I truly love this site and JDA’s constant commitment to speaking her mind, delivering lively commentary on economic events, and throwing in the perfect picture to go with it. So Happy 2nd Birthday, JDA!! – Ilene
Couldn’t have done it without you, stalker, commenter, subscriber, reader, casual checker outer, supporter, donor, asshat and nemesis. I’d especially like to thank Ben Bernanke for making this moment possible, were it not for his constant shenanigans, I would not have had a single thing to write about these past two years and my little world would be that much emptier.
Thanks to TLP for carrying the load when Google is pissing me off and/or hating and being my constant source of entertainment when everything else sucks raw donkey balls.
Thanks to my wonderfully strange readers who delight and fascinate me all while feeding my constantly hungry ego.
And thanks most of all to J.P. Morgan and the fine Rothschild family; were it not for your hard diabolical work, I really wouldn’t have anything at all to say as this world just wouldn’t need me.
While I’m thrilled to say JDA is celebrating two years on this trip, I have to say I certainly didn’t think I’d still have so much to write about on the financial doomsday front two years later. Oh well. See you kids in a decade, I’ll still be here bitching about Fed asshats and the pending commercial real estate collapse, I’m sure.
It’s been a long exciting week filled with Greece action, Obamacare, and failed Treasury auctions. Since JDA’s resident paperboy doesn’t believe the Fed is an evil institution and tends to read too much HuffPo and not enough Ron Paul, I’m grabbing the paper, rolling it up and whacking him (hard) with the following:
It’s Official – America Now Enforces Capital Controls Gee, think we should start reading the bill? (Zero Hedge)
Goldman Sachs’ controversial ‘mommy-track’ In fairness to TLP, he didread this one. You should too. (The Week)
Does Unemployment Insurance Cause Unemployment? It’s a legitimate question. Does the FDIC encourage moral hazard? Mmm hmm. (Wall St Cheat Sheet)
On Deficits And Debt-Financed Government Market Ticker is always good for a nice reality check. Especially one that comes out to $760 billion in interest expense alone – and yes, that’s American debt. (Market Ticker)
The “shop till you drop” economy "Who would want to invest in the United States when there are fiscally solvent, rapidly growing emerging economies to invest in?" Who indeed. (The Animal Spirits Page)
Throwing Gas On The Fire Wait a second, are the regulators the problem? (Bank Lawyer’s Blog)
Repo 105: Was Lehman’s Accounting Only Ticking Boxes? Or Is It A Ticking Box? I smell smoke, Jim Peterson smells something awry with financial reporting (as in journalism, not statements) and rules-based accounting. JDA humbly concurs. (Re:Balance)
Is InterOil Built on a Foundation of Fraud? InterOil better look out, you don’t want Sam Antar on your ass (I’m not scared, he’s afraid of me and I’m training him for his next bout) (White Collar Fraud)
TGIF – Greece Fixed AGAIN! Phil seems to think the EU is bipolar. Has the EU asked its doctor about Abilify? (Phil’s Stock World)
The Latest To Get Ripped Off By The Banksters? The States I’m shocked. Completely and totally shocked.(LOLFed)
According to Morgan Stanley's European equity strategist, Graham Secker, we may have just hit peak bearishness. However, does that mean that a rebound in risk sentiment is imminent, or is this just the beginning of a multi-decade mean reversion, one that will seek to unwind years of central bank intervention, and push risk assets to their ex-central bank prop fair values?
We don't the answer just yet, although it seems unlikely that after one humiliating episode in recent months for the ECB, Fed and BOJ, each, they will simply pack up and go.
For now, however, here is Morgan Stanley, with a summary of not only why everyone is "peak bearish", but why the one pote...
Over the past ten months, in steps almost too small to be noticed by the mass media, Apple has shed over two hundred billion dollars in value. That's nearly one quarter of a trillion dollars in wealth which would have fed shareholder dreams of new houses, new boats, new jewelry, and mink coats, but..........it's gone.
The thing is, I think the slide is far, far from over. I wrote a piece earlier this year (which got picked up by some of the mainstream press) predicting that Apple would fall to the mid-70s. We're already heading into the low 90s, so my goofy prediction is seeming a little less insane.
Buying something at good value is a good approach, however it is another approach to know when to enter and exit the market, enter Wyckoff logic. If You 'know nothing' of Wyckoff logic is a good time to start.
Throughout the past 30 days of wild volatility, here’s what I didn’t do.
Panic. Worry. Sell.
In fact, the best I did was add to a couple of positions yesterday. The world was already in an uncertain state for the past 3+ years. It’s just that with the market rising, we pushed the issue to the back of our mind and ignored it.
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A number of systemic, structural forces are intersecting in 2016. One is the rise of non-state, non-central-bank-issued crypto-currencies.
We all know money is created and distributed by governments and central banks. The reason is simple: control the money and you control everything.
The invention of the blockchain and crypto-currencies such as Bitcoin have opened the door to non-state, non-central-bank currencies--money that is global and independent of any state or central bank, or indeed, any bank, as crypto-currencies are structurally peer-to-peer, meaning they don't require a bank to function: people can exchange crypto-currencies to pay for goods and services without a bank acting as a clearinghouse for all these transactions.
Last year, the S&P 500 large caps closed 2015 essentially flat on a total return basis, while the NASDAQ 100 showed a little better performance at +8.3% and the Russell 2000 small caps fell -5.9%. Overall, stocks disappointed even in the face of modest expectations, especially the small caps as market leadership was mostly limited to a handful of large and mega-cap darlings.
Notably, the full year chart for the S&P 500 looks very much like 2011. It got off to a good start, drifted sideways for...
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Baxter Int. (BAX) is splitting off its BioSciences division into a new company called Baxalta. Shares of Baxalta will be given as a tax-free dividend, in the ratio of one to one, to BAX holders on record on June 17, 2015. That means, if you want to receive the Baxalta dividend, you need to buy the stock this week (on or before June 12).
Back in December, I wrote a post on my blog where I compared the performances of various ETFs related to the oil industry. I was looking for the best possible proxy to match the moves of oil prices if you didn't want to play with futures. At the time, I concluded that for medium term trades, USO and the leveraged ETFs UCO and SCO were the most promising. Longer term, broader ETFs like OIH and XLE might make better investment if oil prices do recover to more profitable prices since ETF linked to futures like USO, UCO and SCO do suffer from decay. It also seemed that DIG and DUG could be promising if OIH could recover as it should with the price of oil, but that they don't make a good proxy for the price of oil itself.
This is a non-trading topic, but I wanted to post it during trading hours so as many eyes can see it as possible. Feel free to contact me directly at email@example.com with any questions.
Last fall there was some discussion on the PSW board regarding setting up a YouCaring donation page for a PSW member, Shadowfax. Since then, we have been looking into ways to help get him additional medical services and to pay down his medical debts. After following those leads, we are ready to move ahead with the YouCaring site. (Link is posted below.) Any help you can give will be greatly appreciated; not only to help aid in his medical bill debt, but to also show what a great community this group is.
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