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Euro Continues Lower On Encouraging US GDP

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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The euro fell further below the dollar on Friday morning as poor economic data from the region weighed on investors’ confidence.

The common currency also lost some ground after U.S. GDP data came in better than expected on Thursday, pushing the euro to trade at $1.2568 at 8:00 GMT.

Data out on Thursday showed that the U.S. economy surpassed expectations of just 3.0 percent growth in the third quarter and grew 3.5 percent. The figure helped boost the dollar and added to growing confidence in the nation’s recovery. 

Still, some were skeptical about the reading, saying that the figure on its own may not tell the whole story.  Some analysts attributed the figure to defense spending and inventories, saying that fourth quarter GDP will likely take the hit.

Meanwhile, the eurozone continued to struggle with its own lagging recovery as data out on Thursday confirmed that Germany is struggling to stay afloat. The bloc’s largest economy and steam engine throughout the crisis has been posting lackluster economic indicators recently, and Thursday was no exception.

Bloomberg reported that German inflation unexpectedly fell to 0.7 percent in October, below expectations of 0.8 percent.

Political uncertainty in Greece is also a factor, especially after the nation’s Minister of Administrative Reform Kyriakos Misotakis told reporters that the region would be facing a “climate of uncertainty” over the next few months. 

The region’s government has until February to elect a new president or the anti-bailout Syriza party will force the nation into a snap election.  Prime Minister Antonis Samaras is backed by 150 of the coalition government’s votes, but 180 will be needed to elect a new president.

If a majority cannot be reached, a new election would be held in which current polls show that Syriza would dominate. 

Posted-In: News Eurozone Forex Global Federal Reserve Pre-Market Outlook Markets Best of Benzinga

Gold And Gold Miners Trading At Multi-Year Lows Following BOJ Decision

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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Gold futures are down sharply following the Bank Of Japan rate cut, trading at the lowest price since August 2010. December gold is down 2.75 percent at 1165.60, breaking support at the 1180 level.

Gold stocks are feeling the effects as well, with the Gold Miners ETF (NYSE: GDX) trading at levels last seen during the 2008 financial crisis that October. Some of the major names, such as Barrick Gold Corporation (NYSE: ABX) and Newmont Mining Corp (NYSE: NEM), are poised to trade at 20-year lows. Industry analysts are looking at 1100 as the price where mining becomes unprofitable for many of these companies, as margins get squeezed.

Shares in these issues were down by more than 3 percent Friday morning.

Option implied volatility is approaching multi-year highs on these names as well, also highlighting the veracity of the sell-off.

Posted-In: News Commodities Pre-Market Outlook Markets

FBR Capital Upgrades Atmel To Outperform

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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Analysts at FBR Capital upgraded Atmel (NASDAQ: ATML) from Market Perform to Outperform.

The price target for Atmel has been raised from $8.50 to $9.00.

Atmel shares have dropped 4.53% over the past 52 weeks, while the S&P 500 index has surged 13.56% in the same period.

Atmel’s shares surged 2.88% to $7.15 in after-hours trading.

Latest Ratings for ATML

Date Firm Action From To
Oct 2014 FBR Capital Upgrades Market Perform Outperform
Aug 2014 Imperial Capital Maintains Outperform
Aug 2014 Bank of America Downgrades Buy Neutral

View More Analyst Ratings for ATML
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: FBR CapitalUpgrades Analyst Ratings

Mid-Day Market Update: GoPro Jumps On Upbeat Results; Tempur Sealy Shares Dip

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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Midway through trading Friday, the Dow traded up 0.94 percent to 17,357.73 while the NASDAQ surged 1.20 percent to 4,620.98. The S&P also rose, gaining 0.92 percent to 2,012.99.

Leading and Lagging Sectors

Technology shares jumped by 1.69 percent in today’s trading. Top gainers in the sector included Imperva (NYSE: IMPV), up 21.6 percent, and Spansion (NYSE: CODE), up 20 percent.

In trading on Friday, utilities shares were relative laggards, down on the day by about 0.06 percent. Top losers in the sector included CPFL Energia S.A. (NYSE: CPL), down 3.3 percent, and Companhia de Saneamento Basico do Estado de Sao Paulo (NYSE: SBS), off 2.4 percent.

Top Headline

The Clorox Company (NYSE: CLX) reported stronger-than-expected fiscal first-quarter results.

