Guest View
User: Pass: | become a member
Archive for April, 2011

THe SiLVeR INTeRNaTioNaLe (HaPPY MaY DaY Part II)(REGRESSED)

Courtesy of williambanzai7

.Sil

 

THE SILVER INTERNATIONALE

WilliamBanzai7

Arise ye victims of Banksta plunder

Arise ye sufferers of Wall Street greed and want

For simple reason in revolt now thunders

And at last comes the age of the bailed out Banksta bitchez hunt.

Away with all those neo-Keynesian superstitions

Arise ye masses arise, arise

We’ll end henceforth the old Wall Street swindler tradition

And spurn the toxic shit to win the precious silver prize.

 

So silver comrades, come rally

And the bailed out Wall Street scum let us now face

The Silver Internationale unites the anti-banksta human race

So silver comrades, come rally Don’t let that banksta scum disappear without a trace

The Silver Internationale unites the anti-banksta human race

 

No more deluded by conniving quantitative distraction

On bailout pimps we’ll make systemic war

The 401k holders too will take evasive action

They’ll break ranks and tell those thieving money changing whores: “Up Yours!”

And if those swindling Bankstas keep on trying

To sacrifice our dwindling wealth for their greedy Wall Street hides

They soon shall hear the silver-anti banksta bullets flying

We’ll kick thos scheming bitchez where the Ponzi sun don’t shine

 

So silver comrades, come rally

And the bailed out Wall Street scum let us now face

The Silver Internationale unites the anti-banksta human race

So silver comrades, come rally

Don’t let that bailout scum disappear without a trace

The Silver Internationale unites the anti-banksta human race

 

No market saviour from on high delivers

No faith have we in captive regulatory fear

On their thieving crony hands the silver chains must shiver

Chains to punish selfish greed and foolish pride

E’er those low down banksta thieves will disappear with all their pilfered booty

And keep it all for their scrappy lot.

Each at the anti-banksta silver forge must do their duty

And we’ll strike while the precious metal iron is still hot.

 

So silver comrades, come rally

And the bailed out Wall Street scum let us now face

The Silver Internationale unites the anti-banksta human race.

So silver comrades, come rally

Don’t let that bailout scum disappear without a trace

The Silver Internationale unites the anti-banksta human race

 

SI

 

OS

 

GN

 

TSA

 

 

VC

 

Sil

 

VC

 

VC

 

Happy Berkshire Hathaway Day as Well!

 

MGR

 

Buffoon

 

Calling All Ants

Ants

 

 




It’s 2008 All Over Again… Only Worse

Courtesy of Phoenix Capital Research

Bernanke and pals wanted to recreate the same booming leverage and fiscal insanity of the bubble years. And they’ve done that in a big way. Among their various successes:

 

§  Commodities are at levels not seen since 2008.

§  Gas prices are at levels not seen since 2008.

§  The US Dollar has fallen to levels not seen since 2008.

§  Bank leverage is at levels not seen since 2008.

§  Microcap stocks are at levels not seen since 2007.

§  Wall Street bonuses are at levels not seen since 2007.

 

It’s really striking the similarities. And all the Fed and US Government had to do was:

 

1)   Make itself insolvent

2)   Bankrupt the US

3)   Spend Trillions in Bailouts and Stimulus

4)   Trash the US Dollar

 

So what’s the difference this time around?

 

Well, first off, the US consumer is in far worse shape than in 2008. The US has lost some 7.5 million jobs since 2007. The U-6 unemployment rate (which accounts for unemployed and underemployed) stands at 16.2%. These folks are in far worse positions to stomach higher fuel and food prices this time around.

 

Speaking of which, the number of people on food stamps is also up 58% since 2007.…
continue reading




Paul Giamatti As Ben Bernanke – Was Jeff Goldblum Over Budget?

