Posts Tagged ‘OSTK’

Overstock.com Calls Active Ahead Of Q3 Earnings Report

OSTK – Overstock.com, Inc. – Options on Overstock.com are more active than usual to kick off the trading week ahead of the company’s third-quarter earnings report prior to the opening bell on Thursday. Volume in OSTK options is currently above 1,100 contracts versus the stock’s average daily options volume of around 215 contracts. Shares in the name are off 0.70% on the session to stand at $29.05 as of 11:45 a.m. ET.

The most actively traded options contracts on the online discount retailer as measured by volume today are the Oct $35 calls, with roughly 480 lots in play against open interest of 222 contracts. Time and sales data suggests most of the volume was purchased for a premium of $0.25 each. Traders long the $35 calls stand ready to profit at expiration this week in the event that Overstock.com’s shares jump 21% over the current price of $29.05 to exceed the breakeven point at $35.25. Shares in OSTK last traded above $35.25 at the end of July.

HST – Host Hotels & Resorts Inc. – Trading in Host Hotels & Resorts put options on Monday morning indicates some traders may be bracing for shares in the name to decline ahead of expiration at the end of the week. Shares are off 0.80% today at $17.77 as of 12:25 p.m. ET.

Heavy trading in front month puts on the owner of a portfolio of luxury hotels pushed HST onto our ‘hot by options volume’ market scanner during the first 30 minutes of the session, with volume in the Oct $17 puts topping 5,000 contracts versus open interest of 334 contracts. It looks like most of the Oct $17 puts were purchased at a premium of $0.10 each. Buyers of the $17 puts may profit at expiration this week if shares in Host Hotels decline 5.0% from the current price of $17.77 to breach the breakeven point on the downside at $16.90.

Overall options volume on HST is up above 6,100 contracts as of the time of this writing, well above the stock’s average daily level of 280 contracts. The company is scheduled to report third-quarter earning before the open on November 5th


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Options Traders Pounce On Overstock.com Calls As Shares Extend Rally

 

Today’s tickers: OSTK, COF & OSIS

OSTK - Overstock.com, Inc. – Shares in Overstock.com, Inc. are spiking for a second-consecutive session, helped higher today by an upgrade to ‘buy’ from ‘underperform’ at Bank of America-Merrill Lynch. The off-price online retailer rallied 22% to $19.25 this morning, adding to the 36% increase in the price of the underlying during Thursday’s trading session following the company’s better-than-expected first-quarter earnings report released ahead of the open yesterday. Options changing hands on Overstock.com indicate some traders are positioning for shares to extend gains in the near term. Upwards of 1,500 calls have traded at the May $20 strike versus zero open interest, with much of the volume purchased in the early going at an average premium of $0.48 apiece. Call buyers stand ready to profit at expiration should shares in OSTK settle above the average breakeven price of $20.48. Fresh interest is also on the rise in the $20 strike call options expiring in June and September. Positions established in the April $15 strike call and put options yesterday are generating profits for some options players today. Open interest in the $15 strike puts jumped by around 860 contracts overnight, and a review of Thursday’s trading activity indicates most of the puts were sold at a premium of $0.30 each. The puts are now far out-of-the-money, suggesting put sellers are likely to walk away with the full amount of premium received at expiration. Finally, April $15 strike calls purchased yesterday at $0.24 each are today changing hands at $3.90 apiece as of the time of this writing.

