Author Archive for Insider Scoop

What To Expect From Jack Dorsey

Courtesy of Benzinga.

What To Expect From Jack Dorsey
Related TWTR
Benzinga's M&A Chatter for Tuesday June 30, 2015
Rumor Mill Instigates Yet Another Rally In Twitter
The Vetr community has downgraded $TWTR to 4-Stars (Vetr)

Following Dick Costolo’s resignation, speculation around Twitter Inc (NYSE: TWTR)’s new CEO has blown up. Until a replacement is found, co-founder Jack Dorsey will be temporarily assuming the position, starting Wednesday.

What To Expect

On Tuesday afternoon, SunTrust's Bob Peck shared his thoughts on Dorsey’s first day and what the firm expects from him. The analyst highlights four main objectives that the interim CEO is tasked with delivering:

1) Reinvigorating and motivating both employees and the senior management team.

2) Fostering product innovation and intensifying the product release cadence.

3) Continuing “innovation and the capabilities of advertising products to increase ROIs for advertisers.”

4) Effectively communicating Twitter’s strategy and the way progress should be measured to shareholders.

Peck wrote, “If he executes on these objectives effectively, the output should be: a growing user base with increased engagement that advertisers can effectively monetize."

Related Link: Twitter's 'Brain Drain' Is A Problem

Why Can't Dorsey Be The Permanent CEO?

While Peck assures his team greatly respects Dorsey, they continue to think that he will not be Twitter’s permanent CEO on account of:

1) The company’s board’s demand for a full-time CEO.

2) Dorsey’s clear intention to continue to serve as Square’s CEO.

3) The unlikeliness of him leaving Square, given his 25 percent ownership of the company.

4) The fact that “he doesn't need to be CEO to help Twitter, as he can guide product innovation from his current and pre-existing role as Chairman.”

Other Candidates & Timing

The CEO search committee seems to be conducting an exhaustive search to fill the position. SunTrust’s analysts think the committee is looking for:

1) Someone who is an avid Twitter user.

2) Somebody with a history of product expertise.

3) A person with “strong advertiser relationships (…) [and] deep media…
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Johnson Rice Downgrades Tuesday Morning To Accumulate

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Related TUES
Benzinga's Top Downgrades
Mid-Day Market Update: Juno Therapeutics Jumps Following Announcement of 10-Year Collaboration With Celgene
Tuesday Morning Slumps: TUES Tumbles 14.6% in Session – Tale of the Tape (Zacks)

Johnson Rice downgraded Tuesday Morning Corporation (NASDAQ: TUES) from Buy to Accumulate.

Tuesday Morning shares have dropped 37.14 percent over the past 52 weeks, while the S&P 500 index has surged 4.48 percent in the same period.

Tuesday Morning shares climbed 0.40 percent to $11.31 in pre-market trading.

Latest Ratings for TUES

Date Firm Action From To
Jul 2015 Johnson Rice Downgrades Buy
Apr 2015 Janney Capital Initiates Coverage on Buy
Apr 2015 Sterne Agee Initiates Coverage on Buy

View More Analyst Ratings for TUES
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: Johnson RiceDowngrades Analyst Ratings





Goldman Sachs Downgrades Starbucks To Buy

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Related SBUX
Benzinga's Top Downgrades
Starbucks Hits Its Stride In The Digital Age
J.M. Smucker lowers packaged coffee prices (Seeking Alpha)

Analysts at Goldman Sachs downgraded Starbucks Corporation (NASDAQ: SBUX) from Conviction Buy to Buy.

Starbucks shares have gained 37.15 percent over the past 52 weeks, while the S&P 500 index has surged 4.48 percent in the same period.

Starbucks’ shares jumped 0.12 percent to $53.68 in pre-market trading.

Latest Ratings for SBUX

Date Firm Action From To
Jul 2015 Goldman Sachs Downgrades Conviction Buy Buy
Jun 2015 Piper Jaffray Maintains Overweight
May 2015 Deutsche Bank Initiates Coverage on Buy

View More Analyst Ratings for SBUX
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: Goldman SachsDowngrades Analyst Ratings





Market Uncertainty? No Problem For Comcast Investors, Brean Says

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Market Uncertainty? No Problem For Comcast Investors, Brean Says

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'Star Wars: The Force Awakens' Will Be The "Record-Breaker Of All Record-Breakers"
What Is 'Cord-Cheating' And How Is It Hurting Cable Providers?
Paramount Hoping 'Terminator: Genisys' Can Tap Into Fans Of Iconic Franchise Over Holiday Weekend (Seeking Alpha)

In a report published Wednesday, Brean Capital analyst Todd Mitchell maintained a Buy rating on Comcast Corporation (NASDAQ: CMCSA), while raising the price target from $67 to $69.