Courtesy of Tyler Durden

Each day the general population gets at least one dose of teleprompter humor. So for a bit of variety, courtesy of William Banzai, we bring you some teleporter tragicomedy (which also explains so very much…)

Lead in:

Panel 1

Panel 2

Conclusion:

 




As Munger’s Anti-Gold Campaign Kicks Into High Gear, Buffett Confirms He May Have “Held Something Back” About Sokol

Courtesy of Tyler Durden

Crony capitalism bailout induced dementia may be a bitch but it sure does put things on the fast track. Specifically, fromNeither Dave nor I feel his Lubrizol purchases were in any way unlawfulto “the Sokol situation is inexplicable and inexcusable” in thirty days. Ignore the fact that Buffett both “explained” and “excused” it when he first announced it hoping that would be the end of course. After all who would dare disturb the kindly old Octogenarian of Omaha atop his perch, after he himself made billions off the backs of taxpayers, the same people his sidekick Munger who did precisely the same illegal frontrunning when he bought a boatload of BYD (oddly nobody brought that one up yet: we are confident it is being saved for the Too Bit To Fail launch party at the Museum of Mirrors) told should only buy gold if they believe the country they live in is going to kill them. We wonder if Munger has seen the price of gold lately, and if that to him is any indication of the genocidal inclinations of said host country. As for the demented one, who ended his letter with: “I have held back nothing in this statement. Therefore, if questioned about this matter in the future, I will simply refer the questioner back to this release” we wonder: now that the validity of that statement has been thoroughly refuted by none other than grandpa Warren, whether he would like to revise it, and if so, can he absolutely, definitely guarantee us that his heir apparent (not to mention Munger) was the only one who would frontrun Berkshire on corporate acquisitions in the past? We promise to believe him this time.

From Reuters:

Warren Buffett said he had made a mistake by not asking more about David Sokol’s purchases of Lubrizol Corp stock while his former top lieutenant was pitching the chemicals company as a possible takeover target for Berkshire Hathaway Inc.

Sokol was widely considered a leading candidate to succeed Buffett as Berkshire’s chief executive, but he resigned last month after it was revealed that he had bought $10 million of shares in Lubrizol. Sokol got a roughly $3 million profit on that stake when Berkshire agreed to buy Lubrizol.

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission


continue reading




On Levered ETFs, Personal Responsibility, and Having Enough Rope With Which To Hang One’s Self

Courtesy of Stone Street Advisors

This is from Stone Street Advisors

My boy Felix Salmon has a curious post up this evening, wherein he says anyone who isn’t a (professional?) day-trader should be barred from trading levered ETFs, and that the SEC needs to protect these people (from themselves).  I like Felix, but he is seldom (as) off the mark on anything as he is here.  His post ignores both existing regulatory practice and the – bear with me here – relatively simple workings of levered ETFs.  Allow me to explain…

Levered ETF’s like TBT (which Felix mentions) – or my two favorites, FAS and FAZ – have embedded leverage, that is, they are designed to produce 3x (for FAS/FAZ) the daily return of a basket of stocks/index (or the inverse thereof, in the case of FAZ).  The key word here is “daily.”  Daily, as in, if the index gains 1% ON THE DAY, the levered ETF will (er, is designed to) return 3%, and the inverse ETF -3%.  EACH DAY.  Not over-time, EACH. DAY.  This is spelled out in extremely plain language in various places, for example, on the Direxion (the sponsor for the ETF) website, under the column “daily target.”  The detailed page for each specific ETF, for example FAS, says in the very first paragraph:

Fund Objective

The Financial Bull 3X ETF seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, of 300% of the price performance of the Russell 1000® Financial Services Index (“Financial Index”).

This is repeated in several other places, including the fund prospectus, and after it became apparent retail investors had no idea what they were getting in, various additional disclosure from brokerage firms before executing buy orders for these securities.  Still, despite the myriad painfully clear explanations of how these securities work, retail “investors” put their capital at-risk without doing even the most basic and cursory “research.”  To many of these “investors,” (3x) leveraged ETF’s are somehow supposed to produce the > daily return of the underlying index.

