Author Archive for Zero Hedge

Meet The Veteran Who’s Been Reduced To Peddling For Change Online To Buy A New Leg

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

By Simon Black of Sovereign Man

Meet the veteran who’s been reduced to peddling for change online to buy a new leg

Historian Will Durant once wrote “in the last 3421 years of recorded history only 268 have seen no war.”

This is astounding. Warfare is constantly with us, often for the most absurd reasons.

These days we’re told that the War on Terror makes us more free.

We’re programed on days like Memorial Day to sing songs about our freedom and to thank the people in uniform for making us more free.

The question I would respectfully submit is, do you feel more free today than you did 5, 10, 20 years ago?

We now live in an era of unprecedented government intrusion.

Senior citizens are thrown in jail for failing to file disclosure forms.

Spy agencies arrogantly engage in illegal surveillance on their own citizens.

And excessive force is so commonplace it barely registers as newsworthy any more.

Curiously a number of polls from 2013 and 2014, including Gallup and the Washington Post, actually show that more people are afraid of the government than of terrorism itself.

This isn’t freedom. And it’s a complete myth that soldiers fight and die in the name of freedom anymore.

Warfare today means that a few people at the top of the military industrial complex, banking, and oil services companies become extremely rich. And everyone else pays the price.

The price for everyday citizens is having less freedom than before.

The price for future generations is inheriting a tremendous war debt.

And the price for soldiers themselves is coming home wounded, limbless, or not at all.

In today’s podcast, I introduce you to Joe, one of those recent veterans who lost his right leg.

I recently met him while in the US, and he has an unbelievable story.

Despite losing a limb in combat, Joe can’t get a new leg because the FDA won’t approve the procedure that he needs.

It’s called osseointegration. And the FDA thinks that it might be too risky for Joe.

Risky. Kind of like being in a combat zone in a country that never should have been invaded to begin with for reasons that were all lies, all to support a war that only makes the country less free.

So since…
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Police Takedown 101: U.S. Vs UK

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

Early last month we highlighted a ThinkProgress report which suggested that more people were killed in encounters with police in the US in the month of March than were killed in encounters with UK authorities in 100 years. 

From the report:

A new report by ThinkProgress.com unearthed disturbing figures when it came to the number of police-related deaths that occurred in America in the month of March alone.

Just last month, in the 31 days of March, police in the United States killed more people than the UK did in the entire 20th century. In fact, it was twice as many; police in the UK only killed 52 people during that 100 year period.

According to the report by ThinkProgess, in March alone, 111 people died during police encounters — 36 more than the previous month. As in the past, numerous incidents were spurred by violent threats from suspects, and two officers were shot in Ferguson during a peaceful protest. However, the deaths follow a national pattern: suspects were mostly people of color, mentally ill, or both.

In that context we bring you the following compare and contrast visual exercise.

The UK…

….versus the US…

Note: the suspect who was shot in the latter video clip was unarmed and died as a result of his injuries.

The officer responsible killed another suspect in 2013 — he was cleared of wrongdoing in both cases.





The Happiness Industry: How Government And Big Business Manipulate Your Moods For Profit

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

The following is an excerpt from William Davies' new book The Happiness Industry: How the Government and Big Business Sold Us Well-Being (Verso Books, 2015):

Since the 1960s, Western economies have been afflicted by an acute problem in which they depend more and more on our psychological and emotional engagement (be it with work, with brands, with our own health and well-being) while finding it increasingly hard to sustain this. Forms of private disengagement, often manifest as depression and psychosomatic illnesses, do not only register in the suffering experienced by the individual; they are increasingly problematic for policy-makers and managers, becoming accounted for economically.

Yet evidence from social epidemiology paints a worrying picture of how unhappiness and depression are concentrated in highly unequal societies, with strongly materialist, competitive values. Workplaces put a growing emphasis on community and psychological commitment, but against longer-term economic trends towards atomization and insecurity. We have an economic model which mitigates against precisely the psychological attributes it depends upon.

In this more general and historical sense, then, governments and businesses ‘created the problems that they are now trying to solve.’ Happiness science has achieved the influence it has because it promises to provide the longed-for solution. First of all, happiness economists are able to put a monetary price on the problem of misery and alienation. The opinion-polling company Gallup, for example, has estimated that unhappiness of employees costs the US economy $500 billion a year in lost productivity, lost tax receipts and health-care costs. This allows our emotions and well-being to be brought within broader calculations of economic efficiency.Positive psychology and associated techniques then play a key role in helping to restore people’s energy and drive. The hope is that a fundamental flaw in our current political economy may be surmounted, without confronting any serious political–economic questions.

