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News You Can Use 4-23-15 A.M.

Facebook Is Hiring Like Crazy (Bloomberg)

Mark Zuckerberg is going to need to find some more pinball machines and rock-climbing walls. The social networking company, known for its many perks that make it a regular on the hottest-places-to-work lists, is increasing headcount at an incredible pace. 

China Still Has Plenty of Savings to Unleash (Bloomberg)

The People’s Bank of China lowered banks’ required reserve ratios on Monday, making the largest cut since Nov. 2008. Even so, they still have about 23 trillion yuan ($3.7 trillion) to lock away, begging the question: how much will be allowed to flow into the nation’s slowing economy and boost lending? 

Here’s How Uber’s Co-Founder Is Going to Take on Amazon and eBay (Bloomberg)

Garrett Camp made a fortune helping people navigate the digital world, then a far larger fortune helping them ­navigate the physical one. The Canadian-born Camp co-founded StumbleUpon, the early online links hub, in 2002, sold it to eBay for $75 million in 2007, and bought it back for 40 percent less in 2009. That same year, it occurred to him that many taxi drivers tooling around in search of their next fares had smartphones in their pockets and could be easily summoned by an app that made use of GPS data. The idea became Uber, and co-founder Camp is now worth an estimated $5.3 billion. As Uber’s ­chairman, he doesn’t have an operational role at the company, so he had enough time last year to found the tech industry incubator Expa, spread lavishly across the 27th floor of a ­downtown San Francisco office tower. 

Wheat Harvest in RussiaPutin’s Feed-Russia-First Push Has Global Grain Markets on Edge (Bloomberg)

Vladimir Putin is determined to make sure that Russians don’t run out of affordable bread, even if it means a few bankrupt farmers and a disrupted grain market.

The country that last year was the fourth-largest wheat exporter is now taxing all overseas sales of the grain. Shipments dropped by more than half, and the loss of income is squeezing already thin profits for growers. While Putin’s move kept more wheat at home, farmers have cut back spending to stay solvent, including using

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Bad News is Still Good News in China as Poor PMI Boosts Market

The Chinese economy is collapsing.  

That, of course (in this insane QE World) is being taken as good news by equity traders who anticipate another wave of free money to come gushing out of Beijing ON TOP OF the $194Bn that was announced on Monday.  That's right, China's economy is so big that they need $194Bn PER WEEK to keep it afloat.  How long do you really think they are going to be able to keep that up?

We're short on China with some FXI puts, but not too many yet as we don't know WHEN this madness will end – only that it will end and that it will end very badly when it does.  China's PMI is once again contracting at an accelerating rate DESPITE all the stimulus but last year Chinese market rallied while the economy was clearly contracting as well – popping FXI from 32 in March to 42 in September (up 35%) before collapsing back to 36 in October.  

The Sept/Oct drop happened when Manufacturing numbers were improving, which indicates that the Chinese market, like Japan's and, to some extent, the US and Europe, have nothing to do with how well the economy is doing and everything to do with how much free money the Central Banksters will be able to transfer to their Top 1% buddies.  

The reason the markets don't seem to make sense to you is because you are not in the top 0.01%, where all the free money is going.  From their perspective, they don't give a crap about the economy or the companies they own and invest in, they only care about how much money they can funnel out of the Government, through the banks, that can end up in their pockets.  

4-22-2015 6-01-20 PM cATERPILLAR 2How else do you explain the madness of CAT, who haven't had good sales numbers since the beginning of 2013 (another indication of the World-wide slump) yet have kept their stock net flat over that time period?  The stock even surged to $108 (up 30%) last year before coming back to the $80s but even
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News You Can Use 4-22-15 PM

<p>Squeezing the 10-year German bond.</p> Photographer: Andrew Harrer/BloombergBill Gross's 'Short of a Lifetime' Would Mean Armageddon (Bloomberg)

The trade that George Soros and Stanley Druckenmiller pulled off in 1992 by betting against the British pound — and making $1 billion in the process — has gained legendary status.  (More)

Housing Market Nears U.S. Busy Sales Season on Positive Note (Bloomberg)

Sales of previously owned homes jumped in March by the most in four years, putting the U.S. residential real estate market on firm footing heading into the busiest time of year.