I constructed an example case a few years ago to illustrate what happens here, and how such misunderstanding causes ignorant, naive, and frankly masochistic “investors” to potentially bet the farm on a volatile security they do not understand.  Imagine the possible returns for the index are {+-5%, 10%}, arbitrarily assigned over 10…
continue reading




The Weekend Interview with C. Larry Pope: It’s Getting Harder to Bring Home the Bacon

By MARY KISSEL, WSJ

(h/tip pstas)

Mr. Pope is the chief executive officer of Smithfield Foods Inc., the world’s largest pork processor and hog producer by volume. He doesn’t mince words when it comes to rapidly rising food prices. The 56-year-old accountant by training has been in the business for more than three decades, and he warns that the higher costs may be here to stay.

Courtesy of? "I’m not going to say, ‘a political policy,’" he tells me. (His senior vice president, a lawyer by training, sits close by, ready to "kick his leg" if his garrulous boss speaks too plainly.) But politics indeed plays a large role, as Congress subsidizes favorite industries and the Federal Reserve pursues an expansive monetary policy.

Ours is a timely chat, given the burst of food inflation the world is living through. Mr. Pope is running a multibillion-dollar business in the midst of economic turmoil, and he has strong views about why prices are rising and what can be done about it.

The Southerner is an old hand when it comes to food. He graduated from William and Mary in 1975, spent a few years at an accountancy, then joined Smithfield and worked his way up the ranks. He’s something of an evangelist about his trade: He boasts that Smithfield employs some 50,000 people, many of whom are high-school graduates and immigrants others would consider "hard to hire." It’s a "good business" that "gives people a good start."

It’s also a business under enormous strain. Some "60 to 70% of the cost of raising a hog is tied up in the grains," Mr. Pope explains. "The major ingredient is corn, and the secondary ingredient is soybean meal." Over the last several years, "the cost of corn has gone from a base of $2.40 a bushel to today at $7.40 a bushel, nearly triple what it was just a few years ago." Which means every product that uses corn has risen, too—including everything from "cereal to soft drinks" and more.

Full article here: The Weekend Interview with C. Larry Pope: It’s Getting Harder to Bring Home the Bacon – WSJ.com.




Geithner Vs Gross Round 2: Is The Latest “Market Normalization” Proposal By The Treasury A Warning Shot Fired Straight At Alarmist PIMCO?

Courtesy of Tyler Durden

For months Bill Gross has been very vocally antagonizing the US Treasury by telling anyone who cared to listen that US debt is nothing short of the world’s biggest ponzi and that Ben Bernanke is satan. For the longest time Tim Geithner took this effrontery peacefully, always willing to offer the other cheek. Until last night. In what is quite possibly a direct warning shot fired straight at Pimco’s primary revenue driver, the Treasury has made it clear Bill may want to focus on unicorns and rainbows in his next monthly letter.

What happened?

Earlier this week, The Treasury Borrowing Advisory Committee (“TBAC”), a advisory group chaired by JP Morgan’s Matt Zames and Goldman Sachs, which also counts PIMCO among its members, basically made it clear that the hedge fund crew is firmly behind the debt ceiling hike, as an alternative would result in fire and brimstone falling from the sky – in other words the end of the Ponzi would mean the end of the world. And they should know: after all it is the same Matt Zames of whom JPM’s John Hogan said back in 2007: “For whatever it[’]s worth, I am sitting at lunch with Matt Zames who just told me that there is a well-known cloud over the head of Madoff and that his returns are speculated to be part of a [P]onzi scheme.” Considering how right Zames was about Madoff, perhaps we should take his word for that far, far bigger ponzi scheme, the United States. In other words, the TBAC made a mortal enemy out of living within one’s means (let alone austerity): surely such a mindboggling concept would be the end of Wall Street (which urgently needs to double world GDP to $200 trillion by 2020 to keep record bonuses flowing). Oddly enough the TBAC’s sister organization at the New York Fed: the Treasury Market Practices Group (“TMPG”), which has most of the same member firms (except for PIMCO, relevant in a second, and also “curiously: has Matt Zames presiding on that particular group) may have made a comparable, though far more powerful enemy, out of PIMCO, after it proposed the introduction of fails charges for MBS trades, an action that is a direct affront to none other than Bill Gross’ PIMCO, one of the world’s most active managers of MBS/Agency securities. Should the…
continue reading




