Author Archive for Insider Scoop

Morgan Stanley Asks If It's Time To Buy The Dip In Akamai Technologies

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Morgan Stanley Asks If It's Time To Buy The Dip In Akamai Technologies

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Akamai Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ: AKAM) shares have declined 46.91 percent over the past six months, coming within 15 cents of the 52-week low on February 9.

Morgan Stanley’s Keith Weiss has maintained an Equal-Weight rating on the company, with a price target of $60.

With better 4Q results and both the company and management raising their share buyback commitments, it appears to be the right time to buy the stock. However, Weiss prefers to wait for a pickup in OTT.

According to the Morgan Stanley report, “While still decelerating, Q4 results showed Akamai with a better handle on the issues impacting growth, a stable Performance business, accelerating growth in the Security segment and a reigned in investment profile bringing margins and earnings in ahead of expectations.”

Analyst Keith Weiss believes that three factors could help stabilize the company’s top line growth profile and possibly also lead to reacceleration in top line growth.

Related Link: Akamai Technologies Surges 18% Following Strong Q4 Beat

These factors include “1) anniversarying [sic] the negative impacts of large customers moving to DIY, 2) several large media events like the Olympics aiding in overall volumes, and 3) an increasing contribution from the fast growing security segment – which has several upcoming new product launches,” Weiss stated.

Weiss also explained that historically, a reset of forward growth forecasts has been followed by investment in the stock. With the 2016 revenue expectations have been lowered by about 10 percent over the past two quarters, the present seems to present a “tactical opportunity” to buy Akamai shares.

However, Weiss prefers to take a more constructive stance, especially with regard to the longer term, once there is greater evidence of the potential of the Over-the-Top business to drive the media business or the security business scaling up to a level where it could impact the company’s earnings power more meaningfully.

Image Credit: Public Domain

Latest Ratings for AKAM

Date Firm Action From To
Feb 2016 Credit Suisse Assumes Neutral
Feb 2016 B. Riley Upgrades Buy
Feb 2016 UBS Maintains Buy

View More Analyst Ratings for AKAM
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: Keith Weiss Morgan StanleyAnalyst Color Reiteration Analyst Ratings Tech Trading Ideas

Early Analyst Thoughts On JC Penney's Belle + Skye Launch

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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  • J C Penney Company Inc (NYSE: JCP) shares have gained 3 percent since January 11, amid significant volatility.
  • B. Riley’s Jeff Van Sinderen maintained a Buy rating for the company and a price target of $12.50.
  • These programs should boost traffic, comps and EBITDA, Sinderen stated.

JC Penney has launched private label brand Belle + Skye for millennial women in their 20s and 30s. This is the company’s first private label contemporary brand and was piloted during fall 2015. B+S is expected to be available in 500 stores from February 12.

Analyst Jeff Van Sinderen mentioned that the brand targets women who are style conscious and digitally connected. The Spring collection would include boho, florals, paisleys, denim, moto jackets and pencil skirts with signature handbags through the year. A shoe line would be available in the fall.

JC Penney plans to have an omnipresent approach for B+S, which would include social media, collaborating with popular bloggers and partnering with fashion influencers.

Sinderen commented that the millennials spend about $600B annually and would be a key market for the company to target. The initiatives should bring in traffic, comps and EBITDA, the analyst said, while adding, “[O]verall, we have a positive view on these initiatives.

Latest Ratings for JCP

Date Firm Action From To
Jan 2016 Credit Suisse Upgrades Underperform Neutral
Jan 2016 Citigroup Upgrades Neutral
Dec 2015 Nomura Upgrades Reduce Neutral

View More Analyst Ratings for JCP
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: B. Riley Jeff Van SinderenAnalyst Color Long Ideas Reiteration Analyst Ratings Trading Ideas

Top Performing Industries For February 10, 2016

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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At 10:30 am, the Dow rose 0.77 percent to 16,138.37, the broader Standard & Poor’s 500 index moved up 1.19 percent to 1,874.20 and the NASDAQ composite index climbed 1.88 percent to 4,349.07.