Purchases increased 6.1 percent to a 5.19 million annualized rate, the highest level since September 2013, figures from the National Association of Realtors showed Wednesday in Washington. Houses were snapped up in 52 days on average, the fastest since July, and property values appreciated. (Continue)

Greek Finance Minister Yanis VaroufakisGreek Banks Win More Emergency Cash as Talks Loom (Bloomberg)

The European Central Bank almost doubled an increase in emergency funding to Greek banks from last week before political talks shift to Brussels and Latvia over the country’s bailout review.

The European Central Bank’s Governing Council raised the cap on Emergency Liquidity Assistance by about 1.5 billion euros ($1.6 billion) to 75.5 billion euros on Wednesday, people familiar with the decision said. ELA is funding provided by national central banks at their own risk and is extended against lower-quality collateral than the ECB accepts. (More)

How ‘Safe’ Investments Could Destroy Your Portfolio (Bloomberg)

If you want a consistent stream of income when you retire, you’ve probably heard about a few familiar investment strategies. A dividend-paying stock gets you a regular cash payout from a company while letting you participate in the stock market’s upside. Municipal bonds are safely backed by governments, and their income usually isn’t taxable. (Read more)

Google Announces Project Fi Wireless Network Starting at $20 per Month (Bloomberg)

Google Inc. is taking a plunge into the $189 billion market for wireless service, creating fresh competition for Verizon and AT&T and stepping up efforts to boost sales and lure users to its Android mobile-phone software. (

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Fink & Capitalism: Need 4 Kitchens in Your House?

Wade Slome takes on Larry Fink in this interesting defense of the 500 CEOs that Fink thinks are spending too much money on dividends and buybacks. 

Fink & Capitalism: Need 4 Kitchens in Your House?

Courtesy of Wade of Investing Caffeine


Do you need four kitchens in your house? Apparently financial industry titan Larry Fink does. If Mr. Fink were a designer for millionaire homeowners, he would advise them to use their millions to build more kitchens in their house (reinvest) rather than distribute those monies to family members (dividends) or use that money to pay back an equity loan from mom and dad for the down payment (share buybacks). Essentially that is exactly what is happening in the stock market. Companies that are generating record profits and margins (millionaires) are increasingly choosing to pay out larger percentages of profits to stockholders (family members) in the form of rising dividends and share buybacks. Contrary to Mr. Fink’s belief, corporate America is actually doing plenty with room additions, landscaping, and roof replacements – I will describe more later.

As a consequence of corporate America’s increasingly shareholder friendly practices of returning cash, Fink believes this trend will stifle innovation and long-term growth in American companies. Here’s a snapshot of the supposed dividend/buyback problem Mr. Fink describes:

Source: Financial Times

Source: Financial Times

Fink Mails Letter from Soapbox

For those of you who do not know who Larry Fink is, he is the successful Chairman and CEO of BlackRock Inc. (BLK), an investment manager which oversees about $4.65 trillion in investment assets. Mr. Fink ignited this recent financial controversy when he jumped on his soapbox by mailing letters to 500 CEOs lecturing them on the importance of long-term investing. What is Mr. Fink’s beef? Fink’s issues revolve around his belief that CEOs and corporations are too short-term oriented.

In his letter, Mr. Fink had this to say:

“This pressure [to meet short-term financial goals] originates from a number of sources—the proliferation of activist shareholders seeking immediate returns, the ever-increasing velocity of capital, a media landscape defined by the 24/7 news cycle and a shrinking attention span, and public policy that fails to encourage truly long-term investment.”

He goes on to…
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The sad state of inequality in America in 12 charts

Business Insider presents "The sad state of inequality in America in 12 charts." Bookmark the post if you might need to make your point in graphic form next time you get into an argument about "level playing fields." 


Looking beyond just the real incomes of the 1%, several other measures show that inequality in the US has been rising for the past few decades.

