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Comment by David Ristau

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  1. David Ristau
    October 27th, 2010 at 1:28 pm

    I am in KEG at 10.00!







Comment by cslanson2

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  1. cslanson2
    October 1st, 2010 at 1:49 pm
     David,
    CHTP might be worth your review.  They have a date with FDA during the next couple of weeks and rumor has the smart money betting 75% chance of approval.  The stock is up today but down a bit recently because of a secondary.  The secondary issue tells me they plan to stay in business as opposed to selling the company like SVNT is planning after FDA approval.







Comment by willsons

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  1. willsons
    October 1st, 2010 at 9:40 am
    Hi David    I jumped in on the GYMB play .  I bot puts though.  Hope that works as well as your short stock play.
    Thanks for the WOR play,  That was fun  :)







Comment by 42laurel

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  1. 42laurel
    August 24th, 2010 at 11:35 am
    TSL;
    The trader gathered up all of the week hands and now is looking at a handsome pay day for himself!







Comment by millstone99

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  1. millstone99
    June 15th, 2010 at 4:02 pm
    It filled that gap though, so maybe it’ll bounce tomorrow. I think I have a new policy though. When you suggest a stock, I’m going to wait 24 hours before I consider buying it. That’s 3 for 3 right now.







Comment by stitch3

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  1. stitch3
    April 1st, 2010 at 9:29 am
    received the alert ok this morning-thanks
    Stitch







Comment by ljerman

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  1. ljerman
    September 5th, 2009 at 2:03 pm
    I am very new to this page and will be an enthusiastic subscriber.   I don’t pretend to know everthing (sometimes anything if you ask my children)   I do know that AQR and others like it are the sad result of vaporizing of many people’s 401k retirement (or  201k’s)   If you look at the investing numbers in stocks that trade under 5 dollars  (all the fun stuff with BAC C Fannie and Freddy as well)  Even some of the trading in ETF’s,  people are trying to make a quick buck, followed by a quick buck, followed by a quick buck.  Problem with that is its much like being in Vegas;  they want to keep you in the game as long as possible knowing the odds eventually will catch up with the trades.  Not to mention the dollars being paid on each side of the trade which some don’ t even look at!    At the end of the day, it will come unhinged again, the rest of the dollars "sitting on the sidelines"  will be vaporized, and the market will flatten out like in the 80′s  because it will have to wait until a couple of new generations with some wealth but no hope for retirement will start the process again.    Is anyone talking about  deflation ???  Some say it will never happen,  Im not so sure.
    On one side its hard to blame people.  401ks were never meant to replace pensions, but most companies saw it as just that.  Mutual funds are stacked against timely movements.  You dollar cost average in a fund every paycheck, you see the market going off a cliff,  you want to trade out into cash and the mutal fund house charges you 2 or 3 percent on the whole balance.   Not to mention fund manager after fund manager saying  "stay the course" while they increase their own positions into cash to help fund performance.  I could go on and on.
    I missed the last crash because I was leaving one company and moved it into cash right before the cliff,  I am here to learn from people who are wise, because I feel a huge responsibilty to not become another lemming.   Cynical perhaps, but most cynics really think of themselves as realists…
    Leo







Comment by smith821

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  1. smith821
    June 24th, 2012 at 10:43 am
    I really like the layout and content of the last two news letters.







Comment by ilene

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  1. ilene
    June 13th, 2011 at 2:11 pm

     Kururi67 – what don’t you like about Mish’s work?







La-Z-Boy Options Active Ahead Of Earnings

www.interactivebrokers.com

Today’s tickers: LZB, DD & PRLB

LZB - La-Z-Boy, Inc. – Shares in furniture producer, La-Z-Boy, Inc., increased as much as 3.9% to $19.80 at the start of the session, the highest level since 2004, ahead of the company’s fourth-quarter earnings report after the closing bell today. Options volume is up ahead of the report, with roughly 400 contracts in play this afternoon versus average daily volume of around 80 contracts. Trading in La-Z-Boy call options is outpacing puts, with the call/put ratio up above 4.3 as of the time of this writing. Some traders appear to be positioning for shares in LZB to rally post-earnings, purchasing out-of-the-money call options expiring in June and July. Front month call buyers looked to the Jun $22.5 strike, purchasing around 50 lots at an average premium of $0.14 each, and the $25 strike calls, picking up 40 contracts at an average premium of $0.18 apiece. The Jun $20 strike calls attracted volume during Monday’s session, as well. Time and sales data suggests one trader likely purchased 100 of the $20 calls for a premium of $0.55 apiece yesterday morning. The bullish bet pays off at expiration as long as shares in LZB settle above the effective breakeven price of $20.55.

