels today, and exceeded 40.95 earlier in the session as U.S. equities tumbled lower. However, barring a repeat of the flash crash or some other unforeseen piece of negative news, it looks like options strategists are positioning for investor fears to ease in the near term. Heavy out-of-the-money call selling on the SDS, an ETF corresponding to twice the inverse of the daily performance of the S&P 500 Index, was likely initiated by traders selling the spike in volatility. Shares in the SDS shot up 7.9% this afternoon to $26.52, the highest since November 2010. Volatility sellers targeted the August $30 strike most aggressively, selling some 45,000 contracts at that strike against paltry previously existing open interest of 1,651 contracts. Investors short the calls pocketed an average premium of $0.43 apiece, which they keep if shares in the SDS fail to rally above $30.00 at expiration. Traders have time on their side and may be able to buy back the calls, even if the S&P 500 Index continues to slide, at an advantageous price as long as volatility comes off in the next couple of weeks. Call selling spread to the August $31 strike, where nearly 10,200 contracts sold for an average premium of $0.32 each. Sellers dominated up at the August $32 and $33 strikes where some 2,600 and 6,100 calls sold for an average premium of $0.26 and $0.21, respectively. Volatility could come off should President Obama, one of the G7 leaders, the IMF, a central banker, or other government leader throw a few crumbs of optimism the market’s way this week to assuage investor fears. Meanwhile, closer-to-the-money call buying, on the other hand, indicates other strategists expect the S&P 500 Index…
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Bearish Plays Pile Up at Salix Pharmaceuticals

 Today’s tickers: SLXP, UTHR, XLB & XLE

SLXP - Salix Pharmaceuticals, Inc. – Put options are popular at Salix Pharmaceuticals today with shares in the drug maker trading 2.5% lower on the session at $40.38 in early afternoon trade. A delta neutral transaction involving March contract put options tied to activity in SLXP shares indicates one strategist expects the price of the underlying to slip further in the next couple of months. Salix reports fourth-quarter earnings after the final bell on March 7, 2011. The options trader appears to have purchased 280,000 shares in the drug maker at $41.55 each, and purchased 10,000 puts at the March $37 strike for a premium of $2.80 apiece, on a 0.28 delta. The parameters of the transaction are such that the investor could make out well on the position given sufficient moves in the price of SLXP shares in either direction. The long stock leg of the trade will rise in value if shares reverse course and appreciate enough to at least cover the cost of buying the put options. But, it is the substantial stake in long puts that are likely to yield more substantial gains for the trader given continued bearish movement in the price of the stock. The value of the puts will grow quickly enough, under the appropriate circumstances, to more than offset losses realized on the declining value of the shares. The huge jump in demand for Salix put options helped lift the stock’s overall reading of options implied volatility 42.7% to 79.71% just before 1:00pm in New York. It looks like other pessimistic players are purchasing the March $35/$40 put spread for an average premium of $2.05 per contract. Investors initiating debit spreads make money if SLXP shares drop 6.0% from the current price of $40.38 to breach the average breakeven point on the downside at $37.95 by March expiration day.

UTHR - United Therapeutics Corp. – The biotechnology firm popped up on our ‘hot by options volume’ market scanner this morning due…
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Options Traders Utilize Materials ETF Puts to Construct Bearish Positions

Today’s tickers: XLB, XLF, VRGY & STJ

XLB - Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF – Options traders are initiating bearish strategies on the XLB, an exchange-traded fund designed to track the performance of the Materials Select Sector of the S&P 500 Index, with shares of the fund currently trading just 0.05% lower on the day at $38.43 as of 12:25pm. Investors bracing for a pullback in shares of the fund focused their attention on put options expiring in January and February of 2011 right out of the gate this morning. Plain-vanilla put buying took place at the February 2011 $38 strike where more than 7,600 puts changed hands, versus paltry previously existing open interest of 125 contracts. It looks like the majority of the puts, at least 5,100 of the contracts, were purchased at an average premium of $1.09 apiece this morning. Put buyers are poised to profit should the price of the underlying fund fall 3.95% from the current price of $38.43 to breach the average breakeven point to the downside at $36.91 by expiration in February. A nearer-term pessimistic player appears to have purchased a 1,000-lot January 2011 $37/$38 strike put spread for a net premium of $0.27 per contract. The investor makes money if XLB shares decline 1.8% to trade below the effective breakeven price of $37.73 by January expiration day. Maximum potential profits of $0.73 per contract are available to the put player should shares of the fund drop 3.7% to trade below $37.00 before the contracts expire next year. The overall reading of options implied volatility on the ETF is higher by 6.4% this afternoon to arrive at 20.86% as of 12:45pm.

