Performance

There's nothing we hate more than people who tell you what you would have made if you had done some perfect entry and perfect exit on a trade they vaguely recommended out of dozens that didn't work out.

It's never going to happen here!

Here's a site that promises you that, using options, you "could have turned $5,000 into $1M in just over 5 years."  That's just not our style, too flashy!

Not only do we publish weekly reviews or our trades (see Phil's Weekly Wrap-Ups), but you can review every single word we've said since November of 2005 in our archives (and the historical comments are available even to report members) and see for yourself what you think of our picks!

Do we need your credit card so you can look? No, why should we - the picks should stand on their own. If you think they would have helped you in the past than you may decide on your own whether you want to sign up for our daily live site.

Our picks and articles usually appear daily, but delayed, under the "Financial Blogs" section of Yahoo Finance and often in the "Blog Posts" section of Google Finance. I am often posted on Seeking Alpha and have maintained a daily blog on Blogger for most of 2006 before switching to the site you see here.

This is not your run-of-the-mill dry, financial reporting! According to Google, there are 11,500,000 stock picking sites on the web and they all think they're smarter than us... We don't try to out shout the masses - we just try to have some fun and make some money!

We've been told by marketing experts that we need to put in giant letters that say we make more trades, more often than most newsletters, that we try to pick real, well-known companies that are fairly liquid so you can get your money in and (more importantly) out and we're supposed to make a big deal about beating the markets.

We're not going to do that. When we look for a good financial newsletter, we just read that stuff and go "blah blah blah" in our heads until we found some kind of sample of the actual numbers.

Well, we give you those numbers. We let you see everything we did, winners and losers, no samples. There's a weekly update and you can take a look most weekends you can check out Phil, Optrader and Oxen's styles for yourself and decide if it would annoy or please you to read them every day.

All right, so we're not good at marketing - but that's not why you're here is it?

We are "amateur" investors, like you, who just got sick of all the BS we were getting from all the "professional" services and we decided to start our own. We are not brokers or pro traders and you would be nuts to make any trade you read about here without consulting a professional financial advisor as to its suitability for your virtual portfolio... But, if you like to talk about stocks and pick up some tips that might work without all the hype and nonsense - come join us!

So why listen to us?  We do have sort of a knack for spotting trends and picking winners and we're happy to share what we know with you.  No other reason.  Nothing bad will happen to you if you don't sign up with us - there is no pressure and this is not a limited offer. Come back any time we are accepting new members - the door will always be open.

Here's a short list of past accomplishments (and please, check out the Seeking Alpha list, this is all of our major macro articles, not just the ones that worked):

6/21 - Gold Rises on N. Korean Nuke Threat (GLD, GOLD)
Gold goes from $580 to $676 following recommendation.

6/29 - Why The EU's Fines Against Microsoft Aren't So Significant (MSFT)
Recommends Oct $25s for .50, stock was at $23.25

7/4 - Trump Should Suffer From New Jersey Shutdown (TRMP)
Trump peaked July 6th at $20.25, closed at $16.98 on August 10th

7/7 - Google's Private Jet: A (Part-time) Shareholder's Concern
Google peaks at $427.89 that day, fell to $363.36 on August 3rd

7/21 - Google, Time to Find a New Revenue Stream
Follow up on a week of commentary warning readers to get out of Google

7/24 - Misreading American Express Earnings
American Express drops to $49.73 on earnings, recovers to $53.72 on August 17th (I was so irate with the reaction to the earnings, which were mid-day that I published this one on the afternoon and we made a killing on the current month options).

7/31 - Did the Fed Overdo the Rate Hikes?
Predicted Fed pause and negative reaction the markets would have to it.

8/5 - Berkshire Hathaway Reports Blowout Quarter; Good Entry Point For New Investors
August 7th (Monday) BRK.A opens at $92,200, $96,700 on August 24th

8/8 - Options Trader: How I'm Playing Today's Fed Decision
Notably calls the top on oil at $77 despite Lebanon war and BP Spill, Oil peaked at $77.70 on August 10th

8/17 - SOX Found: Is a Major Upswing In the Works?
Predicts the late-August rally based on technical indicators

8/18 - Sears: Too Cheap to Resist
Sears drops to $139.72 on earnings, rises to $152.45 on September 5th

8/20 - Gold: Heading for a Trainwreck Due to Oversupply?
Predicted coming drop in gold prices while it was going up.

