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Archive for 2011

One Ounce Of Religious Non-Money Tradition = $1700

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

And while the world’s reserve currency, better known to various Chairsatans as “money” continues dropping to record lows courtesy of his dollarcidal tendencies, the “tradition” also known as a “barbarous relic” just passed $1,700. We will be sure to point out when it passes $1,800, $1,900 and $2,000 next.





One Ounce Of Religious Non-Money Tradition = $1700

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

And while the world’s reserve currency, better known to various Chairsatans as "money" continues dropping to record lows courtesy of his dollarcidal tendencies, the "tradition" also known as a "barbarous relic" just passed $1,700. We will be sure to point out when it passes $1,800, $1,900 and $2,000 next.





So Much For QE2: The Market Indexed For Dollar Devaluation Is Now Back To Jackson Hole Levels

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

While the notional level of the market is still modestly higher than late August 2010, when indexed for that other component which everyone always forgets, yet which is an integral part of any net purchasing power calculation, the devaluation of the dollar, the S&P is now precisely at the levels at which Bernanke let QE2 loose with his Jackson Hole speech. Which means the time for QE3 has come. Of course, the notional value at the end will be that little bit higher, offset by yet another major drop in the value of the AA+ (outlook negative) US currency.





So Much For QE2: The Market Indexed For Dollar Devaluation Is Now Back To Jackson Hole Levels

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

While the notional level of the market is still modestly higher than late August 2010, when indexed for that other component which everyone always forgets, yet which is an integral part of any net purchasing power calculation, the devaluation of the dollar, the S&P is now precisely at the levels at which Bernanke let QE2 loose with his Jackson Hole speech. Which means the time for QE3 has come. Of course, the notional value at the end will be that little bit higher, offset by yet another major drop in the value of the AA+ (outlook negative) US currency.





China Enters Bear Market

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

That is all.





China Enters Bear Market

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

That is all.





The Farce Is (Again) Complete: Former Obama Budget Chief Orszag Says Official Economic Projections “Too Optimistic”

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

And so the comedy circle is complete yet again after none other than former White House budget chief Peter Orszag throws cold water in the face of the White House, the Treasury and everyone else who has so far been so stupid to continue to deflect blame for America’s horrendous fiscal situation purely on S&P and its “colossal $2 trillion mistake.” Because if the guy who up until a year ago personally came up with the White House’s voodoo numbers is telling you they are full of shit (the numbers, not the White House), perhaps it does put the administration’s claim that it is all S&P excel spreadsheet skills that are at fault, in a slightly different light.

  • ORSZAG: OFFICIAL U.S. ECONOMIC PROJECTIONS ‘TOO OPTIMISTIC’
  • PETER ORSZAG IS A FORMER WHITE HOUSE BUDGET CHIEF
  • CITIGROUP INC.’S PETER ORSZAG COMMENTS ON BLOOMBERG TELEVISION

In the meantime, as posted yesterday, enjoy the CBO’s far, far better predictive track record.





The Farce Is (Again) Complete: Former Obama Budget Chief Orszag Says Official Economic Projections “Too Optimistic”

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

And so the comedy circle is complete yet again after none other than former White House budget chief Peter Orszag throws cold water in the face of the White House, the Treasury and everyone else who has so far been so stupid to continue to deflect blame for America’s horrendous fiscal situation purely on S&P and its “colossal $2 trillion mistake.” Because if the guy who up until a year ago personally came up with the White House’s voodoo numbers is telling you they are full of shit (the numbers, not the White House), perhaps it does put the administration’s claim that it is all S&P excel spreadsheet skills that are at fault, in a slightly different light.

  • ORSZAG: OFFICIAL U.S. ECONOMIC PROJECTIONS ‘TOO OPTIMISTIC’
  • PETER ORSZAG IS A FORMER WHITE HOUSE BUDGET CHIEF
  • CITIGROUP INC.’S PETER ORSZAG COMMENTS ON BLOOMBERG TELEVISION

In the meantime, as posted yesterday, enjoy the CBO’s far, far better predictive track record.





