Author Archive for Zero Hedge

How Refugees Are Admitted Into The U.S.

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

The United States’ effort to accept Syrian refugees seeking asylum has been the subject of much controversy over security concerns and the rigor of the vetting process. Here are the (satirical) steps involved in a refugee’s arrival in America

Step 1: Filled-out refugee application materials thrown onto large, unorganized pile of folders on desk at United States immigration headquarters

Step 2: Applicants shown pictures of various U.S. landmarks and asked how violent they make them feel

Step 3: Nonrefundable $45 credit check fee

Step 4: Find safe place to wait out gunfire for next two years while application is processed

Step 5: Tracking chips inserted into refugees’ forearms

Step 6: Cry softly

Step 7: Often regarded as the most arduous step of the process, refugees must successfully elicit some level of sympathy from the American populace

Step 8: Age another year

Step 9: Legally accepted refugees inserted onto list to receive government benefits, directly ahead of all of nation’s veterans

Step 10: Accept grim but very real possibility of life in Billings, MT

Step 11: Refugees given list of mosques under government watch they are allowed to attend

Step 12: Enjoy full rights and privileges of something called “Adjust Status”

Step 13: Fully assimilate by denying sanctuary to future waves of refugees from another part of the world

Satire or Status Quo?

Source: The Onion

Iran’s Ayatollah Pens Letter To Western Youth: “You Should Know That Terror Has Been Supported By Certain Great Powers”

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

For those of a cynical persuasion, it’s difficult to ignore the similarities between Islamic State’s brand of puritanical Islam and Saudi Arabia’s propagation of Wahhabism. Put simply, indoctrinating the masses with an ultra orthodox ideal that breeds intolerance sows the seeds of extremism and on that score, Riyadh and Raqqa are really no different. Indeed, Kamel Daoud, a columnist for Quotidien d’Oran, and the author of “The Meursault Investigation” recently described the Saudis as “an ISIS that made it.” 

Still, the US (and the international community in general) turns a blind eye to the problem and Washington counts Riyadh as one of its closest geopolitical allies. Indeed, The Pentagon and the CIA are now part of a Saudi-led effort to arm and fund Sunni extremists operating in Syria. In short, Washington and its regional allies (which include Qatar) are engaged in the perpetuation of the same type of terrorism that just this month left 130 people dead in France, killed dozens of innocent civilians in Beirut, and led to the explosion that brought down a Russian passenger plane over the Sinai Peninsula killing all 224 people on board. Now, those incidents will be trotted out as an excuse to demonize Muslims residing in Western countries when it was Western governments that created the problem in the first place by supporting Sunni extremists and using radicalized Muslims as a tool to effect regime change across the Mid-East. 

Meanwhile, Shiite Iran is branded a pariah state by the US and is considered to be evil incarnate by Washington’s ally in Jerusalem. True, the Ayatollah doesn’t help matters by habitually whipping the populace into an anti-America frenzy, but at the end of the day, one would be hard pressed to make a convincing case that the US is on the right side when it comes to picking allies in the Mid-East.

Indeed, it’s Tehran that’s proven to be the most effective (with the possible exception of the Kurds) at battling Islamic State and although it now appears that Iran may be funneling guns and money to the Taliban (a rather unlikely alliance made necessary by the rise of ISIS), it would behoove Washington to reassess its position in the region because as it stands, America is on the wrong side.

It’s with that in mind that…
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Fourth Turning – Politicians Driving The World Towards War

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

Submitted by Jim Quinn via The Burning Platform blog,

In Part 1 of this article I discussed the catalyst spark which ignited this Fourth Turning and the seemingly delayed regeneracy. In Part 2 I pondered possible Grey Champion prophet generation leaders who could arise during the regeneracy. In Part 3 I focused on the economic channel of distress which is likely to be the primary driving force in the next phase of this Crisis. In Part 4 I assessed the social and cultural channels of distress dividing the nation. In Part 5 I’ll examine the technological, ecological, political, and military channels of distress likely to burst forth with the molten ingredients of this Fourth Turning, and finally in Part 6 our rendezvous with destiny, with potential climaxes to this Winter of our discontent.