XLF - Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF – The XLF jumped to the top of our ‘most active by options volume’ market scanner within…
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Herbalife Optimist Secures Insurance Policy Ahead of Earnings

Today’s tickers: HLF, REE, XLB, BIDU, DAL, RSH & MOT

HLF - Herbalife, Ltd. – It looks like one cautiously optimistic options trader initiated a delta neutral hedge on the maker of weight management, nutritional supplement and personal care products this afternoon ahead of the firm’s third-quarter earnings announcement scheduled for release after the close on November 1, 2010. Herbalife’s shares are currently down 1.25% to stand at $63.20 as of 3:45 p.m. in New York trading. The investor appears to have picked up 58,000 Herbalife shares at a price of $63.76 each as well as 2,000 calls on a 0.29 delta for a premium of $1.45 per contract. The long stance taken in HLF shares suggests the trader is bullish on the stock and expecting shares to climb higher. But, the put options serve as downside protection in case the investor’s inclinations fail to align with the performance of the stock going forward. The put options will be well worth the added premium if earnings are disappointing and shares head lower ahead of November expiration day.

REE - Rare Element Resources, Ltd. – The Canada-based company that was the target of bullish options trading just 24 hours ago has transformed into a hub of bearish activity. Shares in Rare Element Resources, which own the Bear Lodge mine in Wyoming, fell as much as 27.05% from yesterday’s high of $13.71 to an intraday low of $10.00. Despite the substantial decline today the current price of the stock is still up roughly 260% since August 20, 2010, when shares were around $2.80 each. Pessimistic players took to the options field on REE to place bearish bets on the stock. Investors expecting shares to continue lower picked up put options and sold call options in the November and December contracts. Traders picked up…
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Contrarian Player Plants Bull Call Spread on Seed Maker Monsanto Co.

 Today’s tickers: MON, EWZ, XLB, HPQ, V, BCSI & SLB

MON - Monsanto Co. – Shares of the maker of genetically modified seeds seemed to be recovering at the start of the current session following Tuesday’s horrendous performance wherein the stock fell as much as 9.80% from an intraday high of $52.64 to a low of $47.50. MON’s shares managed to rebound 4.50% off Tuesday’s low of $47.50 to briefly touch an intraday high of $49.62, although the rally proved to be short-lived and shares are down 1.00% at $48.25 as of 3:15 pm ET. Though MON was unable to keep hold of earlier gains, one contrarian player is optimistic that Monsanto’s shares will reverse course and head back up by November expiration. The investor purchased a call spread, buying 5,000 calls at the November $55 strike at a premium of $0.85 each, and selling the same number of calls at the higher November $60 strike for a premium of $0.27 apiece. Net premium paid to establish the transaction amounts to $0.58 per contract. Thus, the investor is ready to make money should Monsanto’s shares surge 15.20% over the current price of $48.25 to surpass the effective breakeven point on the spread at $55.58 by November expiration. Maximum potential profits of $4.42 per contract are available to the bullish player if MON’s shares jump 24.35% to trade above $60.00 by expiration day.

EWZ - iShares MSCI Brazil Index ETF – Investors are placing near-term bearish bets on the Brazil fund this afternoon by selling calls to finance the purchase of put spreads in the October contract. The large pessimistic plays could be the work of traders hedging long positions or the mark of outright bearish bettors expecting the price of the underlying fund to slip lower ahead of expiration next month. Shares of the EWZ, an exchange-traded fund designed to replicate the price and yield performance of publicly traded securities in the aggregate in the Brazilian market – as measured by the MSCI Brazil Index, rallied…
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Bullish Strategists at Work Ahead of Arena Pharmaceuticals’ Earnings Report

