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Top Trades for Thu, 24 Aug 2017 09:54 – XRT

Good morning!  

Oil took a nice, sharp dip after attempting $48.50 again – so internally weak.  

/RB made it all the way to $1.65 and that's that for that play.

Dow right at our shorting line (22,850) but need confirmation:

2,450 is the /ES line.

5,875 on /NQ

1,375 on /ES 

Dax over 12,250 is bullish so no bear plays if it's over:

And Eurostock 3,460 (since 3,500 is not going to happen):

Big Chart – RUT needs to get over 1,378.35 (200 dma) to prove things are turning up.   NYSE nees the 50 dma at 11,837 (20 away at the moment) and SPX needs 2,450 – same as the /ES line.  

I am batting 1,000 on penny stocks, check out GRNBF:

Speaking of penny stocks, the guys putting out GreenCoinX(sorry BDC) are actually listed as GRNBF, a penny stock trading at 0.184 at the moment (I have 20,000 – mentioned it a while ago).  The difference with GreenCoinX is that it's NOT anonymous and that means, MAYBE, they will have an easier time being accepted by Governments, which matters a lot in the 3rd World, where they are targeting their business as an on-line bank alternative.  Their limit is supposedly 200M coins and they are currently trading at $1.15 and GRNBF has 60M of them as an asset.  They charge no fees and don't make money on the use of the coin – just if the coin makes money. 

I may interview these guys in a week or two and I'm not suggesting that this stock is anything more than a craps roll BUT I like the discount that owning GRNBF gives you to the currency as, in theory (if GreenCoinX were widely traded) they own $69M worth of coins yet 0.18 values the company at less than $3M so it's the 20:1 discount to THEORETICAL value that makes it interesting to me.  

If these were BitCoin-like and took off to $10 each, then the company would get noticed and the value of their holding would be realized (at $600M) and the stock, IN THEORY, could hit $600M as well and that would be 200x on the investment so it pays better than roulette with a bit less odds of success.

GreenBank Subsidiary GreenCoinX Enables XGC to Trade on 15 Crypto Currency Exchanges

Isle of Man Welcomes GreenCoinX

Submitted on 2016/04/22 at 1:41 pm

GBTC/Hanj – GRNBF is not an ETF, it's an on-line bank that owns/controls GreenCoinX and simply has 60M of them as an asset so no friction cost of ownership is another nice feature but just silly speculation – the most interesting one out of dozens of them I wouldn't put a penny into.  Yes, mining is hard – it was hard in 1849 when tens of thousands of people headed west to mine for gold in the US and, you know what – none of them made any money either – but they did dig up a lot of ground and made the people selling the land and selling the mining equipment and maps very rich – so I prefer to stay on that side of the trade – the side that sells to the traders!  

Submitted on 2016/06/08 at 3:10 pm

GBTC/BDC – That's why I like GRNBF, they are undervalued to their coins but, of course, huge risk that they never catch on.  

Submitted on 2016/08/11 at 6:47 am

Cryptocurrency/Shash – Well there's always a new one and I don't see much difference from one to the other, quite frankly.  I think they are more like gambling on random events – certainly nothing to be taken seriously.  I did pick up some GRNBF who are running GreenCoinX, which differentiates itself by NOT being anonymous, which is much more appealing to governments but they are having trouble gaining traction.  Anyway, just some fun money and the whole thing is like the penny stock phase – thousands of companies and, a few years later – maybe two survivors.

I feel the same way about our GreenCoin investment, we have a cryptocurrency with a difference that makes it stand out from the others.  Between that and our ability to create a transactional base and a platform to promote it – it's a fun pizza bet that can turn into millions of Dollars.  

Uber/StJ – Current business model doesn't matter in this case as the big investors are all in on the self-driving car model that will eliminate the drivers and 5x their revenues.  Figure a driver makes $20K a year which allows for $1,500 monthly car upkeep and they still double the $3K they currently take in fees on the same trips.  

Wheee on /TF already, so glad I was scaling in!  

Retail/Albo – How about XRT – the whole ETF got killed and we're heading into Christmas.  GNC is one of their holdings and WFM but they are pretty well spread-out with lots of underpriced names (and NFLX):

Top 10 Holdings (13.52% of Total Assets)

Get Quotes for Top Holdings

Company Symbol % Assets
Dillard's Inc DDS 1.50%
GNC Holdings Inc GNC 1.42%
Groupon Inc GRPN 1.38%
Sears Holdings Corp SHLD 1.38%
HSN Inc HSNI 1.37%
Nutrisystem Inc NTRI 1.35%
Whole Foods Market Inc WFM 1.30%
Liberty Ventures Group A LVNTA 1.28%
Netflix Inc NFLX 1.28%
Tailored Brands Inc TLRD 1.26%

So I wouldn't look for a big move up but we don't need one if we are BEING THE HOUSE.  So, for the OOP, let's:

  • Sell 10 XRT Jan $36 puts for $1 ($1,000)
  • Buy 10 XRT Jan $37 calls for $3.40 ($3,400) 
  • Sell 10 XRT Jan $42 calls for $0.850 ($850) 

?That's net $1,550 on the $5,000 spread that's $3,500 in the money to start.  Upside potential at $42 is $3,450 (222%) in 148 days – not too shabby.


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