Technological & Ecological Distress

“Technological progress has merely provided us with more efficient means for going backwards.” Aldous Huxley – Ends and Means

The level of distress being produced by technology was probably underestimated by Strauss & Howe when they wrote their book in 1997. The internet, cell phones and e-commerce were still in their infancy, while cyber security was an unknown concept. Huxley would be shocked by how backwards we have “progressed” through the efficient distribution of iGadgets, creating millions of distracted, non-thinking, passive, easily pliable, willfully ignorant sheep who adore their technological servitude.

A vast swath of the populace never reads a book and can’t go more than a few minutes without checking their iGadget to view the latest funny cat video, the latest update on Kim Kardashian’s ass, Bruce/Caitlyn Jenner’s courage, or Lamar Odom’s latest whorehouse escapade. Our country is drowning in a sea of irrelevance as our infinite craving for diversions and triviality overwhelms any thoughts of confronting our oppressors. The adoration of technology has degraded our ability to think and allowed the Deep State to control the masses by amusing them to death.

The totalitarian Orwellian utilization of technology was exposed by a millennial with courage, intelligence, and love of his country – Edward Snowden. His revelations were very distressful to the felonious government apparatchiks who blatantly flaunt their disregard for the Fourth Amendment to the Constitution. The criminals at the NSA,…
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Obama Signs Defense Bill Authorizing $500 Million More In Aid To “Moderate” Syrian Rebels

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

Earlier this year, The Pentagon had a plan. Apparently, someone in Centcom decided that there weren’t enough proxy armies battling for control of Syria and so, what the US needed to do was spend $500 million on a new “train and equip” program which, if all went according to plan, would result in the recruitment of more than 5,000 fearsome warriors by the end of 2015. 

Of course the CIA and The Pentagon had already spent years arming, funding, and training Syrian rebels but as it turns out, most of them either proved to be wholly ineffective or else became terrorists. Although the CIA program was still operational, the Obama administration thought it would be advantageous to have (another) parallel program in place wherein “properly vetted” fighters would receive a steady stream of logistical support, training, and weapons. 

What exactly this new crack squad was supposed to do is still largely unclear. The official line – of course – was that they would fight ISIS and presumably al-Nusra. That would be amusing enough if it were true. That is, the US is widely suspected of providing support to ISIS early on in the fight and the FSA (which is explicitly backed by the US and its regional allies) formed an alliance with al-Nusra long ago. In short, if the US really was training soldiers to fight ISIS and al-Nusra, the program represented an attempt on Washington’s part to clean up a mess of America’s own making by doing the exact same thing (i.e. arming insurgents) that created the mess in the first place. 

Of course it’s unlikely that the program’s real goal was to fight Islamic State. After all, the US needs ISIS to continue the fight against Assad and indeed, at the time of the program’s inception, Russia wasn’t in Syria yet meaning there was still a very real possibility that Islamic State would eventually march on Damascus. It seems far more plausible that the new group of recruits were simply the latest effort on Washington’s part to field a reliable anti-Assad army that could be counted upon to continue to destabilize the regime and perpetuate American interests. 

Well, not to put too fine a point on it, but the effort was a miserable failure. By the time summer rolled around, the…
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Bush Vs. Obama – The Cartoon

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

Speak softly and carry a big stick?


14,000 Refugees Due For Deportation From Sweden Have Vanished: “We Simply Do Not Know Where They Are”

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

As part of the just concluded “cash for refugees” deal between the EU Turkey, the FT adds that not only will migrants whose asylum applications are rejected be sent back to Turkey but that this “crackdown on irregular migration would be complemented by a parallel programme offering a legal route to Europe, resettling up to 500,000 Syrian refugees directly from Turkey, Lebanon or Jordan.”