DD - E.I. du Pont de Nemours & Co. – Call options changing hands on DuPont in the early going on Tuesday suggest one trader is positioning for shares in the name to potentially rise to the highest level since 2000 during the next seven months. Shares in DuPont are up 0.20% on the session at $53.80 just before midday in New York. It looks like the strategist purchased a roughly 2,600-lot Jan 2014 $57.5/$62.5 call spread for an average net premium of $1.07 per contract. The bullish position starts making money if shares in DuPont rally 9.0% over the current price of $53.80 to exceed the average breakeven point at $58.57, with maximum potential profits of $3.93 per contract available on the spread should shares surge 16% to $62.50 by January…
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All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: David is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Click here for the full report.




To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

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Chart School

WSJ Economists' Forecasts for 10-Year Yields and the FFR

Courtesy of Doug Short.

In advance of today's FOMC meeting outcome and Chairman Bernanke's press conference, let's take a quick look at a couple of items in the latest Wall Street Journal survey of economists -- this one conducted June 7-11. With the recent controversy over the direction of Treasury yields, a key issue addressed in the survey is where economists expect the 10-year yield to be across six timeframes: mid-year and year end 2013 through 2015.

The survey was sent to 52 economists, 46 of whom responded, and of the 46, some skipped individual survey questions. Here is a table showing the major response statistics: Low, Median (middle), Average (aka Mean), Mode (most frequent) and High.

As we readily see from the table, the responses for ...



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Zero Hedge

Whistleblower Forces China To Come Clean Over Data Manipulation

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

It seems yet another conspiracy theory has become conspiracy fact thanks to a Chinese whistleblower. While the shrodinger-like nature of Chinese data has been keeping the market guessing for the last few years, the disconnects between hard-data (e.g. electricity production) and government-supplied surveys have been, at times, ridiculous (leaving aside the un-manipulated craziness of arbitrage-driven trade data). As the WSJ's China Real-time reports, ...



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Phil's Favorites

Cash Squeeze in China, Interest Rate Swaps Rise Most in 22 Months; China's Credit Bubble About to Pop; Shadow Banking Crackdown

Courtesy of Mish.

Bloomberg reports China Swaps Surge as Cash Squeeze Sees Demand Wane at Debt Sale. China’s one-year interest-rate swap rose by the most in 22 months as the central bank refrained from adding funds to the financial system to ease a cash squeeze, causing demand to fall at a government debt auction.

“The cash shortage may get even worse before the quarter-end because banks will have to hoard cash to meet loan-to-deposit ratio requirements,” said Chen Qi, a strategist at UBS Securities Co. in Shanghai. “The central bank probably won’t come out to intervene unless there is a sharp decline in economic growth and large capital outflows.”

“The market is disappointed by t...



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Insider Scoop

PDC Energy Announces Closing of Non-Core Colorado Natural Gas Asset Sale; Proceeds to Accelerate Development of Its Liquid-Rich Horizontal Programs in Core Wattenberg and Utica Shale

Courtesy of Benzinga.

PDC Energy, Inc. ("PDC" or the "Company") (Nasdaq: PDCE) today announced that it closed yesterday, June 18, 2013, on the previously disclosed sale of its non-core Colorado natural gas assets.

The Company's non-core Colorado assets were sold to Caerus Oil and Gas LLC for approximately $185 million in net proceeds, subject to customary post-closing adjustments. Under the purchase and sale agreement, the transaction was given economic effect as of January 1, 2013. The assets sold are approximately 99% natural gas in terms of reserves and include an estimated 85 billion cubic feet equivalent (Bcfe) of net proved developed producing reserves as of December 31, 2012. The assets produced approximately 40 million net cubic feet of natural gas equivalent per day in the first quarter of...