8/21 - Nike's New Sneaks Should Give Some Lift
NKE drops to $76.45, closes at $82.05 on September 8th

8/22 - Gold Bugs, Don't Dig In Too Deep
Warns of a false rally with gold climbing towards $640

8/23 - Oil's Slippery Slope: Why Crude and Oil Stocks May Be Headed Down, Fast
Oil was at $72, was at $60 within 30 days!

8/25 - The Market's Just Waiting for an Excuse to Rally
Dow 11,300, need I say more?

8/30 - Will Market History Repeat Itself?
Calling for a major rally based on chart patterns.

8/31 - Gold — Don't Be Left Holding the Bag
Gold fell from $640 to $570 in the next 2 weeks.

9/1 - A Few Miner Adjustments: BHP Billiton & Phelps Dodge
A nice example of a complex spread played against news - I love these trades!

9/5 - Frontline's Weakness May Portend a Spill in Tanker Stocks
Very nice call on the tanker sector

9/6 - Windows Upgrade Presents New Vista for Dell
Nice bottom call on Dell

9/8 - How Long Can the Exxon Bulls Last?
Longer than I thought!

9/11 - Google's Low Volatility Presents Unique Options Opportunity
The call that made me famous!

9/11 - Why Broadcast TV Has No Need to Fear Video Sharing
Did I bring YouTube to Google's attention?

9/15 - Oil Price Manipulation: Taking from the Poor to Give to the Rich
Led to a series of very productive oil puts in the daily column

9/18 - eBay: Runaway SG&A Expenses Dragging Down The Stock
It was the EXACT bottom for Ebay

9/20 - Investment Banks Have Too Much Money On Their Hands
I was way off here, apparently you cannot have too much money!

10/1 - Yahoo and eBay: Undervalued
Still waiting for Yahoo to read this one...

10/8 - Bread and Butter Trade: Buy the Leap, Sell the Call
Slightly more complex option strategies

10/8 - Phil Davis' Google Play -- Round Three Update
We're not ashamed to make money over and over on the same thing!

10/20 - Getting Ready to Go Long SanDisk
We're still waiting for my $40 target (see comments)

10/22 - Cell Phone Makers: Nokia May Run, But Qualcomm's On An End Run
Scratch that, reverse it - thank you!

10/23 - The Rise and Fall of Oil: Roach Motel Theory
May be the call of the year - still waiting to see!

10/29 - Deflating Housing Bubble = Comfy Landing for Equities
That one was dead on!

11/4 - Prop 87: Follow the Money
We also love our politics!

11/9 - How to Short Homebuilders: Look for the Fastest Growers
This one is still unfolding...

11/16 - Zune Is DOA -- Sansa Anyone?
We know how this turns out!

11/19 - Options Trader: Long Term Picks
A review of our long-term calls

12/2 - Options Trader: Friday Wrapup and November Rundown
Good to read to get caught up

12/5 - ExxonMobil: Black Magic
Did little old me cause Exxon to dip? I don't think so but I'm getting blamed!

12/6 - Las Vegas Sands: Dicey Valuation
Still playing itself out but down $6 in 6 sessions since the post.

12/11 - Insurance Sector Looks Cheap
Huge winner in just one week!

12/14 - Can the U.S. Markets Break Loose?
Of course our subscribers get all this information first...

That's it for now, we'll update it when we get around to it but all the new stuff is right here on this site. You are welcome to use the ad-supported sites any time but the mailing list, intra-day alerts and daily comment section are for members only.

We hope you will join us!

Thanks,

- Phil, David and Optrader

 

 
 
 

Phil's Favorites

What's Hot and What's Not: Retail Trade Employment vs Food Services and Drinking Places

Courtesy of Mish.

Inquiring minds may be interested in how the retail sector employment is performing vs food services and drinking places employment. Let’s take a look.

Retail Trade vs Food Service and Drinking – Thousands of Employees

Retail Trade vs Food Service and Drinking – Percent Change from Year Ago

Retail trade is not where you want to be right now, and it will get worse when the next recession hits.

Related Articles

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ValueWalk

New Study Examines How RIAs Select Actively Managed U.S. Equity Funds

By Advisor Perspectives. Originally published at ValueWalk.

BOSTON, MA. August 21, 2017. A new study reveals how large registered investment advisors (RIAs) select actively managed U.S. equity mutual funds. Among its key findings were that advisors are relatively insensitive to expense ratios on those funds – and that most fund companies should not be pressured to reduce fees. The study also found that wholesalers have little influence getting advisors to select their funds.

]]> Get The Full Ray Dalio Series in PDF

Get the entire 10-part series on Ray Dalio in PDF. Save it to your desktop, read it on your tablet, or email to your colleagues.

