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Monday, April 29, 2024

Top Trades for Fri, 01 Oct 2021 11:19 – BIG & XRX

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Top Trades for Fri, 01 Oct 2021 11:19 – BIG & XRX
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What fun gyrations we are having today.

BIG/Jeddah – They are a great value down here at $42.36 as that's $1.4Bn and they make a steady $200M/yr and made $600M last year, not less..  The earnings due to supply chain issues will go away eventually so it's perfect for a long-term investor.  We had a position in the LTP and closed it out around $60 but the original spread on 4/14 was 2023 $40 puts with the $45/65 bull call spread.  It's probably early to call for a re-entry but no harm in taking a small position we can scale back up in the LTP:

  • Sell 10 BIG 2024 $40 puts for $10 ($10,000) 
  • Buy 20 BIG 2024 $40 calls for $11 ($22,000)
  • Sell 20 BIG 2024 $55 calls for $6.20 ($12,400) 

That's a $400 credit on the $30,000 spread and our worst case is owning 1,000 shares of BIG at $40 but then we could sell the 2025 $40 calls for $10 and more puts for $5 and we'd drop the net to $25 on our first 1,000 and maybe $35 for the next 1,000 so – as long as we don't mind owning 2,000 shares of BIG for $25 (40% off) – what's not to love?  

XRX/Yodi – We never followed through with them as we decided to cash out right after that pick but yes, I like them better now and, for the LTP, we can put in a placeholder by selling 10 2024 $25 puts for $7.85 ($7,850) as the worst case there is having to buy 1,000 shares at net $17.15, about 15% off the current price.