Performance

There's nothing we hate more than people who tell you what you would have made if you had done some perfect entry and perfect exit on a trade they vaguely recommended out of dozens that didn't work out.

It's never going to happen here!

Here's a site that promises you that, using options, you "could have turned $5,000 into $1M in just over 5 years."  That's just not our style, too flashy!

Not only do we publish weekly reviews or our trades (see Phil's Weekly Wrap-Ups), but you can review every single word we've said since November of 2005 in our archives (and the historical comments are available even to report members) and see for yourself what you think of our picks!

Do we need your credit card so you can look? No, why should we - the picks should stand on their own. If you think they would have helped you in the past than you may decide on your own whether you want to sign up for our daily live site.

Our picks and articles usually appear daily, but delayed, under the "Financial Blogs" section of Yahoo Finance and often in the "Blog Posts" section of Google Finance. I am often posted on Seeking Alpha and have maintained a daily blog on Blogger for most of 2006 before switching to the site you see here.

This is not your run-of-the-mill dry, financial reporting! According to Google, there are 11,500,000 stock picking sites on the web and they all think they're smarter than us... We don't try to out shout the masses - we just try to have some fun and make some money!

We've been told by marketing experts that we need to put in giant letters that say we make more trades, more often than most newsletters, that we try to pick real, well-known companies that are fairly liquid so you can get your money in and (more importantly) out and we're supposed to make a big deal about beating the markets.

We're not going to do that. When we look for a good financial newsletter, we just read that stuff and go "blah blah blah" in our heads until we found some kind of sample of the actual numbers.

Well, we give you those numbers. We let you see everything we did, winners and losers, no samples. There's a weekly update and you can take a look most weekends you can check out Phil, Optrader and Oxen's styles for yourself and decide if it would annoy or please you to read them every day.

All right, so we're not good at marketing - but that's not why you're here is it?

We are "amateur" investors, like you, who just got sick of all the BS we were getting from all the "professional" services and we decided to start our own. We are not brokers or pro traders and you would be nuts to make any trade you read about here without consulting a professional financial advisor as to its suitability for your virtual portfolio... But, if you like to talk about stocks and pick up some tips that might work without all the hype and nonsense - come join us!

So why listen to us?  We do have sort of a knack for spotting trends and picking winners and we're happy to share what we know with you.  No other reason.  Nothing bad will happen to you if you don't sign up with us - there is no pressure and this is not a limited offer. Come back any time we are accepting new members - the door will always be open.

Here's a short list of past accomplishments (and please, check out the Seeking Alpha list, this is all of our major macro articles, not just the ones that worked):

6/21 - Gold Rises on N. Korean Nuke Threat (GLD, GOLD)
Gold goes from $580 to $676 following recommendation.

6/29 - Why The EU's Fines Against Microsoft Aren't So Significant (MSFT)
Recommends Oct $25s for .50, stock was at $23.25

7/4 - Trump Should Suffer From New Jersey Shutdown (TRMP)
Trump peaked July 6th at $20.25, closed at $16.98 on August 10th

7/7 - Google's Private Jet: A (Part-time) Shareholder's Concern
Google peaks at $427.89 that day, fell to $363.36 on August 3rd

7/21 - Google, Time to Find a New Revenue Stream
Follow up on a week of commentary warning readers to get out of Google

7/24 - Misreading American Express Earnings
American Express drops to $49.73 on earnings, recovers to $53.72 on August 17th (I was so irate with the reaction to the earnings, which were mid-day that I published this one on the afternoon and we made a killing on the current month options).

7/31 - Did the Fed Overdo the Rate Hikes?
Predicted Fed pause and negative reaction the markets would have to it.

8/5 - Berkshire Hathaway Reports Blowout Quarter; Good Entry Point For New Investors
August 7th (Monday) BRK.A opens at $92,200, $96,700 on August 24th

8/8 - Options Trader: How I'm Playing Today's Fed Decision
Notably calls the top on oil at $77 despite Lebanon war and BP Spill, Oil peaked at $77.70 on August 10th

8/17 - SOX Found: Is a Major Upswing In the Works?
Predicts the late-August rally based on technical indicators

8/18 - Sears: Too Cheap to Resist
Sears drops to $139.72 on earnings, rises to $152.45 on September 5th

8/20 - Gold: Heading for a Trainwreck Due to Oversupply?
Predicted coming drop in gold prices while it was going up.

8/21 - Nike's New Sneaks Should Give Some Lift
NKE drops to $76.45, closes at $82.05 on September 8th

8/22 - Gold Bugs, Don't Dig In Too Deep
Warns of a false rally with gold climbing towards $640

8/23 - Oil's Slippery Slope: Why Crude and Oil Stocks May Be Headed Down, Fast
Oil was at $72, was at $60 within 30 days!

