Posts Tagged ‘speculations’

PALIN AND BECK RING THE QE BELL

PALIN AND BECK RING THE QE BELL

Courtesy of The Pragmatic Capitalist 

Dinner bell

The nonsense regarding the world’s greatest monetary non-event just continues to spiral out of control.  Last week it was Glenn Beck pretending to know something about the monetary system and economics.  This week it is Sarah Palin. In a talk today Mrs. Palin went on a politically motivated rant about government intervention and “money printing”:

“I’m deeply concerned about the Federal Reserve’s plans to buy up anywhere from $600 billion to as much as $1 trillion of government securities. The technical term for it is “quantitative easing.” It means our government is pumping money into the banking system by buying up treasury bonds. And where, you may ask, are we getting the money to pay for all this? We’re printing it out of thin air.

The Fed hopes doing this may buy us a little temporary economic growth by supplying banks with extra cash which they could then lend out to businesses. But it’s far from certain this will even work. After all, the problem isn’t that banks don’t have enough cash on hand – it’s that they don’t want to lend it out, because they don’t trust the current economic climate.

And if it doesn’t work, what do we do then? Print even more money? What’s the end game here? Where will all this money printing on an unprecedented scale take us? Do we have any guarantees that QE2 won’t be followed by QE3, 4, and 5, until eventually – inevitably – no one will want to buy our debt anymore? What happens if the Fed becomes not just the buyer of last resort, but the buyer of only resort?”

Glenn Beck made equally irresponsible comments last week.  Why these people feel as though they are qualified to discuss monetary operations is beyond me.  It would be like me walking into the Kennedy Center and telling the National Symphony Orchestra that they are playing the music all wrong (and I have not one ounce of musical talent in my entire body).

I won’t repeat the entire argument I have consistently made in recent weeks because I fear readers might bludgeon me with my keyboard, but let’s reiterate a few things:

  • QE is NOT money printing.  They are adding reserves to the banking sector and removing government bonds.  Mr. Bernanke has explicitly stated this:


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Market News

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Financial Markets and Economy

How The Hedge Fund Picks From Last Year's Sohn Conference Are Performing (Bloomberg)

A number of traders and hedge fund titans have marked May 4 on their calendar to attend one of the premier hedge fund conference of the year: the Sohn Investment Conference

In China, the New Casino Is Iron Ore (Wall Street Journal)

The price of iron ore for decades was hammered out in secret talks between the world’s biggest miners and steelmakers...



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ValueWalk

Mind Hack: Combat Anxiety with This Breathing Technique

By Jacob Wolinsky. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Mind Hack: Combat Anxiety with This Breathing Technique

Published on May 2, 2016

Most people are familiar with the technique of taking deep inhalations to relax themselves, but one breathing technique is more effective at returning your body to a naturally calm and connected state. McGonigal’s newest book is titled ...



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Zero Hedge

Chipotle Mexican Grill Stock Analysis 5-2-2016 (Video)

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by EconMatters.

By EconMatters

We look at this one time momentum stock from a mini case study perspective regarding some of the issues this company faces in trying to recover from the food safety issues of recent memory, and move forward as a growth stock for the next decade.

&...



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Phil's Favorites

Mathematical Jackasses

Courtesy of Mish.

With the exception of emerging market countries in trouble like Brazil and Russia, and complete hyperinflation basket cases like Venezuela, can anyone name a central bank that genuinely wants a stronger currency?

Today, the Bank of Japan is at the top of the whiner list of strong currency complainers, despite the obvious mathematics.

Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda warns Current Yen Strength Risks Harming Japan Recovery“.

Speaking to reporters in Frankfurt Monday, Kuroda also reiterated that BOJ policy makers won’t hesitate to expand monetary stimulus in order to achieve their 2 percent inflation target. The central bank’s board lef...



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Chart School

Markets Rally But Breadth Remains Weak

Courtesy of Declan.

Monday enjoyed some follow through upside after Friday's afternoon recovery. However,  gains were on very light volume given the distribution which carried most of last week. Also, market breadth remains in decline from overbought levels.

