Author Archive for Insider Scoop

Verint Systems Is 'Laser Focused'

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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Verint down 5.2% due to soft FY16 guidance (Seeking Alpha)

  • Shares of Verint Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: VRNT) have declined more than 20 percent over the last three months.
  • FBR’s Daniel H. Ives has maintained an Outperform rating on Verint Systems, while lowering the price target from $68 to $63.
  • The company reported robust 2Q16 results, while lowering its guidance for 2H16, driven by FX headwinds and concerns regarding a “choppy” spending environment.

According to the FBR report, “Verint remains in the midst of this transition story and is laser-focused on building out its next-generation cybersecurity product portfolio, while expanding its product tentacles on the work force optimization front.”

The company reported its F2Q16 results ahead of the Street consensus, with total revenue, which was up 8 percent year-on-year, and EPS well ahead of the consensus.

Although investors are likely to be relieved with the robust results, Ives believes “all eyes will likely be focused on the company's modestly lowered outlook for 2H16 due to currency headwinds and some caution around a choppy spending environment in the field.”

However, Ives also mentioned that the lowered guidance was more “conservatism” than being a demand issue but was still likely to put some pressure on the stock while investors “digest” the lowered outlook.

In fact, Ives mentioned that Verint Systems was a consistent 8-10 percent topline growth story, “with expanding margins that is in the early stages of bearing fruit.”

The F2Q16 revenue and pro forma EPS estimates have been lowered to reflect the FX headwinds. The FY16 and FY17 revenue and pro forma EPS estimates have also been lowered.

Latest Ratings for VRNT

Date Firm Action From To
Sep 2015 Oppenheimer Maintains Outperform
Sep 2015 FBR Capital Maintains Outperform
Sep 2015 Credit Suisse Maintains Outperform

View More Analyst Ratings for VRNT
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: Daniel H. Ives FBR & Co.Analyst Color Price Target Analyst Ratings

Wedbush Adds Lululemon To Best Ideas List, Maintain Outperform And $78.00 PT

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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Expects Q2 results to be received positively, says same stores sales to be focus over FX transitory impacts

Latest Ratings for LULU

Date Firm Action From To
Aug 2015 Wolfe Research Initiates Coverage on Peer Perform
Jun 2015 Canaccord Genuity Maintains Hold
Jun 2015 CLSA Upgrades Underperform Buy

View More Analyst Ratings for LULU
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: Analyst Color Price Target Reiteration Analyst Ratings

Evan Wilson Offers Video Game Update, Offers Takeaways From GameStop Expo

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Evan Wilson Offers Video Game Update, Offers Takeaways From GameStop Expo
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Evan Wilson of Pacific Crest attended GameStop Corp. (NYSE: GME) exposition on Wednesday in which he observed "plenty of buzz and excitement" around the upcoming video game release slate.

Wilson said that the exposition reinforced his prior thesis that 2015 will be the year when physical software growth will return to growth for the first time since 2008. As such, the analyst suggested that the GameStop is "the most undervalued name" in the video game space and should benefit from "strong" industry conditions for physical releases.

Wilson also discussed Activision Blizzard, Inc. (NASDAQ: ATVI), noting that he came away "more positive" given "strong interest" in "Destiny: The Taken King." The analyst added that the game has "clearly" overcome initial review concerns surrounding quality while interest in playing the game at the show was "high" even if it is just an expansion. On the other hand, "Call of Duty: Black Ops III" was "relatively in-line" with what was expected while next year's "Overwatch" has "some work to do" to gain consumer interest.

Related Link: Wedbush's August Video Game Industry Summary

Moving to Electronic Arts Inc. (NASDAQ: EA), Wilson observed "Star Wars Battlefront" had the "biggest" line and total number of gamers playing. The analyst did however note that even though the game is clearly setting up to be the biggest non-annualized game of the holiday, he struggles to see potential upside to the 15 million to 20 million unit "whisper" number sales projection.

Finally, "there was little interest" in Take-Two Interactive Software (NASDAQ: TTWO)'s slate of "Battleborn," "NBA 2K16"…
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Benzinga's Volume Movers

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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Diodes buying Pericom Semi for $400M; DIOD +5.4% (Seeking Alpha)

Pericom Semiconductor (NASDAQ: PSEM) shares climbed 37.40 percent to $16.74. The volume of Pericom Semiconductor shares traded was 5942 percent higher than normal. Pericom Semi agreed to be acquired by Diodes Incorporated (NASDAQ: DIOD) for $17.00 per share.