Psychology is very often how societies avoid looking in the mirror. The second structural reason for the surging interest in happiness is somewhat more disturbing, and concerns technology. Until relatively recently, most scientific attempts to know or manipulate how someone else was feeling occurred within formally identifiable institutions, such as psychology laboratories, hospitals, workplaces, focus groups, or some such. This is no longer the case. In July 2014, Facebook published an academic paper containing details of how it had successfully altered hundreds of thousands
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Obama “Remembers” Ramadi

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

Never forget…

Source: Investors.com





OPEC’s Next Meeting Is Nearly Upon Us…

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by dazzak.

OPEC’s Next Meeting Is A mere 11 days away…


On June 5, all eyes will be on OPEC as the group convenes in Vienna to discuss its course for the second half of 2015.

It will probably be straightforward with no change to the status quo but it could be dramatic.

The most bullish scenario that could occur would be for OPEC to reverse strategy and re-introduce production quotas. 

The most bearish would be for OPEC to continue with no constraint at the same time as a nuclear agreement is reached allowing an unsanctioned Iran to re-enter the market at full throttle. 

Not everyone is happy?

Remember that prior to the November meeting, Iran, Venezuela and (non-OPEC) Russia engaged in frenetic efforts to convince the group’s Gulf leaders to cut output which went unheeded. 

The facts are very clear.  No OPEC country can meet its budgetary requirements at this price level without digging deep into reserves. OPEC members face a financial crisis. They are collectively $1.6 bn poorer at this point in the year compared to last year. 

To put this in perspective, data shows that prices are south of what 10 out of OPEC’s 12 members require for their annual budgets to break even. Qatar and Kuwait are exceptions, and Saudi Arabia holds $708 billion of reserves assets on which it can lean on for now. 

So not suprisingly, from November to the present, officials from some of OPEC’s non-Gulf member countries have voiced concerns over OPEC’s Saudi-led market share strategy, as their economies feel the full brunt of lower prices which ironically may cause them to increase supply.

Saudi’s oil exports accounted for 89% of the country’s total revenue last year. The fall in oil prices is decreasing the value of these exports, leading to a potential budget shortfall. In its 2015 budget, Saudi plans to spend about $230 billion but expects to accrue in $190.7 billion in revenue, yielding an overall deficit of $38.6 billion. While the oil price assumption was not specified in the budget, it was calculated in December, when oil prices were between $55 and $70/bbl.

 

To maintain spending they will have no choice but to tap its $708 billion Sovereign Wealth Fund, which while enough for the short term it will not last forever when $50 billion
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The Birds & The Bees: Suicide By Pesticide

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

Submitted by Chris Martenson via PeakProsperity.com,

As you are aware, honey bees have been suffering from something called Colony Collapse Disorder. In practice, what this means is that the bees simply vanish from their hives, leaving behind their most precious worldly possessions: honey and larvae.

What causes these mysterious vanishing acts has been something of a mystery. But because the phenomenon began really ramping up in 2006, we can focus in on some suspects.

While it’s always possible that the bees are suffering ‘death from a thousand cuts’ — where it’s no one specific thing but rather a wide range of minor insults, ranging from loss of forage to herbicides to fungicides to pesticides — there’s actually quite strong evidence pointing to a specific class of pesticides called neonicotinoids.

This class of pesticides is massively and indiscriminately toxic. More specific to our investigation here, it was only introduced into widespread use shortly before the massive bee die-offs began.

Biocide = Suicide

Actually, it’s not really proper to call neonicotinoids ‘pesticides’ because they don't solely target pests. They should more accurately be called ‘biocides’ because they kill all insects equally and indiscriminately.

How toxic are they?

The neonics are so toxic that it's sufficient to simply lightly coat a seed with it before planting. When the seed grows to maturity, the plant will still have enough absorbed toxin circulating within its system to kill any insect that munches on it or sucks on its sap.

Think about that for a minute. Coat a kernel of corn with a neonic, sow it, and the mature plant will still be lethal to a corn borer when the corn ears develop several months later.

But not just to insects:

"A single corn kernel coated with a neonicotinoid can kill a song bird." As a long time environmental lawyer and campaigner, I should not have been stunned by that fact but I was. Shaking my head in dismay, I read on, "Even a tiny grain of wheat or canola treated with the …neonicotinoid… can fatally poison a bird."

