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Thursday, April 18, 2024

Lucy, Congress and the New Plan Trick

Feeling a bit like a yo-yo wishing someone would just cut the string so you could roll one way or another?  Well, you’re not alone.

Lucy, Congress, and the New Plan Trick

By Paul Kedrosky, at Infectious Greed

Excerpt:  "So here’s where we are at:

  1. Almost two weeks ago the market soared when late on a Thursday word broke that Congress would soon see a U.S. plan to help solidify the financial system. It continue to climb the next day.
  2. The market then fell on the first three days of the following week as it became obvious that doing such a plan was far from a lock, and as Congress squabbled and fought over it.
  3. The market then climbed for two days on signs that Congress was behind the bill, that it was taking it seriously, and that it would get completed over the weekend.
  4. The market tanked yesterday, as the House voted down the current plan, saying a host of things, many of which were petty, silly and personal. LucyFootball
  5. The market is soaring again today on news that plan isn’t dead yet, and that some in Congress are saying a "bill get done". 
  6. We’re back to hearing that something may come together by the weekend. 

Congress needs to put or shut up (and heaven help us if it’s the latter), and Treasury’s Paulson needs to become less of a liability. First, these oscillations are doing even more damage to equity markets, with investors withdrawing more capital in the face of record volatility. Similarly, it keeps credit markets locked,…

…If it feels to people a little like Lucy, Charlie Brown, and the football, that’s because it should. Too bad we’re all the football."

More here.

 

 

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