Comcast is poised to generate high single-digit OCF growth and double-digit EPS growth in 2015. The company is also expected to report 2Q15 revenues of $17.9 billion and EPS of $0.83.

“We believe Comcast offers investors an attractive vehicle for a market characterized by increased uncertainty,” analyst Todd Mitchell mentioned.

The company’s better-than-expected performance is likely to be driven by the record box office opening of Jurassic World and the consequent benefit to Filmed Entertainment. “This should offset lower expected growth of 1% from broadcast networks and a 5% drop at Cable Networks, with both facing tough comps,” Mitchell added.

The robust performance of Comcast’s Filmed Entertainment and Theme Park business is expected to continue through the rest of this year and boost the profitability of the Broadcast network. Comcast’s 2Q15 cable margins are, however, expected to come under pressure due to high programming and marketing costs.

According to Brean Capital estimates, the company is now expected to record a 6 percent increase in its cable revenues to $11.7 billion, from $11.0 billion a year ago, while its OCF is expected to grow 5 percent to $4.79 billion, down from the previous estimate of $4.84 billion.

In the research note Brean Capital noted, “With increased uncertainty signaling upward pressure on interest rates, we believe shares of CMCSA will be perceived as an increasingly attractive alternative to its peers, which have captured the market’s attention due to a sexier M&A story, but in reality face greater capital investment requirements and higher leverage.”

Latest Ratings for CMCSA

Date Firm Action From To
Jul 2015 Brean Capital Maintains Buy
Jun 2015 Credit Suisse Initiates Coverage on Outperform
May 2015 Barclays Reinstates Overweight

View More Analyst Ratings for CMCSA
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: Brean CapitalAnalyst Color Long Ideas Price Target Reiteration Top Stories Analyst Ratings Trading Ideas Best of Benzinga





Bank of America Upgrades ConAgra Foods To Neutral

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Related CAG
US Stock Futures Rise Ahead Of ADP Report
Mid-Day Market Update: Juno Therapeutics Jumps Following Announcement of 10-Year Collaboration With Celgene
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Bank of America upgraded ConAgra Foods Inc (NYSE: CAG) from Underperform to Neutral.

The price target for ConAgra Foods has been raised from $30.00 to $46.00.

ConAgra Foods shares have gained 43.25 percent over the past 52 weeks, while the S&P 500 index has surged 4.48 percent in the same period.

ConAgra Foods shares closed at $43.72 in pre-market trading.

Latest Ratings for CAG

Date Firm Action From To
Jul 2015 Bank of America Upgrades Underperform Neutral
Jun 2015 Bank of America Upgrades Underperform Neutral
Jun 2015 JP Morgan Upgrades Neutral Overweight

View More Analyst Ratings for CAG
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: Bank of AmericaUpgrades Analyst Ratings





Oppenheimer: AT&T's Payout Ratio Has Upside, Stock Is Worth $40/Share

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Related T
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In a report published Wednesday, Oppenheimer analyst Timothy Horan maintained an Outperform rating on AT&T Inc. (NYSE: T), while raising the price target from $36 to $40.

AT&T is poised is record robust FCF growth, driven by the company’s new services and cross selling. An improvement in wireless pricing is also expected to have a positive impact on the company’s future performance.

In the report Oppenheimer noted, “… now that AT&T is winding down Project VIP, we forecast greater FCF generation, which makes the dividend yield look attractive.”

“We believe Project Agile will improve costs by enabling commoditized network equipment and also shifting customer service costs toward self-serve. Eventually, we expect T to shut down its TDM-based network; we estimate that Agile could lead to $3B of cost savings by 2018,” analyst Timothy Horan mentioned.

AT&T’s plans to invest $3 billion for expanding its network in Mexico is expected to have an initial dilutive impact in 2015, but be accretive thereafter.

“Between the Mexican expansion, DTV synergies, and Project Agile, we believe there are multiple avenues for AT&T to improve EPS and FCF. In addition, the growth of IoT could provide a compelling revenue stream down the road,” Horan added.

Latest Ratings for T

Date Firm Action From To
Jun 2015 Bank of America Upgrades Neutral Buy
Jun 2015 Barclays Upgrades Equal-weight Overweight
Jun 2015 UBS Upgrades Buy

View More Analyst Ratings for T
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: OppenheimerAnalyst Color Price Target Reiteration Analyst Ratings





Greece Sends New Letter To ECB & IMF; Deutsche Bank's Saravelos Says It's Not A 'Full Backing Down'

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Greece Sends New Letter To ECB & IMF; Deutsche Bank's Saravelos Says It's Not A 'Full Backing Down'

The Prime Minister's Office in Athens on Tuesday sent a two-page letter to the heads of the European Commission, European Central Bank and International Monetary Fund.