(Source)

Ugh. Boy, that depresses me — thinking of the mentality in play that allows one to conceive of and then use such powerful poisons simply because one wants to engage in lazy farming. Hard farming requires knowing how to rotate…
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There Is No Longer A Market: Citigroup Confirms What Zero Hedge Has Said Since 2009

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

“Zero Hedge long ago gave up discussing corporate fundamentals due to our long-held tenet that currently the only relevant pieces of financial information are contained in the Fed’s H.4.1, H.3 statements… macro economic data now is essentially one big joke.”

      - Zero Hedge, January 2010

“we have been saying since day one [...] that when it comes to securities price formation in a centrally-planned regime, it is flow not stock that matters.”

     - Zero Hedge, June 2012

Those were the rantings of a “tinfoil hat-wearing”, “conspiracy theory-heavy” website, which dared to speak up time and again against widely-accepted economic and financial dogma, which has been the foundation of the Fed’s flawed experiment now in its 8th year.

And they were right.

Here is what the global head of credit strategy at Citigroup just said this last Friday.

If there were any lingering doubt, this week’s gyrations demonstrate neatly that it is central bank liquidity, not  fundamentals, driving markets. It is the flow, not the anticipated stock, of QE which counts.

… Central bank policy pronouncements are almost the exclusive driver of market movements at the moment, not fundamentals. Almost all the fixed income investors we meet bought into this idea some time ago – perhaps unsurprising, given the extent to which credit spreads have been diverging from corporate leverage, and seem likely to continue to do so even as leverage rises further (Figure 4). In equities, there are still a few holdouts – but the longer that downward revisions to earnings revisions are met with record highs in markets (Figure 5), the more widely accepted the idea becomes.


… In govies, it has been slightly harder to fathom what is going on – but what remains clear is that it doesn’t have much to do with fundamentals. No wonder the backup in US yields is now fading when it occurs against the most protracted period of negative economic surprises since 2011 (Figure 6). Each successive month’s disappointment on retail sales adds to the likelihood that consumers’ appetite for spending vs saving has fundamentally altered – not just that the benefits from the oil price drop are a little slow to feed through (Figure 7).

… with


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Inflation Watch: Prices To “The Happiest Place On Earth” Are Up 2900% Since 1971

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

Having previously shown that money can buy happiness, it appears, as Bloomberg reports, that the cost of buying that happiness is soaring. With well-managed government-provided statistics on inflation, why would one look elsewhere for clues as to the declining standards of living across much of America… but look we did and with wages stagnant, the 2900% surge in prices to Disneyland since 1971 makes ‘the happeist place on earth’ a place only the wealthy can afford to visit.





Chinese State Paper Warns “War Will Be Inevitable” Unless U.S. Stops Meddling In Territorial Dispute

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

Whereas over the past year, ever since the outbreak of the hostilities over the fate of Ukraine following the Victoria Nuland orchestrated presidential coup, relations between Russia and NATO have devolved to a Cold War 2.0 state as manifested by countless interceptions of Russian warplanes by NATO jets and vice versa as depicted in the following infographic…

… at least China was mercifully allowed to stay out of the fray between the Cold War enemies.

This all changed this month when first the Pentagon’s annual report to Congress this month cast China as a threat to regional and international peace and stability, followed several weeks ago when, with China aggressively encroaching into territories in the South China Sea claimed by US allies in the region such as Philippines, Vietnam and Japan, the US decided to get involved in yet another regional spat that does not directly involve it, and started making loud noises about China’s territorial expansion over the commodity-reach area.

China promptly relatiated by threatening a US spy plane during a routine overflight, while immediately thereafter the US retaliated at China’s escalation, and warned that building sea “sandcastles” could “lead to conflict.”

Far from shutting China up, earlier today China said it had lodged a complaint with the United States over a U.S. spy plane that flew over parts of the disputed South China Sea in a diplomatic row that has fuelled tension between the world’s two largest economies.

Quoted by Reuters, Chinese Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Hua Chunying said on Monday China had lodged a complaint and that it opposed “provocative behaviour” by the United States.

“We urge the U.S. to correct its error, remain rational and stop all irresponsible words and deeds,” she said. “Freedom of navigation and overflight by no means mean that foreign countries’ warships and military aircraft can ignore the legitimate rights of other countries as well as the safety of aviation and navigation.”

China had noted “ear-piercing voices” from many in the U.S. about China’s construction on the islands and reefs.

In other words, China just imposed an effective “no fly zone” for US spy planes, a dramatic shift from its recent posture when it tolerated and turned a blind eye to US spy plane overflights. Going forward, the US…
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The Case For Nationalizing Monsanto

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

Submitted by Charles Hugh-Smith of OfTwoMinds blog,

Ridding the world of Monsanto via a state buy-out would be a boon to humanity. 