8/25 - The Market's Just Waiting for an Excuse to Rally
Dow 11,300, need I say more?

8/30 - Will Market History Repeat Itself?
Calling for a major rally based on chart patterns.

8/31 - Gold — Don't Be Left Holding the Bag
Gold fell from $640 to $570 in the next 2 weeks.

9/1 - A Few Miner Adjustments: BHP Billiton & Phelps Dodge
A nice example of a complex spread played against news - I love these trades!

9/5 - Frontline's Weakness May Portend a Spill in Tanker Stocks
Very nice call on the tanker sector

9/6 - Windows Upgrade Presents New Vista for Dell
Nice bottom call on Dell

9/8 - How Long Can the Exxon Bulls Last?
Longer than I thought!

9/11 - Google's Low Volatility Presents Unique Options Opportunity
The call that made me famous!

9/11 - Why Broadcast TV Has No Need to Fear Video Sharing
Did I bring YouTube to Google's attention?

9/15 - Oil Price Manipulation: Taking from the Poor to Give to the Rich
Led to a series of very productive oil puts in the daily column

9/18 - eBay: Runaway SG&A Expenses Dragging Down The Stock
It was the EXACT bottom for Ebay

9/20 - Investment Banks Have Too Much Money On Their Hands
I was way off here, apparently you cannot have too much money!

10/1 - Yahoo and eBay: Undervalued
Still waiting for Yahoo to read this one...

10/8 - Bread and Butter Trade: Buy the Leap, Sell the Call
Slightly more complex option strategies

10/8 - Phil Davis' Google Play -- Round Three Update
We're not ashamed to make money over and over on the same thing!

10/20 - Getting Ready to Go Long SanDisk
We're still waiting for my $40 target (see comments)

10/22 - Cell Phone Makers: Nokia May Run, But Qualcomm's On An End Run
Scratch that, reverse it - thank you!

10/23 - The Rise and Fall of Oil: Roach Motel Theory
May be the call of the year - still waiting to see!

10/29 - Deflating Housing Bubble = Comfy Landing for Equities
That one was dead on!

11/4 - Prop 87: Follow the Money
We also love our politics!

11/9 - How to Short Homebuilders: Look for the Fastest Growers
This one is still unfolding...

11/16 - Zune Is DOA -- Sansa Anyone?
We know how this turns out!

11/19 - Options Trader: Long Term Picks
A review of our long-term calls

12/2 - Options Trader: Friday Wrapup and November Rundown
Good to read to get caught up

12/5 - ExxonMobil: Black Magic
Did little old me cause Exxon to dip? I don't think so but I'm getting blamed!

12/6 - Las Vegas Sands: Dicey Valuation
Still playing itself out but down $6 in 6 sessions since the post.

12/11 - Insurance Sector Looks Cheap
Huge winner in just one week!

12/14 - Can the U.S. Markets Break Loose?
Of course our subscribers get all this information first...

That's it for now, we'll update it when we get around to it but all the new stuff is right here on this site. You are welcome to use the ad-supported sites any time but the mailing list, intra-day alerts and daily comment section are for members only.

We hope you will join us!

Thanks,

- Phil, David and Optrader

 

 
 
 

Zero Hedge

Trump Tweets "Don't Worry" As WSJ Lashes Out At "ObamaCare Republicans"

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Doubling down on his 'presidential' message last night, President Trump just told the American people "don't worry" about the healthcare bill...

ObamaCare will explode and we will all get together and piece together a great healthcare plan for THE PEOPLE. Do not worry!

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) March 25, 2017

And also from his POTUS account...

ObamaCare will explode and we will all get together and piece togeth...



more from Tyler

Phil's Favorites

News You Can Use From Phil's Stock World

 

Financial Markets and Economy

All drill, no frack: U.S. shale leaves thousands of wells unfinished (Reuters)

U.S. shale producers are drilling at the highest rate in 18 months but have left a record number of wells unfinished in the largest oilfield in the country – a sign that output may not rise as swiftly as drilling activity would indicate.

The Daily Prophet: Stock Market Suffers Bout of Bad Breadth (Bloomberg)

After yesterday's white-knuckle ride in stocks, investors spent much of today trying to make sense of what wa...



more from Ilene

ValueWalk

Technicals Vs Fundamentals, Templeton, Ackman, Analysis of Valeant

By csinvesting. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Fundamental vs. Technical Analysis

https://monetary-metals.com/technical-vs-fundamental-report-19-mar-2017/

McCaskill: This Business Model Uses Patients as Hostages, via Fickr (CC BY-ND 2.0)

Technical analysis, in all of its forms, uses the past price movements to predict the future price movements. In some cases (e.g. momentum analysis) it calculates an intermediate signal from the price signal (momentum is the first derivative of price). But no matter the style, one analyzes price history to guess the next price move.