The FT adds that, as expected, “if such an EU-wide scheme were made mandatory it would be flatly opposed by many eastern European countries. To avoid the proposals being blocked, Brussels and Berlin are exploring a “voluntary” scheme with 10 countries willing to take refugees. It is unclear whether other Schengen members would be asked to contribute to the costs of resettlement.”

But before crossing that particular bridge, which will sow even further anger, mistrust and antagonism spread among the member countries of the European “Union”, a bigger question is just how will Europe track down and sequester those refugees that pose the biggest threat in the eyes of authorities, those who are already slated for deportation.

As the following case study from Sweden proves, having once entered Europe, Europe may have problems trying to track down the hundreds of thousands of refugees having already found their way to the continent.

As Sweden’s Afton Bladet reports, over half of all the illegal migrants slated for deportation in Sweden have mysteriously disappeared. 

The National Border Police Section reports that of the 21,748 individuals due to be sent home after their asylum applications were turned down, a whopping 14,140 have simply vanished off the police radar. Around a third, or the remaining 7,608, still live and are accounted for in the Swedish Migration Board’s premises or have indicated an address for their own homes. It is not clear if anyone has actually tried following up on said home address to see how many have simply made one up.

Based on a translation of the Swedish report by Breitbart, some are expected to have left the country secretly, “but the majority are thought to still be in Sweden, having fallen through the cracks of the comprehensive welfare state.

The local cops is brutally honest: “We simply do not know where they are”, said Patrik…
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Black Friday Total Sales Crash 10% (Despite Rise In Online Spend)

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

We can hear the mainstream media now – "Great News Everyone!! The American consumer is back" – online sales on Black Friday rose 10% to $1.7 billion which ComScore says shows "strong spending." The only problem is – which we suspect will be oddly missing from the mainstream narrative, as ShopperTrak reports total sales on Black Friday crashed 10% to $10.4 billion. While blame has been placed on early opening on Thanksgiving, that is false too since spending on that day also plunged 10%. So, the sales news is unequivocally bad – which is hardly surprising given the collapse in consumer confidence.

So to clarify… (via The Guardian)

Total sales in the US on Black Friday fell 10% to $10.4bn this year, down from $11.6bn in 2014, according to research firm ShopperTrak.  

The decline in sales on the traditional busiest shopping day of the year has been blamed on shops opening the day before. But this year, sales on Thanksgiving also dropped, and by the same percentage, to $1.8bn.

A big reason for the decline is increased online shopping, as Americans hunt down deals on their smartphones, tablets and computers.

So, fewer customers ventured out for the traditional busiest shopping day of the year, while online retailers saw sales jump… (via Comscore)

Black Friday (November 27) followed with an even stronger spending day with $1.66 billion in desktop online sales, up 10 percent from Black Friday 2014.

“While the holiday season opened a little softer than anticipated, Thanksgiving and Black Friday both posted strong online spending totals that surpassed $1 billion on desktop computers and grew at the rate we had expected,” said comScore chairman emeritus Gian Fulgoni. “This is also the second straight year that Thanksgiving has established itself as one of the more important online buying days, while Black Friday continues to gain in importance online with each passing year. Looking ahead to Cyber Monday, we expect to see upwards of $2.5 billion in desktop spending as people return to their work computers after Thanksgiving weekend and use some of their down time to continue their holiday gift buying, but without other family members looking over their shoulders.

So to clarify total sales collapsed by $1.2 billion (even as online sales rose by $150…
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Inside The ISIS Propaganda Machine: An Up-Close Look At A Militant Media Strategy

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

“I’ve grown used to IS ultraviolence, but this video was different. Different because, at my office desk, the place where I conduct all my research, I have a photograph of myself with my now-wife, dad and step-mum taken at that very same Palmyran theatre almost five years ago.”