COF - Capital One Financial Corp. – Trading traffic in weekly call options on Capital One suggests one or more traders are gearing up for shares in the name to extend gains in the near term. Shares in COF are up more than 6.0% in early afternoon trading to stand at $56.10 after the company reported first-quarter earnings that exceeded analyst expectations following the close of trading on Thursday. Upside call buying in the weeklys…
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Overstock.com Calls In Play As Shares Hit Fresh 52-week High

 

Today’s tickers: OSTK, HMSY & NTRI

OSTK - Overstock.com, Inc. – Options on online retailer, Overstock.com, Inc., are more active than usual this morning as shares in the retailer of closeout and discount merchandise rally sharply for a second straight day. Shares in Overstock.com rallied as much as 40% since Thursday morning when the company reported it swung to a third-quarter profit of $0.11 a share from a loss of $0.33 a share in the year ago quarter. The stock is off its highs of the session, but currently trades up 5.85% as of midday on Friday to stand at $14.30. Options traders positioning for shares in Overstock.com to extend gains in the near term snapped up front month calls this morning. Volume is heaviest at the Nov. $15 strike, where upwards of 700 call options are in play versus previously existing open interest of 10 contracts. Most of the volume appears to have been purchased for an average premium of $0.36 apiece, thus preparing buyers to profit should shares in OSTK tack on another 7% in the next three weeks to settle above an average breakeven price of $15.36 at November expiration. Shares are currently trading at their highest level since July 2011.

HMSY - HMS Holdings Corp. – Shares in the provider of cost management services for government-sponsored health and human services programs are getting hammered today, plunging 27% earlier in the session to a four-year low of $19.66. The stock dropped after HMS Holdings Corp. posted weaker-than-expected third-quarter earnings ahead of the opening bell and lowered its 2012 earnings and revenue forecast from prior estimates. Interestingly, options activity on HMSY suggests one or more options traders are taking a near-term contrarian view on the stock, positioning for the price of the underlying to rebound somewhat by November expiration. It looks like traders purchased 2,000 calls at the Nov. $22.5 strike for an average premium of $0.50 apiece. These contracts may be profitable…
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Options Player Puts the Strangle-Hold on Cablevision Systems Corp.

 Today’s tickers: CVC, OSTK, AKS, SLB, MON, NDAQ & WGO

CVC - Cablevision Systems Corp. – A short strangle implemented on the cable operator during afternoon trading indicates one strategist expects shares in Cablevision Systems Corp. to remain range-bound through June 2011 expiration. Cablevision’s shares rose earlier in the day, but are down 0.35% to arrive at $34.57 as of 3:40pm in New York. It appears the strangle-player sold 20,000 calls at the June 2011 $38 strike at a premium of $1.25 each, and sold the same number of puts at the lower June 2011 $29 strike for a premium of $0.85 apiece. Gross premium pocketed by the investor amounts to $2.10 per contract. The trader keeps the full amount of premium received on the transaction as long as shares in CVC trade within the confines of the strike prices described through expiration day next year. Short stances taken in both call and put options expose the trader to losses in the event that CVC’s shares soar 16.0% higher to trade above the upper breakeven point at $40.10, or should shares plunge 22.2% lower to breach the lower breakeven price of $26.90 ahead of June expiration.

OSTK - Overstock.com, Inc. – The online retailer’s shares are up more than 4.4% in the final minutes of the trading session to stand at $17.22. Overstock.com made its way onto our scanners late in the trading day due to bullish activity in the front month. Investors expecting shares to continue to rally ahead of expiration day tomorrow purchased more than 1,500 calls at the December $17.5 strike for an average premium of $0.23 each. Call buyers profit if OSTK’s shares rally another 3.0% to surpass the average breakeven price of $17.73 by expiration. Options implied volatility on Overstock.com is up 12.5% at 54.96% as of 3:45pm.…
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Does Overstock.com CEO Patrick Byrne Know When to Shut Up, Especially While the SEC Investigates his Company?

Does Overstock.com CEO Patrick Byrne Know When to Shut Up, Especially While the SEC Investigates his Company?

