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Thursday, April 25, 2024

US Factory Orders Rise 2.7 Percent, Details Not Exactly Inspiring

Courtesy of Mish.

US factory orders rose 2.7% exactly matching the Econoday Consensus.

As with the trade deficit, economists got this number correct because of the advance report. Thus, this rise will not impact GDP estimates.

Diving into the Census Bureau report on Manufacturers’ Shipments, Inventories, and Orders, we see new orders for manufactured goods in October increased $12.5 billion or 2.7 percent to $469.4 billion.

The details are not all that inspiring.

Manufacturers’ Shipments and New Orders

new-orders-2016-12a

Details Reveal Weakness

Orders are up 2.7% but core capital goods orders, a sign of future expansion are only up 0.2%. For the year, core capital goods orders are down 4.0%.

Consumer goods, both durable and non-durable are down year-over-year. Autos fueled durable goods, and that divergence will not last forever.


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