That’s a quote from Charlie Winter, Senior Researcher at the Quilliam Foundation, which describes itself as “the world’s first counter-extremism think tank, set up to address the unique challenges of citizenship, identity, and belonging in a globalized world.”

The reference is to a video ISIS released over the summer depicting a mass execution at Palmyra’s Roman Theatre. The most chilling thing about this particular Islamic State murder montage: the executioners are all children. 

The clip represented yet another attempt on the group’s part to one-up itself on the way to creating a vast catalogue of ultra-violent propaganda videos that have both shocked and captivated the Western public.

“Jihadi John” introduced the world to Islamic State’s brand of barbarism by beheading Westerners on camera with a bowie knife. The brutality quickly escalated and before long, the group released footage of a Jordanian pilot being burned alive in a cage. After that, ISIS proceeded to bombard social media with a steady stream of increasingly cartoonish execution videos including one clip that depicts four men being packed into a Toyota Corolla which is then destroyed at close range with an RPG, and a particularly gruesome effort involving three gasoline-doused captives being hung upside down from a swingset before being set alight.

But Islamic State’s media arm doesn’t confine itself to producing real-life Quentin Tarantino clips. As we documented in “Austrian Economics Is Now Equivalent To Terrorism Thanks To Latest Islamic State ‘Gold Standard’ Propaganda Clip,” the group’s videos run the gamut from history lessons to proselytizing to recruitment drives. Indeed, Islamic State is exceptionally media savvy and the group’s ability to attract fighters from all corners of the globe owes much to the propaganda arm. Just last week for instance, ISIS released an exceptionally well executed clip wherein the narrator touches on everything from geography, to racism, to veteran suicide rates before denouncing secularism and telling the US, Russia, and everyone else to “bring it on.”

There are of course serious questions as…
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Paris Is Prologue

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

Submitted by Worth Wray via,

“Europe only succeeds if we work together.”
~ Angela Merkel, Chancellor of Germany since 2005


  • The recent attacks in Paris evoke strong emotions for many people, but investors need to look through those feelings to the short, medium, and long-term implications. I believe Paris may mark an important turning point for Europe and the global business cycle… but for different reasons than you may think.
  • The immediate impact on France’s economy will be minor and short-lived as long as it proves to be an isolated incident. There are significant downside risks to economic growth if terror attacks in Europe become the new normal.
  • Europe’s Muslim population faces an unemployment rate around 50% compared to the EU average of 10% and xenophobia is rising after the Paris attacks. From that perspective, Europe is becoming a breeding ground for radical Islam.
  • As refugees flock to Europe from Middle East, the foundations of modern Europe are breaking down. Walls, fences, and security checkpoints are going up all over the continent and countries are becoming more isolated from one another.
  • While Angela Merkel’s leadership has proven invaluable in preserving the Euro Area over the last decade, her position on accepting refugees is incredibly unpopular in Germany and across Europe. Her political weakness in the wake of the Paris attacks now puts the European establishment at greater risk just as anti-establishment parties are on the rise and a number of political crises are emerging in Spain, Portugal, and Greece.
  • With no politically palatable option for restoring stability in Syria and Iraq, there is no end in sight for Europe’s refugee crisis. And if there is no end in sight for Europe’s refugee crisis, the xenophobic shift toward anti-establishment parties can only escalate from this point forward.
  • The European Central Bank has no choice but to extend and expand quantitative easing. This will weigh on the euro (likely bringing EUR/USD from $1.06 today to well below $0.90) at the same time the Federal Reserve is driving the US dollar higher.
  • The main investment takeaway here is that more policy divergence is on the way between the United States and the rest of the world, meaning a stronger US dollar, lower commodity prices (although energy prices could spike on Middle East instability), and another

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Greek Prime Minister Joins Diplomatic Scandal Between Russia And Turkey With 4 Tweets

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

Either Greece, having fallen off the face of the geopolitical event map now that it is a vassal state of Frankfurt and Brussels, is in dire need of media attention and as a result the Greek prime minister has decided to intervene directly in the biggest diplomatic scandal to have gripped the international community in years, the one between Russia and Turkey, or the intern manning Tsipras twitter account is about to join the roughly 25% of the Greek population that is unemployed.