Courtesy of Sam Antar

During an ongoing SEC investigation into financial reporting violations by a public company, competent lawyers will advise management that the wisest course of action is to simply shut up. Not so, with Overstock.com (NASDAQ: OSTK) CEO Patrick Byrne. He does not know when to stop blabbing away, misleading investors, and lying to the media – even during an ongoing SEC investigation of his antics.
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overstock

For example, in 2009, I correctly reported in my blog that Overstock.com violated Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP) in accounting for its recoveries of certain offsetting costs and reimbursements amounts due to the company from its fulfillment partners (suppliers) who were under-billed in previous reporting periods, from Q1 2007 to Q 2 2008. Overstock.com should have restated its financial reports to recognize income when those offsetting costs and reimbursements were actually earned by the company in those previous reporting periods.

Instead, the company improperly recognized income as those amounts were collected in future accounting periods (Q4 2008 to Q3 2009) on a non-GAAP cash basis. In one instance, Overstock.com improperly reported Q4 2008 profits, even though the company should have reported a loss under accounting rules.

Despite many emails from me, Patrick Byrne stubbornly refused to correct his company’s GAAP violations and even fired Grant Thornton as its auditor for agreeing with my recommendations. Instead, Byrne opened up his big mouth and attacked me on a stock market chat board and during various earnings calls in an effort to discredit me. Byrne even hired internet stalker Judd Bagley to interfere with my divorce and pretext my children and relatives after I pointed out the company’s accounting violations.

Patrick Byrne while intoxicated

The company’s pretexting operation also targeted dozens of other journalists, bloggers, critics, and their minor children, too. Big Picture (over 140,000 subscribers) blogger Barry Rithholtz called Judd Bagley a "possible pedarast." His family was spied on, too.

Eventually, the SEC started investigating Overstock.com and the company was forced to restate its financial reports. Patrick Byrne will have a difficult time explaining to SEC investigators why they should not find that Overstock.com’s GAAP violations were a deliberate scheme to manipulate earnings. At…
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Five More Public Companies Who Need to Learn How to Properly Calculate EBITDA under SEC Rules

Sam Antar Sam Antar makes a request to CFOs, Audit Committees, and auditors of public companies’ financial reports: study the SEC’s rules governing the calculation of non-GAAP measures such as EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization), and follow them. Correct the mistakes before the reports get filed so Sam doesn’t have to write an article and I don’t have to post it.

For example, Penn National Gaming (PENN) erroneously reported EBITDA as earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, amortization AND charges for stock compensation, impairment losses, disposal of assets, losses from unconsolidated affiliates and the Empress Casino Hotel fire--that would be an "Adjusted EBITDA" or in PENN’s case, EBITDASCILDALUAECHFIRE. 

To learn how to read a financial report and discover if the company you’ve invested in is calculating EBITDA properly or inflating this number, read Sam’s article. – Ilene 

Five More Public Companies Who Need to Learn How to Properly Calculate EBITDA under SEC Rules

Courtesy of Sam Antar 

It’s pathetic that so many public companies miscalculate EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) and violate Regulation G governing the calculation of non-GAAP measures such as EBITDA. It seems that too many CFOs, Audit Committees, and auditors don’t take the time to thoroughly review compliance with all appropriate SEC financial reporting rules.

Starting in 2007, I reported improper EBITDA calculations by Overstock.com (NASDAQ: OSTK). After a  brutal yearlong public battle, Overstock.com’s embittered CEO Patrick Byrne finally changed his company’s EBITDA calculation to comply with Regulation G. For additional details, please read Lee Webb’s Stockwatch article and Richard Sauer’s book.

Last July, I reported apparently erroneous EBITDA calculations by Penson Worldwide (NASDAQ: PNSN) and Comtech Telecommunications (NASDAQ: CMTL).

In this blog post, I will report erroneous EBITDA calculations by five more public companies: A. H. Belo Corporation (NYSE: AHC), FirstService Corporation (NASDAQ: FSRV), Animal Health International, Inc. (NASDAQ: AHII), Schawk Inc. (NYSE: SGK), and Penn National Gaming Inc. (NASDAQ: PENN).

