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Thursday, April 18, 2024

King Dollar slipping below support, say Joe Friday

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

joefridayusdollarsmallsupportbreakapr24CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE

King Dollar has been on a role since last summer, up over 20% in less than a year. When looking back on the US$, the rally has been rare and nearly historic. Majority of the rally took place inside the steep rising channel above. Over the past month the US$ might have put in a double top. Over the past few days, the US$ has slipped a little below rising support at red arrow above.

usdollarreversalpatternfutureresultsapr24CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE

As you can see from the table above, this type of reversal pattern after a strong rally has only happened 4 times in the past 30-years and few times has the US$ made much upward progress after this type of situation.

Joe Friday Just the facts- King Dollar did something rare last month (reversal pattern after a big gain) and is a fraction below steep rising support. Should the US$ train slow down or weaken some, a few commodities could catch a bid and push them higher.

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