We put together a dozen charts and maps that show some of the core issues of inequality.

Income inequality in the US has gone up over the past 40 years.

The Gini index is a standard measure of inequality, ranging from 0 to 1. The index measures how far away the income distribution in a population is from a completely egalitarian distribution. An index of 0 corresponds to a distribution in which everyone has the same income, and an index of 1 is a distribution in which one person gets all the income and everyone else gets nothing. The Gini index has steadily risen in the US since the late 1960s.


But just looking at the top 10% doesn't tell the whole story. Here's that group broken into smaller components.

The top 1% is responsible for most of the top decile's gains, while the rest of the top 10% saw much more modest increases.

Keep reading here > 


Morning News, 4-22-15

From Bloomberg:

Tesco Plc SupermarketTesco Reports Record Loss as Spiraling Debt Adds to Strain

Tesco Plc reported the biggest annual loss in its 96-year history after writing down property values and taking steps to reduce its pension-fund deficit as it seeks to ease increasing financial strains.

The net loss was 5.74 billion pounds ($8.6 billion) in the 53 weeks ended Feb. 28, Britain’s largest supermarket company said in a statement Wednesday, seeking to put behind it a year that’s included an accounting scandal, management upheaval and slumping sales both at home and internationally. (More)

Schwarzman Deems China Defaults Good as Markets Embrace Failure

You’d think two defaults in two days would be negative for markets in China.

Apparently, they’re not. Investors seem almost downright happy about missed interest payments by Kaisa Group Holdings Ltd. and Baoding Tianwei Group Co. this week, and are responding by piling more money into the Asian nation’s securities. (Read more)

Mystery Trader Armed With Algorithms Rewrites Flash Crash Story

From a modest stucco house in suburban west London, where jetliners roar overhead on their approach to Heathrow Airport, a small-time trader was about to play a hand in one of the most harrowing moments in Wall Street history.

Navinder Singh Sarao was as anonymous as they come — little more than a day trader by the standards of the Street. (Continue)

Protesters Mock Bankers as ECB Fuels Spain Mortgage Fight

Dressed as a banker from a bygone age, with a black top hat, a cigar and a briefcase full of fake money, Eduardo Martinez Cobo traveled to Madrid to protest what he considers unfair clauses in his mortgage contract. (More)

Biggest Banks Split on How to Trade Next Norway Rate Cut

Bank economists tracking the Norwegian central bank can’t decide whether the next rate cut will come in May or June.

After unexpectedly keeping rates unchanged in March and signaling a 100 percent chance of a cut in one of the bank’s next two meetings, analysts are struggling to decipher the nuance of Governor Oeystein

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Whipsaw Wednesday – Market Manipulation Takes Center Stage

SPY  5  MINUTEWhat a crazy-assed market!  

With virtually NO volume at all, the S&P (along with the other indexes) gapped up 10 points at the open (0.5%) but then proceeded to sell off all day as the Fund Managers that manipulate the Futures trading sold their stocks to all the suckers who ran in to buy into the "rally" that the Media Puppets were applauding all morning.  

I know it sounds like a conspiracy theory when I tell you the markets are manipulated but, just yesterday, they accused a 36 year-old guy (31 at the time) with a very small trading firm ($5M) of crashing the Global Markets in the "Flash Crash" (May 6th, 2010).

Aside from the sad fact that it took them 5 years to find the culprit, it should scare the crap out of people that a single person, with no special equipment and a fairly ordinary margin broker account could knock $1Tn in value off of global equities in less than an hour.  If that's how easy it is to manipulate the entire market – how can you NOT believe that there are people manipulating individual stocks every day?

“Things like this don’t build a lot of confidence,” said Timothy Ghriskey, the chief investment officer at Solaris Asset Management LLC in New York.

“It’s ridiculous, it’s the government at its best — inept,” Rick Fier, director of equity trading at Conifer Securities LLC in New York, said in a phone interview. “It really is just another one of many things to deal with, it’s extremely frustrating. We’ve seen flash crashes and we’ll see them again and it’s definitely disconcerting.”