Weekly Bull/Bear Recap: Apr 25-29, 2011

Courtesy of Tyler Durden

Submitted by Rational Capitalist Speculator

Weekly Bull/Bear Recap: Apr 25-29, 2011

Bull

+ Earnings and revenues for various   bell-weathers portray improvement in corporate performance.  Revenue-beat rates are the highest since the bull market began (there’s your top line growth bears).  A steady trend of share buybacks and increased dividends will keep the bull market trend in place since March 2009 intact as companies return profits to investors. 

+ The Bull Market rolls on as the Dow Theory is confirmed with both DJ Transportation & Industrials averages breaking through their prior bull market highs.  The S&P 500 and Nasdaq have finally confirmed as well by breaking their previous bull market highs set in Feb.  Even better, there’s a good bit of skepticism out there in regards to this latest breakout, the wall of worry remains.

+The Chicago Fed National Activity Index points to above-trend economic growth and refutes claims that economic activity has fallen.  Manufacturing continues to lead the way and the report points to strong contributions from the Job market.  Small businesses are slowing recovering and hiring is increasing in breadth.  

+ Durable Good Orders rise a healthy 2.5%, while core-capital goods rise a strong 3.7%.  Orders have now risen for 3 straight months.  Shipments climb for the 5th straight month as well.  Meanwhile, Chicago’s Midwest Manufacturing Output index increases 1.9% led by strong auto-related production.  Finally, ATA truck tonnage levels and recent railroad data point to continued expansion in the manufacturing sector.

+ Consumers continue to spend as evidenced by recently released weekly sales metrics and the Restaurant Index.  Easter demand has been solid thus far.  Consumers have become accustomed to higher gas prices and continued improvement in the job market will ensure that spending growth continues.

+ The Conference Board reports that consumer confidence for April continued to stabilize as the “current conditions” component rose for a 7th straight month.  The recovery continues.  Plans to buy a house, an auto, or an appliance rose in renewed confidence that incomes will improve in the months ahead.  This confirms recent improvement from the University of Michigan sentiment survey.  

+ Despite all the bearish chatter, …
continue reading




From Cool To iTool: Did South Park Just Hack Apple’s Coolness Away?

Courtesy of Tyler Durden

The same two geniuses who made “Aaaand, it’s gone” a household phrase, bring you the HUMANCENTiPAD. Was Apple just hacked from cool to iTool?

HUMANCENTiPAD
Tags: SOUTH
PARK
more…




St. Louis Fed Stunner: Admits QE May Lead To Rise Rather Than Drop In Unemployment

Courtesy of Tyler Durden

It’s one thing for bloggers and even various non-mainstream economists to charge the Fed with pandering exclusively to Wall Street’s interests, and accuse Ben Bernanke of hypocrisy when he says that the Fed’s ultimate goal is the strengthening of the economy through a decrease in unemployment (recall that one of the original two mandates of the Fed is “maximum employment”… that is until it was supplanted by the third and only one: “Russell 2000 to 2000″) and caring for “lower-income households.” It is something far more serious when the one doing the accusing is… the Federal Reserve. In a seminal paper which we are convinced will make the rounds the next time the puppetmaster is undergoing his periodic grilling by Congressional and Senate critters, Yi Wen of the St. Louis Fed indicates that the entire experiment in increasing the adjusted monetary base by $2 trillion in 2 years is not only not benefiting the economy, but is in fact having an adverse impact on such key economic drivers as unemployment. To wit: “permanent increases in the monetary base foreshadow eventual increases in inflation that can increase, rather than reduce, unemployment over the long term.” We wonder if Bernanke knew in advance that LSAP (aka QE2) had a statistically greater chance of resulting in greater unemployment, and thus more pain for the working class, and if the only offset, a doubling in the stock market when ever more capital is diverted from organic economic growth to pursuing speculative risk, was important enough for the Fed to effective replace its employment mandate with one of stock market manipulation?

