Courtesy of Mish.
Donald Trump is about to win the Republican nomination. Moreover, he may do so even if he loses Indiana.
My rationale is Trump is going to pick up a big mass of the Pennsylvania uncommitted delegates, far more than I put in his pocket.
NBC News reports Trump Wins Big Among Pennsylvania’s Unbound Delegates.
NBC News reached out to all 54 delegate winners after the polls closed Tuesday night. Interviews reveal that as of Thursday morning 37 delegates said they intend to support Trump on the first ballot at the convention — a number that could rise north of 40 when the final ten delegates are reached.
In comparison, rival Texas Sen. Ted Cruz has so far only obtained the support of two delegates and Gov. John Kasich received none.
Eight delegates remain uncommitted to any candidate. They have until the first ballot at the convention to decide their vote (and any of the 54 could technically change their minds any time before that first vote).
Of the 35 delegates who said they’d support Trump, 25 won their election to be delegates Tuesday openly supporting the Republican front runner, reflecting the popular vote results in the state.
At least two outside groups opposed to Trump, Our Principles PAC and NeverTrump PAC had been working to elect anti-Trump delegates.
NeverTrump PAC released an anti-Trump slate of delegates ahead of the vote. Of the 39 endorsements, only four of the delegates with contested races won.
Ridiculous New York Times Headline
Contrast the above headline and analysis with the ridiculous New York Times headline Pennsylvania, Unbound Delegates Remain Wary of Donald Trump.
It appears to me the Times headline should have said, “Pennsylvania, Unbound Delegates Remain Wary of Ted Cruz“.
Mish Math