The industries that are driving the market today are:

Office Supplies: This industry gained 8.1 percent by 10:30 am. The top performer in this industry was ACCO Brands Corporation(NYSE: ACCO), which rose 15 percent. ACCO Brands reported better-than-expected Q4 results.

Dairy Products: This industry rose 6 percent by 10:30 am ET. The top performer in this industry was Dean Foods Co (NYSE: DF), which gained 7.5 percent. BB&T Capital upgraded Dean Foods from Hold to Buy. Bernstein also upgraded Dean Foods from Market Perform to Outperform.

Home Health Care: The industry gained 4.3 percent by 10:30 am. The top performer in this industry was Surgical Care Affiliates Inc (NASDAQ: SCAI), which gained 10.8 percent. Surgical Care Affiliates will replace Constant Contact Inc (NASDAQ: CTCT) in the S&P SmallCap 600 index after the close of trading on Thursday.

Building Materials Wholesale: This industry moved up 3.7 percent by 10:30 am. The top performer in this industry was Huttig Building Products Inc (NASDAQ: HBP), which rose 2.8 percent. Huttig Building Products shares have dropped 1.84 percent over the past 52 weeks, while the S&P 500 index has declined 10.46 percent in the same period.

Posted-In: Top Performing IndustriesNews Intraday Update Markets Movers

Benzinga's Top Upgrades

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Benzinga's Top Upgrades

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Analysts at BB&T Capital upgraded Dean Foods Co (NYSE: DF) from Hold to Buy. Dean Foods shares closed at $19.02 on Tuesday.

Analysts at Janney Capital upgraded Spark Energy Inc (NASDAQ: SPKE) from Neutral to Buy. Spark Energy shares closed at $25.03 on Tuesday.

Baird upgraded Press Ganey Holdings Inc (NYSE: PGND) from Neutral to Outperform. Press Ganey Holdings shares closed at $24.74 on Tuesday.

Analysts at CLSA upgraded Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co (NASDAQ: GT) from Underperform to Outperform. Goodyear Tire shares closed at $27.45 on Tuesday.

Wells Fargo upgraded U.S. Bancorp (NYSE: USB) from Market Perform to Outperform. U.S. Bancorp shares closed at $39.40 on Tuesday.

Analysts at RBC Capital upgraded TransDigm Group Incorporated (NYSE: TDG) from Sector Perform to Outperform. TransDigm Group shares closed at $187.07 on Tuesday.

Benchmark upgraded Textura Corp (NYSE: TXTR) from Sell to Hold. Textura shares closed at $13.23 on Tuesday.

Analysts at Raymond James upgraded SolarCity Corp (NASDAQ: SCTY) from Outperform to Strong Buy. The target price for SolarCity has been lowered from $75 to $60. SolarCity shares closed at $26.35 on Tuesday.

Analysts at Needham upgraded Trimble Navigation Limited (NASDAQ: TRMB) from Hold to Buy. Trimble Navigation shares closed at $18.82 on Tuesday.

Cantor Fitzgerald upgraded Seattle Genetics, Inc. (NASDAQ: SGEN) from Hold to Buy. Seattle Genetics shares closed at $29.04 on Tuesday.

Latest Ratings for SPKE

Date Firm Action From To
Feb 2016 Janney Capital Upgrades Neutral Buy
Feb 2016 Baird Downgrades Outperform Neutral
Dec 2015 Janney Capital Initiates Coverage on Neutral

View More Analyst Ratings for SPKE
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: top upgradesUpgrades Analyst Ratings

Tesla Earnings Preview: All Eyes On Unit Guidance

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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Tesla Motors Inc (NASDAQ: TSLA) will report Q4 earnings results after Wednesday’s market close. The stock has seen quite a fall since the start of the year.