The Oakland, California-based company posted quarterly net income of $90 million, or $0.68 per share, versus $136 million, or $1.03 per share, in the year-ago quarter. Its profit from continuing operations rose to $1.10 per share from $1.05 per share.

Its sales climbed to $1.35 billion versus $1.34 billion. However, analysts were expecting a profit of $1.03 per share on revenue of $1.33 billion.

Equities Trading UP

Imperva (NYSE: IMPV) shares shot up 21.64 percent to $39.51 after the company reported better-than-expected Q3 earnings.

Shares of Groupon (NASDAQ: GRPN) got a boost, shooting up 20.20 percent to $7.20 after the company reported stronger-than-expected third-quarter earnings and lowered its fourth-quarter forecast.

GoPro (NASDAQ: GPRO) shares were also up, gaining 12.91 percent to $77.06 after the company reported better-than-expected third-quarter results and issued a strong forecast for the fourth quarter.

Equities Trading DOWN

Shares of Aegerion Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: AEGR) were…
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Starbucks CEO Howard Schultz To Jim Cramer: We Are Never Satisfied

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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Starbucks Corporation (NASDAQ: SBUX) CEO Howard Schultz was interviewed Friday on CNBC by Jim Cramer regarding the company’s Q4 financial results.

Cramer along with some analysts thought the company's performance was disappointing and cited management's comments about not being satisfied with 1 percent traffic growth in the Americas.

When challenged by Cramer about how to reconcile reporting that management was not satisfied with Schultz’s positive comments on performance, Schultz broke in and exclaimed, "we are never satisfied."

Related Link: 3 Things Starbucks Investors May Have Overlooked

Schultz commented that after 22 years as a public company "we’ve never had a better year or better fourth quarter than we announced yesterday."

To put 1 percent traffic growth in perspective, Schultz calculated that “500,000 new customers came into the Starbucks franchise each week during the [fourth] quarter."

The CEO claimed that there is much room for growth and that Starbucks will double its store count in Japan, triple in China and that it has turned around Europe's performance.

Schultz was most interested in getting across the point that we are all in the midst of a "cultural shift in the way people buy things in America" and that Starbucks is in the forefront of this movement with its digital, social and mobile strategy.

He indicated that Starbucks mobile app ordering will be as disruptive as Uber and that he welcomes Apple Pay as a means of changing behavior, but claimed that Starbucks has already accomplished changing consumer behavior through its mobile and digital payment systems.

Based on Schultz’s interview, shifting customer traffic in the Americas is to be expected in light of cultural changes and Starbucks is not only prepared but leading the way in this change.

Starbucks recently traded at $75.80, down 1.9 percent.

Posted-In: ApplePay CNBC Howard SchultzCNBC Earnings Jim Cramer Management Media Best of Benzinga

Starbucks Analyst Roundup On Q4 Earnings

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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Making Money With Charles Payne: 10/30/14 (Fox Business)

Starbucks Corporation (NASDAQ: SBUX) reported financial results Thursday with Q4 consolidated net revenue at $4.2 billion, inline with estimates of $4.23 billion.

Guidance disappointed investors along with Starbucks management reporting slowing consumer traffic. The stock dropped amid the news, falling to $75.55, down 2.2 percent Friday.

Analysts weighed in on the earnings report. Below are their comments along with current ratings and price targets.

Barclays – Equal Weight, $81 price target

"SBUX acknowledged feeling the impact of the consumer uncertainty. And they are "not satisfied with 1 percent traffic growth in the America's and are taking immediate steps to grow traffic. We believe their 2014 holiday calendar will stabilize recent trends. But with comps down from peaks, coffee costs close to peaks, and investments large in "mobile commerce, innovation, in the customer experience and the partners", we see limited near-term EPS upside relative to F15 guidance for 16-18 percent growth."

Wells Fargo – Outperform, $89-$91 valuation range

"SBUX has designed its holiday campaign around [the shift of lower consumer traffic] with its ''Starbucks for Life'' contest and 100 proprietary gift card designs to drive gift purchasing which we believe should help to reaccelerate traffic in FQ1. Bottom line – SBUX continues to be ahead of the curve (and its competition) in identifying secular consumer shifts and managing business accordingly. We believe this foresight combined with its robust innovation pipeline, impressive execution and financial discipline positions SBUX for impressive near and long-term results."