First, let’s review how EBITDA supposed to be calculated 

According to the SEC Compliance & Disclosure Interpretations, EBITDA is defined as under Regulation G as net income (not operating income) before interest,…
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How White-Collar Criminals Exploit Your Vanity – Beware of Compliments

Career criminal, master charmer Sam E. writes about his speaking engagement in Portland, where we met and I gathered material for part II of the No Redemption. The most fascinating aspect of Sam’s story is what his admissions teach us about human nature. But on a more practical level, understanding fraud and the techniques used to commit white collar crimes can give investors insight into the integrity of the companies they invest in. Companies built on fraud tend to implode under the weight of their own lies, eventually – can we find these companies early, before their business comes crashing down?  (Stay tuned for part III) – Ilene 

How White-Collar Criminals Exploit Your Vanity – Beware of Compliments

By Sam Antar of White Collar Fraud 

Artwork by Marta Dahlig

Last Friday, I was the key note speaker at the Oregon Health Care Fraud Working Group Training Seminar, sponsored by the United State Attorney’s Office for the District of Oregon. I explained to the group that while emphasis on effective oversight and internal controls are important factors in preventing or deterring white-collar crime, not enough emphasis is given to the underlying psychology used by white-collar criminals to prey on their victims and effectively commit their crimes.

I have said many times that, "White-collar criminals consider your humanity as a weakness to be exploited in the execution of their crimes" and as the cold-blooded and ruthless criminal CFO of Crazy Eddie, I learned that you can steal far more with a smile than you can with a gun.

White-collar criminals use a combination of charm and deceit to achieve their objectives. The more likable and charming that I was as a criminal, the easier it was for me to successfully lie to my victims…
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It’s Not at All Suspicious That Patrick Byrne Just Unloaded a Bunch of Overstock Shares

More on Overstock.com, as JDA takes a less gentle approach to Patrick Byrne’s share dumping than Sam Antar

It’s Not at All Suspicious That Patrick Byrne Just Unloaded a Bunch of Overstock Shares

Courtesy of Jr. Deputy Accountant 

 Pic credit: gapingvoid

No serious, see for yourself.

Let’s see what Gary Weiss has to say about his favorite corporate crime Petri dish:

Overstock.com’s wack-a-doo CEO, Patrick Byrne, has apparently found a new kind of crud to foist on the his ever-suffering shareholder base--$3.1 million in Overstock.com shares.

White collar crime fighter Sam Antar has an analysis today of Byrne’s dumping of the shares, which were shed by Byrne’s wholly-owned hedge fund, High Plains Investments LLC.

Barry Ritholtz points out today that he owns shares in the company — an example, I suggest, of the downside of quantitative investment strategies — even though "I personally think it is a steaming pile of shit, that the CEO is an asshole, and that the entire company is probably corrupt."

Did I read that right? Ritholtz is actually long OSTK? Well sh*t, if you look at it as an investment strategy and ignore the blatant fraud, one can assume Overstock has at least two or three more audit firms to turn to just in case KPMG needs to be fired and can keep this up for quite some time as long as the SEC stays toothless. So maybe Barry is onto something.

Uh… Any word on what the SEC is up to when it comes to Overstock?

Gary and Barry floated the theory that Byrne is simply trying to fund the SEC fine his company is about to get handed to their a**es. Hmmm. Maybe he needs to hire some incendiaries to go mess with people who talk poorly of Mr Byrne and his company’s questionable accounting methods? $3.12 million can go quite a ways, you know.

Sam and Caleb also gave Patrick some play for this move.

Jr Deputy Accountant humbly disagrees with Ritholtz, if anyone can be that dumb, it’s you-know-who. 