Perhaps this is just Tsipras’ opening salvo in Greece’s own money-for-refugees negotiations with the EU, having seen the dramatic success Turkey just experienced when moments ago it was awarded €3 billion for funding ISIS flooding Europe with Syrian refugees.

That said, any and all comparisons between current geopolitical events rapidly spiraling out of control and in the aftermath of the assassination of Archduke Ferdinand, are purely arbitrary.



Swing trading portfolio - week of November 30th, 2015

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.


This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...

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Zero Hedge

Paul Craig Roberts Rages At The "Arrogance, Hubris, & Stupidity" Of The US Government

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

On the heels of the Chinese stock market plunging 5.5%, continued turmoil in the Middle East and the price of gold hitting 5 year lows, former U.S. Treasury official, Dr. Paul Craig Roberts told Eric King of King World News that Putin and the Russians are now dominating in Syria and the Middle East as the West destroys itself.

Dr. Paul Craig Roberts:  “It could well be that this is going to work out so much in Russia’s favor that Putin will send a letter of thanks to the Turkish President and say, &lsquo...

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Phil's Favorites

Warmonger Senators McCain and Graham Want 20,000 More US Troops in Syria and Iraq

Courtesy of Mish.

Presidential candidate Lindsey Graham and warmonger-in-chief John McCain both seek more US ground troops in Syria and Iraq. They want 20,000 more to be precise. Half of them would be advisers.

The Guardian reports, John McCain and Lindsey Graham call for 20,000 troops in Syria and Iraq.
Two senior senators called on Sunday for Washington to nearly triple military force levels in Iraq to 10,000 and send an equal number of troops to Syria as part of a multinational ground force to counter Islamic State in both countries.

McCain, chairman of the Senate armed services committee, recently proposed intervention in Syria by a European and Arab ground force backed by 10,000 US military advisers and trainers.

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Digital Currencies

The Bitcoin Universe Explained

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

As evidenced by the Greek, Chinese, and now Argentine 'jumps', the world remains increasingly aware of the inevitable worth of fiat currencies and fears the desperate acts of governments as the react to that reality (and is looking for alternatives).

This infographic explains the wide ranges of the Bitcoin universe, accompanied with quotes from some of its best-known business leaders.

Courtesy of: Visual Capitalist ...

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Market News

News You Can Use From Phil's Stock World


Financial Markets and Economy

The Fed just tweeted a brutal chart showing the sorry state of US department stores (Business Insider)

It's Black Friday, which means American consumers everywhere are knocking down doors in their efforts to take advantage of what they perceive to be a good deal.

Oil prices fall more than 3% as dollar and oversu...

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Kimble Charting Solutions

Does Black Friday Matter For Gains The Rest Of The Year?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

We are entering one of the most bullish times of the year historically.  As we mentioned last week, the final 30 trading days of the year have been higher each of the last 12 years.


Getting to today, it is Black Friday – the official start to the holiday spending season.  We’ve seen many stats that show this day isn’t quite as important as it once was.  From many sales now starting on Thanksgiving, to Cyber Monday this coming Monday – there are other times people are looking for the best deals.  None the less,...

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Chart School

Greatest risk to the stock market is?

Courtesy of Read the Ticker.

Nope it is not interest rates, nope it is not Donald Trump, it is!

It is the CRUDE OIL crash, simple!

Jim Willie has good comments in the first 40 min of this pod cast.

Energy company ...
- Debt is blowing up (See energy element of HYG).
- Hedging at oil $100 is coming to an end.
- Iran coming back to the market, more supply.
- Saudi still providing massive supply.
- Oil tankers holding oil parked in the ocean are coming in to harbor to unload
- US dollar strength supports lower oil prices
- World wide DEMAND slump for energy or deflation.
- More oil being sold outside the US Dollar
- The Oil futures can not be manipulated easily as folks actually ...