According to the government, Sarao had trading software altered to let him send and modify orders to sell stock futures thousands of times a day with virtually no risk they’d be filled. That was his goal: to make it seem like orders for futures were piling up so they’d fall and he could buy them on the cheap, the complaints say.  Oddly enough – I just pointed out that same activity going on in the Oil Futures during yesterday's Live Webinar.…
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Comment by phil

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  1. phil

    Good morning from America!

    U.S. Navy Rail Gun Test 2012Railguns are cool, Advill.  I wonder if breakthroughs in battery technology will make them practical for military use?  Put a dozen railguns on trucks with 1,000 bricks worth of ammo each and you can pretty much level a city.  

    Bunds/Albo – One day it will all fall apart but, so far, no luck on the "obvious" play.  

    Cruz/StJ – He's just pandering to his NRA sponsors.  If they have a hearing, that should be the end of it and I think McCain thinks even bothering with a hearing is a waste of time. 

    Best ETF Websites/StJ – It's in a list form, so it must be true!  cheeky

    Big Chart – Hardly any point to looking at the chart.  This morning we were up half a point, now we're down half a point but recovering.  Why?  Who knows?  All we can do is watch the major lines and see which way things break.  

    /NKD/Craigs – Well they hit 20,225 into the close (3am) and now 20,140 so keeping the Nikkei over 20,000 is impressive.  As I said yesterday, they BOJ just went even more dovish so it better be good for something, right? 

    CAD/ZZ – But commodities have made a comeback, noteably oil ($56.30 this morning).  Wait, maybe you don't mean short as you seem to say $1.04 to $1.25 as if that is CAD "soaring" but that's how many CAD you need to buy a Dollar so it's weaker – in which case I agree that CAD may head back closer to par with the Dollar (about $1.15) as long as oil doesn't collapse again.  

    Meanwhile, I think I timed my Canada trip perfectly for the max discount.  

Nighttime News, 4-21-15

From Bloomberg:

Investors Grumble as Freddie Shifts Risk of Helping Homeowners

Some mortgage-bond investors are criticizing a change in Freddie Mac debt that increases the risk of loss from homeowners who can’t afford their loans. (Continue)

Marissa MayerYahoo Weighs Options for Japan Stake; Revenue Misses Estimates

Yahoo! Inc. Chief Executive Officer Marissa Mayer outlined plans to explore options for the company’s stake in its Japanese division, heartening investors dismayed by another report showing disappointing sales and profit.

The company has hired advisers to consider opportunities to maximize value for its stake of about 35 percent in Yahoo Japan Corp., valued at more than $8 billion, Mayer said on a conference call Tuesday. Earlier, the company said first-quarter sales fell 4 percent to $1.04 billion, and gave a lackluster forecast for the current period. (More)

Perrigo Board Rejects Mylan’s Unsolicited $28.9 Billion Proposal

Perrigo Co.’s board unanimously rejected Mylan NV’s $28.9 billion takeover proposal, saying it doesn’t reflect the value of the over-the-counter drug company’s growth potential. (Read more)

VMware Profit Tops Estimates as Revenue Forecasts Reduced

VMware Inc. reported first-quarter profit that topped analysts’ estimates, even as the software maker reported slower revenue growth and reduced sales forecasts for the year due to currency fluctuations.

Profit, excluding some costs, was 86 cents on sales of $1.51 billion, VMware said in a statement Tuesday. Analysts had projected 84 cents and revenue of $1.5 billion, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. (More here)

Chipotle's BurritoChipotle Sales Miss Estimates on Price Hikes, Pork Shortage

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. posted first-quarter sales that trailed analysts’ estimates, hurt by higher menu prices and supply-chain woes that are causing shortages of one of its main ingredients.