Wall Street’s fourth-quarter forecast calls for EPS to swing from a $0.13 loss in last year’s quarter to a profit of $0.09 this year, though that estimate ticked down a penny in the past 60 days. The consensus of 193 Estimize respondents sees EPS of only $0.04 for the three months that ended in December.

Revenue narrowly topped consensus estimates in the previous two periods. This time, Estimize is looking for about $1.79 billion, in line with what Wall Street expects. That would be more than 63 percent higher than year-ago revenue.

Estimize Founder Leigh Drogen recently wrote, “This year Tesla delivered a record 50,000 vehicles but failed to meet volume expectations the company set earlier in the year… [It] has made heavy investments in launching its first SUV and building out a sustainable battery. If the Model X SUV misses sales forecasts like the Model S sedan, it could have a crippling effect on the stock in 2016. As production ramps up, energy credits from green technology are expected to shrink proportionally to sales growth.”

Related Link: Could Tesla’s Stock Be Headed For Double Digits?

A Benzinga Twitter poll asked what was most important from the earnings call. Tesla’s unit guidance was the faraway winner, with 51 percent of the vote. An update on the Model 3 garnered 27 percent of the vote, while the company’s top line (11 percent) and bottom line (11 percent) results seemed to mean very little.

According to Trip Chowdhry of Global Equities Research, Tesla investors should consider the…
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Walt Disney Co Stock Trounced After Q4 Reveals Continued Weakness In ESPN Unit

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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Walt Disney Co (NYSE: DIS) shares are trading sharply lower by $3 at $89.32 in Wednesday's session. Despite a Q4 beat for EPS of $0.18 with $500 million more in revenues, the Street is concerned with weakness in its ESPN division.

See Also: Why ESPN Fears Are Hurting Disney

After a lower open, it continued in that direction and did not find support until $86.25. That takes the issue back to levels it was trading at in October 2014. The ensuing rebound took the issue briefly into the $90, as it peaked at $90.03.

The issue has been in a free-fall since November 27, when it peaked at $120.65 about a month ahead of the release of the "Star Wars: The Force Awakens."

Posted-In: Technicals Intraday Update Movers Trading Ideas

U.S. Steel, Tesla And Four Other Hot Stocks Among Short-Selling Circles

Courtesy of Benzinga.

U.S. Steel, Tesla And Four Other Hot Stocks Among Short-Selling Circles
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Every week, SunGard's Astec Analytics provides intra-day short-selling market data to its clients. The firm's top pick from a securities lending perspective this week was United States Steel Corporation (NYSE: X)

Other stocks that that saw plenty of short-selling activity included the following:

  • GoPro Inc (NASDAQ: GPRO)
  • Tesla Motors Inc (NASDAQ: TSLA)
  • 3D Systems Corporation (NYSE: DDD)
  • Cliffs Natural Resources Inc (NYSE: CLF)
  • Intrexon Corp (NYSE: XON)

Below is a look at Karl Loomes’ list of top stocks in the Americas from a security lending perspective.

Top Pick: United States Steel Corp.

Escalating two spots in this list since last week, U.S. Steel was this week’s top pick. The last few shares that remained available to borrow were borrowed last week. This means that 99.9 percent of all the shares available are now taken down by borrowers as an increasing number of short sellers take positions in the struggling steel maker.

The surging demand has driven the costs to borrow even further, in spite of the fact that the share price recovered $0.94, closing last week at $7.94. Also encouraging for short sellers was Barclays’ February 4 research note, where the analysts set a $7.00 price target on the stock. “With the global steel markets in turmoil there is little doubt there is more to come on this story,” Loomes concluded.

Related Link: Short Sellers Are Betting Against Financials

1. GoPro

After GoPro announced its quarterly results -a net loss of $(0.08) per…
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Earnings Scheduled For February 9, 2016

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Earnings Scheduled For February 9, 2016
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CVS Health Corp (NYSE: CVS) is projected to report its quarterly earnings at $1.53 per share on revenue of $41.13 billion.

