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Tuesday, December 16, 2025

Top Trades for Thu, 03 Mar 2016 09:54 – SVU

Good morning!  

/NG off to a really bad start, /NGK6 testing $1.76 for the first time.  Maybe I'm nuts on this trade???

Pro: Nat gas is bargain of the century

Speculators boost net shorts in natural gas -CFTC

Former Cheniere CEO Souki Starts His Own LNG Company

CERAWEEK-Cheniere to export 8 to 10 additional LNG cargoes in coming months

Anyway, I'm back to 15 long down here, hopefully pick up 2-3 cents to lower the basis on the original 10.

  • More notes on Natural Gas:  http://bit.ly/24DDLBd

KR/Stock - Sell puts because they had terrible sales numbers?  They do have costs under control and beat on earnings but a lot of the "growth" in sales was the acquisition of Roundy's.

They make $2Bn a year and the market cap is $37Bn so not a bargain - especially for a grocery store.   WFM has a p/e of 21 and they have heavy growth.  SVU has a p/e of 8.5, half of KR and, at $5.15 per share, you can make some great options combos out of them like:

  • Sell 10 SVU 2018 $5 puts for $1.25 ($1,250) 
  • Buy 20 SVU 2018 $3 calls for $2.65 ($5,130)
  • Sell 20 SVU 2018 $5 calls for $1.50 ($3,000)

That's net $880 on the $4,000 spread that's starting out in the money and TOS says $1,420 in ordinary margin so very efficient for any kind of portfolio and all SVU has to do is hold $5 and you make $3,120 in two years.  

I'm sorry for your sister-in-law's situation and, of course, sorry for her loss.  Of course she'll need marriage certificate and proof of residence (hopefully same as his) and she'll need a local lawyer who specializes in estates.  Hopefully one of the Members knows someone in Texas who can help.  Ask her if she at least knows who his lawyer is - that could be a good first step.

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