Lannett Company, Inc. (NYSE: LCI) surged 15.20 percent to $57.00. The volume of Lannett shares traded 879 percent higher than normal. Lannett announced its plans to acquire Kremers Urban Pharmaceuticals Inc. for $1.23 billion.

Methode Electronics Inc. (NYSE: MEI) shares moved up 21.58 percent to $33.30. The volume of Methode Electronics traded was 658 percent higher than normal. Methode Electronics reported upbeat Q1 earnings.

B&G Foods, Inc. (NYSE: BGS) shares rose 12.91 percent to $34.38. The volume of B&G Foods shares traded was 548 percent higher than normal. B&G Foods agreed to acquire the Green Giant and Le Sueur brands from General Mills, Inc. (NYSE: GIS) for $765 million in cash.

Posted-In: volume moversNews Intraday Update Markets Movers

Benzinga's Top Initiations

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Benzinga's Top Initiations

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A Great Candidate For Shareholder Returns: Capitala Finance
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Analysts at Citi initiated coverage on Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc (NASDAQ: RARE) with a Sell rating. Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical shares closed at $121.69 yesterday.

Analysts at Keefe, Bruyette & Woods initiated coverage of Capitala Finance Corp (NASDAQ: CPTA) with a Market Perform rating. The target price for Capitala Finance is set to $17.50. Capitala Finance shares closed at $13.65 yesterday.

Citi initiated coverage on Medivation Inc (NASDAQ: MDVN) with a Neutral rating. Medivation shares closed at $89.54 yesterday.

Latest Ratings for CPTA

Date Firm Action From To
Aug 2015 Stephens & Co. Initiates Coverage on Equal-weight
Aug 2015 Wunderlich Maintains Buy
Aug 2015 JMP Securities Maintains Market Outperform

View More Analyst Ratings for CPTA
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: Top InitiationsInitiation Analyst Ratings

Pacific Drilling, Seadrill Downgraded At Credit Suisse; Notes Drilling Recovery Delayed Until At Least 2018

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Pacific Drilling, Seadrill Downgraded At Credit Suisse; Notes Drilling Recovery Delayed Until At Least 2018
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Barclays Sees Trouble For Offshore Drillers
The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights: Alon USA Energy, Valero Energy, Transocean and Pacific Drilling (Zacks)

In a report published Thursday, Credit Suisse analyst Gregory Lewis maintained an Underperform rating on the entire Offshore Drillers sector, while simultaneously downgrading Seadrill Ltd (NYSE: SDRL) to Underperform from Neutral (with a price target lowered to $5 from a previous $7) and Pacific Drilling SA (NYSE: PACD) to Neutral from Outperform (with a price target lowered to $3 from a previous $4).

Lewis said the Offshore Drilling sector will recover, but while bulls point towards a 2017 recovery, bears are pointing towards a recovery only starting early next decade. The analyst suggested a base case which is in the middle of the bull and bear timeline and expects a recovery to begin in 2018/2019.

"While the timing of the recovery, dayrates and multiples matter (we will return to midcycle eventually), the biggest question around most companies value is what will their fleet look like for the next cycle," Lewis wrote.

Related Link: Can Schlumberger Outperform The Market? Citi Thinks So

Lewis added that the market is showing several "signs of distress." Specifically, the pending sale of the Deepsea Metro II appears to have garnered only one bid at $300 million, which the analyst argued is "well below" the estimated debt on the rig of $500 million. With that said, the market is poised to undergo more distressed sales which should see net asset values drop through pricing.

Bottom line, Lewis argued that the sector "will get worse before getting better," however it will (eventually) get better.

Other Material Changes:

  • Shares of Atwood Oceanics, Inc. (NYSE:

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Indeed Chief Economist Tara Sinclair's View Of Friday's Jobs Report

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Indeed Chief Economist Tara Sinclair's View Of Friday's Jobs Report

Benzinga recently spoke with Tara Sinclair, chief economist at Indeed – the largest job site in the world – about the monthly jobs report, which will be published on Friday.

The expert noted that this is an especially important jobs number, "because the Fed is looking at every single data point that’s coming out, and this is a key one that’s coming out just before the Fed has to make their next interest rate decision.”

‘Yesterday’ Versus Today

Looking back at where the U.S. economy is today as compared to where it was a few years ago, the analyst assured that the labor market has improved considerably. But, she continued, one question arises now: "Is this as good as it gets or is there still room for further improvement?"

Related Link: Simply Hired Reports U.S. Job Listings Climbed 2.04% In August 2015

She went on, "And that is really the question that the Fed has on their mind because they don’t want to choke off bears too soon. But, if we are already getting close to full employment, they need to start raising rates."