Sales rose 20 percent to $1.09 billion, the Denver-based company said Tuesday in a statement. The average of analysts’ estimates compiled by Bloomberg was $1.11 billion. (Continue reading)

Canada Aims to Boost Investment With 40-Year Gas Licenses

Canada will extend natural gas export licenses to 40 years while cutting taxes for small businesses and the

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Half a Bubble Off Dead Center

Thoughts from the Frontline: Half a Bubble Off Dead Center

By John Mauldin

I can sense a growing unease as I talk with investors and other friends, from professional market watchers and traders to casual observers. What in the Wide World of Sports is going on? It is not just that markets are behaving in an unusual and volatile manner (see chart below showing multiple double-digit moves in the last few months); it’s that the data seems to be so conflicting. One day we get data that shows the economies of the developed world to be slowing, and the next day we get positive numbers. The ship of the economy seems to be drifting rudderless.


My dad used to say about a situation that just didn’t seem quite right that things were “about a half a bubble off dead center.” (This was back in the days when we used bubble levels to determine whether something was level or plumb – before today’s fancy digital gadgets.)

There is a reason, I think, that everything seems just a little out of kilter. I believe that central banks, in their valiant, unceasing efforts to restore liquidity and growth, have unleashed numerous unintended consequences that are beginning to show up in earnest. Today we are going to review the well-meaning behavior of central banks for clues about our near future.

But first, let me take one final opportunity to invite you to come to the 2015 Strategic Investment Conference. We’ve assembled an amazing cast of speakers who will delve deeply into what is really driving the world’s economy. I have some of the finest experts on China from around the world, central bankers, some very powerful analysts whose work commands the attention of the biggest institutions and hedge funds in the world (and whose work costs 20 times or more the price of my conference). Market analysts, geopolitical wizards, and futurists will be on hand, too. This is really the finest gathering of minds I have been pleased to assemble for a Strategic Investment Conference. Click on the link above and peruse the lineup and schedule. The conference starts in a little over a week, on the evening of April 29, and lasts through…
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Phil's Favorites

News You Can Use, 4-25-15 P.M.

The "War On Cash" Migrates To Switzerland (Acting-Man)

Banks Increasingly Refuse Cash Withdrawals – Switzerland Joins the Fun

The war on cash is proliferating globally. It appears that the private members of the world’s banking cartels are increasingly joining the fun, even if it means trampling on the rights of their customers.

Yesterday we came across an article at Zerohedge, in which Dr. Salerno of the Mises Institute notes that JP Morgan Chase has apparently joined the “war on cash”, by “restricting the use of cash in selected markets, restricting borrowers from making cash payments on credit cards, mortgages, equity lines and auto loans, as well as prohibiting storage of cash in safe deposit boxes&rdqu...

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Zero Hedge


Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by williambanzai7.


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Chart School

Price waves that signal market direction

Courtesy of Read the Ticker.

Question: Do price waves answer the Continuation or Reversal question?More from RTT TvAnswer: Yes when you understand Wyckoff logic, more so if you understand Richard Wyckoff law off 'Effort vs Results' and how it supports the Richard Wyckoff law of 'Supply and Demand'.

AMZN price chart with waves colored (the daily price waves are the same formula as PnF wave/bar calculation below, allows sync of price action).

Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing.

Auto PnF chart from our Swing Pop out charts.

Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing.

NOTE: does allow users to load ...

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All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: David is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Click here for the full report.

To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

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Kimble Charting Solutions

King Dollar slipping below support, say Joe Friday

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.


King Dollar has been on a role since last summer, up over 20% in less than a year. When looking back on the US$, the rally has been rare and nearly historic. Majority of the rally took place inside the steep rising channel above. Over the past month the US$ might have put in a double top. Over the past few days, the US$ has slipped a little below rising support at red arrow above.


As you can see from the table abo...

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Digital Currencies

Why Bitcoin's male domination will be its downfall

Here's an interesting argument by Felix Salmon, although I think he is taking two correct observations and mistakenly attributing a cause-and-effect relationship to them: Bitcoin is going nowhere because women are not involved.

More likely, in my opinion, women are not involved in bitcoin because bitcoin is going nowhere (and they know it). Or maybe, simply, bitcoin is going nowhere and women are not involved. 