Walt Disney Co (NYSE: DIS) is expected to post its quarterly earnings at $1.45 per share on revenue of $14.75 billion.

The Coca-Cola Co (NYSE: KO) is estimated to report its quarterly earnings at $0.37 per share on revenue of $9.91 billion.

Viacom, Inc. (NASDAQ: VIAB) is projected to report its quarterly earnings at $1.18 per share on revenue of $3.26 billion.

Centene Corp (NYSE: CNC) is expected to report its quarterly earnings at $0.86 per share on revenue of $6.17 billion.

Wendys Co (NASDAQ: WEN) is estimated to report its quarterly earnings at $0.11 per share on revenue of $456.14 million.

Aecom (NYSE: ACM) is projected to report its quarterly earnings at $0.60 per share on revenue of $4.38 billion.

The Western Union Company (NYSE: WU) is expected to post its quarterly earnings at $0.42 per share on revenue of $1.40 billion.

Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co (NASDAQ: GT) is estimated to post its quarterly earnings at $0.75 per share on revenue of $4.01 billion.

CDW Corp (NASDAQ: CDW) is expected to report its quarterly earnings at $0.72 per share on revenue of $3.42 billion.

Wyndham Worldwide Corporation (NYSE: WYN) is estimated to report its quarterly earnings at…
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SL Industries Spikes On Buyout Offer

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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Shares of SL Industries, Inc. (NYSE: SLI), a manufacturer of power electronics and other related equipment, surged higher by more than 11 percent on Tuesday after the company announced it has received a revised non-binding proposal from Handy & Harman Ltd (NASDAQ: HNH).

Handy & Harman is a manufacturer of engineered niche industrial products and offered to acquire SL Industries in June for $43 to $45 per share. The company is an affiliate of Steel Partners Holdings which beneficially owns 25.1 percent of SL Industries’ outstanding common stock.

Handy & Harman’s proposal included a per share price of $43 to $45 per share. However, the proposal contemplated that company stockholders other than Steel Partners Holdings would be able to elect to receive cash or Handy & Harman stock (with Steel electing to receive all stock), subject to proration so that the aggregate consideration consisted of 55 percent cash and 45 percent Handy & Harman stock.

Under the revised proposal, Handy & Harman has proposed to acquire SL Industries for $35.50 per share in an all cash transaction.

SL Industries’ Board of Directors has created a special committee to evaluate the proposal.

Posted-In: Handy & Harman SL Industries Steel Partners HoldingsNews M&A

SolarCity Corp Investors Will Stay 'Pressured' Until This Happens

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Earnings Scheduled For February 9, 2016
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According to a recent research report by UBS out Monday, amid a “different story” being told by investors compared to company data, SolarCity Corp (NASDAQ: SCTY) is laying the landscape for continued pressure moving forward, at least in the near term.

With the company earnings call scheduled for Tuesday at 5:00 p.m. EST and the earnings release Wednesday at 4:00 p.m. EST, SolarCity has garnered a sliver of the spotlight from investors and analyst alike this week.

Ahead Of Earnings: ‘Financing Over Execution’

UBS analysts began their pre-earnings analysis by pointing out that the issue is “poised to provide sell-down update,” citing that “expectations for asset sell-down value appear to be in a range of 7–9 percent unlevered, net of tax equity, driving a range of $3.00–3.30/W in gross monetization.”

The analysts elaborated that the experienced pressure will continue “until there is confidence on ability to execute on a sustainable financing plan.”

Related Link: 5 Reasons Deutsche Bank Still Likes First Solar Stock

However, the firm did emphasis that year-over-year trends for SolarCity have come in good so far, with growth increasing, approvals up (exc. December) and increased market share from 2014 to 2015.