The Nasdaq frames this neatly. The rally has come off a bull defense of the 50-day MA on higher after a series of heavy volume selling days. MACD, On-Balance-Volume and +DI/-DI are in well established 'sell' triggers along with a sharp relative underperformance against the S&P.  Bullish dip buyers will be pleased with today's action, but other factors are running against them.

...

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All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: Harlan is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Click here for the full report.




To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

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Digital Currencies

"The Claims Don't Add Up" - Is The "Unmasking" Of Bitcoin's Satoshi Nakamoto Just A Publicity Stunt

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Earlier today we reported that in what many are convinced is just another self-gratifying publicity stunt, Australian entrepreneur Craig Wright "outed" himself as bitcoin's mysterious creator "Satoshi Nakamoto" by unleashing a major PR campaign and revealing his "identity" to three media organizations - the BBC, the Economist and GQ.

As ...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Crude Oil- Suggesting to "Sell In May" again?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE

It’s that time of year to hear the “Sell In May” message. This theme usually applies to stocks. Could it also apply to Crude Oil?

The above chart compares Crude Oil and the S&P 500 the past four years.

A year ago, Crude Oil and the S&P 500 both peaked the first of May at (1) and then proceeded to create a series of lower highs and lower lows for the next 9 months.

To start off this year, both created reversal p...



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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of May 2nd, 2016

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



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Insider Scoop

Mednax's Unit MedData To Buy Duet Health For Undisclosed Terms

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Related MD Benzinga's Top Downgrades After Rounds Of Financing, Is Healthcare M&A Picking Up?

MEDNAX (NYSE: MD)' unit MedData, Inc., disclosed the acquisition of Duet Health, which is engaged in developing of patient engagement software, as well as, mHealth solutions. The terms a...



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Biotech

PRGO, VRX and an Overpriced Papa

Reminder: Pharmboy and Ilene are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

By Ilene 

Remember this? It was Monday. PRGO is down from around $130 to under $100 since I started following it LAST WEEK. That's down almost 25% in a week, and almost 50% in the last year. So I wrote, 

"Perrigo CEO Joseph Papa leaves Perrigo (PRGO) to lead Valeant (VRX) while PRGO issues a warning about missing earnings expectations. Not surprisingly, PRGO stock plummeted today. 

Robert Ingram, Chairman of the [Valeant] Board, stated, "The Board has conducted a thorough search process and believes that Joe is the ideal leader for Valeant at this time. He has a strong shareholder orientation,...



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Mapping The Market

About that debate last night

Although we try to stay focused on finding and managing promising trade ideas, the comments in the comment section sometimes take a political turn (for access, try PSW — click here!). So today, Jean Luc writes,

The GOP debate last night was just unreal – are these people running to be president of the US or to lead a college fraternity! Comparing tool size? The only guy that looks semi-sane is Kasich. The other guys are just like 3 jackals right now. 

And something else – if Trump is the candidate, that little Romney speech yesterday is probably already being made into a commercial. And all these little snippets from the debate will also make some nice ads! If you are a conservative, you have to be scared now. 

Phil writes back,

I was expecting them to start throwing poop at each other &n...



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News: If you missed it, you can probably find it in our Market News section. We sift through piles of news so you don't have to.   

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Help One Of Our Own PSW Members

"Hello PSW Members –

This is a non-trading topic, but I wanted to post it during trading hours so as many eyes can see it as possible.  Feel free to contact me directly at jennifersurovy@yahoo.com with any questions.

Last fall there was some discussion on the PSW board regarding setting up a YouCaring donation page for a PSW member, Shadowfax. Since then, we have been looking into ways to help get him additional medical services and to pay down his medical debts.  After following those leads, we are ready to move ahead with the YouCaring site. (Link is posted below.)  Any help you can give will be greatly appreciated; not only to help aid in his medical bill debt, but to also show what a great community this group is.

http://www.youcaring.com/medical-fundraiser/help-get-shadowfax-out-from-the-darkness-of-medical-bills-/126743

Thank you for you time!




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