Swing trading virtual portfolio – week of August 8th, 2011

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here

Optrader 

Swing trading virtual portfolio

 

One trade virtual portfolio





Why The ECB’s Monetization Is Doomed In One Simple Chart

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

By now every Zero Hedge reader should be familiar with the two step process that is supposed to rescue Europe. First, the ECB will do more of the same whereby its SMP program will purchase billions in bonds, this time Italian and Spanish (after it already tried the same with Greek, Irish and Portuguese bonds) for temporary stabilization. Then, the EFSF will take over, and acquire up to the entire outstanding debt of all the PIIGS and whoever else afterward, with Germany ultimately footing the bill following the French downgrade from AAA which would make it an ineligible funder (and, hence, shortly thereafter: a drain). Well, the ECB is already pregnant to the tune of €74 billion. And shortly, this number will likely double, and taper out there in advance of the EFSF launch in 2 months. Yet as Bloomberg’s Michael McDonough demonstrates, the current ECB intervention has been nothing short of an abysmal disaster, with the ECB spending the abovementioned amount only to see average 10 Year peripheral rates double over the same time period. Alas, this is precisely what the chart will show once the SMP resumes and another €150 billion in worthless Italian and Spanish bonds is purchased (yes, none of our Centrally Planned leaders still get that IT.IS.ALL.ABOUT.CASH.FLOWS…. and far more importantly the lack thereof). Net result, spreads will likely double yet again, at which point Germany will say enough as the risk of cumulative 100% loss becomes non-trivial and the potential loss of up to 133% of its GDP forces Germany to close the curtains on the euro experiment. So prepare for a rip in bond yields tomorrow morning as the ECB goes hog-wild in secondary markets, only to be followed by a bleed wider in spreads first slowly, and then very, very fast.





 
 
 

Zero Hedge

The Clinton Global 'Graft' Initiative (Summarized In 1 Chart)

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

Via Doug Ross at DirectorBlue blog,

In 2010, when Barack Obama said, "I do think at a certain point you’ve made enough money," he definitely wasn't referring to the Clintons.

Because it wasn't enough for Bill Clinton to sell sensitive missile technology to the Red Chinese for campaign donations. It wasn't enough for Hillary Clinton to ...



more from Tyler

Chart School

Indices Maintain Breakouts But Semiconductors Breakdown

Courtesy of Declan.

There wasn't a whole lot of action during the cash market session as indices held on to most of their premarket gains. The only index to come up short was the semiconductor index. It confirmed a wedge breakdown, and it's looking increasingly likely a double top is in play. A retest of the 200-day MA would appear to be the favored outcome going forward. The S&P hasn't quite negated the 'bull trap' and the risk is a triple top if this weakness in the Semiconductor Index spreads to the Nasdaq, Large and Small Caps. The technical picture remains okay plus it looks to be enjoying the start of a relative advantage against the Russell 2000. ...

more from Chart School

All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: David is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Click here for the full report.




To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

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Phil's Favorites

Failure to Communicate: Science

This is discouraging. There seems to be a prevailing attitude, even among very intelligent people (personal observation), that science is just another subject of equivalence to religion, or apparently astrology, in explaining life in the big universe. Or, subjects that are not within the realm of science are imagined to be a science based on a misunderstanding of what science is.  

This misunderstanding of science may reflect a failed education system, and unfortunately, we may be traveling backwards. The highest percent of non-skeptics were in the youngest age group where a majority of people think astrology is at least "sort of" scientific.

In China, in contrast, 92% of people polled said they do not believe "in horoscopes." The exact question the researchers asked may in part explain the discrepant results. And I wonder, did some Americans get Astrology confused with Astronomy? Also not good.

...

more from Ilene

Kimble Charting Solutions

King Dollar slipping below support, say Joe Friday

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE

King Dollar has been on a role since last summer, up over 20% in less than a year. When looking back on the US$, the rally has been rare and nearly historic. Majority of the rally took place inside the steep rising channel above. Over the past month the US$ might have put in a double top. Over the past few days, the US$ has slipped a little below rising support at red arrow above.

CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE

As you can see from the table abo...



more from Kimble C.S.

Digital Currencies

Why Bitcoin's male domination will be its downfall

Here's an interesting argument by Felix Salmon, although I think he is taking two correct observations and mistakenly attributing a cause-and-effect relationship to them: Bitcoin is going nowhere because women are not involved.

More likely, in my opinion, women are not involved in bitcoin because bitcoin is going nowhere (and they know it). Or maybe, simply, bitcoin is going nowhere and women are not involved. 

