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Posts Tagged ‘Chicago’

96,000 Multifamily Housing Buildings in Chicago Area are Underwater ; 42 Percent of Small Rental Buildings at Risk of Default

96,000 Multifamily Housing Buildings in Chicago Area are Underwater ; 42 Percent of Small Rental Buildings at Risk of Default

Saturday Romance

Courtesy of Mish 

Citing a DePaul University study, the Chicago Tribune reports More than 42 percent of small rental buildings in Cook County are ‘underwater’

Owners of 96,000 two- to six-unit rental buildings in Cook County are upside-down on $12.6 billion of mortgage debt, potentially putting 42 percent of small rental buildings in the county at risk of default, new data show.

A study by DePaul University’s Institute for Housing Studies, released Wednesday, also found that $3 billion in multifamily building mortgages already are in foreclosure, affecting more than 32,000 rental units in Cook County, or 6.8 percent of multifamily mortgages. That compares with about 38,000 single-family homes in foreclosure in Cook County.

Researchers analyzed 25,822 sales of existing small rental buildings and 591 sales of buildings with seven or more units in Cook County.

Multi-family foreclosure rate spikes in Cook County

Here are some additional facts in a Chicago Sun Times article Multi-family foreclosure rate spikes in Cook County

The foreclosure rate on multi-family rental properties in Cook County has spiked, and falling property values have put 30 percent, or more than $13 billion in Cook County’s multi-family mortgages at default risk, according to a study released today by DePaul University’s Institute for Housing Studies.

The report found that there are more than 32,000 rental units in Cook County impacted by foreclosures. The percent of loans in foreclosure on small two- to six-unit properties jumped to 8.75 percent in the fourth quarter of 2009 from 1.67 percent five years ago. On large seven-plus unit rental properties foreclosure rates jumped from 0.3 percent in 2004 to 3 percent in the fourth quarter of 2009.

For one in eight rental apartment units, revenues are falling below operating costs for owners. Owners of about 74,000 rental units in Chicago or 13 percent of the market, are currently spending more to operate buildings than they are collecting in revenues, placing them at significant risk of decreased or discontinued maintenance.

“The multi-family foreclosure crisis has not received as much attention as the crisis in the single-family housing market, but the trends outlined in this report demonstrate that it should,” study author James Shilling, chair of Real Estate Studies, said in a statement.

He added the problem


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Chicago Cannibalization: Mayor Daley’s Budget Eats 75% of a 75 Year rainy Day fund in One Year

Chicago Cannibalization: Mayor Daley’s Budget Eats 75% of a 75 Year rainy Day fund in One Year

Courtesy of Mish 

USA, Illinois, Chicago, Millennium Park, Cloud gate sculpture, dusk

A year ago Mayor Daley rammed though a parking meter deal that was supposed to provide a "rainy day" fund for Chicago for the next 75 years.

In September, snags appeared prompting the Chicago Sun Times to write Daley losing confidence in parking meter company.

Mayor Daley demanded today that Chicago’s embattled parking meter operator synchronize the time on its pay-and-display boxes and void parking tickets tied to time discrepancies. “That’s unacceptable. They have to void those tickets,” he said.

Daley said the latest in a string of operational problems that have marred the transition to private control has prompted him to lose confidence in Chicago Parking Meters LLC.

“Slowly but sure, yes,” he said.

But, the mayor said he is not about to cancel the 75-year, $1.15 billion lease tied to a steep schedule of rate hikes that helped plug a gaping hole in the city’s 2009 budget.

“See that home over there? Go over there and ask them if they want their real estate taxes increased,” the mayor said after a ribbon-cutting at the new Jorge Prieto Math & Science Academy, 2231 N. Central.

“We have a rainy day fund. If it wasn’t for that, our financial crisis would be worse. … That was sold at the highest time. You can’t even sell a public asset today. You can’t sell anything today.”

The Chicago Sun-Times and NBC5 reported this week that pay-and-display boxes touted as the high-tech solution to over-stuffed and improperly calibrated parking meters have a problem of their own: they’re out of synch.

A spot check of about 50 newly-installed boxes found the time they show varies from machine-to-machine — leaving motorists confused about when to return to their vehicles to avoid getting a ticket.

Times displayed by boxes along Lincoln, Fullerton and Armitage didn’t match, even though they’re on the same computer server.

Political fall-out from the parking meter fiasco is at least partly to blame for a precipitous drop in Daley’s approval rating — to 35 percent, the lowest of his 20-year reign, according to a Chicago Tribune poll.