Oppenheimer – Outperform, $86 price target

"A strong quarter, but a traffic deceleration is making the stock controversial once again. Perhaps a good thing, given SBUX always is a better performing stock best when doubters of its business model are high-numbered. Management doesn't blame the slowdown on competition or throughput issues and believes its mobile/digital strategy will be a game changer. We are buyers of weakness, particularly as valuation becomes more attractive trading at 20x next year's EPS."

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Wunderlich Develops A Larger Appetite For Brinker International

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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Brinker International, Inc. (NYSE: EAT) reported first quarter 2015 results on October 21. Revenue of $711.0 million topped the Street's estimates of $708.9 million while same-store sales rose 2.4 percent, also topping the Street's estimates of 2.3 percent. Earnings per share rose 16 percent to $0.50, in-line with Street expectations.

On Friday, Robert Derrington of Wunderlich Securities reiterated a Buy rating on shares with a price target raised to $59 from a previous $55.

Derrington noted that Chili's continues to gain market share through new innovations including the "Fresh Mex Platform" in addition to Craft Burgers, Ziosk tablets and a refocused marketing campaign.

Derrington said that Chili's is well positioned to drive further growth despite near-term commodity inflation.

"Through we have cautiously trimmed our fiscal 2015 earnings per share to $3.08 from $3.10 to reflect [commodity inflation], we believe its considerable operating scale, predatory marketing muscle and efficient technology platform have the company longer-term positioned for sustained success," Derrington wrote.

Brinker International expects around 1 percent commodity inflation cost in fiscal 2015, which will be higher in the first of the year and more favorable in the bottom half of 2015.

Latest Ratings for EAT

Date Firm Action From To
Oct 2014 KeyBanc Downgrades Buy Hold
Oct 2014 BMO Capital Initiates Coverage on Market Perform
Aug 2014 Wunderlich Upgrades Hold Buy

View More Analyst Ratings for EAT
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: Brinker International Chili's Robert Derrington WunderlichAnalyst Color Price Target Reiteration Analyst Ratings

UPDATE: Tigress Financial Upgrades Facebook

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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Tigress Financial Partners upgraded Facebook Inc (NASDAQ: FB) from Neutral to Buy in a report issued Friday.

Analyst Ivan Feinseth noted that "Facebook delivered impressive 3Q results; total revenue and mobile advertising sales grew 59 percent to $3.2 billion and 121 percent to $1.9 billion Y/Y respectively."

Critical to the upgrade was evidence that Facebook can monetize Instagram and WhatsApp. Feinseth commented that these "concerns have largely been allayed as commentary on the conference call regarding Instagram was more in depth, giving us insight into Facebook’s plans for the platform.

"Also contributing to our increasing confidence in FB’s ability to monetize Instagram are our own observations; we are noticing more advertising on the platform and, despite concerns that ads on the feed would be intrusive and off-putting, in our experience they have been seamless and unobtrusive."

Tigress joins other firms that feel Facebook is on the right track for long-term growth.

The report concluded with the belief that "the strong user metrics the company reported, notably the DAU/MAU reaching an all-time high of 64 percent, should diminish any fears about whether or not teens are using the platform. We see increasing engagement from baby boomers and older generations of users and believe these demographics [are] under-appreciated given their greater discretionary income than younger generations."

Facebook Inc recently traded at $74.80, up 0.9 percent.

Latest Ratings for FB

Date Firm Action From To
Oct 2014 Tigress Financial Upgrades Neutral Buy
Oct 2014 CRT Capital Maintains Buy
Oct 2014 FBN Securities Maintains Outperform

View More Analyst Ratings for FB
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: Ivan Feinseth Tigress Financial PartnersAnalyst Color Upgrades Analyst Ratings

Earnings Scheduled For October 30, 2014

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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Kellogg Company (NYSE: K) is estimated to report its Q3 earnings at $0.92 per share on revenue of $3.69 billion.

Air Products & Chemicals (NYSE: APD) is expected to report its Q4 earnings at $1.61 per share on revenue of $2.73 billion.

MasterCard (NYSE: MA) is estimated to report its Q3 earnings at $0.78 per share on revenue of $2.45 billion.

Time Warner Cable (NYSE: TWC) is expected to report its Q3 earnings at $1.91 per share on revenue of $5.75 billion.

Altria Group (NYSE: MO) is projected to report its Q3 earnings at $0.68 per share on revenue of $4.73 billion.