We respect your email privac...



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Zero Hedge

So You Wanted To Be "Long Electricity" Into The Eclipse?

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Energy traders who had hoped to make an easy profit by betting that spot electricity prices would climb around midday on Monday – an idea they may have found on this website - were bitterly disappointed when, instead of spiking, prices tumbled because of an unexpectedly large drop in demand.

Utilities and grid operators had contingency plans ready to compensate for the expected drop in solar. But even with utilities’ backup grids humming, supplies were still widely expected to drop. Instead, energy providers encountered something that they hadn’t anticip...



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Chart School

Transports- Global bulls market needs this support to hold!

Courtesy of Chris Kimble

Below looks at the Dow Jones Transports ETF (IYT) that remains in a long-term bull market.

...

more from Chart School

Insider Scoop

Earnings Scheduled For August 23, 2017

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Companies Reporting Before The Bell
  • Lowe's Companies, Inc. (NYSE: LOW) is estimated to report quarterly earnings at $1.62 per share on revenue of $19.54 billion.
  • American Eagle Outfitters (NYSE: AEO) is expected to report quarterly earnings at $0.16 per share on revenue of $823.66 million.
  • Express, Inc. (NYS...


http://www.insidercow.com/ more from Insider

Biotech

Will CRISPR fears fade with familiarity?

Reminder: Pharmboy and Ilene are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

Will CRISPR fears fade with familiarity?

Courtesy of Patricia StapletonWorcester Polytechnic Institute

With all these ‘test-tube babies’ grown up, how have our reactions to the technology evolved? AP Photo/Alastair Grant

The first “test-tube baby” made headlines around the world in 1978, setting off intense debate on the ethics of researching human ...



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Digital Currencies

Cryptocurrency Hedge Fund Returns 2,129% YTD

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

We'll preface this post by saying we have never heard of the Alternative Money Fund - which "Specializes in Returning Freedom and Value" - and very well may never hear of it again, however it is notable for two things: i) it is a "hedge fund" invested entirely in cryptocurrencies and ii) it has allegedly generated a 2,129% return YTD, making it the best performer in hedgeco's ranking of asset managers YTD.

The "fund's" own description is similar to what one would find in any traditional asset manager, with one...



more from Bitcoin

OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of August 21st, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



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Members' Corner

Why we need to act on climate change now

 

Why we need to act on climate change now

Interview with Jan Dash PhD, by Ilene Carrie, Editor at Phil’s Stock World

Jan Dash PhD is a physicist, an expert at quantitative finance and risk management, and a consultant at Bloomberg LP. In his thought-provoking book, Quantitative Finance and Risk Management, A Physicist's Approach, Jan devotes a chapter to climate change and its long-term systemic risk. In this article, Ilene interviews Jan regarding his thoughts on climate change and the way it can affect our futu...



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Mapping The Market

The App Economy Will Be Worth $6 Trillion in Five Years

Courtesy of Jean-Luc

This would be excellent news for AAPL and GOOG to a lesser extent although not inconsequential:

The App Economy Will Be Worth $6 Trillion in Five Years 

In five years, the app economy will be worth $6.3 trillion, up from $1.3 trillion last year, according to a report released today by app measurement company App Annie. What explains the growth? More people are spending more time and -- crucially -- more money in apps. While on average people aren't downloading many more apps, App Annie expects global app usership to nearly double to 6.3 billion people in the next five years while the time spent in apps will more than double. And, it expects the...



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Promotions

NewsWare: Watch Today's Webinar!

 

We have a great guest at today's webinar!

Bill Olsen from NewsWare will be giving us a fun and lively demonstration of the advantages that real-time news provides. NewsWare is a market intelligence tool for news. In today's data driven markets, it is truly beneficial to have a tool that delivers access to the professional sources where you can obtain the facts in real time.

Join our webinar, free, it's open to all. 

Just click here at 1 pm est and join in!

[For more information on NewsWare, click here. For a list of prices: NewsWar...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Brazil; Waterfall in prices starting? Impact U.S.?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

Below looks at the Brazil ETF (EWZ) over the last decade. The rally over the past year has it facing a critical level, from a Power of the Pattern perspective.

CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE

EWZ is facing dual resistance at (1), while in a 9-year down trend of lower highs and lower lows. The counter trend rally over the past 17-months has it testing key falling resistance. Did the counter trend reflation rally just end at dual resistance???

If EWZ b...



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All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: Harlan is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Click here for the full report.




To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

more from David



FeedTheBull - Top Stock market and Finance Sites



About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

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