Capitalism fails in two situations: monopoly and state-capital cronyism. Monopoly extinguishes competition and that effectively extinguishes capitalism.
 
When the elites of the state and private capital collude, i.e. crony capitalism, the few gain power and wealth at the expense of the many.
 
The state (broadly speaking, government) fails when it serves the few at the expense of the many, while claiming to serve the interests of the many. The state only fulfills its purpose when it serves the interests of the many at the expense of the few who control the majority of the political power and private wealth.
 
Monsanto is the epitome of monopoly and crony-state collusion. But Monsanto's grip is not only on the throat of the nation-- through its monopoly on seeds that it enforces globally, its grip is strangling the entire world.
 
Monopolies on food, energy and water (what I term the FEW resources) are not like monopolies on discretionary goods and services. People have to pay whatever the monopoly charges, as substitutes are either unavailable, very expensive or under the control of the same cartel/quasi-monopoly.
 
Before Monsanto extended its grip as the state-enforced seed monopoly, state universities and extension services developed seed strains and provided the seeds for a nominal cost.Over time, this publicly owned and managed system of providing low-cost seeds has eroded under pressure from for-profit private firms such as Monsanto and the benign neglect of a government that has been captured by private interests and self-serving elites.
 
The supposed benefits of costly monopoly-developed GMO seeds is increasingly being questioned: Plant Breeding vs. GMOs: Conventional Methods Lead the Way in Responding to Climate Change.
 
The rapid advance of gene sequencing is opening new doors for much quicker development of conventional plant breeding techniques that require no genetic modification (GMO).
 
If the American people wanted to bestow a gift to the world that would be valued by billions of people yet would cost the American citizenry a ridiculously modest sum, it would be to nationalize Monsanto and provide its seed products for free. To do this requires letting go of all the self-serving neoliberal fantasies that crony-capitalists propagandize to protect their monopolies: for example, only the profit motive drives innovation, so only


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Kimble Charting Solutions

U.S. Dollar/Yen breaks 18-year resistance line, good for Nikkei 225?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE

The chart above takes a look at the U.S. Dollar/Yen ratio over the past few decades. Monthly resistance line (1) has been in play for the past 18-years. As the month of May is nearly over with, the US$/Yen is making an attempt to break above this long-term resistance line.

It is frequently expressed that Yen weakness, can be a positive for the Nikkei 225 index. Below looks at the Nikkei Monthly, over the past 30-years.

CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE

This chart reflects that the Ni...



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Zero Hedge

Durable Goods Orders Slide YoY 4th Month In A Row Despite Dramatic Upward Revisions

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

After dramatically upwardly revised data from last month (but following an even more dramatic downward revision to all historical data earlier in the month) - the highly noisy series of Durable Goods Orders printed -0.5% (from +5.1% in March, revised up from +4.0%). Capital Goods Orders (non-defense Ex-Air) beat expectations MoM (printing +1.0% vs 0.3%) and was revised remarkably up from the biggest drop since 2012 to a 1.5% rise in March.

Core Capital Goods Orders, however, remains negative YoY for the 4th months in a row. The last time this happened was either a recession, or the Fed unleashed QE3.

Durable goods ex-transports Y/...



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Chart School

RTT browsing latest..

Courtesy of Read the Ticker.

Please review a collection of WWW browsing results.Date Found: Thursday, 12 February 2015, 09:05:43 PM

Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing. Comment: GDX: Higher lower, holding above support. Pullback swing on less volume than up swing. RTT: Bullish.

Date Found: Thursday, 07 May 2015, 04:35:23 AM

Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing. Comment: RAISE CASH, before the crowd does!

Date Found: Thursday, 07 May 2015, 06:45:04 PM

Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing. Comment: Richard Wyckoff calls this a CAUSE, at the moment the selling waves during the cause do NOT give an indication of a break out down. Bias is bull...



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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of May 24th, 2015

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



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Phil's Favorites

News You Can Use From Phl's Stock World

 

Financial Markets and Economy

What the Supreme Court’s fixes for retirement savings may do to your 401(k) (Market Watch)

There’s no denying the effect that fees have on investments. While the difference between a fee of 0.5% and 0.25% looks tiny on paper, apply it to an index fund over a quarter-century or more of investing and let the effects of compounding work on it and you can easily see a worker winding up with tens of thousands of dollars less on account at retirement.

So it’s easy to see how and why the case protects workers and retirement savers.

The potential problems from the ruling are much harder to see, but they’re just beneath the surface now and likely to surface a...



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All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: David is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Click here for the full report.