Chicago’s parking deal revisited

In November, Felix Salmon posted an interesting chart showing just how flawed the lease deal is in Chicago’s
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Conventions Say Good Riddance to Chicago Over Costs and Union Work Rules

Conventions Say Good Riddance to Chicago Over Costs and Union Work Rules

Courtesy of Mish 

Thinkstock Single Image Set

Major conventions are ditching Chicago over outrageous costs for McCormick Place electricians. Please consider High costs drive major trade show out of Chicago

Chicago ditched. Tens of thousands of outsiders say it’s too expensive to spend their money here; $52 million would have been pumped into our economy by some 28,000 visitors. Instead, a major trade show says it’s leaving Chicago behind for good.

This week, CBS 2 reported on outrage over the hundred dollar case of Pepsi. Exhibitors feeling ripped off. Threatening not to come back.

Now, it’s happened. McCormick Place electricians were the straw that broke the camel’s back for one Chicagoan who says he reluctantly said "no" to bringing his convention back home.

The Tribune reports the Healthcare Information and Management Systems Society, which held its annual meeting at McCormick Place for the first time in April, is taking its 2012 show to Las Vegas instead.

Healthcare Information and Management Systems CEO Steve Lieber told CBS2 it’s all because of the electricians.

"Our costs were about $200,000 more," said Lieber. "So it went from $40,000 to $240,000 for the electrical work alone."

The city got the word Wednesday that the huge medical convention wouldn’t return. They’re also sweating out a decision by an even bigger show.

The International Plastics Showcase has been in Chicago since 1971, but now a spokesman says: "We are looking at other options."

Like Orlando. Though the medical trade group says it’s deeper than union versus non-union towns.

"It was the number of hours and the number of people it took to do the identical job," Lieber said.

Two months ago, McCormick Place quietly fired two-thirds of its electricians, promising to bring back only the best, and only when they’re needed; trying to change the work rules and work ethic that’s already cost Chicago tens of millions of dollars.

The article says the issue is not unions but rather "work rules".

Excuse me but who sets those work rules? Mickey Mouse?

If it takes 3 times as many workers to get the job done in Chicago then union rules are more than likely the culprit.

Not to fear, I have the perfect solution: raise property taxes and sales taxes to paper over falling revenues. That may sound…
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Chicago National Youth Summit and Grant Project

Democracy 2.0: Exploring the Millennial Generation’s ROI
 

Citizen's Guide 2009

November 18-20
Chicago, IL

A National Youth Summit Presented By
The Peter G. Peterson Foundation and Mobilize.org
 

Apply for a Summit Invitation or Compete for a Democracy 2.0 Grant Award
by Submitting Your Ideas to Improve the Financial Health of America’s Youth

The Peter G. Peterson Foundation (PGPF) and Mobilize.org are partnering to host the Foundation’s first national Youth Summit in Chicago, IL from November 18-20 – just over one year after Chicago’s Barack Obama was elected as our nation’s President.

The three day Youth Summit, entitled Democracy 2.0: Exploring the Millennial Generation’s ROI, standing for "return on investment," will focus on (1) exploring the barriers preventing today’s younger generation from achieving financial health and (2) developing the action plans necessary to begin setting an agenda for millennial-led economic reform in the United States.

To that end, PGPF and Mobilize.org are inviting Americans between the ages of 18 and 34 with solutions for improving the economic health of the Millennial generation and a desire to participate in this exciting and forward-thinking dialogue to submit their ideas online at www.Mobilize.org. Through the use of interactive keypad voting technology, PGPF and Mobilize.org will award grants totaling up to $25,000 for selected ideas, projects and proposals that rise to the top during the Summit. Additionally, funded ideas will receive 12 months of support from Mobilize.org, whose partner network and funders are committed to further building their success. Submissions will be accepted until October 17, 2009.

Those who wish to attend the Summit as a participant only may apply for an invitation online. All selected participants who are invited to attend the three day Summit will have their airfare and accommodations paid for by funding provided by PGPF.

Summit Resources


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We Regret To Inform You That The City Of Chicago Will Be Closed Monday

We Regret To Inform You That The City Of Chicago Will Be Closed Monday

Courtesy of John Carney at Clusterstock 

Chicago, the business insider

The Chicago Sun Times reports that budget woes will mean many city services just won’t open tomorrow:

If you planned to check out a library book, visit a city clinic or have your garbage picked up on Monday, you’re out of luck.