Here is how the St. Louis Fed confirms that the Chairman is nothing but a puppet in the hands of Wall Street:

The impact of LSAP programs on economic activity depends on the programs’ effects on longer-term interest rates and the responsiveness of aggregate demand to such changes. The St. Louis-based consulting and forecasting firm Macroeconomic Advisers recently estimated that the Federal Open Market Committee’s current $600 billion LSAP program likely will reduce the 10-year Treasury yield by 20 basis points, increase the eight-quarter-ahead level of real gross domestic product by 0.4 percentage points, reduce the unemployment rate by 0.2 percentage points, and increase employment by 350,000 jobs. Although analyses conducted by other institutions (such as the Boston and


continue reading




 

Phil's Favorites

Crude Oil vs. Iran: Who Blinks First?

Courtesy of www.econmatters.com.

By EconMatters

Oil futures spiked more than 2% in one day to their highest level in nine months on Tuesday Feb. 21.  WTI front month contract closed at $105.84, while Brent ended at $121.66 on ICE, primarily on investors fear of potential conflict over the escalating tensions between the US, Europe, Israel, and Iran.  A second Greek bailout deal of €130bn (£110bn; $170bn) also helped to inject some optimism into the market (which would seem totally mis-placed as we may need to relive this Greek drama in two years).  Nevertheless, the fact remains crude oil market supply and demand has not changed a bit to warrant a 2%+ price jump in one day.

...

more from Ilene

Zero Hedge

Scandal: Greece To Receive "Negative" Cash From "Second Bailout" As It Funds Insolvent European Banks

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

Earlier today, we learned the first stunner of the Greek bailout package, which courtesy of some convoluted transmission mechanisms would result in some, potentially quite many, Greek workers actually paying to retain their jobs: i.e., negative salaries. Now, having looked at the Eurogroup's statement on the Greek bailout, we find another ...



more from Tyler

Insider Scoop

Morning Social Media Outlook for Wednesday Feb 22

Courtesy of Benzinga.

In recent years, traders and investors have increasingly turned to social media to discuss their investments. Now, interested parties can get a scientific look at what is being discussed on a weekly, monthly, and even hourly basis.

Provided by Social Market Analytics, here is the morning social media outlook for Wednesday, February 22.

Most Bullish

Sentiment has been most bullish this morning on two tech companies.

Sourcefire (NASDAQ: FIRE) reported stellar earnings yesterday afternoon, which prompted several analysts to upgrade their price targets on the stock. The company hit a fresh 52-week high earlier this morning, as shares surged over 23%.

Procera Networks (NASDAQ: ...



http://www.insidercow.com/ more from Insider

Chart School

The Mindset For Successful Trading In Today’s Market

Courtesy of David Grandey.

In today’s market, it’s more important that ever to have a mindset to maintain a sane mental state and stay peaceful calm and centered.
  Keep in mind with the markets as stretched as they are, we are in a high risk zone for pulling back as we have been in an accelerated uptrend with barely any pullback to speak of which as we all know can not continue forever — it never does. That said the music can stop at a moment’s notice and odds favor when it does it will be a gap down. So using that as a backdrop let’s look at SXCI. SXCI — SXC Health   Let’s say that issue breaks above the pink line and triggers a long side trade. That’s all fine and dandy HOWEVER it’s what happens next that we have no control over. At that point it either follows through or it doesn’t. WE NOR YOU HAVE ANY CONTROL ...

more from Chart School

Sabrient

Sabrient Risers - 2/22/2012

Top 5 RisersStockRatingAnalysisAGBUYAn increasingly attractive expected long term growth rate and a significantly higher projected valuation from just a few weeks ago make AGCO a company to watch.PCUBUYThe recent earnings history for Southern Copper shows significant improvement while projected valuation continues to rise.PAGBUYAn increasingly attractive expected long term growth rate and a significantly higher projected valuation from just a few weeks ago make Penske a company to watch.FEICBUYAn increasingly attractive expected long term growth rate and a significantly higher projected va...

more from Sabrient

Market Montage

Breadth is Narrowing

Submitted by Mark Hanna

Courtesy of MarketMontage. View original post here.