Ball (NYSE: BLL) is estimated to report its Q3 earnings at $1.05 per share on revenue of $2.30 billion.

ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP) is projected to report its Q3 earnings at $1.20 per share on revenue of $13.63 billion.

LinkedIn (NYSE: LNKD) is expected to post its Q3 earnings at $0.47 per share on revenue of $557.49 million.

Thomson Reuters (NYSE: TRI) is estimated to report its Q3 earnings at $0.45 per share on revenue of $3.10 billion.

Expedia (NASDAQ: EXPE) is projected to post its Q3 earnings at $1.74 per share on revenue of $1.68 billion.

Groupon (NASDAQ: GRPN) is estimated to post its Q3 earnings at $0.01 per share on revenue of $748.76 million.

AmerisourceBergen (NYSE: ABC) is expected to report its Q4 earnings at $1.05 per share on revenue of $30.78 billion.

Johnson Controls (NYSE: …
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UPDATE: D.A. Davidson Reiterates On Rogers Corporation On Strong Q3 Upside

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Related ROG
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In a report published Thursday, D.A. Davidson analyst Avinash Kant reiterated a Buy rating on Rogers Corporation (NYSE: ROG), and raised the price target from $71.00 to $77.00.

In the report, D.A. Davidson noted, “ROG reported Q3:CY14 operating EPS of $1.09 on record revenues of $163.1 million (up 6% from Q2:CY14 and up 14% from Q3:CY13); well above consensus expectations of $0.72 on $157 million and significantly above the top-end of the company’s guidance ($0.65-$0.75 on revenues of $153-$159 million). Recognizing benefits from cost cutting initiatives taken over the past two years, along with higher volumes and continued operational efficiencies, non-GAAP gross margins in Q3:CY14 reached a new all-time high of 39.6%, up 240bp from Q2:CY14 and 370bp from Q3:CY13. Similarly, strength continued in the model with ROG reporting record operating margins of 17.4% in Q3, up 680bp sequentially and 300bp YoY.”

Rogers Corporation closed on Wednesday at $66.88.

Latest Ratings for ROG

Date Firm Action From To
Jun 2014 DA Davidson Maintains Buy
Apr 2014 DA Davidson Upgrades Neutral Buy
Feb 2014 DA Davidson Maintains Neutral

View More Analyst Ratings for ROG
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: Avinash Kant D.A. DavidsonAnalyst Color Price Target Analyst Ratings


Help One Of Our Own PSW Members

"Hello PSW Members –

This is a non-trading topic, but I wanted to post it during trading hours so as many eyes can see it as possible.  Feel free to contact me directly at with any questions.

Last fall there was some discussion on the PSW board regarding setting up a YouCaring donation page for a PSW member, Shadowfax. Since then, we have been looking into ways to help get him additional medical services and to pay down his medical debts.  After following those leads, we are ready to move ahead with the YouCaring site. (Link is posted below.)  Any help you can give will be greatly appreciated; not only to help aid in his medical bill debt, but to also show what a great community this group is.

Thank you for you time!


Phil's Favorites

Chris Martenson and Mish Audio on Bank of Japan's Surprise Move on Friday

Courtesy of Mish.

Every other Wednesday or so, Chris Martenson and I get together for a podcast. Sometimes one of us or the other is out of town, and sometimes Chris has other guest speakers.

Because of scheduling difficulties, Chris and I got together today instead of Wednesday. I asked Chris to make today's podcast generally available.

For our take of Friday's BoJ surprise move, please play the audio on Chris' Peak Prosperity site: Off the Cuff: Japanese Central Bank Throws Granny Under the Bus.

The audio is about 25 minutes long. The podcasts are not scripted. Chris and I just talk "off the cuff" on events of the day or the week.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock


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Zero Hedge

The Story Changes: Ebola Is Now "Aerostable" And Can Remain On Surfaces For 50 Days

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

Submitted by Michael Snyder of The End of the American Dream blog,

When it comes to Ebola, the story that the government is telling us just keeps on changing.  At first, government officials were claiming that it was very difficult to spread the Ebola virus.  Some of them were even comparing it to HIV.  We were given the impression that we had to have “direc...

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Chart School

Moving Averages: Month-End Update

Courtesy of Doug Short.

Valid until the market close on November 28, 2014

The S&P 500 closed September with a monthly gain of 2.32%. All three S&P 500 MAs and three of the five the Ivy Portfolio ETF MAs are signaling "Invested".