UBS was quick to remind, however, that investor data does not correlate with the data points currently available against the backdrop of the solar sector in California. “Conversely,” the analysts explained, “investor data illustrates that the top-5 manufacturers take nearly the entire market in CA. Market share of the top-5 installers reached 88 percent in 2015, up from 63 percent in 20134. For example SolarEdge’s market share increased from 12 percent in 2013 to 18 percent in 2014 in CA, but decreased back to 12 percent in 2015. The top-3 manufacturers (ABB, SMA, Enphase) saw share decrease slightly from 70 in 2013 to 62 percent in 2015.”

The Valuation

In conclusion, UBS advises investors to hang tight. “We maintain our $33 SOTP Price Target ahead of 4Q, which should provide…
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Zero Hedge

"Bloodbath" In Black Gold - Buffett's Phillips 66 Dumps Oil In Cushing, Crashes Crude Spreads To 5 Year Lows

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

The canary in the coalmine of an increasingly desperate energy industry just croaked. With "unusual timing" and at "distressed prices," Reuters reports that Phillips 66 - the major US refiner owned by Warren Buffett - dumped crude oil for immediate delivery into Cushing storage tonight. This sparked heavy selling of the front-month WTI contract (to a $26 handle) and crashed the 1st-2nd month spread to 5 year lows.

It was just last week ...

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Chart School

Bears Win Day - Just...

Courtesy of Declan.

There wasn't a whole lot of change by the close of business, but intraday strength was clawed back in worrisome fashion. The end result was to leave spike highs in markets.

The S&P finished with a MACD 'sell' trigger, but on lower volume. The 'sell' trigger was below the bullish zero line, which makes it a strong signal.

The Nasdaq closed with a 'black' candlestick, which would be more bearish if it occurred at a swing high, but it's still a warning. Technicals are all in the bear camp.


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Phil's Favorites

"Buy High, Sell Low" - The Psychology Of Loss

Courtesy of Lance Roberts of Real Investment Advice

In this past weekend’s newsletter, I discussed the formation of a very important “head and shoulders” topping pattern in the market.

I know…I know. As soon as I wrote that I could almost hear the cries of the “perma-bull” crowd exclaiming “how many times have we heard that before.” 

They would be right. The problem with the majority of technical analysis, in my opinion, is that time frames are too short for most investors. When looking at technical price patterns using daily data, there have been numerous occasions where analysts have spotted “Head and Shoulder” patterns, “Hindenberg Omens,” and &ldqu...

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All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: Harlan is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Click here for the full report.

To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

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Market News

News You Can Use From Phil's Stock World


Financial Markets and Economy

How Low Can Central Banks Go? JPMorgan Reckons Way, Way Lower (Bloomberg)

There are no limits to how far central banks can ease monetary policy.

Dollar languishes near three-and-a-half-month lows ahead of Yellen testimony (Business Insider)

The dollar nursed losses around three-and-a-half-month lows on Wednesday, pressured by fears of a global economic slowdown following recent falls in oil prices and growing concerns about the health of European banks.


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Kimble Charting Solutions

Transports working on breakout, after being hit very hard!

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

When it comes to getting hit hard, the Dow Jones Transportation Index fits the bill over the past year. Few if any major indices have fallen harder, over the past 12-months.

Below looks at the DJ Transportation Index/S&P 500 ratio over the past decade. The ratio reflects that over the past year, the index has been much weaker than the broad markets.


The ratio hit channel resistance at (1) a year ago and decline almost as hard a...

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Swing trading portfolio - week of February 8th, 2016

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.


This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...

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Why Most Investors Fail in the Stock Market


Why Most Investors Fail in the Stock Market

Courtesy of ValueWalk, by  

Throughout the past 30 days of wild volatility, here’s what I didn’t do.

Panic. Worry. Sell.

In fact, the best I did was add to a couple of positions yesterday. The world was already in an uncertain state for the past 3+ years. It’s just that with the market rising, we pushed the issue to the back of our  mind and ignored it.