Various media reports, including the Financial Times noted that the letter implies the Greek government will accept most of the bailout creditor's conditions that were offered last weekend, but still insists on making some changes that may pose a risk to finalizing a deal.

The letter noted that the Greek government will accept all the reforms for the country's VAT (value added tax), but maintain a 30 percent discount for Greek islands. Eurozone officials previously argued that maintaining the discount would increase the size of the nation's budget shortfall and create a complicated VAT system.

Related Link: How Will Greece's Problems Affect The Fed?

In terms of pensions, the government hopes that the 2012 reforms (sustainability factor) be postponed until new legislative reform is implemented in October. In addition, the government hopes that its Pensioner's Social Solidarity Benefit (a "solidarity grant" paid to poorer pensioners) should be phased out a slower rate than creditors have argued for.

The letter also indicated the government will immediately implement specific recommendations from the OECD that cover areas such as tourism, beverages, petroleum products and conduct a competition assessment on specific sectors characterized by oligopolistic practices.

Deutsche Bank's Global Co-Head of Foreign Exchange Research George Saravelos commented in a note on Wednesday that the letter is not a "full backing down" as various media reports are suggesting.

"He [Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras] is backing down on some measures, but on some of the most critical ones such as pensions he is not asking for decisions to be delayed to a bit later," Saravelos wrote.

Posted-In: Alexis Tsipras European Central Bank European Commission EurozoneAnalyst Color Eurozone Markets Analyst Ratings Best of Benzinga





Criteo Now Worth $65/Share After Gaining Market Share, Pacific Crest Says

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Related CRTO
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Benzinga's Top Initiations

In a report published Wednesday, Pacific Crest analyst Evan Wilson maintained an Overweight rating on Criteo SA (ADR) (NASDAQ: CRTO), while raising the price target from $55 to $65, following cookie checks that suggest that the company has gained market share.

Cookie checks for Q2 suggest that “Criteo has cookies on 49 percent of the top 100 retail and travel sites (publisher and client) in the United States. That share increases to 51 percent when you remove the sites that do not register any of the 23 cookies we track. Target was a notable win in the United States,” Wilson explained.

The company appears to have added Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (NYSE: BABA) as a customer, with some of Alibaba’s sites outside of China had Criteo cookies for the first time. The cookies were found on sites in the U.S., France and Germany, on Alibaba.com as well as AliExpress.

“This could be a huge win, not only because of the non-China Alibaba revenue, but because it increases the likelihood that Criteo could win Alibaba’s China business. Until then, we’re roughly calculating the Alibaba International opportunity as €48 million of 2016 revenue,” Wilson added.

With the check remaining strong, the analyst believes that Criteo is a dominant player in the retargeting market, with a variety of opportunities, going forward.

Latest Ratings for CRTO

Date Firm Action From To
Jun 2015 Cowen & Company Initiates Coverage on Outperform
Jun 2015 JP Morgan Maintains Overweight
May 2015 Evercore Partners Initiates Coverage on Hold

View More Analyst Ratings for CRTO
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: Evan Wilson Pacific Crest SecuritiesAnalyst Color Price Target Analyst Ratings





General Motors Shares Continue To Tumble

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Related GM
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Joel Elconin is the co-host of Benzinga's #PreMarket Prep, a daily trading idea radio show.

General Motors Company (NYSE: GM) shares were trading lower by $0.56 (1.6 percent) at $32.77 in Wednesday’s session. The catalyst for the decline is a 3 percent decline in its total sales for the month of June. The big drag on the company’s sales for the month were total fleets sales being down 29 percent year-over-year.

The issue has been under constant selling pressure ever since Goldman Sachs downgraded the issue from Buy to Neutral on June 24. Since that rating change was made, the issue has fallen from its June 23 close ($36.30) to its current level.

So far, it has reached $32.71 in today’s session and has not been able to distance itself from that low. That marks the lowest level for the issue since it bottomed on February 24 at $32.44.

On that same day, Goldman Sachs upgraded Ford Motor Company (NYSE: F) from Buy to Neutral. However, that put in place a high at $15.66 from which it has backed off; Ford traded recently at $14.84.