Why Bitcoin's male domination will be its downfall 

By Felix Salmon

Nathaniel Popper’s new book, Digital Gold, is as close as you can get to being the definitive account of the history of Bitcoin. As its subtitle proclaims, the book tells the story of the “misfits” (the first generation of hacker-l...

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Swing trading portfolio - week of April 20th, 2015

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.


This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...

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Sector Detector: Earnings and GDP temporarily take investor spotlight off the Fed

Reminder: Sabrient is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Courtesy of Sabrient Systems and Gradient Analytics

As we get into the heart of earnings season and anticipate the GDP report for Q1, the investor spotlight has been taken off the Federal Reserve and timing of its first interest rate hike, at least temporarily. Even though Q1 economic growth will undoubtedly look weak, the future remains bright for the U.S economy – even though many multinationals will struggle with top-line growth due to the strong dollar – and any near-term selloff resulting from weak economic or earnings news should be bought yet again in expectation of better results for the balance of the year. High sector correlations remain a concern, reflectin...

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Watch the Phil Davis Special on Money Talk on BNN TV!

Kim Parlee interviews Phil on Money Talk. Be sure to watch the replays if you missed the show live on Wednesday night (it was recorded on Monday). As usual, Phil provides an excellent program packed with macro analysis, important lessons and trading ideas. ~ Ilene


The replay is now available on BNN's website. For the three part series, click on the links below. 

Part 1 is here (discussing the macro outlook for the markets) Part 2 is here. (discussing our main trading strategies) Part 3 is here. (reviewing our pick of th...

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Market Shadows

Kimble Charts: South Korea's EWY

Kimble Charts: South Korea's EWY

By Ilene 

Chris Kimble likes the iShares MSCI South Korea Capped (EWY), but only if it breaks out of a pennant pattern. This South Korean equities ETF has underperformed the S&P 500 by 60% since 2011.

You're probably familiar with its largest holding, Samsung Electronics Co Ltd, and at least several other represented companies such as Hyundai Motor Co and Kia Motors Corp.


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Mapping The Market

S&P 500 Leverage and Hedges Options - Part 2

Courtesy of Jean-Luc Saillard.

In my last post (Part 1 of this article), I looked at alternative ETFs that could be used as hedges against the corrections that we have seen during that long 2 year bull run. Looking at the results, it seems that for short (less than a month) corrections, a VIX ETF like VXX could actually be a viable candidate to hedge or speculate on the way down. Another alternative ETF was TMF, a long Treasuries ETF which banks on the fact that when markets go down, money tends to pack into treasuries viewed as safe instruments. In some cases, TMF even outperformed the usual hedging instruments like leveraged ETFs. There could of course be other factors at play since some of 2014 corrections were related to geopolitical events which are certain...

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2015 - Biotech Fever

Reminder: Pharmboy is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

PSW Members - well, what a year for biotechs!   The Biotech Index (IBB) is up a whopping 40%, beating the S&P hands down!  The healthcare sector has had a number of high flying IPOs, and beat the Tech Sector in total nubmer of IPOs in the past 12 months.  What could go wrong?

Phil has given his Secret Santa Inflation Hedges for 2015, and since I have been trying to keep my head above water between work, PSW, and baseball with my is time that something is put together for PSW on biotechs in 2015.

Cancer and fibrosis remain two of the hottest areas for VC backed biotechs to invest their monies.  A number of companies have gone IPO which have drugs/technologies that fight cancer, includin...

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Help One Of Our Own PSW Members

"Hello PSW Members –

This is a non-trading topic, but I wanted to post it during trading hours so as many eyes can see it as possible.  Feel free to contact me directly at with any questions.

Last fall there was some discussion on the PSW board regarding setting up a YouCaring donation page for a PSW member, Shadowfax. Since then, we have been looking into ways to help get him additional medical services and to pay down his medical debts.  After following those leads, we are ready to move ahead with the YouCaring site. (Link is posted below.)  Any help you can give will be greatly appreciated; not only to help aid in his medical bill debt, but to also show what a great community this group is.

Thank you for you time!

FeedTheBull - Top Stock market and Finance Sites

About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

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