So, when observing Friday’s numbers, people will have to look well beyond the headline figures, because there are a lot of different possible scenarios that could play out, the analyst advised.

The Rate Hike Influence

Benzinga went on to ask about the relation between the jobs report and the rate hike. If estimates are blown out of the water, will the interest rate be hiked instantly, or will we need to see this for another quarter or two?

To this, Sinclair responded that "on the one hand, [...] in general, if this report doesn’t do anything particularly surprising, then obviously they are looking at other data to try and support their decision." In fact, some of the members of the committee have said that, while they see the labor market on track, they are worried about inflation. So, if inflationary pressures are not high, they won’t have a strong argument to move the rate just yet.

If Employment Figures Improve

However, if employment numbers ameliorate, while unemployment drops substantially, "that may not actually justify a rate…
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Look Beyond Q3 For This Digital Marketing Leader

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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The Vetr community has upgraded $ADBE to 4.5-Stars. (Vetr)

  • Shares of Adobe Systems Incorporated (NASDAQ: ADBE) have risen over 5 percent year-to-date.
  • Oppenheimer’s Brian Schwartz has initiated coverage of Adobe Systems with a Perform rating.
  • While expressing optimism regarding the company’s business trends, Schwartz stated that the premium valuation has made the stock’s risk/reward profile more balanced.

Schwartz went on to elaborate that the company has “a leadership position in the cloud digital marketing and media categories, an attractive value proposition, and large installed-base for future monetization activity.”

In addition, Schwartz expects Adobe Systems to continue to dominate in its core creative, marketing and document management solution businesses. However, the company’s growth is already reflected in the stock valuation, following almost four straight years of outperforming benchmarks.

The long-term outlook for the company also remains strong, with its expertise in digital media solutions and digital marketing being strengthened by its integrated platform, which “addresses the entire content lifecycle from creation and delivery to optimization and monetization,” the Oppenheimer report stated.

The company also has attractive emerging opportunities in other areas, including mobile, data, content, marketplace and verticals.

Also, Adobe Systems is expected to report robust Q3 results, driven by “strong management and a favorable selling environment for digital transformation and SaaS products.”

Latest Ratings for ADBE

Date Firm Action From To
Sep 2015 Oppenheimer Initiates Coverage on Perform
Aug 2015 Baird Upgrades Neutral Outperform
Aug 2015 RBC Capital Upgrades Sector Perform Outperform

View More Analyst Ratings for ADBE
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: Brian Schwartz OppenheimerAnalyst Color Initiation Analyst Ratings

Top Performing Industries For September 2, 2015

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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Is Big 5 Sporting Goods Losing its Grip on the Retail Space? (Zacks)

At 10:30 am, the Dow gained 0.68 percent to 16,167.65, the broader Standard & Poor’s 500 index moved up 0.46 percent to 1,922.73 and the NASDAQ composite index rose 0.65 percent to 4,666.29.

The industries that are driving the market today are:

Regional Airlines: This industry jumped 1.6 percent by 10:30 am. The top performer in this industry was Hawaiian Holdings, Inc.(NYSE: HA), which rose 3 percent. Hawaiian Holdings’ PEG ratio is 0.29.

Toy & Hobby Stores: This industry rose 1.6 percent by 10:30 am ET. The top performer in this industry was Build-A-Bear Workshop, Inc (NYSE: BBW), which gained 1.7 percent. Build-A-Bear’s trailing-twelve-month ROE is 21.71 percent.

Surety & Title Insurance: This industry moved up 1.5 percent by 10:30 am. The top performer in this industry was Assured Guaranty Ltd. (NYSE: AGO), which rose 5 percent. Assured Guaranty shares have gained 1.60 percent over the past 52 weeks, while the S&P 500 index has declined 4.34 percent in the same period.

Semiconductor – Integrated Circuits: The industry gained 1.4 percent by 10:30 am. The top performer in this industry was ParkerVision, Inc. (NASDAQ: PRKR), which gained 7 percent.

Posted-In: Top Performing IndustriesNews Intraday Update Markets Movers

How Ambarella Changed Expectations On GoPro

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Morning Market Losers
Ambarella: The Solid Quarter That Most Will Think Wasn't
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  • GoPro Inc (NASDAQ: GPRO) shares have been treading a downward trajectory, after hitting a peak of around $98 a year back.
  • JMP Securities analyst Alex Gauna maintained a Market Outperform rating for the company, with a price target of $105.
  • A slowdown in growth at GoPro’s lead supplier Ambarella is expected to have a negative impact on the former’s revenues, Gauna said.