Today’s tickers: ARNA, GENZ, HL, CY, JCP, FR & XLB

ARNA – Arena Pharmaceuticals, Inc. – Options on the biotechnology company are active ahead of the firm’s second-quarter earnings report slated for release after the closing bell this afternoon. Shares rallied as much as 5.15% earlier in the session to an intraday high of $7.54, but are currently trading a lesser 1.95% higher on the day at $7.31 as of 3:35 pm ET. One optimistic investor hoping to see Arena’s shares appreciate ahead of October expiration enacted a bullish risk reversal. The trader appears to have sold roughly 9,000 puts at the October $7.0 strike for an average premium of $2.40 each in order to buy the same number of calls at the October $12.5 strike for an average premium of $0.60 apiece. The investor reels in a net credit of $1.80 per contract on the risk reversal, and keeps the full amount received on the transaction as long as Arena’s shares exceed $7.00 through October expiration. Additional, and potentially unlimited profits, start to accumulate for the trader if Arena’s shares surge 71% to exceed $12.50 by expiration day in October. The credit $1.80 credit pocketed by the investor provides limited protection against losses should Arena’s shares nosedive ahead of expiration. The trader starts to lose money if the price of the underlying stock falls 28.9% to trade beneath the effective breakeven price of $5.20 by expiration day. Options implied volatility on Arena Pharmaceuticals is up 5.5% to 197.15% ahead of earnings.

GENZ – Genzyme Corp. – The biopharmaceutical company, which is currently knee-deep in merger negotiations with Sanofi-Aventis, attracted bullish options investors during the trading session. It looks like one trader initiated a plain-vanilla debit call spread in the January 2011 contract to prepare for the sharp increase in the price of Genzyme’s shares that’s likely to occur if Sanofi-Aventis winds up purchasing – or at least confirming plans to purchase – the drug maker before January 2011 expiration. Genzyme’s shares inched up 0.25% this afternoon to $70.52 as of 3:15 pm ET. The options player picked up approximately 6,000 calls at the January 2011 $70 strike for an average premium of $4.42 each, and sold the same number of calls at the higher January 2011 $75 strike for an average premium of $1.72 apiece. The net cost of putting on the bullish transaction amounts to $2.70 per…
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Zero Hedge

An American Horror Story: Rabobank On The Recession Of 2020

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

Authored by Philip Marey via Rabobank,

Summary
  • While the outlook for 2020 remains sketchy, heavily dependent on non-economic factors, we now expect GDP to fall by 6% in 2020.

  • With a slowdown in February and a sharp contraction of the economy in March, we expect GDP growth in Q1 to be negative (-5% quarter on quarter at an annualized rate).

  • However, the most extreme economic growth figure is likely to be Q2 GDP growth with the lockdown continuing through at least April and l...



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Phil's Favorites

The PhilStockWorld.com Weekly Webinar - 04-08-2020

For LIVE access on Wednesday afternoons, join us at Phil's Stock World – click here.

 

Major Topics:

00:01:34 - Checking on the Markets
00:04:32 - Current News
00:31:34 - LEVI
00:35:08 - AMZN
00:39:26 - Mark Mahaney's Stock Coverage
00:43:00 - Public Transportation & Disinfecting
00:48:08 - Petroleum Status Report & OPEC
01:00:24 - COVID-19 Update | WYNN
01:16:00 - Portfolio Projection: Income Portfolio
01:17:23 - FUTURES
01:18:49 - Earnings Portfolio
01:19:27 - STP | LTP
01:22:52 - S&P 500
01:30:05 - AAPL
01:34:15 - VIX
01:36:00 - M
01:42:56 - VIAC
01:47:02 - XOM
01:50:29 - LB
01:52:44 - IRBT
01:57:48 - Crude Oil WTI
02...



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ValueWalk

Public pensions face liquidity crunch amid volatility

By Michelle Jones. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Public pensions have had weak liquidity for a long time, but the recent volatility has made a bad situation even worse. S&P noted that pensions‘ investment horizons are decades long. As a result, many funds claim that market turmoil doesn’t affect their returns because they have plenty of time to ride out volatility. However, funds with weak liquidity don’t have that luxury in the current volatility.

Q1 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more

Public pensions in liquidity stress

S&P Global Ratings analyst Todd Kanaster and team said in a recent report that because of ...



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Biotech/COVID-19

COVID-19 is hitting black and poor communities the hardest, underscoring fault lines in access and care for those on margins

 

COVID-19 is hitting black and poor communities the hardest, underscoring fault lines in access and care for those on margins

Nurse Shelia Rickman participates in an after-shift demonstration on Monday, April 6, 2020, in Chicago’s Hyde Park neighborhood, after media reports of disproportionate numbers of black people dying from COVID-19 in the city. AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast

Grace A. Noppert, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

As the COVID-19 epidemic continues to ravage the American public, an unsurprisin...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Silver/Gold Indicator Creates Largest Bullish Pattern In Decades!