The Ivy Portfolio

The table below shows the current 10-month simple moving average (SMA) signal for each of the five ETFs featured in The Ivy Portfolio. I've also included a table of 12-month SMAs for the same ETFs for this popular alternative strategy.

For a facinating analysis of the Ivy Portfolio strategy, see this article by Adam Butler, Mike Philbrick and Rodrigo Gordillo:

  • ...

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Market Shadows

When one door closes...

Predictions that the US equity market would collapse at the end of QE have so far been wrong (and in a very painful way if you shorted the market based on the Fed's actions alone). The end-of-the-world-QE bears failed to factor in another surprise move by the Bank of Japan. The BOJ announced its own QE program today -- it is donating $124Bn ($80 trillion yen) to the market-propping cause. It plans to triple the amount of Japanese ETFs and REITs it buys on the open market.

As  at Business Insider wrote on Oct. 26, If You Missed The Rally, Then You Just Made The Most Classic Mistake In Investing. Since then, the market continues higher...


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All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: David is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Click here for the full report.

To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

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Sector Detector: Bullish conviction returns, but market likely to consolidate its V-bottom

Courtesy of Sabrient Systems and Gradient Analytics

Bulls showed renewed backbone last week and drew a line in the sand for the bears, buying with gusto into weakness as I suggested they would. After all, this was the buying opportunity they had been waiting for. As if on cue, the start of the World Series launched the rapid market reversal and recovery. However, there is little chance that the rally will go straight up. Volatility is back, and I would look for prices to consolidate at this level before making an attempt to go higher. I still question whether the S&P 500 will ultimately achieve a new high before year end.

In this weekly update, I give my view of the current market environment, offer a technical analysis of the S&P 500 chart, review our weekly fundamentals-based SectorCast rankings of the ten U.S. business sectors, and then o...

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Swing trading portfolio - week of October 27th, 2014

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.


This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...

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Stock World Weekly

Stock World Weekly

Newsletter writers are available to chat with Members regarding topics presented in SWW, comments are found below each post.

Here's the latest Stock World Weekly. Enjoy!

(As usual, use your PSW user name and password to sign in. You may also take a free trial.) 


#455292918 /



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Option Review

LUV Options Active Ahead Of Earnings

There is lots of action in Southwest Airlines Co. November expiry call options today ahead of the air carrier’s third-quarter earnings report prior to the opening bell on Thursday. Among the large block trades initiated throughout the trading session, there appears to be at least one options market participant establishing a call spread in far out of the money options. It looks like the trader purchased a 4,000-lot Nov 37/39 call spread at a net premium of $0.40 apiece. The trade makes money if shares in Southwest rally 9.0% over the current price of $34.32 to exceed the effective breakeven point at $37.40, with maximum potential profits of $1.60 per contract available in the event that shares jump more than 13% to $39.00 by expiration. In September, the stock tou...

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Digital Currencies

Goodbye War On Drugs, Hello Libertarian Utopia. Dominic Frisby's Bitcoin: The Future of Money?

Courtesy of John Rubino.

Now that bitcoin has subsided from speculative bubble to functioning currency (see the price chart below), it’s safe for non-speculators to explore the whole “cryptocurrency” thing. So…is bitcoin or one of its growing list of competitors a useful addition to the average person’s array of bank accounts and credit cards — or is it a replacement for most of those things? And how does one make this transition?

With his usual excellent timing, London-based financial writer/actor/stand-up comic Dominic Frisby has just released Bitcoin: The Future of Money? in which he explains all this in terms most readers will have no tr...

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Biotechs & Bubbles

Reminder: Pharmboy is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Well PSW Subscribers....I am still here, barely.  From my last post a few months ago to now, nothing has changed much, but there are a few bargins out there that as investors, should be put on the watch list (again) and if so a small amount.

First, the media is on a tear against biotechs/pharma, ripping companies for their drug prices.  Gilead's HepC drug, Sovaldi, is priced at $84K for the 12-week treatment.  Pundits were screaming bloody murder that it was a total rip off, but when one investigates the other drugs out there, and the consequences of not taking Sovaldi vs. another drug combinations, then things become clearer.  For instance, Olysio (JNJ) is about $66,000 for a 12-week treatment, but is approved for fewer types of patients AND...

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FeedTheBull - Top Stock market and Finance Sites

About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

Learn more About Phil >>

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About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

Market Shadows >>