GoPro’s key strategic imaging IC supplier Ambarella Inc (NASDAQ: AMBA) has guided to a slowdown in its growth rate, from 79 percent year-over-year to 37-42 percent year-over-year in the October quarter.

Related Link: Ambarella: The Solid Quarter That Most Will Think Wasn't

Ambarella also mentioned that its sales into wearables was expected to be down sequentially and year-over-year. Analyst Alex Gauna added, “Although Ambarella results do not necessarily correlate to GoPro given timing, mix, and other customer impacts, the shift is dramatic enough to lead us to decrease our September quarter revenue expectations to flat sequentially.”

Retail and online checks continue to indicate reasonable levels of off-season demand and unique product positioning with little evidence of competitive encroachment, the JMP Securities report mentioned.

GoPro’s shares have lost 31 percent year-to-date, as compared to a 2 percent decline in the Nasdaq. Given this weakness, GoPro’s shares already reflect “the likelihood of near-term sales growth deceleration,” Gauna commented, adding, “[W]e would be buyers of GPRO on any potential weakness in sympathy with AMBA.”

Latest Ratings for AMBA

Date Firm Action From To
Sep 2015 Morgan Stanley Maintains Equal-weight
Sep 2015 Deutsche Bank Maintains Hold
Sep 2015 Canaccord Genuity Maintains Buy

View More Analyst Ratings for AMBA
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: JMP SecuritiesAnalyst Color Reiteration Analyst Ratings


Market News

News You Can Use From Phil's Stock World


Financial Markets and Economy

The Jobs Report and the August Curse: Jobs Day Guide (Bloomberg)

The stakes couldn't be higher for the August employment report, even though the month has typically been cursed by disappointment.

For Federal Reserve officials, who are trying to gauge the U.S. economy's prospects as they consider raising interest rates in less than two weeks, have already been thrown a curve ball — global economic malaise and reeling financial markets.

Canada Oil Sands Fork Over Billions for 500,000 Unneeded ...

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Phil's Favorites

Meet "Buzz" Draghi: To Infinity and Beyond

Courtesy of Mish.

Mario Draghi, Monetarist Mule

The never-ending push for 2% price inflation is absurd to the point of being counterproductive.

However, stubborn central bank mules don't care about history or common sense. They just keep doing what their fatally flawed model says they should do.

The ECB's stubborn mule, a Downbeat Draghi, is Ready to Beef Up Quantitative Easing Package.
The euro and eurozone government bond yields plunged on Thursday after the ECB president indicated it stood ready to extend the “size, composition and duration” of its €1.1tn bond-buying programme.

“We are observing a weakening of the prospects of the Chinese economy,” Mr Draghi said. “Th...

more from Ilene

Zero Hedge

Paul Craig Roberts: The Rise Of The Inhumanes

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

Submitted by Paul Craig Roberts,

America’s descent into totalitarian violence is accelerating. Like the Bush regime, the Obama regime has a penchant for rewarding Justice (sic) Department officials who trample all over the US Constitution. Last year America’s First Black President nominated David Barron to be a judge on the First US Circuit Court of Appeals in Boston.

Barron is responsible for the Justice (sic) Department memo that gave the legal OK for Obama to murder a US citizen with a missile fired from a drone. The execution took place without charges presented to a c...

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Chart School

Sellers Make Late Claim

Courtesy of Declan.

Traders hadn't forgotten the events of last week and were quick to sell their positions in the face of tomorrow's NFP data.

Today's close in the S&P left a bearish inverse doji (gravestone doji), marking supply above 1,950. Bears will feel confident heading into tomorrow's data, assuming Thursday's 1,975 high is not breached. The downside target is a retest of 1,867. A move higher will set up a challenge of 2,044.

The Nasdaq had a quieter day. It didn't suffer the same wide range as the S&P, but today's close finished with a bearish 'cloud cover' over yesterday's trading. Shorts will be liking the risk:reward for a ret...

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All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: David is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Click here for the full report.

To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

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Kimble Charting Solutions

Change investment allocations due to .2% of a move?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

Can you believe that its a really big deal to some if an index is down 9.9% from it highs (non correction territory) or if its down 10.1% (correction territory).  Does .2% constitute that we make a different allocation decision? Are you kidding me?

Do you find yourself agreeing more with the person on the left or right? I am in the camp with Lou on the right. Should we make investment decisions based upon a term (correction)? Not me


This chart looks at the Dow since 2010 ...