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All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: David is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Click here for the full report.

To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

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Sector Detector: Bulls wrest back control of market direction, despite global adversity

Reminder: Sabrient is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Courtesy of Sabrient Systems and Gradient Analytics

Some weeks when I write this article there is little new to talk about from the prior week. It’s always the Fed, global QE, China growth, election chatter, oil prices, etc. And then there are times like this in which there is so much happening that I don’t know where to start. Of course, the biggest market-moving news came the weekend before last when Paris was put face-to-face with the depths of human depravity and savagery. And yet the stock market responded with its best week of the year. As a result, the key issues dominating the front page and election chatter have moved from the economy and jobs to national security and a real war (rather than police ...

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PSW is more than just stock talk!


We know you love coming here for our Stocks & Options education, strategy and trade ideas, and for Phil's daily commentary which you can't live without, but there's more! features the most important and most interesting news items from around the web, all day, every day!

News: If you missed it, you can probably find it in our Market News section. We sift through piles of news so you don't have to.   

If you are looking for non-mainstream, provocatively-narrated news and opinion pieces which promise to make you think -- we feature Zero Hedge, ...

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Whitney Tilson On LL, EXACT, And Martin Shkreli


Whitney Tilson On LL, EXACT, And Martin Shkreli

Courtesy of Value Walk

1) The shares of one of my largest short positions (~3%), Exact Sciences, crashed by more than 46% yesterday. Below is the article I published this morning on SeekingAlpha, explaining why I think it’s still a great short and thus shorted more yesterday. Here’s a summary:

  • The U.S. Preventative Services Task Force’s Colorectal Cancer Screening Draft Recommendation issued yesterday is devastating for Exact Sciences’ only product, Cologuard.
  • I think this is the beginning of the end for the company.
  • My price target for the stock a year from now is $3, so I shorted more yes...

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Baxter's Spinoff

Reminder: Pharmboy and Ilene are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Baxter Int. (BAX) is splitting off its BioSciences division into a new company called Baxalta. Shares of Baxalta will be given as a tax-free dividend, in the ratio of one to one, to BAX holders on record on June 17, 2015. That means, if you want to receive the Baxalta dividend, you need to buy the stock this week (on or before June 12).

The Baxalta Spinoff

By Ilene with Trevor of Lowenthal Capital Partners and Paul Price

In its recent filing with the SEC, Baxter provides:

“This information statement is being ...

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Mapping The Market

An update on oil proxies

Courtesy of Jean-Luc Saillard

Back in December, I wrote a post on my blog where I compared the performances of various ETFs related to the oil industry. I was looking for the best possible proxy to match the moves of oil prices if you didn't want to play with futures. At the time, I concluded that for medium term trades, USO and the leveraged ETFs UCO and SCO were the most promising. Longer term, broader ETFs like OIH and XLE might make better investment if oil prices do recover to more profitable prices since ETF linked to futures like USO, UCO and SCO do suffer from decay. It also seemed that DIG and DUG could be promising if OIH could recover as it should with the price of oil, but that they don't make a good proxy for the price of oil itself. 


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Help One Of Our Own PSW Members

"Hello PSW Members –

This is a non-trading topic, but I wanted to post it during trading hours so as many eyes can see it as possible.  Feel free to contact me directly at with any questions.

Last fall there was some discussion on the PSW board regarding setting up a YouCaring donation page for a PSW member, Shadowfax. Since then, we have been looking into ways to help get him additional medical services and to pay down his medical debts.  After following those leads, we are ready to move ahead with the YouCaring site. (Link is posted below.)  Any help you can give will be greatly appreciated; not only to help aid in his medical bill debt, but to also show what a great community this group is.

Thank you for you time!

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

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