The City of Chicago will basically be closed for business on Aug. 17, a reduced-service day in which most city employees are off without pay, according to a release from the Office of Budget and Management. City Hall, public libraries, health clinics and most city offices will be closed.

Emergency service providers including police, firefighters and paramedics will be working at full strength, but most services not directly related to public safety, including street sweeping, will not be provided, the release said.

That also includes garbage pickup. Residents who receive regular collection on Mondays should expect trash to be picked up the following day, the release said. Some other customers may experience a one-day delay as collectors catch up.

As part of the 2009 budget, three reduced-service days were planned for 2009, days which are unpaid for all affected employees — the Friday after Thanksgiving; Christmas Eve; and New Year’s Eve. The City Council recently approved moving the reduced-service day planned for New Year’s Eve to Monday.

The 2009 budget anticipates saving $8.3 million due to the reduced-service days.

While lots of people wonder if the recession may spur  more financial responsibility in household spending habits, there’s not enough talk about the possibility of more government financial responsibility. Lots of things we don’t need--like free public libraries stuffed with books people could buy for themselves or don’t want to read anyway--may have to be cut back. The ability to shut down services for a day--and deprive city workers of pay--shows that we may have the political will to actually make the cuts.

California, risk

See Also:

California’s Still Riskier Than Russia

 

 


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Zero Hedge

Japanese Bond Yields Spike Most In 2 Years On Return From Golden Week Holiday

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

As Japanese markets re-open after Golden Week, the bond market is extremely active (which in itself is unusual given its total lack of liquidity). Playing catch up to the rest of the world's igniting bond markets, 10Y JGB yields are up over 6bps (and even the 20Y is trading). The last few days have seen yields spike from 28bps to 43bps - a colossal move only seen before in May 2013 (after the initial euphoria of QQE).

Biggest absolute yield swing in bonds since May 2013...

Which drags yields to 2-month highs...

...



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Phil's Favorites

The Greatest Trick the Devil Ever Pulled

The Greatest Trick the Devil Ever Pulled

Courtesy of Joshua M Brown

…was convincing investors that volatility and risk were the same thing.

This idea that risk cannot truly be measured by looking at volatility (as measured by standard deviation) is well-trod territory in the financial blogosphere so I won’t go into it at length again.

But I do feel as though more than half of all the terrible products, funds and newsletters available to investors make their living by confusing (conflating?) risk and volatility. It’s how Wall Street makes a lot of its money on the wealth management side (upside without fluctuation!) and its why the hedge fund industry is a $3 trillion behemoth (we&rsquo...



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All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: David is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Click here for the full report.




To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

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Kimble Charting Solutions

Is the Fed losing control of interest rates?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

Is the Fed losing control over interest rates? I’ve heard a rumor that the Fed is in control of interest rates.

If this is true, is Janet raising rates and not telling anyone? The table below looks at the performance of the yields on the 10 & 30-year notes and TLT over the past 90-days. As you can see yields are up nearly 20% in 90 days!

CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE

If Janet and the Fed aren’t raising rates right now, is it possible that “Billions of Free Thinking People” are causing rates to move higher?

The chart below takes a look a...



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Insider Scoop

Goldman Sachs Initiates Titan International With Neutral

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Related TWI Earnings Scheduled For February 26, 2015 Top Performing Industries For February 3, 2015 Can the Rally in Titan International (TWI) Shares Continue? - Tale of the Tape (Zacks)

Analysts at Goldman Sachs initiated coverage on Titan International Inc (NYSE: TWI) with a Neutral rating.

The target price for Titan International is set to $...



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Chart School

S&P 500 Snapshot: Selloff Day Two

Courtesy of Doug Short.

Before the market opened, the ADP Employment Report for April disappointed expectations. The S&P 500 opened higher and rose to its 0.43% intraday high about four minutes later. It then zigzagged a bit before settling into a steady continuation of yesterday's downtrend to its -1.03% intraday low. The index rallied during the final hour to a more modest loss of 0.45%. Of particular interest was Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen's comment that "equity valuations at this point generally are quite high." She made this remark at a DC conference sponsored by Institute for New Economic Thinking (more here).

Is the equity market overvalued? See our latest overview ...