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Retail Reversal Combination Grabs Attention on XRT

Today’s tickers: XRT, MGM, DE, GLD, UUP, NWL, HNZ, EWZ, UNH, OSTK & STEC

XRT – SPDR S&P Retail ETF – A three-legged transaction in the December contract on the retail exchange-traded fund reveals bearish sentiment by one investor. Shares of the XRT are trading nearly 1% higher today to $34.60. It looks like the trader sold call options in order to offset the cost of buying a put spread. The put spread involved the purchase of 5,000 puts at the December 33 strike for a premium of 1.07 apiece, marked against the sale off 5,000 puts at the lower December 30 strike for approximately 37 cents each. The sale of 5,000 calls at the higher December 36 strike knocked another 87 cents per contract off the total price of the bearish play. The investor more than offset the cost of buying the spread and thus receives a net credit of 17 cents per contract. The full credit is retained by the trader as long as shares of the XRT remain below $36.00 through expiration. Additional profits may accumulate if shares dip below $33.00, while maximum potential gains of 3.00 per contract require that shares trade down to $30.00.

MGM – MGM Mirage, Inc. – Shares of the casino resort operator slipped 2.5% lower to $9.40 today but one options optimist initiated a bullish play on the stock in the March 2010 contract. It appears the trader put on a ratio call spread by buying one in-the-money call option for every three out-of-the-money calls sold. The investor purchased 10,000 calls at the deep in-the-money March 7.0 strike for 3.20 apiece and simultaneously sold 30,000 calls at the higher March 12 strike for 1.05 each. The net cost of the transaction is reduced to just one nickel per contract. The investor probably does not expect shares to rally through $12.00 by expiration because he is short 20,000 calls at that strike price in the March contract. Shares of MGM last traded above $12.00 on October 14, 2009.

DE – Deere & Co. – A large bearish butterfly spread appeared in the March 2010 contract on the agricultural equipment maker. The transaction indicates one investor is positioning for significant declines in the price of DE shares by expiration. Shares are down 1% to $46.76 with just under 90 minutes remaining in the trading day. The investor purchased the upper wing of the…
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Phil's Favorites

Correlations Nosedive!

Correlations Nosedive!

Courtesy of 

Nick Colas, chief market strategist at Convergex, on the “curse of the correlations” starting to wash away in the wake of the election – which is what active stock pickers and traders have been yearning for during the last 8 years or so: 

We have tracked the “Curse of Correlation” on a monthly basis since October 2009. The basics are simple: the average sector (tech, financials, utilities, etc) correlation to the S&P 500 has been 82.3% since we started looking at the data.  Other asset classes, such as Emerging Market and EAFE (Europe, Asia, Far East) developed economy equities have been in that same low-80% range.  High yield c...



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Zero Hedge

WTI Slides As US Oil Rig Count Spikes Most Since April 2014

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

For the 25th of the last 27 weeks, Baker Hughes reports the oil rig count rose this week. With the biggest rise (+21) since April 2014 to 498, the highest since January 2016.

Signaling US shale production set to rise dramatically...

...

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Biotech

The Medicines Company: Insider Buying

Reminder: Pharmboy and Ilene are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

I'm seeing huge insider buying in the biotech company The Medicines Company (MDCO). The price has already moved up around 7%, but these buys are significant, in the millions of dollars range. ~ Ilene

 

 

 

Insider transaction table and buying vs. selling graphic above from insidercow.com.

Chart below from Yahoo.com

...

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ValueWalk

Cook & Bynum Quarterly Portfolio Update: Procter & Gamble Co Exit

By VWArticles. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Cook & Bynum portfolio update for the third quarter ended September 30, 2016; in which they discuss the the sale of the fund’s stake in Procter & Gamble.

U.S. stock markets are at all-time highs after bouncing hard off of first quarter lows and zooming further ahead following the November election results. As of the end of November, the S&P 500 – after being down more than 10% on the year on February 11th – is now up almost 10% for the year and is extending the historically long bull market well into its eighth year. This updraft has been in the face of broadly disappointing corporate earnings for much of 2016. Climbing stock prices that coincide with stagnant or falling profits mean that valuations have been further stretched at a time when they were already well above long-term ...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Stocks & Bonds testing 20-year inflection points, says Joe Friday!