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Option Review

La-Z-Boy Options Active Ahead Of Earnings

Today’s tickers: LZB, DD & PRLB

LZB - La-Z-Boy, Inc. – Shares in furniture producer, La-Z-Boy, Inc., increased as much as 3.9% to $19.80 at the start of the session, the highest level since 2004, ahead of the company’s fourth-quarter earnings report after the closing bell today. Options volume is up ahead of the report, with roughly 400 contracts in play this afternoon versus average daily volume of around 80 contracts. Trading in La-Z-Boy call options is outpacing puts, with the call/put ratio up above 4.3 as of the time of this writing. Some traders appear to be p...



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Market Montage

1995 Redux

Submitted by Mark Hanna

Courtesy of MarketMontage. View original post here.

After the volatile session yesterday, the S&P 500 has broken back above the channel we have been discussing for a few weeks and now the Russell 2000 and NASDAQ appear to be joining (was not the case yesterday).  If not for the focus on the FOMC presser tomorrow you'd have a nice clean breakout starting here.  Tomorrow is of course a major wildcard.

On a related note – the 50 day moving average has been quite the support in 2013. In fact no year other than 1995 in the past 30 comes close to what we are seeing this year.  ...



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Sabrient

What the Market Wants: Market Will Likely Challenge Earlier Highs this Week

Reminder: Sabrient is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Courtesy of David Brown, Sabrient Systems and Gradient Analytics

The market responded well today to good economic news and to the positive and somewhat surprising response to the election of a moderate Iranian President.  Some moderation in Turkey didn’t hurt either, and overnight positive markets in Asia and Europe gave bullish investors enough encouragement to buy equities broadly. 

This drove all three major domestic indices up about 1% before a late small selloff left the S&P 500 Index up nearly 1% and the Nasdaq and Dow Jones Industrial Average both up well over 0.5%.  We think it likely this week that the market will challenge highs set in late May.

Today’s positive economic news inclu...



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Stock World Weekly

Stock World Weekly

NEW: Writers are available to chat with Members regarding topics presented in SWW, comments are found below each post.

Click here for the latest Stock World Weekly.  Sign in with your PSW user name and password, or sign up for a free trial. There's an interesting option trade on LULU presented in the newsletter this week. 

Trivia on lululemon via Paul Price, article found in NYTimes. 

Lululemon Athletica Combines Ayn Rand and Yoga

By 

...



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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of June 17th, 2013

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here

Optrader 

...

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IRA Strategy/Income Trader

The IRA portfolio

Reminder: Craigzooka is available to chat with Members regarding his virtual portfolio performance, comments are found below each post.

By Craigzooka

I am going to share with you how I manage my IRA and the power of reducing your cost basis.  My goal each year is a 20% return in my IRA.  Sometimes I make it and sometimes I don't, but I believe that all of my success is due to reducing my cost basis.  To illustrate the power of reducing your cost basis here are some trades we did last year.  These trades are taken from an educational portfolio we ran in a paper-trading account for a little more than a year.

  • We bought RIG on 5/15/2012 for $44.13, sold it on 1/18/2013 for $46 but booked a profit of $1,154.
  • We bought MT on 1/4/2012 for $19.24, sold it on 12/21/2012 for $15 but booked a profit of $454.
  • We bought CHK on 1/27/2012 for $21.93, sold it on 10/19/2012 for $18 b...


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ETF Selector

Stock Market Gets Big News After Friday’s Close

Courtesy of John Nyaradi.

Stock market posts another record setting week, but the big news came after Friday’s close.

Courtesy of NASA

The stock market put on another record setting show with the Dow Jones Industrial Average (NYSEARCA:DIA) closing at a record high 15,118 and the S&P 500 (NYSEARCA:SPY) closing at 1633.70, another all time closing high.

For the week, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (NYSEARCA:DIA) gained 1%, the S&P 500 (NYSEARCA:SPY) climbed 1.2%, the Nasdaq Composite (NYSEARCA:...



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Pharmboy

Give Them an Inch, They Will Take a Mile

Reminder: Pharmboy is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Well, well, well....it is good to know that there are others in the scientific arena who believed that YMI Bioscience's data (cough - Gilead) is a better drug than Incyte's Jakafi.  Now, the definitive data are still unknown, but there was enough evidence from a Phase 2 trial to take a small risk for a huge reward.  So, let's forget about Apple (AAPL), and do nothing but biotechs from now until Congress passes universal health care coverage for prescriptions....and drive the prices down so that research and development is no longer feasible to conduct in the US. Even Seattle Genetics (SGEN) has been on a tear as of late...



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Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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