To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

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Pharmboy

Big Pharma's Business Model is Changing

Reminder: Pharmboy is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Understanding the new normal of a business model is key to the success of any company.  The managment of companies need to adapt to the changing demand, but first they must recognize what changes are taking place.  Big Pharma's business model is changing rapidly, and much like the airline industry, there will be but a handful of pharma companies left at the end of this path.

Most Big Pharma companies have traditionally done everything from research and development (R&D) through to commercialisation themselves. Research was proprietary, and diseases were cherry picked on the back of academic research that was done using NIH grants.  This was in the heyday of research, where multiple companies had drugs for the same target (Mevocor, Zocor, Crestor, Lipitor), and could reap the rewards on multiple scales.  However, in the c...



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Sabrient

Sector Detector: Bullish technical picture appears to trump cautious fundamentals

Reminder: Sabrient is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Courtesy of Sabrient Systems and Gradient Analytics

By Scott Martindale

Stocks closed last week on a strong note, with the S&P 500 notching a new high, despite lackluster economic data and growth. I have been suggesting in previous articles that stocks appeared to be coiling for a significant move but that the ingredients were not yet in place for either a major breakout or a corrective selloff. However, bulls appear to be losing patience awaiting their next definitive catalyst, and the higher-likelihood upside move may now be underway. Yet despite the bullish technical picture, this week’s fundamentals-based Outlook rankings look even more defensive.

In this weekly update, I give ...



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Digital Currencies

Nasdaq's bitcoin plan will provide a real test of bitcoin hype

 

Nasdaq's bitcoin plan will provide a real test of bitcoin hype

By 

Excerpt:

Bitcoin, the virtual digital currency, has been called the future of banking, a dangerous fad, and almost everything in between, but we're finally about to get some solid data to help settle the debate.

On Monday, the Nasdaq (NDAQ) stock exchange said it would ...



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Market Shadows

Kimble Charts: US Dollar

Which way from here?

Chris Kimble likes the idea of shorting the US dollar if it bounces higher. Phil's likes the dollar better long here. These views are not inconsistent, actually, the dollar could bounce and drop again. We'll be watching. 

 

Phil writes:  If the Fed begins to tighten OR if Greece defaults OR if China begins to fall apart OR if Japan begins to unwind, then the Dollar could move 10% higher.  Without any of those things happening – you still have the Fed pursuing a relatively stronger currency policy than the rest of the G8.  So, if anything, I think the pressure should be up, not down.  

 

UNLESS that 95 line does ultimately fail (as opposed to this being bullish consolidation at the prior breakout point), then I'd prefer to sell the UUP Jan $25 puts for $0.85 and buy the Sept $24 call...



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Mapping The Market

An update on oil proxies

Courtesy of Jean-Luc Saillard

Back in December, I wrote a post on my blog where I compared the performances of various ETFs related to the oil industry. I was looking for the best possible proxy to match the moves of oil prices if you didn't want to play with futures. At the time, I concluded that for medium term trades, USO and the leveraged ETFs UCO and SCO were the most promising. Longer term, broader ETFs like OIH and XLE might make better investment if oil prices do recover to more profitable prices since ETF linked to futures like USO, UCO and SCO do suffer from decay. It also seemed that DIG and DUG could be promising if OIH could recover as it should with the price of oil, but that they don't make a good proxy for the price of oil itself. 

Since...



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Promotions

Watch the Phil Davis Special on Money Talk on BNN TV!

Kim Parlee interviews Phil on Money Talk. Be sure to watch the replays if you missed the show live on Wednesday night (it was recorded on Monday). As usual, Phil provides an excellent program packed with macro analysis, important lessons and trading ideas. ~ Ilene

 

The replay is now available on BNN's website. For the three part series, click on the links below. 

Part 1 is here (discussing the macro outlook for the markets) Part 2 is here. (discussing our main trading strategies) Part 3 is here. (reviewing our pick of th...

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Help One Of Our Own PSW Members

"Hello PSW Members –

This is a non-trading topic, but I wanted to post it during trading hours so as many eyes can see it as possible.  Feel free to contact me directly at jennifersurovy@yahoo.com with any questions.

Last fall there was some discussion on the PSW board regarding setting up a YouCaring donation page for a PSW member, Shadowfax. Since then, we have been looking into ways to help get him additional medical services and to pay down his medical debts.  After following those leads, we are ready to move ahead with the YouCaring site. (Link is posted below.)  Any help you can give will be greatly appreciated; not only to help aid in his medical bill debt, but to also show what a great community this group is.

http://www.youcaring.com/medical-fundraiser/help-get-shadowfax-out-from-the-darkness-of-medical-bills-/126743

Thank you for you time!




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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

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