Posts Tagged ‘analysis’

Research or Insider Trading? A Guide

Joshua M Brown provides a hilarious roadmap to help you distinguish between legitimate research and preparation for insider trading, in "Research or Insider Trading? A Guide."  And no, it’s not meant as a "how to".  - Ilene   

Courtesy of Joshua M Brown, The Reformed Broker 

What constitutes legitimate research?  When is the insider trading line crossed?

Many of the financial blogosphere’s luminaries, like Felix SalmonJohn Carney and Roger Ehrenberg, are carrying on this debate right now.

And since I’m in the solutions business, I’ve created the below guide that may help a bit…

Just my 2 cents.

Some of my other guides:

Venture, Angel or Private Placement?  (TRB)

Decoding Mutual Fund Brochures (TRB) 

*SAC = SAC Capital Advisors 


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Gold and US Dollar Counts – Nov 09

Binve’s beautiful chart menagerie, at Market Thoughts and Analysis - Ilene

Gold and US Dollar Counts – Nov 09

This post contains some of my updated counts for Gold and the US Dollar.

Please read these posts first to understand the context for these counts:

-- The Gold Blog. Gold/Silver/GSMs (and a little Oil for good measure) –   Sep 11, 09
-- Thoughts on the US Dollar, Analysis of the USDX Long Term, Follow up on the Gold Blog –   Sep 17, 09
-- Thoughts on the Dow/Gold Ratio –   Oct 19, 09

Some commentary before the charts:

I believe the Dollar has bottomed for the short term and the US Equity Markets have topped (for the long term). There is still inverse correlation between Dollar/US Equities. And likely this will come with pronouncements of deflation.

As long as there was and continues to be a Federal Reserve, no outcome has ever been deflationary nor will deflation be in our future.

Deflation is monetary deflation. The rise or fall of the price of asset classes is NOT inflationary or deflationary. Moreover, the falling price of the most visible asset class (US Equities) is NOT evidence of past or future deflation.

Because the outcome is and will continue to be inflationary.  Many may believe that this will help US Equities to rise in nominal terms. A very incorrect assumption. Inflation will help asset classes with poor fundamentals (US Equities) from falling as far as they otherwise would. But fall they will. Which is a demand issue not a deflation issue.

The long term relationship of the US Dollar to US Equities is positive correlation. Here is an excerpt from my massive US Dollar Post (link above):

By and large, there is **far more** positive correlation between the Dollar and Equities than there is inverse correlation. They both go up and down together as evidenced in the chart above.

However, many, including myself, have observed that the "weak dollar" is currently fueling the the equity rally right now. So why the discrepancy?

Because we are still in the aftermath of the Greatest Deleveraging Event in History (2008)!

During the meltdown of 2008, everything was sold / redeemed for the relative "safety" (used exceptionally loosely) of Treasuries: shares in hedge funds, commodities,


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Daily S&P500 analysis using Ichimoku charts

Daily S&P500 analysis using Ichimoku charts for July 30th 2009

Courtesy of Larry’s IchimokuCharts.com

Friday, July 31, 2009 at 10:24AM

 

 


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ValueWalk

Mark Morey: Social Revolution

By PeakProsperity. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Largely out of the headlines, the ongoing protest on Standing Rock is shining a bright light on how the big-moneyed interests with political clout steamroll the disadvantaged in order to get what they need.

Photo by tomwieden (Pixabay)

But in a rare David-vs-Goliath standoff, the Sioux tribespeople of Standing Rock Reservation are learning that they are not powerless. Their refusal to roll over and allow an oil pipleline to be built on their lands is growing into one of the largest resistance movements in recent years, drawing supporters from all over the country, and forcing the discussion of “Where do we draw t...



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Zero Hedge

Something Odd Emerges When Fact Checking The "Fact Checkers"

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

The American electorate has never been more divided with people having wide ranging opinions on which party/candidate would be best for the future of the country.  Certainly economic and other facts help guide those opinions but, in the end, the decision is also based on the subjective views of each voter.  

But, for Politifact, apparently even the facts are subjective and based on party affiliation.  Take the following example:

On July 6, 2015, Bernie Sanders made the follow...



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Phil's Favorites

If You're A Kid Living In New Orleans, Move To Salt Lake City!

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

In the long-standing psychology debate on nature versus nurture, the question is whether it is our genes or our experiences that hold the keys to our future.

