I truly love this site and JDA’s constant commitment to speaking her mind, delivering lively commentary on economic events, and throwing in the perfect picture to go with it. So Happy 2nd Birthday, JDA!! – Ilene
Couldn’t have done it without you, stalker, commenter, subscriber, reader, casual checker outer, supporter, donor, asshat and nemesis. I’d especially like to thank Ben Bernanke for making this moment possible, were it not for his constant shenanigans, I would not have had a single thing to write about these past two years and my little world would be that much emptier.
Thanks to TLP for carrying the load when Google is pissing me off and/or hating and being my constant source of entertainment when everything else sucks raw donkey balls.
Thanks to my wonderfully strange readers who delight and fascinate me all while feeding my constantly hungry ego.
And thanks most of all to J.P. Morgan and the fine Rothschild family; were it not for your hard diabolical work, I really wouldn’t have anything at all to say as this world just wouldn’t need me.
While I’m thrilled to say JDA is celebrating two years on this trip, I have to say I certainly didn’t think I’d still have so much to write about on the financial doomsday front two years later. Oh well. See you kids in a decade, I’ll still be here bitching about Fed asshats and the pending commercial real estate collapse, I’m sure.
It’s been a long exciting week filled with Greece action, Obamacare, and failed Treasury auctions. Since JDA’s resident paperboy doesn’t believe the Fed is an evil institution and tends to read too much HuffPo and not enough Ron Paul, I’m grabbing the paper, rolling it up and whacking him (hard) with the following:
It’s Official – America Now Enforces Capital Controls Gee, think we should start reading the bill? (Zero Hedge)
Goldman Sachs’ controversial ‘mommy-track’ In fairness to TLP, he didread this one. You should too. (The Week)
Does Unemployment Insurance Cause Unemployment? It’s a legitimate question. Does the FDIC encourage moral hazard? Mmm hmm. (Wall St Cheat Sheet)
On Deficits And Debt-Financed Government Market Ticker is always good for a nice reality check. Especially one that comes out to $760 billion in interest expense alone – and yes, that’s American debt. (Market Ticker)
The “shop till you drop” economy "Who would want to invest in the United States when there are fiscally solvent, rapidly growing emerging economies to invest in?" Who indeed. (The Animal Spirits Page)
Throwing Gas On The Fire Wait a second, are the regulators the problem? (Bank Lawyer’s Blog)
Repo 105: Was Lehman’s Accounting Only Ticking Boxes? Or Is It A Ticking Box? I smell smoke, Jim Peterson smells something awry with financial reporting (as in journalism, not statements) and rules-based accounting. JDA humbly concurs. (Re:Balance)
Is InterOil Built on a Foundation of Fraud? InterOil better look out, you don’t want Sam Antar on your ass (I’m not scared, he’s afraid of me and I’m training him for his next bout) (White Collar Fraud)
TGIF – Greece Fixed AGAIN! Phil seems to think the EU is bipolar. Has the EU asked its doctor about Abilify? (Phil’s Stock World)
The Latest To Get Ripped Off By The Banksters? The States I’m shocked. Completely and totally shocked.(LOLFed)
Note: This commentary has been updated to include this morning's release of the March data for Real Personal Income Less Transfer Receipts.
Official recession calls are the responsibility of the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee, which is understandably vague about the specific indicators on which they base their decisions. This committee statement is about as close as they get to identifying their method.
There is, however, a general belief that there are four big indicators that the committee weighs heavily in their cycle identification process. They are:
While there is no doubt that patience is a virtue for investors, exercising prudence is equally important. In our prior article “Limiting Losses”, we examined how taking prudent measures, at certain times, can enhance your ability to create wea...
Reminder: Pharmboy and Ilene are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.
Remember this? It was Monday. PRGO is down from around $130 to under $100 since I started following it LAST WEEK. That's down almost 25% in a week, and almost 50% in the last year. So I wrote,
"Perrigo CEO Joseph Papa leaves Perrigo (PRGO) to lead Valeant (VRX) while PRGO issues a warning about missing earnings expectations. Not surprisingly, PRGO stock plummeted today.
Robert Ingram, Chairman of the [Valeant] Board, stated, "The Board has conducted a thorough search process and believes that Joe is the ideal leader for Valeant at this time. He has a strong shareholder orientation,...
Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.
This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).
We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options.
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Back on September 2, 2015 when bitcoin was trading at $230, we laid out the simplest and most fundamental reason why, irrelevant of one's ideological persuasion with "alternative" or digital currency - bitcoin would soar.
it was earlier this summer when the digital currency, which can bypass capital controls and national borders with the click of a button, surged on Grexit concerns and fears a Drachma return would crush the savings of an entire nation. Since then, BTC has dropped (in no small part as a result of the ...
Although we try to stay focused on finding and managing promising trade ideas, the comments in the comment section sometimes take a political turn (for access, try PSW — click here!). So today, Jean Luc writes,
The GOP debate last night was just unreal – are these people running to be president of the US or to lead a college fraternity! Comparing tool size? The only guy that looks semi-sane is Kasich. The other guys are just like 3 jackals right now.
And something else – if Trump is the candidate, that little Romney speech yesterday is probably already being made into a commercial. And all these little snippets from the debate will also make some nice ads! If you are a conservative, you have to be scared now.
Phil writes back,
I was expecting them to start throwing poop at each other &n...
This is a non-trading topic, but I wanted to post it during trading hours so as many eyes can see it as possible. Feel free to contact me directly at firstname.lastname@example.org with any questions.
Last fall there was some discussion on the PSW board regarding setting up a YouCaring donation page for a PSW member, Shadowfax. Since then, we have been looking into ways to help get him additional medical services and to pay down his medical debts. After following those leads, we are ready to move ahead with the YouCaring site. (Link is posted below.) Any help you can give will be greatly appreciated; not only to help aid in his medical bill debt, but to also show what a great community this group is.
Note: The material presented in this commentary is provided for
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considered to be reliable. However, neither PSW Investments, LLC d/b/a PhilStockWorld (PSW)
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