Courtesy of Chris Kimble

Is an important metals indicator sending one of the largest bullish messages in nearly 50-years? Very Possible!

This chart looks at the Silver/Gold ratio on a monthly basis since the mid-1970s. Historically metals bulls want to see the ratio heading up, to send the metals complex a solid bullish message.

The ratio hit the top of the falling channel (A) back in 2011, where it created a large bearish reversal pattern. Since creating the bearish pattern at resistance, the ratio has experienced a significant decline.

9 years after hitting the top of the channel the ratio hit the bottom of the channel at (1) last month, where it looks to have created one of the largest monthly b...



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The Technical Traders

Adaptive Fibonacci Suggests Much Lower Prices Yet To Come - Part I

Courtesy of Technical Traders

Our Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system suggests a much deeper price move is in the works and the current price rally will likely end near resistance levels identified by the Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system.  We are posting this research post for friends and followers to help them understand the true structure of price and to allow them to prepare for what we believe will become a much deeper downside price move in the future.

Fibonacci Price Theory teaches us that price moves in waves within up and down price cycles. The recent peak in price, near February 25, 2020, has resulted in a very deep -36% price collapse in the S&P 500 (ES) recently. This dow...



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Chart School

The Big Short movie guides us to what is next for the stock market

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

There is nothing new in WallStreet, it is only the players that change. Sometimes a market player or an event gets ahead of the crowd and WallStreet has to play catch up.

Previous Post Dow 2020 Crash Watch Dow, Three strikes and your out!

It is important to understand major WallStreet players do not want to miss out on a money making moves.  







...

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Insider Scoop

Economic Data Scheduled For Friday

Courtesy of Benzinga

  • Data on nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate for March will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET.
  • US Services Purchasing Managers' Index for March is scheduled for release at 9:45 a.m. ET.
  • The ISM's non-manufacturing index for March will be released at 10:00 a.m. ET.
  • The Baker Hughes North American rig count report for the latest week is scheduled for release at 1:00 p.m. ET.
...

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Members' Corner

10 ways to spot online misinformation

 

10 ways to spot online misinformation

When you share information online, do it responsibly. Sitthiphong/Getty Images

Courtesy of H. Colleen Sinclair, Mississippi State University

Propagandists are already working to sow disinformation and social discord in the run-up to the November elections.

Many of their efforts have focused on social media, where people’s limited attention spans push them to ...



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Digital Currencies

While coronavirus rages, bitcoin has made a leap towards the mainstream

 

While coronavirus rages, bitcoin has made a leap towards the mainstream

Get used to it. Anastasiia Bakai

Courtesy of Iwa Salami, University of East London

Anyone holding bitcoin would have watched the market with alarm in recent weeks. The virtual currency, whose price other cryptocurrencies like ethereum and litecoin largely follow, plummeted from more than US$10,000 (£8,206) in mid-February to briefly below US$4,000 on March 13. Despite recovering to the mid-US$6,000s at the time of writin...



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Promotions

Free, Live Webinar on Stocks, Options and Trading Strategies

TODAY's LIVE webinar on stocks, options and trading strategy is open to all!

Feb. 26, 1pm EST

Click HERE to join the PSW weekly webinar at 1 pm EST.

Phil will discuss positions, COVID-19, market volatility -- the selloff -- and more! 

This week, we also have a special presentation from Mike Anton of TradeExchange.com. It's a new service that we're excited to be a part of! 

Mike will show off the TradeExchange's new platform which you can try for free.  

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Lee's Free Thinking

Why Blaming the Repo Market is Like Blaming the Australian Bush Fires

 

Why Blaming the Repo Market is Like Blaming the Australian Bush Fires

Courtesy of  

The repo market problem isn’t the problem. It’s a sideshow, a diversion, and a joke. It’s a symptom of the problem.

Today, I got a note from Liquidity Trader subscriber David, a professional investor, and it got me to thinking. Here’s what David wrote:

Lee,

The ‘experts’ I hear from keep saying that once 300B more in reserves have ...



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Mapping The Market

How IPOs Are Priced

Via Jean Luc 

Funny but probably true:

...

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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