This is necessarily probabilistic. There is no way to know that a particular price move will follo...



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Market News

News You Can Use From Phil's Stock World

 

Financial Markets and Economy

How a ‘Low Volatility’ Stock Plunged 85% in an Hour (The Wall Street Journal)

Reading the label isn’t enough for picking funds. You may need to go into the ingredients list, too.

Take a look at funds that track the MSCI Minimum Volatility Emerging Markets Index.

North Dakota Oil Spills 3 Times Larger Than First Estimated (Associated Press)

A December oil pipeline spill ...



more from Paul

Kimble Charting Solutions

Fund flows of this size could mark a top, says Joe Friday

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

A year ago flows into ETFs were extremely low, actually the lowest in years, as many stock market indices were testing rising support off the 2009 lows. The crowd wasn’t adding money to ETFs as lows were taking place. In hindsight, this was a mistake by the majority. Below I look at ETF flows over the past few years with an inset chart of the S&P 500.

CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE

Nearly three months into this year, fund flows have surpassed mone...



more from Kimble C.S.

Chart School

Indecision Strikes

Courtesy of Declan.

It was no real surprise to see indices slow down in their recovery. Across the board doji mark a balance between buyers and sellers. The one index which bucked the trend a little was the Russell 2000. It staged a modest recovery which brought it back to former support turned resistance. However, technicals remain firmly bearish, and will stay this way even if there are additional gains.

The S&P closed on light volume with a doji below resistance. The narrow intraday trading range offers a low risk opportunity with a break and ...

more from Chart School

Members' Corner

Natterings

Check out some new posts from our friend The Nattering Naybob. 

The Big Lebowski Sequel?

Taking a "resp-shit" or "potty break" from "in the Toilet Thursday" or "Thursday's in the Loo"... One of our favorite scenes from the 1998 cult classic The Big Lebowski, the ash can scene where Walter Subchak (John Goodman) eulogizes the departed Donnie (Steve Buscemi) with Jeffrey Lebowski (Jeff Bridges) looking on.

Keep reading: ...



more from Our Members

OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of March 20th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



more from OpTrader

Digital Currencies

Bitcoin Tumbles Below Gold As China Tightens Regulations

Courtesy of Zero Hedge

Having rebounded rapidly from the ETF-decision disappointment, Bitcoin suffered another major setback overnight as Chinese regulators are circulating new guidelines that, if enacted, would require exchanges to verify the identity of clients and adhere to banking regulations.

A New York startup called Chainalysis estimated that roughly $2 billion of bitcoin moved out of China in 2016.

As The Wall Street Journal reports, the move to regulate bitcoin exchanges brings assurance that Chinese authorities will tolerate some level of trading, after months of uncertainty. A draft of the guidelines also indicates th...



more from Bitcoin

Mapping The Market

Congress begins rolling back Obama's broadband privacy rules

Courtesy of Jean Luc

I am trying to remember who on this board said that people wanted to Trump because they want their freedom back. Well….

Congress begins rolling back Obama's broadband privacy rules

By Daniel Cooper, Endgadget

ISPs will soon be able to sell your most private data without your consent.

As expected, Republicans in Congress have begun the process of rolling back the FCC's broadband privacy rules which prevent excessive surveillance. Arizona Republican Jeff Flake introduced a resolution to scrub the rules, using Congress' powers to invalidate recently-approved federal regulations. Reuters reports that the move has broad support, with 34 other names throwing their weight behind the res...



more from M.T.M.

Promotions

Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"

 

 

Here's a free ebook for you to check out! 

Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

Some other great content in this free eBook includes:

 

·       How 2017 Will Affect Oil, the US Dollar and the European Union

...

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Biotech

The Medicines Company: Insider Buying

Reminder: Pharmboy and Ilene are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

I'm seeing huge insider buying in the biotech company The Medicines Company (MDCO). The price has already moved up around 7%, but these buys are significant, in the millions of dollars range. ~ Ilene

 

 

 

Insider transaction table and buying vs. selling graphic above from insidercow.com.

Chart below from Yahoo.com

...

more from Biotech

All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: Harlan is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Click here for the full report.




To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

more from David



FeedTheBull - Top Stock market and Finance Sites



About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

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