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Swing trading portfolio - week of August 31st, 2015

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.


This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...

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Sector Detector: Finally, market capitulation gives bulls a real test of conviction, plus perhaps a buying opportunity

Reminder: Sabrient is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Courtesy of Sabrient Systems and Gradient Analytics

The dark veil around China is creating a little too much uncertainty for investors, with the usual fear mongers piling on and sending the vast buy-the-dip crowd running for the sidelines until the smoke clears. Furthermore, Sabrient’s fundamentals-based SectorCast rankings have been flashing near-term defensive signals. The end result is a long overdue capitulation event that has left no market segment unscathed in its mass carnage. The historically long technical consolidation finally came to the point of having to break one way or the other, and it decided to break hard to the downside, actually testing the lows from last ...

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Some Hedge Funds "Hedged" During Stock Market Sell Off, Others Not As Risk Focused

By Mark Melin. Originally published at ValueWalk.

With the VIX index jumping 120 percent on a weekly basis, the most in its history, and with the index measuring volatility or "fear" up near 47 percent on the day, one might think professional investors might be concerned. While the sell off did surprise some, certain hedge fund managers have started to dip their toes in the water to buy stocks they have on their accumulation list, while other algorithmic strategies are actually prospering in this volatile but generally consistently trending market.

Stock market sell off surprises some while others were prepared and are hedged prospering

While so...

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Digital Currencies

Bitcoin Battered After "Governance Coup"

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Naysyers are warning that the recent plunge in Bitcoin prices - from almost $318 at its peak during the Greek crisis, to $221 yesterday - is due to growing power struggle over the future of the cryptocurrency that is dividing its lead developers. On Saturday, a rival version of the current software was released by two bitcoin big guns. As Reuters reports, Bitcoin XT would increase the block size to 8 megabytes enabling more transactions to be processed every second. Those who oppose Bitcoin XT say the bigger block size jeopardizes the vision of a decentralized payments system that bitcoin is built on with some believing ...

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Baxter's Spinoff

Reminder: Pharmboy and Ilene are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Baxter Int. (BAX) is splitting off its BioSciences division into a new company called Baxalta. Shares of Baxalta will be given as a tax-free dividend, in the ratio of one to one, to BAX holders on record on June 17, 2015. That means, if you want to receive the Baxalta dividend, you need to buy the stock this week (on or before June 12).

The Baxalta Spinoff

By Ilene with Trevor of Lowenthal Capital Partners and Paul Price

In its recent filing with the SEC, Baxter provides:

“This information statement is being ...

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Mapping The Market

An update on oil proxies

Courtesy of Jean-Luc Saillard

Back in December, I wrote a post on my blog where I compared the performances of various ETFs related to the oil industry. I was looking for the best possible proxy to match the moves of oil prices if you didn't want to play with futures. At the time, I concluded that for medium term trades, USO and the leveraged ETFs UCO and SCO were the most promising. Longer term, broader ETFs like OIH and XLE might make better investment if oil prices do recover to more profitable prices since ETF linked to futures like USO, UCO and SCO do suffer from decay. It also seemed that DIG and DUG could be promising if OIH could recover as it should with the price of oil, but that they don't make a good proxy for the price of oil itself. 


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Watch the Phil Davis Special on Money Talk on BNN TV!

Kim Parlee interviews Phil on Money Talk. Be sure to watch the replays if you missed the show live on Wednesday night (it was recorded on Monday). As usual, Phil provides an excellent program packed with macro analysis, important lessons and trading ideas. ~ Ilene


The replay is now available on BNN's website. For the three part series, click on the links below. 

Part 1 is here (discussing the macro outlook for the markets) Part 2 is here. (discussing our main trading strategies) Part 3 is here. (reviewing our pick of th...

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Help One Of Our Own PSW Members

"Hello PSW Members –

This is a non-trading topic, but I wanted to post it during trading hours so as many eyes can see it as possible.  Feel free to contact me directly at with any questions.

Last fall there was some discussion on the PSW board regarding setting up a YouCaring donation page for a PSW member, Shadowfax. Since then, we have been looking into ways to help get him additional medical services and to pay down his medical debts.  After following those leads, we are ready to move ahead with the YouCaring site. (Link is posted below.)  Any help you can give will be greatly appreciated; not only to help aid in his medical bill debt, but to also show what a great community this group is.

Thank you for you time!

FeedTheBull - Top Stock market and Finance Sites

About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

Learn more About Phil >>

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About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

Market Shadows >>