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Sabrient

Sector Detector: Bulls hold the line as market coils in anticipation of a bigger move

Reminder: Sabrient is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Courtesy of Sabrient Systems and Gradient Analytics

After posting record highs the previous week, stocks closed last week slightly down overall. But the major indexes held their psychological levels, including Dow at 18,000, S&P 500 at 2100, NASDAQ at 5,000, and Russell 2000 at 1200. Although the bulls continue to find reliable support levels nearby, strong overhead technical resistance and neutral-to-defensive rankings in our SectorCast fundamentals-based quant model continue to suggest that a major upside breakout is not quite imminent, although a selloff doesn’t seem to be in the cards, either. Overall, stocks appear to be coiling ever tighter while awaiting...



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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of May 3rd, 2015

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



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Mapping The Market

An update on oil proxies

Courtesy of Jean-Luc Saillard

Back in December, I wrote a post on my blog where I compared the performances of various ETFs related to the oil industry. I was looking for the best possible proxy to match the moves of oil prices if you didn't want to play with futures. At the time, I concluded that for medium term trades, USO and the leveraged ETFs UCO and SCO were the most promising. Longer term, broader ETFs like OIH and XLE might make better investment if oil prices do recover to more profitable prices since ETF linked to futures like USO, UCO and SCO do suffer from decay. It also seemed that DIG and DUG could be promising if OIH could recover as it should with the price of oil, but that they don't make a good proxy for the price of oil itself. 

Since...



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Digital Currencies

Why Bitcoin's male domination will be its downfall

Here's an interesting argument by Felix Salmon, although I think he is taking two correct observations and mistakenly attributing a cause-and-effect relationship to them: Bitcoin is going nowhere because women are not involved.

More likely, in my opinion, women are not involved in bitcoin because bitcoin is going nowhere (and they know it). Or maybe, simply, bitcoin is going nowhere and women are not involved. 

Why Bitcoin's male domination will be its downfall 

By Felix Salmon

Nathaniel Popper’s new book, Digital Gold, is as close as you can get to being the definitive account of the history of Bitcoin. As its subtitle proclaims, the book tells the story of the “misfits” (the first generation of hacker-l...



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Promotions

Watch the Phil Davis Special on Money Talk on BNN TV!

Kim Parlee interviews Phil on Money Talk. Be sure to watch the replays if you missed the show live on Wednesday night (it was recorded on Monday). As usual, Phil provides an excellent program packed with macro analysis, important lessons and trading ideas. ~ Ilene

 

The replay is now available on BNN's website. For the three part series, click on the links below. 

Part 1 is here (discussing the macro outlook for the markets) Part 2 is here. (discussing our main trading strategies) Part 3 is here. (reviewing our pick of th...

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Market Shadows

Kimble Charts: South Korea's EWY

Kimble Charts: South Korea's EWY

By Ilene 

Chris Kimble likes the iShares MSCI South Korea Capped (EWY), but only if it breaks out of a pennant pattern. This South Korean equities ETF has underperformed the S&P 500 by 60% since 2011.

You're probably familiar with its largest holding, Samsung Electronics Co Ltd, and at least several other represented companies such as Hyundai Motor Co and Kia Motors Corp.

...



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Pharmboy

2015 - Biotech Fever

Reminder: Pharmboy is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

PSW Members - well, what a year for biotechs!   The Biotech Index (IBB) is up a whopping 40%, beating the S&P hands down!  The healthcare sector has had a number of high flying IPOs, and beat the Tech Sector in total nubmer of IPOs in the past 12 months.  What could go wrong?

Phil has given his Secret Santa Inflation Hedges for 2015, and since I have been trying to keep my head above water between work, PSW, and baseball with my boys...it is time that something is put together for PSW on biotechs in 2015.

Cancer and fibrosis remain two of the hottest areas for VC backed biotechs to invest their monies.  A number of companies have gone IPO which have drugs/technologies that fight cancer, includin...



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Help One Of Our Own PSW Members

"Hello PSW Members –

This is a non-trading topic, but I wanted to post it during trading hours so as many eyes can see it as possible.  Feel free to contact me directly at jennifersurovy@yahoo.com with any questions.

Last fall there was some discussion on the PSW board regarding setting up a YouCaring donation page for a PSW member, Shadowfax. Since then, we have been looking into ways to help get him additional medical services and to pay down his medical debts.  After following those leads, we are ready to move ahead with the YouCaring site. (Link is posted below.)  Any help you can give will be greatly appreciated; not only to help aid in his medical bill debt, but to also show what a great community this group is.

http://www.youcaring.com/medical-fundraiser/help-get-shadowfax-out-from-the-darkness-of-medical-bills-/126743

Thank you for you time!




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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

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