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

Below looks at the patterns on the S&P 500 and the Yield on the 10-year note (Inverted to look like bond prices), since the late 1980’s. A rare test of support and resistance by stocks and bonds, is in play right now!

CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE

The S&P 500, has remained inside of rising channel (1), for the majority of the past 20-years.

The 10-year yield (Inverted) has remained inside of rising channel (2), for the major...



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Market News

News You Can Use From Phil's Stock World

 

Financial Markets and Economy

Uncertainty Looms as Triple-Leveraged Oil Bets Go Dark (The Wall Street Journal)

Thursday is the final day of ordinary trading for a pair of popular exchange-traded products that deliver turbo-charged returns on the price of crude oil.

China warns WTO members not to use non-market economy clause after December 11 (Reuters)

China's Commerce Ministry said on Friday it would take "necessary measures" if World Trade Organization members continue to use a non-market economy clause in its to WTO deal to assess dumping duties against it after Dec. 11.

...



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Members' Corner

How To Poop At A Party?

Courtesy of Nattering Naybob.

Once again, it's "Toilet Thursday" or "Thursday in the Loo", so we follow up on Second Hand Stink with How to Poop At A Party. 

This hilarious video demonstrates how to control the Shituation when needing to Poopulate at a gathering, in no uncertain terms. 

We hope this recurring bathroom humor theme "shits" well with our readers. So please do relax, drop the cursor below, click and enjoy.

...

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Chart School

Dow Jones Gann Angle Update

Courtesy of Read the Ticker.

When the Dow Jones moves the media must have an explanation for it. However the insiders have the nod to what is going on.

The media story so far is that since the TRUMP win, managers have been rotating their portfolios to represent TRUMP trends (lower taxes, go easy on the 'too big to fail' Wall Street banks, more jobs for Americans). Prior the election the stock market was set up for a HILLARY win, due to more of the same, status quo, FED support. But....

Using Richard Ney logic, the short answer is, stocks were always going up and the election results do not matter nor would a higher 10 yr bond or lackluster fundamentals. The real story is the marke...

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Promotions

Phil's Stock World's Las Vegas Conference!

 

Come join us for the Phil's Stock World's Conference in Las Vegas!

Date:  Sunday, Feb 12, 2017 and Monday Feb 13, 2017.            

Beginning Time:  8:00 am Sunday morning

Location: Caesar's Palace in Las Vegas

Notes

Caesar's has tentatively offered us rooms for $189 on Saturday night and $129 for Sunday night. However, we have to sign the contract ASAP. We need at least 10 people to pay me via Paypal or we may lose the best rate for the rooms. (Once we are guaranteed ten attendees, I will put up instructions to call the hotel for individual rooms.)

The more people who sign up,...



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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of December 5th, 2016

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



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Digital Currencies

Largest US Bitcoin Exchange Is "Extremely Concerned" With IRS Crackdown Targeting Its Users

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Last Thursday we reported that in a startling development seeking to breach the privacy veil of users of America's largest bitcoin exchange, the IRS filed court papers seeking a judicial order to serve a so-called “John Doe” summons on the San Francisco-based Bitcoin platform Coinbase.

The government’s request is part of a bitcoin tax-evasion probe, and se...



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Mapping The Market

The Most Overlooked Trait of Investing Success

Via Jean-Luc

Good article on investing success:

The Most Overlooked Trait of Investing Success

By Morgan Housel

There is a reason no Berkshire Hathaway investor chides Buffett when the company has a bad quarter. It’s because Buffett has so thoroughly convinced his investors that it’s pointless to try to navigate around 90-day intervals. He’s done that by writing incredibly lucid letters to investors for the last 50 years, communicating in easy-to-understand language at annual meetings, and speaking on TV in ways that someone with no investing experience can grasp.

Yes, Buffett runs an amazing investment company. But he also runs an amazing investor company. One of the most underappreciated part of his s...



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All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: Harlan is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Click here for the full report.




To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

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