As Visual Capitalist's Jeff Desjardins notes, the short answer to this question, according to many of today’s scientists and psychologists, is that nature and nurture are always working together. In other words, genes do what they do depending on their context, and nature and nurture work to inf...



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Chart School

Selecting gold stocks by relative strength

Courtesy of Read the Ticker.

Before you make your investment decisions stop and review the relative strength of the stock to the sector or index.


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NOTE: readtheticker.com does allow users to load objects and text on charts, however some annotations are by a free third party image tool named Paint.net

Investing Quote...

...“After spending many years in Wall Street and after making and losing millions of dollars, I want to tell you this:  It never was my thinking that made the big money fo...



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Market News

News You Can Use From Phil's Stock World

 

Financial Markets and Economy

Merkel Rules out Assistance for Deutsche Bank, Focus Reports (Bloomberg)

Chancellor Angela Merkel has ruled out any state assistance for Deutsche Bank AG in the year heading into the national election in September 2017, Focus magazine reported, citing unidentified government officials.

A divided town in Connecticut shows that finance is ruining Ame...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Crude Oil attempting key breakout, says Joe Friday

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

Below looks at Crude Oil on a “Monthly Closing” basis, since the early 1980’s.

Crude Oil started tanking in 2014 and its low earlier this year, took place at dual long-term support at (1) below.

CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE

Two support lines, that date back over a decade, came into play at (1) and so far have held. Crude remains in a down trend and this down trend is being tested at this time.

Joe ...



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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of September 19th, 2016

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



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Members' Corner

Market Liquidity and Macroeconomic Bullshit

 

Market Liquidity and Macroeconomic Bullshit

Courtesy of The Nattering Naybob

STJL - "Apparently macroeconomics is all bullshit – ROFL! Paging Naybob now… Famous Economist Paul Romer Says Macroeconomics Is All Bullshit."

The Nattering One muses... Macroeconomics as practiced by academics and those in charge is pure voodoo. Better to chant over goat blood, bird feathers and scattered entrails...

As for reality, overnight CNH HIBOR (...



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Mapping The Market

Here's a Cautionary Tale of Pension Privatization From Chile

Via Jean-Luc:

"When you let the free market take over, the little people get screwed and bankers get rich. Chile tried privatizing retirement plans and surprise, surprise, fund manager ate the profits… Pretty sure the results would be the same here..."  ~ Jean-Luc

Here's a Cautionary Tale of Pension Privatization From Chile

By KEVIN DRUM, Mother Jones

Among free-market fans, Chile's privatized pension plan has long been held up as a model for us to follow. The problem, as the Financial Times notes today, is ...



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Digital Currencies

Gold, Silver and Blockchain - Fintech Solutions To Negative Rates, Bail-ins, Currency Debasement and Cashless

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

By Jan Skoyles

I was so pleased yesterday by the announcement that I have joined the Research team at GoldCore as it meant that I could finally start talking about it and was back in a role that lets me indulge in my passion by researching and geeking out on all things gold, silver and money.

...



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Biotech

Epizyme - A Waiting Game

Reminder: Pharmboy is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Epizyme was founded in 2007, and trying to create drugs to treat patient's cancer by focusing on genetically-linked differences between normal and cancer cells. Cancer areas of focus include leukemia, Non-Hodgkin's lymphoma and breast cancer.  One of the Epizme cofounders, H. Robert Horvitz, won the Nobel Prize in Medicine in 2002 for "discoveries concerning genetic regulation of organ development and programmed cell death."

Before discussing the drug targets of Epizyme, understanding epigenetics is crucial to comprehend the company's goals.  

Genetic components are the DNA sequences that are 'inherited.'  Some of these genes are stronger than others in their expression (e.g., eye color).  Yet, some genes turn on or off due to external factors (environmental), and it is und...



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All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: Harlan is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Click here for the full report.




To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

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Promotions

PSW is more than just stock talk!

 

We know you love coming here for our Stocks & Options education, strategy and trade ideas, and for Phil's daily commentary which you can't live without, but there's more!

PhilStockWorld.com features the most important and most interesting news items from around the web, all day, every day!

News: If you missed it, you can probably find it in our Market News section. We sift through piles of news so you don't have to.   

If you are looking for non-mainstream, provocatively-narrated news and opinion pieces which promise to make you think -- we feature Zero Hedge, ...



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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

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