If you read Howard Marks latest memo, ...

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Digital Currencies

2016 Theme #3: The Rise Of Independent (Non-State) Crypto-Currencies

Courtesy of Charles Hugh-Smith at Of Two Minds

A number of systemic, structural forces are intersecting in 2016. One is the rise of non-state, non-central-bank-issued crypto-currencies.

We all know money is created and distributed by governments and central banks. The reason is simple: control the money and you control everything.

The invention of the blockchain and crypto-currencies such as Bitcoin have opened the door to non-state, non-central-bank currencies--money that is global and independent of any state or central bank, or indeed, any bank, as crypto-currencies are structurally peer-to-peer, meaning they don't require a bank to function: people can exchange crypto-currencies to pay for goods and services without a bank acting as a clearinghouse for all these transactions.

This doesn't just open t...

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Sector Detector: New Year brings new hope after bulls lose traction to close 2015

Reminder: Sabrient is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Chart via Finviz

Courtesy of Sabrient Systems and Gradient Analytics

Last year, the S&P 500 large caps closed 2015 essentially flat on a total return basis, while the NASDAQ 100 showed a little better performance at +8.3% and the Russell 2000 small caps fell -5.9%. Overall, stocks disappointed even in the face of modest expectations, especially the small caps as market leadership was mostly limited to a handful of large and mega-cap darlings.

Notably, the full year chart for the S&P 500 looks very much like 2011. It got off to a good start, drifted sideways for...

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PSW is more than just stock talk!


We know you love coming here for our Stocks & Options education, strategy and trade ideas, and for Phil's daily commentary which you can't live without, but there's more! features the most important and most interesting news items from around the web, all day, every day!

News: If you missed it, you can probably find it in our Market News section. We sift through piles of news so you don't have to.   

If you are looking for non-mainstream, provocatively-narrated news and opinion pieces which promise to make you think -- we feature Zero Hedge, ...

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Baxter's Spinoff

Reminder: Pharmboy and Ilene are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Baxter Int. (BAX) is splitting off its BioSciences division into a new company called Baxalta. Shares of Baxalta will be given as a tax-free dividend, in the ratio of one to one, to BAX holders on record on June 17, 2015. That means, if you want to receive the Baxalta dividend, you need to buy the stock this week (on or before June 12).

The Baxalta Spinoff

By Ilene with Trevor of Lowenthal Capital Partners and Paul Price

In its recent filing with the SEC, Baxter provides:

“This information statement is being ...

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Mapping The Market

An update on oil proxies

Courtesy of Jean-Luc Saillard

Back in December, I wrote a post on my blog where I compared the performances of various ETFs related to the oil industry. I was looking for the best possible proxy to match the moves of oil prices if you didn't want to play with futures. At the time, I concluded that for medium term trades, USO and the leveraged ETFs UCO and SCO were the most promising. Longer term, broader ETFs like OIH and XLE might make better investment if oil prices do recover to more profitable prices since ETF linked to futures like USO, UCO and SCO do suffer from decay. It also seemed that DIG and DUG could be promising if OIH could recover as it should with the price of oil, but that they don't make a good proxy for the price of oil itself. 


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Help One Of Our Own PSW Members

"Hello PSW Members –

This is a non-trading topic, but I wanted to post it during trading hours so as many eyes can see it as possible.  Feel free to contact me directly at with any questions.

Last fall there was some discussion on the PSW board regarding setting up a YouCaring donation page for a PSW member, Shadowfax. Since then, we have been looking into ways to help get him additional medical services and to pay down his medical debts.  After following those leads, we are ready to move ahead with the YouCaring site. (Link is posted below.)  Any help you can give will be greatly appreciated; not only to help aid in his medical bill debt, but to also show what a great community this group is.

Thank you for you time!

FeedTheBull - Top Stock market and Finance Sites

About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

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