Why Bitcoin's male domination will be its downfall 

By Felix Salmon

Nathaniel Popper’s new book, Digital Gold, is as close as you can get to being the definitive account of the history of Bitcoin. As its subtitle proclaims, the book tells the story of the “misfits” (the first generation of hacker-l...



more from Bitcoin

OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of April 20th, 2015

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



more from OpTrader

Sabrient

Sector Detector: Earnings and GDP temporarily take investor spotlight off the Fed

Reminder: Sabrient is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Courtesy of Sabrient Systems and Gradient Analytics

As we get into the heart of earnings season and anticipate the GDP report for Q1, the investor spotlight has been taken off the Federal Reserve and timing of its first interest rate hike, at least temporarily. Even though Q1 economic growth will undoubtedly look weak, the future remains bright for the U.S economy – even though many multinationals will struggle with top-line growth due to the strong dollar – and any near-term selloff resulting from weak economic or earnings news should be bought yet again in expectation of better results for the balance of the year. High sector correlations remain a concern, reflectin...



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Promotions

Watch the Phil Davis Special on Money Talk on BNN TV!

Kim Parlee interviews Phil on Money Talk. Be sure to watch the replays if you missed the show live on Wednesday night (it was recorded on Monday). As usual, Phil provides an excellent program packed with macro analysis, important lessons and trading ideas. ~ Ilene

 

The replay is now available on BNN's website. For the three part series, click on the links below. 

Part 1 is here (discussing the macro outlook for the markets) Part 2 is here. (discussing our main trading strategies) Part 3 is here. (reviewing our pick of th...

more from Promotions

Market Shadows

Kimble Charts: South Korea's EWY

Kimble Charts: South Korea's EWY

By Ilene 

Chris Kimble likes the iShares MSCI South Korea Capped (EWY), but only if it breaks out of a pennant pattern. This South Korean equities ETF has underperformed the S&P 500 by 60% since 2011.

You're probably familiar with its largest holding, Samsung Electronics Co Ltd, and at least several other represented companies such as Hyundai Motor Co and Kia Motors Corp.

...



more from Paul

Mapping The Market

S&P 500 Leverage and Hedges Options - Part 2

Courtesy of Jean-Luc Saillard.

In my last post (Part 1 of this article), I looked at alternative ETFs that could be used as hedges against the corrections that we have seen during that long 2 year bull run. Looking at the results, it seems that for short (less than a month) corrections, a VIX ETF like VXX could actually be a viable candidate to hedge or speculate on the way down. Another alternative ETF was TMF, a long Treasuries ETF which banks on the fact that when markets go down, money tends to pack into treasuries viewed as safe instruments. In some cases, TMF even outperformed the usual hedging instruments like leveraged ETFs. There could of course be other factors at play since some of 2014 corrections were related to geopolitical events which are certain...

more from M.T.M.

Pharmboy

2015 - Biotech Fever

Reminder: Pharmboy is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

PSW Members - well, what a year for biotechs!   The Biotech Index (IBB) is up a whopping 40%, beating the S&P hands down!  The healthcare sector has had a number of high flying IPOs, and beat the Tech Sector in total nubmer of IPOs in the past 12 months.  What could go wrong?

Phil has given his Secret Santa Inflation Hedges for 2015, and since I have been trying to keep my head above water between work, PSW, and baseball with my boys...it is time that something is put together for PSW on biotechs in 2015.

Cancer and fibrosis remain two of the hottest areas for VC backed biotechs to invest their monies.  A number of companies have gone IPO which have drugs/technologies that fight cancer, includin...



more from Pharmboy

Help One Of Our Own PSW Members

"Hello PSW Members –

This is a non-trading topic, but I wanted to post it during trading hours so as many eyes can see it as possible.  Feel free to contact me directly at jennifersurovy@yahoo.com with any questions.

Last fall there was some discussion on the PSW board regarding setting up a YouCaring donation page for a PSW member, Shadowfax. Since then, we have been looking into ways to help get him additional medical services and to pay down his medical debts.  After following those leads, we are ready to move ahead with the YouCaring site. (Link is posted below.)  Any help you can give will be greatly appreciated; not only to help aid in his medical bill debt, but to also show what a great community this group is.

http://www.youcaring.com/medical-fundraiser/help-get-shadowfax-out-from-the-darkness-of-medical-bills-/126743

Thank you for you time!




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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

Learn more About Phil >>


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About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

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