Courtesy of Mish.
Hillary has to be getting increasingly nervous. What appeared to be nearly a sure thing to some political analysts in mid-August is now looking very favorable for Trump.
On August 14, Nate Silver posted ridiculous odds of 89.2% to 10.8% in favor of Hillary. Silver now has the election odds at 54.6% to 45.4% in favor of Hillary.
Momentum suggests Trump is going to win. He just has to perform well in the debates.
Shifting Odds
Silver’s 89.2% likelihood for Hillary on August 14 highlights the weakness of polls vs. common sense when it comes to predicting human emotions over time.
States in Play