Posted-In: Premarket outlookTechnicals Intraday Update Movers Trading Ideas





Level 3 Acquires DDoS Mitigation Company Black Lotus, No Terms

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Related LVLT
Benzinga's Top Initiations
Goldman Sachs Initiates Level 3 Communications With Buy
The Time To Hedge Is Now! June 2015 Update (Seeking Alpha)

Global telecommunications provider Level 3 Communications, Inc. (NYSE: LVLT), announced it acquired privately held Black Lotus, a provider of global Distributed Denial of Service (DDoS) mitigation services. The acquisition of Black Lotus represents another step in Level 3′s continued commitment to provide leading security product capabilities. Level 3 noted the increase in frequency, volume and complexity of DDoS attacks in a recent research report, Safeguarding the Internet: Level 3 Botnet Research Report, substantiating the need to invest in the DDoS market.

New DDoS Capabilities
The acquisition of Black Lotus will add additional capabilities to Level 3′s existing DDoS service, which launched earlier in the year, including adding extra scrubbing centers. The Level 3 DDoS Mitigation service provides an enhanced network-based detection and mitigation scrubbing solution alongside network routing, rate limiting and IP filtering abilities. Black Lotus adds proxy-based DDoS mitigation services to the portfolio providing additional capabilities for application layer attacks, along with advanced behavioral analytics technology. The application layer is a prime target for DDoS attacks that often impact Web servers and Web hosting providers.

Quote
“At Level 3, we value security and are committed to protecting our customers and our network,” said Chris Richter, senior vice president of managed security services at Level 3. “Black Lotus’ proxy and behavioral technologies, combined with their experienced team of DDoS experts, perfectly complements Level 3′s DDoS mitigation and threat intelligence capabilities. With this acquisition, Level 3 continues its commitment of investing in a comprehensive portfolio of services that enhance the growth, efficiency and security of our customers’ operations, helping enterprises combat the cybersecurity challenges they face every day.”

Transaction Details
Level 3 acquired the outstanding equity of Black Lotus in an all-cash transaction on July 1, 2015. Terms of the transaction were not disclosed.

Posted-In: News M&A Press Releases





 
 
 

Phil's Favorites

Baffled by Clear Picture; Sirens of Blackmail; Merkel's Alleged Revenge Will Backfire

Courtesy of Mish.

Sirens of Blackmail

Having already explained twice what is going on with Tsipris' ever changing statements, I find it amusing that eurozone nannycrats cannot figure things out.

A few snips from the Financial Times article Tsipras Urges Greeks to Defy Creditor' "Blackmail" will explain what I mean. Greece’s prime minister accused Europe’s leaders of attempting to “blackmail” Greek voters, just hours after apparently holding out an olive branch to the country’s creditors by accepting most of the terms of the economic reform plan they had tabled last weekend.

Eurozone officials said they were baffled by the mixed messages coming from Greece, which this week missed a €1.5bn payment to the I...



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Zero Hedge

Losing Money Is "Inevitable" This Year, SocGen Warns Citing Economic "Elephant"

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

The entire financial world has been fixated on two things since last Friday, Greece and, to a lesser extent, China’s collapsing equity bubble. 

Admittedly, it’s been almost impossible to turn away from the slow motion trainwreck-turned high-speed, head-on collision that is the Greek tragicomedy.

On Sunday, the world woke up to the fact that a Greek default has very real consequences. As surreal images began to circulate on social media showing ATM lines, ...



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All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: David is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Click here for the full report.




To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

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Kimble Charting Solutions

Shanghai index creates historic reversal pattern like 2007

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE

Much of the attention around the world seems to be revolving around a small country called Greece. What about the most populated country in the world (China), any key messages coming from there of late?

Well another Month, Quarter and Half a year are in the books. With this in mind I wanted to look at Monthly action of the hottest stock market in the world, the Shanghai Index. Above looks at the Shanghai index over the past 25-years. The 100%+ rally over the past year has pushed the Shanghai index up to its 23% Fibonacci ratio and a long-term resistance line, that has been in play for 25-years at (1) above.

As the Shanghai index was hitting this...



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Market News

News You Can Use From Phil's Stock World

 

Financial Markets and  Economy

Ukraine Halts Russian Gas Purchases After Price Talks Fail (Zero Hedge)

It has been a bad day for deals and deadlines all around: first Greece is about to enter July without a bailout program and in default to the IMF with the ECB about to yank its ELA support or at least cut ELA haircuts; also the US failed to reach a nuclear deal with Iran in a can-kicking negotiation that has become so farcical there is no point in even covering it; and now moments ago a third June 30 "deal" failed to reach an acceptable conclusion when Russia and Ukraine were unable to reach an agreement on gas prices at talks in Vienna on Tuesday. As a result, Ukraine is suspending its purchase of Russian gas.