Other than that rally last Thursday that caught a lot of technicians flat footed (i.e. post the Apple reversal) the breadth in this market has been relatively poor the past 5 sessions or so.  The Russell 2000 has been lagging the major indexes dominated by large caps, and my watch lists have contained far more red than green.   Some people have been calling it the NBA market ("Nothing but Apple") but it's been a bit broader than that – i.e. Microsoft has acted well, and some groups are still working.

A bearish take on this is of course what I cited above – breadth is narrowing which usually happens near tops.  Fewer and ...



more from Mark

All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: David is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Click here for the full report.




To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

more from David

Option Review

Bullish Bets Build In Wynn Resorts Weekly Options

 

Today’s tickers: WYNN, CTRP, DTV & WMT

...



more from Caitlin

OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of February 20th, 2012

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here

Optrader 

...

more from OpTrader

ETF Selector

Global Markets, Euro, Jump On Greece (FXE, SPY, EWG, UUP)

Courtesy of John Nyaradi.

Monday comes and goes with no agreement on Greece until late night settlement on Greece.

European finance ministers met in Brussels Monday and deep into the night and finally, in the wee hours, apparently have struck an agreement for the next round of bailout money for Greece.

In overnight trading, the European indexes were up with the DAX gaining 1.46%, the STOXX 50 adding 1.2% and the FTSE climbing 0.7%

In Asia, major indexes were down slightly as the world waited for an answer on Greece.

The U.S. Dollar (NYSEARCA:UUP) declined after announcement of the agreement while the Euro Dollar (NYSEARCA:FXE) jumped.

The issue remains the same as it always ha...



more from John

Stock World Weekly

Stock World Weekly: Balancing Act

NEW: Elliott and Ilene are available to chat with Members regarding topics presented in SWW, comments are found below each post.

Here's the most recent Stock World Weekly, Balancing Act. Click on this link to sign in or sign up to read.  

...

more from SWW

IRA Strategy/Income Trader

Weekend Virtual Portfolio Update 1/30/2012

Here is a quick update of past trades and our current position. AA Money No trade this week as we wait for AA to settle. Phil remarked last week that AA seemed overvalued. In the meantime, it looks like we might have to roll our Feb 9 calls. Good thing we sold only 5 of them against our position. Last week P&L - 310.00 We lost ground last week, but we still have 11 months to sell premium! FAS Money Very good week for FAS Money as we benefited from the large amount of premium sold the previous week. We covered most of the shorts in advance of the Fed speech, but sold another set of options on Wednesday after the speech - 2 FAS calls that expired worthless on Friday, 2 FAS put that we are still holding and 2 FAZ put that we bought back for a profit on Friday. A late stick comparable to last week's almost gave us problems at the end of the day though! Last week P&L - $4277.00 IWM Money A decent week in this virtual portfo...

more from Strategies

Pharmboy

Biotech Investing for 2012

Reminder: Pharmboy is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Finding new and exciting Biotech companies that target novel mechanisms is like trying to find a needle in a haystack.  Sure there are many companies working on cutting edge science, but investing in those companies to reap the rewards of their work is a very dangerous game.  More often than not, companies fail because the mechanism does not pan out, the compound(s) do not have pharmacokinetics (get into the body or last very long in the body), or an adverse event happens that knocks years off a development timeline.  In addition, the stock can be manipulated by market makers so investors don't know which way is up.  I approach investing in biotechs as a long term prospect.  I continue to like our current portfolio of biotech companies (join in chat for many of those plays), and we continually add/subtract shares and sell/buy options on ...



more from Pharmboy



As Seen On:




About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

Learn more About Phil >>

About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the Favorites backup site (blogroll, archives, more). Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

Favorites Site >>