...



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Insider Scoop

Level 3 Acquires DDoS Mitigation Company Black Lotus, No Terms

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Related LVLT Benzinga's Top Initiations Goldman Sachs Initiates Level 3 Communications With Buy The Time To Hedge Is Now! June 2015 Update (Seeking Alpha)

Global telecommunications provider Level 3 Communications, Inc. (NYSE: LVLT), announced it acquired privately held Black Lotus, a provider of ...



http://www.insidercow.com/ more from Insider

Chart School

No Update

Courtesy of Declan.

Stockcharts.com running very slow, so no update today. ...

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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of June 29th., 2015

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



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Digital Currencies

BitGold Now Available in US! Why BitGold?

Courtesy of Mish.

BitGold USA

Effective today, BitGold Announces Platform Launch in the United States.

BitGold, a platform for savings and payments in gold, is pleased to announce the launch of the BitGold platform for residents of the US and US territories. As of today, US residents can sign up on the BitGold platform and buy, sell, or redeem gold using BitGold’s Aurum payment and settlement technology. US residents will also have access to the BitGold mobile app and a prepaid card when these features launch over the coming weeks. Send and receive gold payment features are not initially available in the US.

About BitGold

...



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Sabrient

Sector Detector: Bulls under the gun to muster troops, while bears lie in wait

Reminder: Sabrient is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Courtesy of Sabrient Systems and Gradient Analytics

Two weeks ago, bulls seemed ready to push stocks higher as long-standing support reliably kicked in. But with just one full week to go before the Independence Day holiday week arrives, we will see if bulls can muster some reinforcements and make another run at the May highs. Small caps and NASDAQ are already there, but it is questionable whether those segments can drag along the broader market. To be sure, there is plenty of potential fuel floating around in the form of a friendly Fed and abundant global liquidity seeking the safety and strength of US stocks and bonds. While the technical picture has glimmers of strength, summer bears lie in wait.

In this weekly ...



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Pharmboy

Baxter's Spinoff

Reminder: Pharmboy and Ilene are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Baxter Int. (BAX) is splitting off its BioSciences division into a new company called Baxalta. Shares of Baxalta will be given as a tax-free dividend, in the ratio of one to one, to BAX holders on record on June 17, 2015. That means, if you want to receive the Baxalta dividend, you need to buy the stock this week (on or before June 12).

The Baxalta Spinoff

By Ilene with Trevor of Lowenthal Capital Partners and Paul Price

In its recent filing with the SEC, Baxter provides:

“This information statement is being ...



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Mapping The Market

An update on oil proxies

Courtesy of Jean-Luc Saillard

Back in December, I wrote a post on my blog where I compared the performances of various ETFs related to the oil industry. I was looking for the best possible proxy to match the moves of oil prices if you didn't want to play with futures. At the time, I concluded that for medium term trades, USO and the leveraged ETFs UCO and SCO were the most promising. Longer term, broader ETFs like OIH and XLE might make better investment if oil prices do recover to more profitable prices since ETF linked to futures like USO, UCO and SCO do suffer from decay. It also seemed that DIG and DUG could be promising if OIH could recover as it should with the price of oil, but that they don't make a good proxy for the price of oil itself. 

Since...



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Promotions

Watch the Phil Davis Special on Money Talk on BNN TV!

Kim Parlee interviews Phil on Money Talk. Be sure to watch the replays if you missed the show live on Wednesday night (it was recorded on Monday). As usual, Phil provides an excellent program packed with macro analysis, important lessons and trading ideas. ~ Ilene

 

The replay is now available on BNN's website. For the three part series, click on the links below. 

Part 1 is here (discussing the macro outlook for the markets) Part 2 is here. (discussing our main trading strategies) Part 3 is here. (reviewing our pick of th...

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Help One Of Our Own PSW Members

"Hello PSW Members –

This is a non-trading topic, but I wanted to post it during trading hours so as many eyes can see it as possible.  Feel free to contact me directly at jennifersurovy@yahoo.com with any questions.

Last fall there was some discussion on the PSW board regarding setting up a YouCaring donation page for a PSW member, Shadowfax. Since then, we have been looking into ways to help get him additional medical services and to pay down his medical debts.  After following those leads, we are ready to move ahead with the YouCaring site. (Link is posted below.)  Any help you can give will be greatly appreciated; not only to help aid in his medical bill debt, but to also show what a great community this group is.

http://www.youcaring.com/medical-fundraiser/help-get-shadowfax-out-from-the-darkness-of-medical-bills-/126743

Thank you for you time!




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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

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